1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. TCU
5. Cincinnati
6. Ohio State
7. Oregon
8. Boise State
9. Georgia Tech
10. Iowa
11. Oklahoma State
12. USC
13. Pittsburgh
14. Utah
15. Penn State
16. Virginia Tech
17. BYU
18. California
19. LSU
20. Nebraska
21. Oregon State
22. Oklahoma
23. Texas Tech
24. Clemson
25. Miami (FL)
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Friday, November 20, 2009
Week 12 - Michigan Week
A few important games this week, but none is more important than 106th Edition of The Game held in Ann Arbor this year...
#25 California vs. #17 Stanford
Gomer: Stanford has bun the Pac-10's juggernaut as of late slamming both Oregon and USC in two straight weeks. After the recent output the Cardinal is certainly due for a let down. Stanford has made huge strides under Jim Harbaugh, who will not be at Michigan any time soon, but I am going to call for a let down game this week against the Bears. Cal: 34--Stanford:27
Chief: Stanford is the hottest team in America right now with Toby Gerhart toting the rock and bringing hope to young white RBs everywhere. Freshman QB Andrew Luck has also been a major component of the Cardinal success. Cal jumped back into relevance after taking down Arizona (yeah, that made them important) with star Jahvid Best sidelined. Even though Cal made a push last week, Stanford is on a role and will keep chugging along. Jim Harbaugh is sent to Michigan with another big win in this 'The Game'. Hopefully, he doesn't bring it to our 'Big Game'. Stanford: 41--Cal: 24
#11 Oregon vs. Arizona
Gomer: Oregon looks to continue their march to the first non-USC Pac-10 title in 8 years. Arizona is a decent team but was unimpressive in their recent loss to Cal. Oregon has been just plain impressive on offense. With Gameday in town the Tuscon faithful will be in full force, but Oregon is just a better team. UO: 35--UA: 18
Chief: Welcome back to earth Wildcats of Arizona. Everyone was jumping on the 1st Arizona Rose Bowl, but it's just not going to happen. Yes, Arizona is steadily improving year in and year out, but Oregon is too tough to drop this game. While Arizona is quite balanced, Oregon will put on a rushing clinic with LaMichael James and quite literally run away with the game. Maybe Legarotte Blout will get to throw a few punches in this one. OU: 48--Zona: 17
#10 Ohio State vs. Michigan
Gomer: Staring the 2nd straight losing season in the face along with another bowl-less season will have the Wolverines whipped into a frenzy. While Michigan is facing another rough off-season the Buckeyes are coming off of clinching their first Rose Bowl under Jim Tressel and look to assure themselves of another outright Big Ten Title. While technically this game has no baring on OSU winning the Big Ten or the Rose Bowl, it means everything to the seniors who don't want to leave with a sour taste. Michigan's offense will find a way to score a few, but the Buckeye defense will prove to be too much. OSU: 41--UM: 14
Chief: And we come to the finale. It may look and feel different, but it's still Ohio State vs. Michigan. The Buckeyes enter the unfriendly confines of Ann Arbor to face Dick Rod in his home for the first time. I'm a little concerned about a letdown from Pryor in this game as the Bucks only have pride on the line, but Tressel knows the import of this game regardless of the records. The Seniors will be playing out of there minds and will simply overwhelm the hapless Wolverines. Forcier is too banged up and while Brandon Graham is a very good defender for the Wolverines, he's playing with 10 nobodies. It won't be enough to keep Tressel from 6 straight and an ungodly 7-1 record. GO BUCKS, BEAT BLUE!! OSU: 45--scUM: 10
Other Games:
Minnesota vs. #13 Iowa: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa
#4 TCU vs. Wyoming: Gomer: TCU Chief: TCU
#14 Penn State vs. Michigan State: Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
#16 Wisconsin vs. Northwestern: Gomer: NW Chief: Wisconsin
Purdue vs. Indiana: Gomer: PU Chief: PU
#25 California vs. #17 Stanford
Gomer: Stanford has bun the Pac-10's juggernaut as of late slamming both Oregon and USC in two straight weeks. After the recent output the Cardinal is certainly due for a let down. Stanford has made huge strides under Jim Harbaugh, who will not be at Michigan any time soon, but I am going to call for a let down game this week against the Bears. Cal: 34--Stanford:27
Chief: Stanford is the hottest team in America right now with Toby Gerhart toting the rock and bringing hope to young white RBs everywhere. Freshman QB Andrew Luck has also been a major component of the Cardinal success. Cal jumped back into relevance after taking down Arizona (yeah, that made them important) with star Jahvid Best sidelined. Even though Cal made a push last week, Stanford is on a role and will keep chugging along. Jim Harbaugh is sent to Michigan with another big win in this 'The Game'. Hopefully, he doesn't bring it to our 'Big Game'. Stanford: 41--Cal: 24
#11 Oregon vs. Arizona
Gomer: Oregon looks to continue their march to the first non-USC Pac-10 title in 8 years. Arizona is a decent team but was unimpressive in their recent loss to Cal. Oregon has been just plain impressive on offense. With Gameday in town the Tuscon faithful will be in full force, but Oregon is just a better team. UO: 35--UA: 18
Chief: Welcome back to earth Wildcats of Arizona. Everyone was jumping on the 1st Arizona Rose Bowl, but it's just not going to happen. Yes, Arizona is steadily improving year in and year out, but Oregon is too tough to drop this game. While Arizona is quite balanced, Oregon will put on a rushing clinic with LaMichael James and quite literally run away with the game. Maybe Legarotte Blout will get to throw a few punches in this one. OU: 48--Zona: 17
#10 Ohio State vs. Michigan
Gomer: Staring the 2nd straight losing season in the face along with another bowl-less season will have the Wolverines whipped into a frenzy. While Michigan is facing another rough off-season the Buckeyes are coming off of clinching their first Rose Bowl under Jim Tressel and look to assure themselves of another outright Big Ten Title. While technically this game has no baring on OSU winning the Big Ten or the Rose Bowl, it means everything to the seniors who don't want to leave with a sour taste. Michigan's offense will find a way to score a few, but the Buckeye defense will prove to be too much. OSU: 41--UM: 14
Chief: And we come to the finale. It may look and feel different, but it's still Ohio State vs. Michigan. The Buckeyes enter the unfriendly confines of Ann Arbor to face Dick Rod in his home for the first time. I'm a little concerned about a letdown from Pryor in this game as the Bucks only have pride on the line, but Tressel knows the import of this game regardless of the records. The Seniors will be playing out of there minds and will simply overwhelm the hapless Wolverines. Forcier is too banged up and while Brandon Graham is a very good defender for the Wolverines, he's playing with 10 nobodies. It won't be enough to keep Tressel from 6 straight and an ungodly 7-1 record. GO BUCKS, BEAT BLUE!! OSU: 45--scUM: 10
Other Games:
Minnesota vs. #13 Iowa: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa
#4 TCU vs. Wyoming: Gomer: TCU Chief: TCU
#14 Penn State vs. Michigan State: Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
#16 Wisconsin vs. Northwestern: Gomer: NW Chief: Wisconsin
Purdue vs. Indiana: Gomer: PU Chief: PU
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Week 11 - All the Marbles
Friday Night Special!
#25 West Virginia vs. #5 Cincinnati
Gomer: I'll go ahead and admit it; Cincinnati is pretty good. Do I think they'd hang with "the big boys", probably not, but we should get to find out sometime in early January. West Virginia has quietly put themselves in position to win the Big East if they win out, but the national attention has been on the Bearcats. Since the tandem of Pat White and Steve Slaton left the Mountaineers, they really haven't been the same team, or received the same amount of attention. Noel Devine has been able to dazzle from time to time, but unless WVU QB Jarrett Brown is a threat as well, it could be a long night for the WVU offense and another night of passing and running at will for the Bearcats. WVU: 28--UC: 41
Chief: I really want UC to take a dive, but I don't think WVU (especially with a banged up Noel Devine) can stop them. The UC offense is hitting on all cylinders (when playing Big East defenses), but the defense is mediocre at best. Last week was way too difficult against a subpar UConn team at home at night to inspire confidence in this team. Regardless, the UC offense should be more than good enough to take the Mountaineers out. Watch out for Pitt next week. Kelly should be very distracted with the calls from South Bend and Ann Arbor rolling in. WVU: 31 UC: 45
Saturday's Games
#16 Utah vs. #4 TCU
Gomer: My defense of TCU all season has been just that, their defense. As many wise coaches have said too: Defense wins championships. The TCU defense has been outstanding in wins @ Virginia, @ Clemson, and @ BYU. They look to get revenge for last year's loss to the Utes and claim a spot in the BCS. I'm not going to throw a bunch of names and opinions out here when I really don't know a ton about other team other than watching their premiere games from earlier in the season. I like TCU a lot and frankly don't think that Utah has the horses on offense to offset that mismatch. Utah: 19--TCU: 28
Chief: Utah was the team of the year last year and even with the 1-loss record, everyone is expecting a big upset this week. Not so fast my friend. TCU has been destroying teams since the near miss at Air Force. I think Jerry Highes and the Frog defense smother the Ute attack while Andy Dalton (TCU QB) racks up some solid numbers as he's been under the radar. TCU rolls toward the BCS. Utah: 10--TCU: 31
Stanford vs. #9 USC
Gomer: Let's see, USC is coming off a tough win in Tempe while the Cardinal are coming off of a massive upset and offensive explosion against the Oregon Ducks. USC has been up and down this year, not really knowing week to week which team will show up. Stanford will look to repeat the huge upset they pulled two years ago in Los Angeles, but Pete Carroll's boys will be ready to roll and hope that someone else can pull an upset or two over the Ducks to get back in the BCS. Stan: 14--USC:31
Chief: This game is very interesting as Stanford has quietly put together a great team behind the arm of freshman QB Andrew Luck and the white lightning RB Toby Gerhardt. USC always wins these type of games historically even given the recent struggles. I don't know if this Trojan team is as solid as the past editions, but the revenge factor is strong in this one. Remember, the Cardinal upset the Trojans 2 years ago on their turf. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with a Stanford upset that caps the USC stranglehold on the Pac-10, but I think they come just short in a must see game. I'd love for the Cardinal to end the Trojans hopes, but we'll see. Stan: 23--USC: 24
#10 Iowa vs. #11 Ohio State
Gomer: Well I was thankfully wrong with last week's pick. The Lions proved to be a hollow shell, and TP didn't make mistakes that let PSU stay in the game. Kudos to the whole team. Iowa comes in reeling after going 9-0 and losing to Northwestern at home. It should be noted that the Hawkeyes not only lost the game, but starting QB Ricky Stanzi AKA Mr. Clutch. James Vandenberg came in relief and played as expected in his first ever game action... not good. He should be improved this week, but it won't show against the outstanding Buckeye D. As with last week's game, if TP does not turn the ball over to an underrated Hawkeye defense the Bucks should be able to control this one and celebrate with Roses in hand afterwards. Iowa: 10--OSU: 27
Chief: Now that's what I'm talking about. There's the Buckeye team we've been waiting for. TP comes up with the most important stat of his career on the road vs. the Lions: 0 turnovers. Iowa limps into the Shoe with a Rose Bowl berth on the line, but they are just too banged up to take advantage. OSU is firing like mad with the defense playing at a whole new level. The freshman QB of Iowa has not played significantly on the road and was awful at home vs. a mediocre NU defense...uh oh. The Bullets fire to completely shut down teh Hawkeye O. While the Iowa D is stout, they will not be able to overcome the bad position they're put in time and time again by the defense. Iowa will force at least one turnover and turn it into points, but it won't be enough to keep Tressel from his first Rose Bowl berth. GO BUCKS!!! Iowa: 6--OSU: 24
The Leftovers
Michigan vs. Wisconsin: Gomer: UW Chief: UW
Michigan State vs. Purdue: Gomer: PU Chief: MSU
Miami vs. North Carolina: Gomer: Miami Chief: UNC
Auburn vs. Georgia: Gomer: AU Chief: UGA
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: Gomer: Pitt Chief: Pitt
Arizona vs. California: Gomer: Cal Chief: Arizona
#25 West Virginia vs. #5 Cincinnati
Gomer: I'll go ahead and admit it; Cincinnati is pretty good. Do I think they'd hang with "the big boys", probably not, but we should get to find out sometime in early January. West Virginia has quietly put themselves in position to win the Big East if they win out, but the national attention has been on the Bearcats. Since the tandem of Pat White and Steve Slaton left the Mountaineers, they really haven't been the same team, or received the same amount of attention. Noel Devine has been able to dazzle from time to time, but unless WVU QB Jarrett Brown is a threat as well, it could be a long night for the WVU offense and another night of passing and running at will for the Bearcats. WVU: 28--UC: 41
Chief: I really want UC to take a dive, but I don't think WVU (especially with a banged up Noel Devine) can stop them. The UC offense is hitting on all cylinders (when playing Big East defenses), but the defense is mediocre at best. Last week was way too difficult against a subpar UConn team at home at night to inspire confidence in this team. Regardless, the UC offense should be more than good enough to take the Mountaineers out. Watch out for Pitt next week. Kelly should be very distracted with the calls from South Bend and Ann Arbor rolling in. WVU: 31 UC: 45
Saturday's Games
#16 Utah vs. #4 TCU
Gomer: My defense of TCU all season has been just that, their defense. As many wise coaches have said too: Defense wins championships. The TCU defense has been outstanding in wins @ Virginia, @ Clemson, and @ BYU. They look to get revenge for last year's loss to the Utes and claim a spot in the BCS. I'm not going to throw a bunch of names and opinions out here when I really don't know a ton about other team other than watching their premiere games from earlier in the season. I like TCU a lot and frankly don't think that Utah has the horses on offense to offset that mismatch. Utah: 19--TCU: 28
Chief: Utah was the team of the year last year and even with the 1-loss record, everyone is expecting a big upset this week. Not so fast my friend. TCU has been destroying teams since the near miss at Air Force. I think Jerry Highes and the Frog defense smother the Ute attack while Andy Dalton (TCU QB) racks up some solid numbers as he's been under the radar. TCU rolls toward the BCS. Utah: 10--TCU: 31
Stanford vs. #9 USC
Gomer: Let's see, USC is coming off a tough win in Tempe while the Cardinal are coming off of a massive upset and offensive explosion against the Oregon Ducks. USC has been up and down this year, not really knowing week to week which team will show up. Stanford will look to repeat the huge upset they pulled two years ago in Los Angeles, but Pete Carroll's boys will be ready to roll and hope that someone else can pull an upset or two over the Ducks to get back in the BCS. Stan: 14--USC:31
Chief: This game is very interesting as Stanford has quietly put together a great team behind the arm of freshman QB Andrew Luck and the white lightning RB Toby Gerhardt. USC always wins these type of games historically even given the recent struggles. I don't know if this Trojan team is as solid as the past editions, but the revenge factor is strong in this one. Remember, the Cardinal upset the Trojans 2 years ago on their turf. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with a Stanford upset that caps the USC stranglehold on the Pac-10, but I think they come just short in a must see game. I'd love for the Cardinal to end the Trojans hopes, but we'll see. Stan: 23--USC: 24
#10 Iowa vs. #11 Ohio State
Gomer: Well I was thankfully wrong with last week's pick. The Lions proved to be a hollow shell, and TP didn't make mistakes that let PSU stay in the game. Kudos to the whole team. Iowa comes in reeling after going 9-0 and losing to Northwestern at home. It should be noted that the Hawkeyes not only lost the game, but starting QB Ricky Stanzi AKA Mr. Clutch. James Vandenberg came in relief and played as expected in his first ever game action... not good. He should be improved this week, but it won't show against the outstanding Buckeye D. As with last week's game, if TP does not turn the ball over to an underrated Hawkeye defense the Bucks should be able to control this one and celebrate with Roses in hand afterwards. Iowa: 10--OSU: 27
Chief: Now that's what I'm talking about. There's the Buckeye team we've been waiting for. TP comes up with the most important stat of his career on the road vs. the Lions: 0 turnovers. Iowa limps into the Shoe with a Rose Bowl berth on the line, but they are just too banged up to take advantage. OSU is firing like mad with the defense playing at a whole new level. The freshman QB of Iowa has not played significantly on the road and was awful at home vs. a mediocre NU defense...uh oh. The Bullets fire to completely shut down teh Hawkeye O. While the Iowa D is stout, they will not be able to overcome the bad position they're put in time and time again by the defense. Iowa will force at least one turnover and turn it into points, but it won't be enough to keep Tressel from his first Rose Bowl berth. GO BUCKS!!! Iowa: 6--OSU: 24
The Leftovers
Michigan vs. Wisconsin: Gomer: UW Chief: UW
Michigan State vs. Purdue: Gomer: PU Chief: MSU
Miami vs. North Carolina: Gomer: Miami Chief: UNC
Auburn vs. Georgia: Gomer: AU Chief: UGA
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: Gomer: Pitt Chief: Pitt
Arizona vs. California: Gomer: Cal Chief: Arizona
Draper Index Week 10
There are 2 polls listed below--the first is constructed with bowl games and conference championships included and the second without (so as to not punish teams for earning a bowl bid or reward teams for lower level matchups). The poll itself is based on past year rankings so this does indeed have an effect.
Draper Index Top 25 (Bowls included)
1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Cincinnati
5. USC
6. TCU
7. Georgia Tech
8. Boise State
9. Ohio State
10. Oregon
11. Iowa
12. Utah
13. Pittsburgh
14. LSU
15. Oklahoma State
16. Virginia Tech
17. Penn State
18. BYU
19. Oklahoma
20. Houston
21. Miami (FL)
22. Oregon State
23. Texas Tech
24. West Virginia
25. Wisconsin
Draper Index Top 25 (Bowls not included)
1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. Cincinnati
5. Georgia tech
6. Boise State
7. TCU
8. Ohio State
9. USC
10. Iowa
11. Oregon
12. Pittsburgh
13. Utah
14. LSU
15. Oklahoma State
16. Penn State
17. BYU
18. Virginia Tech
19. Oklahoma
20. Miami (FL)
21. Houston
22. Wisconsin
23. Texas Tech
24. Boston College
25. Oregon State
Notice in the first poll teams with high bowl success rate (like USC) are higher ranked. Overall, I believe the poll that includes bowls is more accurate. Only USC appears to stick out as an outlier in the "bowl poll".
Draper Index Top 25 (Bowls included)
1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Cincinnati
5. USC
6. TCU
7. Georgia Tech
8. Boise State
9. Ohio State
10. Oregon
11. Iowa
12. Utah
13. Pittsburgh
14. LSU
15. Oklahoma State
16. Virginia Tech
17. Penn State
18. BYU
19. Oklahoma
20. Houston
21. Miami (FL)
22. Oregon State
23. Texas Tech
24. West Virginia
25. Wisconsin
Draper Index Top 25 (Bowls not included)
1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. Cincinnati
5. Georgia tech
6. Boise State
7. TCU
8. Ohio State
9. USC
10. Iowa
11. Oregon
12. Pittsburgh
13. Utah
14. LSU
15. Oklahoma State
16. Penn State
17. BYU
18. Virginia Tech
19. Oklahoma
20. Miami (FL)
21. Houston
22. Wisconsin
23. Texas Tech
24. Boston College
25. Oregon State
Notice in the first poll teams with high bowl success rate (like USC) are higher ranked. Overall, I believe the poll that includes bowls is more accurate. Only USC appears to stick out as an outlier in the "bowl poll".
Monday, November 09, 2009
The TS Poll - Week 11
Here is my computer poll for week 11.
1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Cincinnati
5. TCU
6. Iowa
7. Boise State
8. Houston
9. Georgia Tech
10. Ohio State
11. Pittsburgh
12. Oregon
13. LSU
14. Virginia Tech
15. USC
16. Penn State
17. Oklahoma State
18. Utah
19. Clemson
20. Miami (Fl)
21. BYU
22. Nebraska
23. Central Michigan
24. Arizona
25. South Florida
1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Cincinnati
5. TCU
6. Iowa
7. Boise State
8. Houston
9. Georgia Tech
10. Ohio State
11. Pittsburgh
12. Oregon
13. LSU
14. Virginia Tech
15. USC
16. Penn State
17. Oklahoma State
18. Utah
19. Clemson
20. Miami (Fl)
21. BYU
22. Nebraska
23. Central Michigan
24. Arizona
25. South Florida
Friday, November 06, 2009
Week 10 Showdown City
LSU @ Alabama:
GOMER:The Crimson Tide continue their march to a huge SEC title game against the Gators in December. This game will launch Mark Ingram to the front of the Heisman race and expose LSU for the pretenders they are. LSU: 7--Bama: 28
CHIEF: Another SEC battle, but this one could actually mean something. The winner of this game has the inside track to face Florida in the SEC Championship Game. Everyone has been talking of how LSU is primed to win as the Tide squeaked by the Vols, but I haven't seen anything from LSU that has me expecting upset. Young QB Jordan Jefferson has been pretty good but the LSU defense hasn't been that special. I think Greg McElroy gets on track throwing to Julio Jones and keeping the Tide climbing while Mark Ingram continues the Heisman chase. LSU: 10--Bama: 21
Oklahoma @ Nebraska:
GOMER: Somehow the Sooners are still ranked and now they travel to Lincoln in what used to be a huge rivalry game. Nebraska QB Zac Lee has been very good this year while the Sooners can't catch a break when they need it. In a minor upset, Huskers win. OU: 21--NU: 24
CHIEF: There is nothing to talk about this week. OU already has an unheard of 3 losses after the injury to QB Sam Bradford. Landry Jones has stepped in admirably but hasn't been a world stopper. That being said, I don't know if the Huskers can muster enough offense to pull the huge win. Ndamekong Suh, the big DT for Nebraska, will delight the crowd by spending more time in Jones's face than that moustache, but it won't be enough. Nebraska continues to fall while Suh's draft stock rises. OU: 31--NU: 20
CHIEF: There is nothing to talk about this week. OU already has an unheard of 3 losses after the injury to QB Sam Bradford. Landry Jones has stepped in admirably but hasn't been a world stopper. That being said, I don't know if the Huskers can muster enough offense to pull the huge win. Ndamekong Suh, the big DT for Nebraska, will delight the crowd by spending more time in Jones's face than that moustache, but it won't be enough. Nebraska continues to fall while Suh's draft stock rises. OU: 31--NU: 20
OSU @ PSU:
GOMER: I have complete faith in the OSU defense to stand tall today, but where I lack faith is in the offense putting the defense in bad positions. Terrelle Pryor has not progressed once this season and even his big plays against one of the worst teams in the country were ugly defensive breakdowns or throws where he closed his eyes and prayed as he threw the ball. Everyone will criticize PSU for the weak schedule they have played, but frankly OSU's schedule isn't much better (USC really isn't that good). Darryl Clark combined with Evan Royster will be a tough backfield to for the Bucks to completely shut down. However, I look for the defense to stand tall but TP to stay true to form raising further questions about his ability and development. OSU: 15--PSU: 23
CHIEF: The other big game with postseason implications is in Happy Valley. The Bucks have fattened up on some crappy opponents in Minnesota and NMSU so it's hard to draw much, but the defense has been lights out. I know it's the worst offense in the country, but the Bullets didn't let them cross the 50 and only allowed 2 first downs. They did what they had to do, but this is a different animal. I truly believe that this game will be won and lost with Terrelle Pryor, but not with his explosive play. The game will be decided based on Pryor's mistakes. If he can be the cliche ridden game manager aka Craig Krenzel, not remain mistake free, the Bucks will stuff the Lion offense and win. If, however, he gives them a chance with turnovers, it will be a long day. I think the defense holds tough on the road, and Pryor limits the mistakes with one or two difference maker plays. The loss of Pettrey hurts, but hopefully, the scoring drives will end with TDs. Pryor and the Bucks get the first marquee win of the season and keep chugging to Pasadena. OSU: 17--PSU: 13
Other Games:
Virginia@ Miami(FL): Gomer: Miami Chief: Miami
FSU @ Clemson: Gomer: Clemson Chier: FSU
Navy @ Notre Dame: Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Wake Forest @ GA Tech: Gomer: GT Chief: GT
Duke @ UNC: Gomer: UNC Chief: UNC
Oregon@ Stanford: Gomer: Oregon Chief: Quack
Thursday, October 29, 2009
Week 9 - The Home Stretch
Friday Night Special
West Virginia vs. South Florida:
GOMER: Unlike my counterpart, I have not completely given up on the Bulls of South Florida. Yes they were beaten up by the Bearcats, but they are still a good team in the Big East. BJ Daniels of the Bulls and Noel Devin of the Mountaineers are the top talents to watch this game, and it should be a shootout. WVU: 28--USF: 34
CHIEF: I've been big on USF all year, but I think it's time to leave...which of course means I'm wrong. While Selvie is an absolute beast at DE, B.J. Daniels is too erratic at QB. Noel Devine will break contain enough times to cause serious problems for the Bulls. The Mountaineers role and continue to be a factor in the Big East. WVU: 24--USF: 10
Saturday Games
Texas vs. Oklahoma State
GOMER: Texas really has not looked that strong to me this season. They beat a banged up Oklahoma team in the Red River Rivalry, Colt McCoy has not necessarily been something special, but hasn't been terrible either. The teams they've really beat down are not that good, and Oklahoma State without Bryant is in that category. Zac Robinson is good, but I don't think good enough to carry his team to a victory. And by the way, even if Texas is down by 20-30 at half, don't worry because they always make a 2nd half comeback against the Cowboys. UT: 38--OSU: 20
CHIEF: This was a preseason upset of mine, but without Dez Bryant, I just don't know. It seems Kendall Hunter will return to balance the Pokes attack, but Texas should be able to score on a questionable defense. Stillwater will be rocking however, and the Cowboys definitely circle the wagons. This would be the marquee win of the Mike Gundy era, but I believe they come just short of the upset. Colt McCoy has a flawless 2nd half and keeps the Longhorns alive for the Title. (Still...GO POKES!!) UT: 41--OSU:40
USC vs. Oregon
GOMER: Last Saturday the Trojans jumped out to a sizable lead, but relinquished and almost lost the game in the 4th quarter. The USC juggernaut has been slow to wake up this season, but I think against suspect Pac-10 defenses the running game and passing attack will get rolling in what will be a very physical tough match-up for both teams. USC: 41--UO: 30
CHIEF: On this one, I will stay with my preseason pick. Quack Attack for the win. The Pac 10 title game is in the Autzen Zoo and I think Masoli and Lamichael James put on a rushing clinic. More importantly, the Ducks actually will hit some crucial throws downfield to seal the win. The thing about Oregon is everyone knows they're running the ball, but they do it successfully anyway. The Trojans are solid defensively for 2-3 quarters but tend to slip up in one quarter. The Ducks will pounce then. Barkley has won nailbiters on the road in two very tough venues, but the third times the charm for hairgel boy. quack..quack....Quack...Quack...QUACK..QUACK!!! USC: 30--UO: 31
CHIEF: On this one, I will stay with my preseason pick. Quack Attack for the win. The Pac 10 title game is in the Autzen Zoo and I think Masoli and Lamichael James put on a rushing clinic. More importantly, the Ducks actually will hit some crucial throws downfield to seal the win. The thing about Oregon is everyone knows they're running the ball, but they do it successfully anyway. The Trojans are solid defensively for 2-3 quarters but tend to slip up in one quarter. The Ducks will pounce then. Barkley has won nailbiters on the road in two very tough venues, but the third times the charm for hairgel boy. quack..quack....Quack...Quack...QUACK..QUACK!!! USC: 30--UO: 31
New Mexico State vs. Ohio State
GOMER: A closer than expected game mostly for the look-ahead and let-down factors. I think playing this game is a terrible terrible mistake because it gets the team out of the mentality of playing tough competition and outside of needed to perform at their best to win. Yes it will be nice to beat a bad team, but will do nothing to gain back respect lost with the Purdue loss, and in my opinion SEVERELY inhibit the Buckeyes momentum generated by the Minnesota victory. Penn State awaits... NMSU: 10--OSU: 37
CHIEF: It's our game so we have to talk about it. I don't see a Purdue-esque let down against the hapless Aggies. Pryor will look like Troy Smith for the 3 quarters he's in the game, and the defense will be a stonewall all day against the worst offense in the country. The highlight of the game will be undoubtedly the halftime show that I assisted in designing. Come out and enjoy. HAPPY HALLOWEEN!! NMSU: 0--OSU: 48
The Leftovers:
Mississippi vs. Auburn: Gomer: AU Chief: Ole Miss
Georgia vs. Florida: Gomer: UF Chief: Florida
Michigan vs. Illinois: Gomer: UM Chief: UM
Penn State vs. Northwestern: Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU (close in a look ahead game)
Indiana vs. Iowa: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt: Gomer: GT Chief: GT
South Carolina vs. Tennessee: Gomer: UT Chief: USC
Monday, October 26, 2009
The TS Poll - Week 9
Well, I have nothing better to do on a sick day so I will finally post my computer rankings. These are similar to the OHSAA computer rankings. This is the first year for these rankings and are a work in progress. These rakings do not directly see a loss and factor in strenth of schedule, road wins, and point differential (to a maximum of 100 points). Again this is a very light explanation of these rankings. If you would like more information, let me know. And here we go!
Top 25: TS Poll
1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. TCU
5. Iowa
6. Cincinnati
7. Boise State
8. USC
9. Oregon
10. Pittsburgh
11. Houston
12. Penn State
13. Ohio State
14. Georgia Tech
15. Oklahoma State
16. LSU
17. Virginia Tech
18. Central Michigan
19. West Virginia
20. Kansas
21. BYU
22. Utah
23. California
24. Ole Miss
25. Oklahoma
Top 25: TS Poll
1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. TCU
5. Iowa
6. Cincinnati
7. Boise State
8. USC
9. Oregon
10. Pittsburgh
11. Houston
12. Penn State
13. Ohio State
14. Georgia Tech
15. Oklahoma State
16. LSU
17. Virginia Tech
18. Central Michigan
19. West Virginia
20. Kansas
21. BYU
22. Utah
23. California
24. Ole Miss
25. Oklahoma
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Week 8 - That Just Happened
#13 Penn State vs. Michigan
Gomer: Penn State's success so far has been mostly against bad teams, so I expect the Wolverine's to pull the "upset" and prove they are not as bad as everyone once thought. PSU: 24--UM: 31
Chief: This game is very interesting to me. For some reason, I can't shake the idea that Michigan has a chance. Everyone is back on the PSU bandwagon with the stunner by OSU last week, but I still haven't seen much. Iowa beat PSU by a decent margin at PSU but squeaked by Michigan at home. In the last 10 years, UM has only lost to Penn State once (last year when they sucked). The Wolverines have the Lions number so why not, I'll call the upset. Even with a terrible defense and slightly concussed Forcier, I'll go with the Blue. If Robinson is the only QB, they have no chance, but the Lions have been very blah this year. PSU: 34--UM:36
#8 TCU vs. #16 Brigham Young
Gomer: I'm not super sure who to take, but ever since the BYU loss to Florida State, I have severely questioned their team. I'll take TCU in a quasi-upset TCU: 28--BYU: 27
Chief: When this is the only big game of the weekend, there's nothing going on. The battle arises for the 'other' BCS buster (assuming Boise State wins out). Given the upsets in recent weeks, TCU has a legitimate chance of making the BCS if they go undefeated even if Boise also makes it. However, I think Max Hall will engineer enough to take down the Horned Frogs. While BYU was stomped by FSU, they've rebounded and are at home. TCU has been underwhelming in the past few weeks. The Frog defense is solid, but Bronco Mendenhall will have the Cougs ready to go. Down goes another BCS buster. TCU: 20--BYU: 24
Minnesota vs. #19 Ohio State
Gomer: Yes we lost to Purdue, yes everyone thinks Pryor sucks, but no, we won't lose to Minnesota. The Defense deserves some time off the field finally, and I think they will get some today. The Bucks will find a way to get something rolling and end this one in the first half. UM: 14--OSU: 38
Chief: Ouch...last week hurts really badly. The Bucks take a painful loss in a game they should have won easily (something that doesn't happen to tOSU much). Pryor was a turnover machine last week with the perfect storm hitting West Lafayette. One plus I saw was the development of the slant route in the final drive--I think this may be the only route he can throw consistantly well...perhaps we should call the play more. The defense played ok, but not the same level (most likely due to being on the field all game like the Wisky game). Minnesota has been bad (worse than Purdue) and the Bucks get back home. I think the ship is righted in a big way -- against a bad team. Look for the Bucks to explode with pure anger. They sucked last week and they need to be on a mission the rest of the year. Offense learns to get a few first downs and outscores the defense (rare occurence this year). Ray Small is finally removed from the punt team and all is well with a big Buck victory. UM: 10--OSU: 31
South Florida vs. #20 Pittsburgh Gomer: Chief: USF
Oklahoma vs. #25 Kansas Gomer: Chief: Kansas (why not?)
Wake Forest vs. Navy Gomer: Chief:Navy
#6 Iowa vs. Michigan State Gomer: Chief: MSU (just waiting for a Hawkeye loss)
#1 Florida vs. Mississippi State Gomer: Chief: UF
#3 Texas vs. Missouri Gomer: Chief:Texas
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Week 7 - When Games Count
Thursday Night Special:
#8 Cincinnati vs. #21 South Florida
#8 Cincinnati vs. #21 South Florida
Gomer: Ohio's BCS Team travels to the sunshine state for a showdown with the undefeated Bulls on a Thursday night primetime game. I hate Cincinnati. There, I said it. Ever since they've started experiencing some ounce of success they have been the annoying little step brother that is constantly screaming "LOOK OVER HERE, WE'RE GOOD TOO, WE'RE PROBABLY BETTER THAN YOU, etc." Missing QB Matt Grothe has not been as painful as expected for the Bulls as BJ Daniels has stepped into the starting spot and become an instant success. As we've seen many times over, Thursday night's do not bode well for highly ranked teams. If I were a coach, I would refuse to play on Thursday's especially in the Big East or ACC. Cincinnati will lose in surprising fashion returning their moniker of Ohio's BCS Team to its rightful owners for now. UC: 17--USF: 21
Chief: The biggest Big East game since Rutgers-Louisville in 2006, invades Tampa. The Bulls are quietly lurking at 5-0 with a beatdown of FSU in Tallahassee (albeit against a team that looked like they'd lose to Leon High School that week). Many don't realize that USF didn't have a football program at all until 1999. Jim Leavitt has formed one heck of a program and his backup QB (BJ Daniels) has been phenomenal as a double threat). Brian Kelly has done the same at UC. Led by Heisman contenders Tony Pike (and to a lesser extent Mardy Gilyard), the Bearcats are making serious noise by invading the top 10 again. This is by far the biggest stumbling block for the Cats. I think USF led by monster George Selvie at D-End will hassle the UC offensive line and get Pike a little nervous--just enough to make a few mistakes. UC will have to play from behind for the first time, and while their offense can keep up, I don't think their defense will make enough stops. Big upset in Florida. UC: 27--USF: 30
Saturday's Showdowns:
#20 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas
Saturday's Showdowns:
#20 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas
Gomer: The Sooners have had a rough season so far; an opening day loss and losing their Heisman Trophy QB in the same day, a tough loss in a big revenge game against the Hurricanes, and now facing the #3 team in the land in Dallas. Texas has been good, but nothing spectacular thus far, this has allowed Colt McCoy to remain "under the radar" so far, Saturday at high noon, he reminds the country how good he is. OU has looked flat even with Sam Bradford, and now in his second game back is expected to carry the Sooners to a Red River Shootout victory. This game should see lots of scoring, but Oklahoma's lack of success away from Norman and depleted offense should help the Longhorns to a "W". OU: 27--UT: 35
Chief: The Red River Shootout was supposed to be the marquee game of the year pitting two undefeated teams of which the winner is penciled into the National Championship game. Oops... With Sam Bradford going down in week 1 and the Sooners taking 2 losses already, it's lost some luster. Don't let that stop you from tuning in because this is Texas's time to shine. So far, they've played garbage teams and won convincingly. Time to turn up the heat. I think McCoy to Shipley will become like a broken record as McCoy vaults back to the top of the Heisman race and the woes of Norman continue. OU: 24--UT: 30
#6 USC vs. #25 Notre Dame
Gomer: Not no way, not no how, it isn't going to happen. The Irish really are not that good of a team. The only reason they find themselves ranked this week is so that NBC and the rest of the media could try to hype this game a little more than it already is for no good reason. USC is returning to form blowing out Washington State and California over the last two weeks and will continue to do so this week as Matt Barkley continues to improve. It will greatly help the Trojans with ND's tops receiver, Michael Floyd, not in this game. Fight on. USC: 41--ND: 20
Chief: For the first time since the infamous Bush push, Notre Dame enters this game with a chance of winning. Emu-boy Jimmy Clauson has looked surprisingly good this year and is rightfully getting some Heisman talk. Pete Carroll has the Trojans returning to standard form after their annual gag. One thing about the Trojans, they show up on the big stage. I expect nothing less as they move the ball with ease against the Domers. Weis returns to the hotseat after the loss as it only permits 1 more before the BCS hopes are gone. USC: 34--ND: 24
Chief: For the first time since the infamous Bush push, Notre Dame enters this game with a chance of winning. Emu-boy Jimmy Clauson has looked surprisingly good this year and is rightfully getting some Heisman talk. Pete Carroll has the Trojans returning to standard form after their annual gag. One thing about the Trojans, they show up on the big stage. I expect nothing less as they move the ball with ease against the Domers. Weis returns to the hotseat after the loss as it only permits 1 more before the BCS hopes are gone. USC: 34--ND: 24
#4 Virginia Tech vs. #19 Georgia Tech
Gomer: So far this season the Ramblin' Wreck have been my almost "auto-pick" I really like what Paul Johnson has done in a short time in Atlanta, making NCAA FB relevant when they have NFL, NHL, NBA, and MLB teams to contend with, big time kudos. This is no slam on the career that Beamer has had in Blacksburg, where there is almost a cult-like following for the Hokies. I don't believe in VT QB Tyrod Taylor, Beamer says he's like Vick.... I don't agree. That being said, I don't really believe in GT QB Josh Nesbitt, who helped nearly giveaway the early season win against Clemson. VT's defense is good, but GT's offense is prone to confuse even the best defensive mind and will help put the Hokies down in a sizeable upset. VT: 24--GT: 28
Chief: Probably the most important game in the ACC this year. I picked GT to win the conference this year, but that early season loss to the U really hurts now. While the Jacket offense woke up last week (at the worst possible time), the defense went to sleep. One thing about VT is that they are coming into their own. The defense is shutting teams down cold and Tyrod Taylor is becoming a bit of a QB. The Duke game was spotty, but the Hokies dominated BC. Bobby Dodd stadium is not the most imposing place to play. While the GT option will confuse the Hokie defense, VT will post enough points to escape. One key defensive play by the Hokies will be the difference in a barn burner. VT: 23--GT: 21
#7 Ohio State vs. Purdue
Gomer: The OSU offense proved last week that they are being run by a monkey in the back room. They were unimpressive, uninspired, just plain bad. No credit should be given to the Wisconsin defense who ranked in the lower half of the NCAA prior to facing the Bucks. Thankfull Purdue's offense has been bad too, but mostly because they have butterfingers, they average 2+ TO's per game! There will be a large Buckeye contingent on hand that should help push the Bucks over the top. Not to mention, the Buckeye's performance on the Road vs. Home has been night and day, where on the road they are about to match a Big Ten record for consecutive road victories. OSU: 38--PU: 14
Chief: Ahhhhh... After what can only be termed as an absolute clinic defensively and an absolute tragedy offensively vs. Wisconsin, OSU enters a bye week....what? We have a game? Purdue comes in with their lone win over Toledo in a shootout (yes the same Toledo that the Bucks shutout). Purdue has shown some offense with their RB Ralph Bolden, but they haven't seen a defense like the Bullets. Their defense is just what the doctor ordered for Pryor to learn to go through his progressions (his current progression is 1. Posey, 2. Posey, 3. Posey, return to 1). Joe Daniels (OSU QB coach) needs to start getting Pryor to show some improvement or it's time to move on (coaching wise). Bucks win big and keep chugging before the epic schedule to end the season. OSU: 38--PU: 10
#11 Iowa vs. Wisconsin Gomer: Iowa Chief: UW
Arkansas vs. #1 Florida Gomer: UF Chief: UF (closer than the experts think)
Minnesota vs. #14 Penn State Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
Texas Tech vs. #15 Nebraska Gomer: Nebraska Chief: Nebraska
#22 South Carolina vs. #2 Alabama Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama (closer than the experts think)
Missouri vs. #16 Oklahoma State Gomer: Okie State Chief: OkState
Chief: Probably the most important game in the ACC this year. I picked GT to win the conference this year, but that early season loss to the U really hurts now. While the Jacket offense woke up last week (at the worst possible time), the defense went to sleep. One thing about VT is that they are coming into their own. The defense is shutting teams down cold and Tyrod Taylor is becoming a bit of a QB. The Duke game was spotty, but the Hokies dominated BC. Bobby Dodd stadium is not the most imposing place to play. While the GT option will confuse the Hokie defense, VT will post enough points to escape. One key defensive play by the Hokies will be the difference in a barn burner. VT: 23--GT: 21
#7 Ohio State vs. Purdue
Gomer: The OSU offense proved last week that they are being run by a monkey in the back room. They were unimpressive, uninspired, just plain bad. No credit should be given to the Wisconsin defense who ranked in the lower half of the NCAA prior to facing the Bucks. Thankfull Purdue's offense has been bad too, but mostly because they have butterfingers, they average 2+ TO's per game! There will be a large Buckeye contingent on hand that should help push the Bucks over the top. Not to mention, the Buckeye's performance on the Road vs. Home has been night and day, where on the road they are about to match a Big Ten record for consecutive road victories. OSU: 38--PU: 14
Chief: Ahhhhh... After what can only be termed as an absolute clinic defensively and an absolute tragedy offensively vs. Wisconsin, OSU enters a bye week....what? We have a game? Purdue comes in with their lone win over Toledo in a shootout (yes the same Toledo that the Bucks shutout). Purdue has shown some offense with their RB Ralph Bolden, but they haven't seen a defense like the Bullets. Their defense is just what the doctor ordered for Pryor to learn to go through his progressions (his current progression is 1. Posey, 2. Posey, 3. Posey, return to 1). Joe Daniels (OSU QB coach) needs to start getting Pryor to show some improvement or it's time to move on (coaching wise). Bucks win big and keep chugging before the epic schedule to end the season. OSU: 38--PU: 10
#11 Iowa vs. Wisconsin Gomer: Iowa Chief: UW
Arkansas vs. #1 Florida Gomer: UF Chief: UF (closer than the experts think)
Minnesota vs. #14 Penn State Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
Texas Tech vs. #15 Nebraska Gomer: Nebraska Chief: Nebraska
#22 South Carolina vs. #2 Alabama Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama (closer than the experts think)
Missouri vs. #16 Oklahoma State Gomer: Okie State Chief: OkState
Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Week 6 - Midway Already
Nebraska vs. Missouri
Gomer: A rare Thursday night game featuring the Big 12 Conference. It also works out that this is the opening of the conference slate for both the Huskers and Tigers. Last year the Tigers absolutely destroyed the Huskers in Lincoln by a score of 52-17 and was the most that Missouri had scored against Nebraska since 1943! Mizzou has been a team to come up and surprise some good competition so far this season and has really flown under the radar. Nebraska had very high expectations (you are in Bo Pelini Land after all) and faltered in the final seconds in Blacksburg... losing on a last second decision can destroy a team's confidence. With the Huskers weak schedule so far and Missouri's surprising start, I look for the Tigers to win this one and set up a HUGE two weeks when they travel to Oklahoma State and host the Longhorns. NU: 17--MU: 22
Chief: A very interesting game that no one cares about. Mizzou is a surprising 4-0 after losing a bunch of talent last year. The Huskers are a 4th down pass in Blacksburg from being 4-0. Blaine Gabbert has been sensational for the Tigers but Nebraska is a solid defensive team (putting other teams deep into Bo Pelini land). Missouri took it to Nebraska last year in Lincoln, but I think this is where the buck stops for the Tigers. I don't know a lot about these teams, but I think the Huskers steal this one in Columbia. Neb: 25--Mizzou: 21
Michigan vs. Iowa
Gomer: Michigan reminded us all last week how far they've come... or not. They struggled on offense until late when Tate Forcier was forced to pass and they were able to tie it up against rival MSU, but lost in OT. Iowa has had a very strong start, most notably the much bigger than expected win at Penn State. This is a night game at Kinnick and the place should be rockin'. While the Hawks have lost three straight conference home openers, that trend reverses on Saturday. Don't be surprised if Michigan is in this til the very end. UM: 23--UI: 34
Chief: Now that Penn State lost, the obvious favorite in the Big 10 is Iowa (who needs to worry about the 4 time defending champ...). Everyone has jumped on the Hawkeye bandwagon and leapt off the Wolverines after the OT loss last week. Iowa is the standard team to play down to the competition (as seen last week). Everyone slobbers over their defense, but PSU's offense isn't that great. UM does have a good offense and will score. The way to beat the Wolverines is to slow them down, but still score on their awful defense. I don't think Iowa can score enough points. Time for another upset so people can leap back on the Michigan bandwagon. UM: 27--UI: 20
Florida vs. LSU
Gomer: Will He play? Yes. How effective will He be? That is the million dollar question. Frankly, I don't know the true extent of Tebow's concussion, only the doctors, family, and coaching staff, do and that is a card that's being held tightly to the chest. If it is anywhere near dangerous to play him, not only would that be terribly inconsiderate of "Corch Orban Meyers" but greatly jeopardize Tebow's already limited potential in the NFL. I will stand by my statement that LSU is really not that good, but then again, they keep winning. The Mad-hatters will be looking to avenge last year's 30 point loss in the Swamp but they don't have the horses. Interesting fact: Florida has lost to an SEC West team every year since 1999. UF: 38--LSU: 24
Chief: Going into the season, I had the Tigers at home taking down the champs. Now that I've seen the Bayou Bengals, I realize that they aren't very good. They struggled to put up points against an overrated UGA defense and while their defense is ok, it's not going to be enough. Everyone is focused on Tim Tebow. I think it might actually hurt the Gators if he plays because he can't jump back on the horse in a hard hitting game. The doctor's should hold him out and I believe they will--Meyer is just playing mind games with "the Hat". The only hope for the Tigers is the crowd rattling Brantley...which they will for a few picks, but it won't be enough. I hate them so much so I hope this pick is wrong. UF: 34--LSU: 24
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State
Gomer: Believe it or not, the Bucks MUST beat the Badgers. The Badgers run a rough little gauntlet of @ OSU followed up with a home date with the Hawkeyes, and while Wisconsin has made it to 5-0 by the skin of its teeth, the Bucks still need a win here to clinch an all important tie breaker over a team that could finish with just one loss. Much like the Buckeyes, the Badgers are a very balanced team on offense putting up just over 1000 yards on the ground and through the air so far this season. The balance has led the Badgers to a 11th ranked offense overall (Buckeyes ranked 54th). The balance shifts when you look at the defenses, the Buckeyes come in ranked 9th overall and the Badgers are somewhere out of the top 50 (website I usually use is down). Overall I expect a tight game where both coaches want to run the ball a lot. It will come down to which team makes the big turnover happen first. The Badgers could very well win this one, but the Buckeyes are too talented at all positions to let that happen. UW: 20--OSU: 31
Chief: No one mentions it, but the Bucks keep rolling. Yes the opponents have been bad, but IU put up 33 against UM on the road and was held to 14--(7 in the first 59:57) by the Bullets. The defense showed some chinks last week, but I think they'll shore it up in the Shoe. I like Pryor starting to run, but some passes flew over some wide open receivers--can't happen. The Badgers are surprisingly balanced this year but the Bucks will make them 1-dimensional (I don't think Tolzien can throw on us--so long as we cover the TE). John Clay is a great back, but the Bucks D-Line is special. Look for tOSU to stuff Wisconsin and put up plenty of points with Saine showing why he should start. UW: 13--OSU: 27
Auburn vs. Arkansas: Gomer: R-Kansas Chief: Arkansas
Alabama vs. Mississippi: Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama
Georgia Tech vs. Florida State: Gomer: GT Chief: FSU (have to go with the alma mater)
Purdue vs. Minnesota: Gomer: UM Chief: UM
Gomer: A rare Thursday night game featuring the Big 12 Conference. It also works out that this is the opening of the conference slate for both the Huskers and Tigers. Last year the Tigers absolutely destroyed the Huskers in Lincoln by a score of 52-17 and was the most that Missouri had scored against Nebraska since 1943! Mizzou has been a team to come up and surprise some good competition so far this season and has really flown under the radar. Nebraska had very high expectations (you are in Bo Pelini Land after all) and faltered in the final seconds in Blacksburg... losing on a last second decision can destroy a team's confidence. With the Huskers weak schedule so far and Missouri's surprising start, I look for the Tigers to win this one and set up a HUGE two weeks when they travel to Oklahoma State and host the Longhorns. NU: 17--MU: 22
Chief: A very interesting game that no one cares about. Mizzou is a surprising 4-0 after losing a bunch of talent last year. The Huskers are a 4th down pass in Blacksburg from being 4-0. Blaine Gabbert has been sensational for the Tigers but Nebraska is a solid defensive team (putting other teams deep into Bo Pelini land). Missouri took it to Nebraska last year in Lincoln, but I think this is where the buck stops for the Tigers. I don't know a lot about these teams, but I think the Huskers steal this one in Columbia. Neb: 25--Mizzou: 21
Michigan vs. Iowa
Gomer: Michigan reminded us all last week how far they've come... or not. They struggled on offense until late when Tate Forcier was forced to pass and they were able to tie it up against rival MSU, but lost in OT. Iowa has had a very strong start, most notably the much bigger than expected win at Penn State. This is a night game at Kinnick and the place should be rockin'. While the Hawks have lost three straight conference home openers, that trend reverses on Saturday. Don't be surprised if Michigan is in this til the very end. UM: 23--UI: 34
Chief: Now that Penn State lost, the obvious favorite in the Big 10 is Iowa (who needs to worry about the 4 time defending champ...). Everyone has jumped on the Hawkeye bandwagon and leapt off the Wolverines after the OT loss last week. Iowa is the standard team to play down to the competition (as seen last week). Everyone slobbers over their defense, but PSU's offense isn't that great. UM does have a good offense and will score. The way to beat the Wolverines is to slow them down, but still score on their awful defense. I don't think Iowa can score enough points. Time for another upset so people can leap back on the Michigan bandwagon. UM: 27--UI: 20
Florida vs. LSU
Gomer: Will He play? Yes. How effective will He be? That is the million dollar question. Frankly, I don't know the true extent of Tebow's concussion, only the doctors, family, and coaching staff, do and that is a card that's being held tightly to the chest. If it is anywhere near dangerous to play him, not only would that be terribly inconsiderate of "Corch Orban Meyers" but greatly jeopardize Tebow's already limited potential in the NFL. I will stand by my statement that LSU is really not that good, but then again, they keep winning. The Mad-hatters will be looking to avenge last year's 30 point loss in the Swamp but they don't have the horses. Interesting fact: Florida has lost to an SEC West team every year since 1999. UF: 38--LSU: 24
Chief: Going into the season, I had the Tigers at home taking down the champs. Now that I've seen the Bayou Bengals, I realize that they aren't very good. They struggled to put up points against an overrated UGA defense and while their defense is ok, it's not going to be enough. Everyone is focused on Tim Tebow. I think it might actually hurt the Gators if he plays because he can't jump back on the horse in a hard hitting game. The doctor's should hold him out and I believe they will--Meyer is just playing mind games with "the Hat". The only hope for the Tigers is the crowd rattling Brantley...which they will for a few picks, but it won't be enough. I hate them so much so I hope this pick is wrong. UF: 34--LSU: 24
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State
Gomer: Believe it or not, the Bucks MUST beat the Badgers. The Badgers run a rough little gauntlet of @ OSU followed up with a home date with the Hawkeyes, and while Wisconsin has made it to 5-0 by the skin of its teeth, the Bucks still need a win here to clinch an all important tie breaker over a team that could finish with just one loss. Much like the Buckeyes, the Badgers are a very balanced team on offense putting up just over 1000 yards on the ground and through the air so far this season. The balance has led the Badgers to a 11th ranked offense overall (Buckeyes ranked 54th). The balance shifts when you look at the defenses, the Buckeyes come in ranked 9th overall and the Badgers are somewhere out of the top 50 (website I usually use is down). Overall I expect a tight game where both coaches want to run the ball a lot. It will come down to which team makes the big turnover happen first. The Badgers could very well win this one, but the Buckeyes are too talented at all positions to let that happen. UW: 20--OSU: 31
Chief: No one mentions it, but the Bucks keep rolling. Yes the opponents have been bad, but IU put up 33 against UM on the road and was held to 14--(7 in the first 59:57) by the Bullets. The defense showed some chinks last week, but I think they'll shore it up in the Shoe. I like Pryor starting to run, but some passes flew over some wide open receivers--can't happen. The Badgers are surprisingly balanced this year but the Bucks will make them 1-dimensional (I don't think Tolzien can throw on us--so long as we cover the TE). John Clay is a great back, but the Bucks D-Line is special. Look for tOSU to stuff Wisconsin and put up plenty of points with Saine showing why he should start. UW: 13--OSU: 27
Auburn vs. Arkansas: Gomer: R-Kansas Chief: Arkansas
Alabama vs. Mississippi: Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama
Georgia Tech vs. Florida State: Gomer: GT Chief: FSU (have to go with the alma mater)
Purdue vs. Minnesota: Gomer: UM Chief: UM
Sunday, October 04, 2009
Draper Index Rankings Post Week 5
This is the inaugural post of my top 25 computer rankings. For those who don't know, I created a computer rankings designed to mirror the BCS in 2001. Since it's inception, I have correctly picked the National Title contenders in 7 of the 8 years and usually all but maybe 1 BCS team are in the top 10--not counting conference champion squeakers. The rankings have some flaws for sure, but I like what I'm seeing now. Again, these rankings are meant to 'predict' the BCS, not necessarily pick the best team (although it's a pretty good metric). The rankings are based on win/loss, strength of team played when they played, and margin of victory (capped at 21). This is a barebones explanation so if you're interested in more explanation, let me know.
Top 25: Draper Index
1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. USC
5. LSU
6. Boise State
7. Cincinnati
8. Oregon
9. Ohio State
10. Virginia Tech
11. Iowa
12. Georgia
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. BYU
16. Auburn
17. Utah
18. Wisconsin
19. Penn State
20. Georgia Tech
21. Oklahoma
22. USF
23. Boston College
24. Kansas
25. Miami (FL)
Top 25: Draper Index
1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. USC
5. LSU
6. Boise State
7. Cincinnati
8. Oregon
9. Ohio State
10. Virginia Tech
11. Iowa
12. Georgia
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. BYU
16. Auburn
17. Utah
18. Wisconsin
19. Penn State
20. Georgia Tech
21. Oklahoma
22. USF
23. Boston College
24. Kansas
25. Miami (FL)
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Week 5 - Nothin' Doin'
LSU vs. Georgia
Gomer: Of today's top 5 rankings, I believe that the fightin' Les Miles may be the most overrated of the real teams (Boise isn't a big boy, sorry). They narrowly escaped with a victory on their visit to the West coast, and from what I've seen, have been sloppy all around. UGA on the other hand, took a beating in the opener but have looked better ever since. I don't know what to make of their defense however, which I believe is their strong point, giving up 37 to SCAR is a little scary really. I think UGA wins this because of the home field advantage and the Mad Hatter's inexperienced QB. LSU: 23--UGA: 34
Chief: Last week saw both of these teams squeak by inferior opponents by the hair of their chinny chin chins. LSU needed a late punt return and goaline stand against Miss State (how do you not score on 4 plays from the foot line?) and UGA kicked a FG against ASU as time expired in nasty weather. This game has look ahead all over it for LSU. With a banged up UF coming to Baton Rouge next week, Les Miles' Bayou Bengals will be focused on taking down the champs. Joe Cox has been sensational for the Dawgs (in nice weather) even though the defense is suspect. This might hinge on the weather as the UGA offense was questionable in the rain. I like UGA in a shootout. LSU: 35--UGA: 41
USC vs. California
USC vs. California
Gomer: The Trojans have certainly slumped since coming off of the victory in Columbus. While Barkley has been injured, they just don't seem to be the same team. Now it seems the tables have turned on the boys of LA with Stafon Johnson's horrible accident and a loss to lowly Washington. The Bears have lost 5 straight to the Trojans and look to get off the schnide after last week's debacle against Oregon. With the pressure on the Trojans to keep pace in conference with STANFORD (yes Stanford), the real USC is back while the Bears slump continues. USC: 48--Cal: 31
Chief: Let's face it. Cal was embarassed last week. Caught looking ahead with their pants down, they were spanked by Oregon. Let's try to forget week 1 and realize that Oregon is a heck of a team. Most teams see winning their conference as the in year goal but for teams in the Pac 10, it all comes down to SC. The loss to the Ducks might end National Title hopes, but beating the Trojans heals all wounds. The tragic loss of Stafon Johnson had to distract Carroll's boys this week (who wouldn't be distracted?), and the drubbing last week only focused Cal's eyes on the one remaining prize: taking down the champ. I think the Bears take it reminiscent of 2003 3OT thriller. USC: 20--Cal:21
Oklahoma vs. Miami
Oklahoma vs. Miami
Gomer: The game that was supposed to be the "be all end all" then BYU and Virginia Tech had to get in the way of what would have been a ratings monster for ESPNABCSECDISNEY. The Sooners have turned on the D after the loss to the Cougars and it couldn't have come at a better time, after losing Heisman Trophy Winner Sam Bradford! Miami has surprised everyone to this point except for the Hokies who were able to expose weaknesses for The U. Jacory Harris is a really good QB, but if he is not protected, he will not be walking off the field Saturday night. This game could really go either way and will launch the winner back into the National Title picture. OU: 28--UM: 30
Chief: Sweet validation. Welcome to real life Miami. Going into the season, I actually picked the U to upset an undefeated Sooner team. Now that Miami has surged as the darling (even after the embarassment last week) and OU saw their Heisman winner crash and burn in a week 1 loss, I'm flipping. Even without Bradford, I think the Sooners have something to prove and beat Miami with solid defense. VT exposed the Canes last week and OU will continue the trend. Jacory Harris said he "refuses to lose". Oops...here comes number 2 at home. OU: 24--UM: 13
Ohio State vs. Indiana
Ohio State vs. Indiana
Gomer: Simply put, Illinois and Toledo really, really suck. Fortunately, so do the Hoosiers. This game should be pretty straightforward and simple, meaning, the Bucks get ahead early and cruise with the defense continuing to get the credit it deserves. Indiana only scares people because they almost beat Michigan, but consider that Michigan's D isn't the best in the world. That makes me think about this: when comparing OSU and Michigan, which gets better and "clicks" first? OSU's offense or Michigan's defense? Both have been inconsistent and faced suspect competition. We shall see. OSU: 31--IU: 7
Chief: Bullets keep firing. Back-t0-back shut outs for the first time since 1996 against two pretty good offenses. The OSU offense is still a little shaky, but the O-Line showed a little life as we got a ground game started last week. Pryor isn't there, but he's slowly moving that way. IU got completely screwed by an awful call to end the game vs. UM last week (this is coming from a licensed official) to take away one of the biggest wins in program history. The Hoosiers have improved but are very inconsistant. Look for the Buck D to continue to hold serve (even without Kurt Coleman who was unfairly suspended for playing football by the Big 10) and the offense to play well enough to win convincingly. Saine gets his first start and makes it count with 100+ and 2 TDs. OSU: 37--IU: 3
Penn State vs. Illinois: Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
UCLA vs. Stanford: Gomer: UCLA Chief: Stanford
Texas A&M vs. Arkansas: Gomer: TAMU Chief: Ark
Auburn vs. Tennessee: Gomer: UT Chief: Aub
Michigan vs. Michigan State: Gomer: UM Chief: MSU
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota: Gomer: UW Chief: Minn
Penn State vs. Illinois: Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU
UCLA vs. Stanford: Gomer: UCLA Chief: Stanford
Texas A&M vs. Arkansas: Gomer: TAMU Chief: Ark
Auburn vs. Tennessee: Gomer: UT Chief: Aub
Michigan vs. Michigan State: Gomer: UM Chief: MSU
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota: Gomer: UW Chief: Minn
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Week 4 - Big Ten Football
Ole Miss vs. South Carolina
GOMER: The Gamecocks seem to be the year in, year out, team that always disappoints. With Spurrier as the coach everyone's expectations were extremely high, and they haven't gotten much of they expected. Tonight I think they do. Ole Miss has 16 returning starters but looked shaky in a blowout of Memphis, yes that sounds funny, but they struggled to pull away from a bad team. Jevan Snead is good, but not great, the SC defense is all around outstanding and should be able to take care of business at home and at night. Ole Miss: 17--USC: 21
CHIEF: Ole Miss was the sexy pick in the SEC this year as the return a sizeable portion of the only team to defeat UF last year. The Rebels have been revived by Houston Nutt and Jevon Snead is one of the best pro prospects in the league. Their schedule is spongy soft as all the tough teams in the SEC West come to Oxford and they miss the Gators this year. This is why this is a perfect reason why they'll drop this one to the Gamecocks. I thought I'd be the only one picking this upset, but apparently it's rampant. The Cocks are tough at home and have shown that they can score (against UGA) and play defense (against NCState). Tonight, they put it together and stun the number 4 team in the country. OleMiss: 24--USC: 34
California vs. Oregon
Gomer: Frankly I don't think Oregon is very good, the same reasoning could be said for arguing against the Cal Bears. Oregon was looked at to me a high-flying offense with lots of power, and they've come out of the rut after the clunker against the Smurf Turf Boys. Cal's offense has been nearly unstoppable, considering they have the most talented RB in the land (Jahvid Best) they better be unstoppable. The underrated aspect of Cal is their defense, while they allowed 21 points at Minnesota last weekend, they have come up big when necessary. The Bears will win this surprisingly good game. Cal: 31--UO: 27
Chief: I believed this would be a telling game for the Pac 10 that would determine a likely champion. Oregon may have lost Blount and been embarassed in week one, but they'll bounce back. Going to Autzen is a tall order for any team, but the loss of Blount is going to be just enough for Riley to overcome the Ducks. UO will load the box to slow Jahvid Best, and even though he'll get his yards, he won't win the game. The game rides on the Bear's QB. Tedford's QBs are always solid once they mature and this will be his defining moment (before the SC game). Big road win by a hair to keep the Best Heisman candidacy alive. Cal: 38--UO:31
Miami vs. Virginia Tech
Gomer: So far Miami has proven themselves on the road at FSU and against the triple option attack of GT. Jacory Harris has been the pleasant surprise of the season thus far helping to lead the Hurricanes when they need it most. Virginia Tech was controlled and subdued against the Crimson Tide and needed last second heroics to come out on top against Nebraska. Really, I'm not impressed with VT, Tyrod Taylor has not been the QB the Hokies have needed. I think this is when Miami asserts its control over the ACC Coastal division and takes another big step towards the BCS Championship Game. UM: 19--VT: 13
Chief: Miami has rocketed to the top of many polls with their electric 2-0 start. I expected them explode out of the gate, but they're very quickly being blown into the next great thing. While VT has been unimpressive to say the least, I think they bring the Canes down to earth. Let's not forget that the Canes are one dropped pass from being 1-1 and an also-ran. The Cane defense will hold a mediocre Hokie squad under wraps, but Jacory Harris shows some chinks and his youth by committing a few key turnovers. I just can't bring myself to pick the Canes. F-the U. UM: 17--VT: 20
Chief: Miami has rocketed to the top of many polls with their electric 2-0 start. I expected them explode out of the gate, but they're very quickly being blown into the next great thing. While VT has been unimpressive to say the least, I think they bring the Canes down to earth. Let's not forget that the Canes are one dropped pass from being 1-1 and an also-ran. The Cane defense will hold a mediocre Hokie squad under wraps, but Jacory Harris shows some chinks and his youth by committing a few key turnovers. I just can't bring myself to pick the Canes. F-the U. UM: 17--VT: 20
Illinois vs. Ohio State
Gomer: We looked good last week, without a doubt. There are still some serious lingering issues though. When is TP going to become the QB we all have expected and looked for the last year? His bone-headed picks blow my mind, but the Silver Bullets have done an outstanding job helping the turnover's not destroy the Bucks chances each game. If you think I'm just going after Pryor, he's thrown 4 TD's and 4 INT's this season (at least 1 per game) whereas last season he threw 4 INT's ALL SEASON. I believe in the Buckeye D, and if they are successful stopping Juice Williams and Daniel Dufrene this year, I will officially be sold on them. I expect to be investing in the OSU Defense this week. UI: 18--OSU: 33
Chief: Not a lot to say here. The Buckeyes exploded last week as I expected. No carryover from the painful loss. Time to move forward and they did in a big way. I don't take a lot of information out of the offense as Toledo's defense is atrocious, but the Bullets completely shackled the number 1 offense in the nation and pitched the shutout. Because the Illini don't have their main guys healthy (like Benn), I don't think they can score enough on this defense to make a difference. Time for Pryor to continue to mature and learn that running is OK. The line can't block for the backs, but Pryor can still run. A few questionable throws last week, but the defense wins this one. Hey, Jimmy T realized the QB sneak is legal last week!! So we got that going for us. UI: 10--OSU: 31
Chief: Not a lot to say here. The Buckeyes exploded last week as I expected. No carryover from the painful loss. Time to move forward and they did in a big way. I don't take a lot of information out of the offense as Toledo's defense is atrocious, but the Bullets completely shackled the number 1 offense in the nation and pitched the shutout. Because the Illini don't have their main guys healthy (like Benn), I don't think they can score enough on this defense to make a difference. Time for Pryor to continue to mature and learn that running is OK. The line can't block for the backs, but Pryor can still run. A few questionable throws last week, but the defense wins this one. Hey, Jimmy T realized the QB sneak is legal last week!! So we got that going for us. UI: 10--OSU: 31
Missouri vs. Nevada: Gomer: Mizzou Chief: Mizzou
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech: Gomer: GT Chief: GT
Indiana vs. Michigan: Gomer: UM Chief: UM
TCU vs. Clemson Gomer: Clem Chief: Clem
Pittsburgh vs. NC State Gomer: Pitt Chief:Pitt
Arizona State vs. Georgia Gomer: UGA Chief: UGA
Iowa vs. Penn State Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU (close)
Notre Dame vs. Purdue Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Texas Tech vs. Houston Gomer: TT Chief: TT(by a hair--could be the best game of the weekend)
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech: Gomer: GT Chief: GT
Indiana vs. Michigan: Gomer: UM Chief: UM
TCU vs. Clemson Gomer: Clem Chief: Clem
Pittsburgh vs. NC State Gomer: Pitt Chief:Pitt
Arizona State vs. Georgia Gomer: UGA Chief: UGA
Iowa vs. Penn State Gomer: PSU Chief: PSU (close)
Notre Dame vs. Purdue Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Week 3 - The Long and Winding Road
Georgia Tech vs. Miami
Gomer: Georgia Tech has won the last 4 meetings of these two ACC contenders and both teams have a real chance to take a firm grasp on the Division lead. GT is coming off a Thursday night thriller where the Yellow Jackets blew a huge lead in momentum and score to let Clemson retake the lead, only to escape with a win in the end. The Hurricanes have been able to rest and recover since the slugfest with the Seminoles on Labor Day night. I really like both of these teams as sleepers to make their way to the BCS National Championship game, and from what I've seen I have a hard time deciding which has the better defense. I trust Paul Johnson's coaching ability a little more than Randy Shannon's and I'll look for the option attack to manage the game and escape Miami with a win. GT: 24--UM: 20
Chief: This is the toughest game of the week to pick. Miami looked very good against FSU, but FSU seemed inept the following week against lowly Jacksonville State. I believe Jacory Harris will show up in this game, but I have to keep riding the Jacket wagon. The U requested this game to be on a Thursday to 'pay the Jackets back' for last years loss, but GT's option was unstoppable vs. Miami last year. Many say that Miami will work to stop the run exclusively, unfortunately, that's easier said than done. Nesbitt/Dwyer outscore Harris/Cooper in a photo finish. GT: 31--UM:30
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Toledo Rockets
Gomer: The Bucks could be in for a real big emotional let down this week. I don't need to re-hash the offensive struggles from last week's heart-breaker, but if the Terrelle Pryor led offense isn't clicking, the Bucks will still win, but it could mean bad news bears down the road in the Big Ten. The other worry here is that the Rockets could expose some sort of weakness in the pass defense, because they will move the ball, but it will be a matter of when the Bucks force a turnover or other big defensive stop. Toledo won't be out of the game until late unless the Bucks come up with some early quick strikes, it'll be a better game than anyone expects. OSU: 39--UT: 20
Chief: After throwing all they had emotionally, physically, and mentally against the Trojans and coming up short (due to horrendous playcalling), the Bucks look to rebound against a surprising Toledo Rocket team. The Silver Bullets returned last week and I believe are here to stay. This is a major turning point game for the season...lie down and take it or stand and fight. I believe the Buckeyes have too much pride to quit now. I saw the pride last week and I think they fire out of the gate this week. Toledo smashed Colorado and put some points up on Purdue (while giving up a ton). OSU will put the hammer down in this one early. At first, I thought the letdown would keep it close, but the pride of the Buckeyes will not allow a fallback. Bucks continue to roll against Ohio teams. OSU: 41--UT: 10
Other games...
Boise State vs. Fresno State: Gomer: Boise Chief: Boise
USC vs. Washington: Gomer: USC Chief: USC
Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Arizona vs. Iowa: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa (close)
Navy vs. Pittsburgh: Gomer: Pitt Chief: Navy
Northwestern vs. Syracuse: Gomer: Syr Chief: NW
Texas Tech vs. Texas: Gomer: UT Chief: UT (BIG)
Gomer: Georgia Tech has won the last 4 meetings of these two ACC contenders and both teams have a real chance to take a firm grasp on the Division lead. GT is coming off a Thursday night thriller where the Yellow Jackets blew a huge lead in momentum and score to let Clemson retake the lead, only to escape with a win in the end. The Hurricanes have been able to rest and recover since the slugfest with the Seminoles on Labor Day night. I really like both of these teams as sleepers to make their way to the BCS National Championship game, and from what I've seen I have a hard time deciding which has the better defense. I trust Paul Johnson's coaching ability a little more than Randy Shannon's and I'll look for the option attack to manage the game and escape Miami with a win. GT: 24--UM: 20
Chief: This is the toughest game of the week to pick. Miami looked very good against FSU, but FSU seemed inept the following week against lowly Jacksonville State. I believe Jacory Harris will show up in this game, but I have to keep riding the Jacket wagon. The U requested this game to be on a Thursday to 'pay the Jackets back' for last years loss, but GT's option was unstoppable vs. Miami last year. Many say that Miami will work to stop the run exclusively, unfortunately, that's easier said than done. Nesbitt/Dwyer outscore Harris/Cooper in a photo finish. GT: 31--UM:30
Nebraska vs. Virginia Tech
Gomer: Too bad this isn't a night game, because this would be worth the trip to Blacksburg on a weekend lacking a premiere match-up. A night game is a must-see when the VT faithful get jacked up and they definitely will be for this game trying to make amends in the national spotlight for the game they had against Alabama. This will be Nebraska's Quarterback's first road start and that could spell bad news for the Huskers. Tech will roll in this one with conference pride helping push them to a strong showing for the natives. UN: 20--VT: 42
Chief: Beamer looks to bring his team back to the national stage after dropping a close one to Bama in the opener (closer than the score would seem). VT has a stellar ground game, but very little passing game. I don't think that will hurt them this weekend. The Hokies will rely on the defense and Tyrod Taylor's running ability to take care of the Huskers in Blacksburg. While the Cornhuskers are certainly improving following the Bill Callahan era, they're not there yet. The Hokies keep the Huskers in Bo Pelini land as they roll to victory. UN: 16--VT: 34
Gomer: Too bad this isn't a night game, because this would be worth the trip to Blacksburg on a weekend lacking a premiere match-up. A night game is a must-see when the VT faithful get jacked up and they definitely will be for this game trying to make amends in the national spotlight for the game they had against Alabama. This will be Nebraska's Quarterback's first road start and that could spell bad news for the Huskers. Tech will roll in this one with conference pride helping push them to a strong showing for the natives. UN: 20--VT: 42
Chief: Beamer looks to bring his team back to the national stage after dropping a close one to Bama in the opener (closer than the score would seem). VT has a stellar ground game, but very little passing game. I don't think that will hurt them this weekend. The Hokies will rely on the defense and Tyrod Taylor's running ability to take care of the Huskers in Blacksburg. While the Cornhuskers are certainly improving following the Bill Callahan era, they're not there yet. The Hokies keep the Huskers in Bo Pelini land as they roll to victory. UN: 16--VT: 34
Florida State vs. Brigham Young
Gomer: The once proud Seminoles were to be on the upward swing this season, but the offense has been inconsistent at best making me seriously question the hiring of "coach-in-waiting" Jimbo Fisher. I would definitely prefer to see FSU get the win here, but the defensive pressure the Cougars bring will be too much for Christian Ponder and the 18-game home win streak for BYU will prove too much in their home opener. FSU: 14--BYU: 31
Chief: Oh my Noles... They looked very sharp (not perfect) against a very underrated UM squad on Labor Day only to struggle with garbage on Saturday. Perhaps it was the lull game between the two huge games. I think the Noles show up to fight here, but Max Hall led BYU has certainly been firing on all cylinders lately. I don't think BYU beats OU with Bradford, but it's still very close. They rolled last week, but it's time for the midmajor to show they're a midmajor--can they handle the pressure of success. The Noles wake up and take care of business. Ponder breaks out and leads the Noles to steal one over Mendenhall and the Cougs in a close one. FSU: 31--BYU: 30
Cincinnati vs. Oregon State
Gomer: So far this season Cincinnati has been unstoppable destroying Rutgers and I-AA Opponent SE Missouri State. On the other side of the ball Oregon State has looked average beating up on Portland State and scraping by at UNLV. Both teams are young, but the key to this game will be the location... very very far away from southwestern Ohio. Cincy has lost their last 6 road games to non-conference BCS schools by an average of 21ppg. Another interesting stat: in the 2nd home game the Beavers have come up BIG, they have won 4 straight 2nd home games with an average score of 39-14... yes that does look like some stupid random stat, but I'll tell you why its important, 2 of the 4 victories have come against USC and Boise State, got your attention now? This might be the most underrated game of the weekend. UC: 29--OSU: 33
Gomer: The once proud Seminoles were to be on the upward swing this season, but the offense has been inconsistent at best making me seriously question the hiring of "coach-in-waiting" Jimbo Fisher. I would definitely prefer to see FSU get the win here, but the defensive pressure the Cougars bring will be too much for Christian Ponder and the 18-game home win streak for BYU will prove too much in their home opener. FSU: 14--BYU: 31
Chief: Oh my Noles... They looked very sharp (not perfect) against a very underrated UM squad on Labor Day only to struggle with garbage on Saturday. Perhaps it was the lull game between the two huge games. I think the Noles show up to fight here, but Max Hall led BYU has certainly been firing on all cylinders lately. I don't think BYU beats OU with Bradford, but it's still very close. They rolled last week, but it's time for the midmajor to show they're a midmajor--can they handle the pressure of success. The Noles wake up and take care of business. Ponder breaks out and leads the Noles to steal one over Mendenhall and the Cougs in a close one. FSU: 31--BYU: 30
Cincinnati vs. Oregon State
Gomer: So far this season Cincinnati has been unstoppable destroying Rutgers and I-AA Opponent SE Missouri State. On the other side of the ball Oregon State has looked average beating up on Portland State and scraping by at UNLV. Both teams are young, but the key to this game will be the location... very very far away from southwestern Ohio. Cincy has lost their last 6 road games to non-conference BCS schools by an average of 21ppg. Another interesting stat: in the 2nd home game the Beavers have come up BIG, they have won 4 straight 2nd home games with an average score of 39-14... yes that does look like some stupid random stat, but I'll tell you why its important, 2 of the 4 victories have come against USC and Boise State, got your attention now? This might be the most underrated game of the weekend. UC: 29--OSU: 33
Chief: UC has looked phenomenal in their quick start (granted against questionable competition--but that's their whole schedule in the Big East). The Beavers have always played well at home but Jacquizz is a little banged up. The last time I saw the Beavers, they were in the biggest snoozer of a bowl game ever (3-0 victory in the Sun Bowl). Lyle Moevao and the Rodgers brothers are very good, but I think Tony Pike and the Bearcats continue their run. Two teams with little to no defense but a heck of a lot of offense. Ohio's only Orange Bowl losing team comes away victorious. UC: 42--OSU: 38
Tennessee vs. Florida
Gomer: I would peg this game as highest potential to be a laugher this weekend. Florida is favored by 28.5 and I would not be surprised if they won by more than that. Of course a Florida victory means another round of hearing how great Tim Tebow is especially after beating up on the vaunted Tennessee Defense, the same vaunted defense that was unable to secure a win against a lowly Pac 10 team like UCLA. Florida will win, by a lot, and Tebow will have 6 touchdowns. UT: 9--UF: 62
Chief: I wanted to talk about this one because it's going to happen. Everyone has been talking about how Urban Meyer, Tim Tebow, and 'Gaytor Nation' have circled this game as revenge to take out Lane Kiffin. Not so fast my friend! Kiffin in his eminent wisdom, threw the game vs. UCLA to lull the gators into a false sense of security. Crompton will toss all over that 'vaunted defense' for 5 TDs while the Monte Kiffin defense shows the nation the Eric Berry is clearly the best defensive player in the nation and knocks Tebow out of the Heisman race. Wait...the Vols are terrible. UT: 6--UF: 42
Gomer: I would peg this game as highest potential to be a laugher this weekend. Florida is favored by 28.5 and I would not be surprised if they won by more than that. Of course a Florida victory means another round of hearing how great Tim Tebow is especially after beating up on the vaunted Tennessee Defense, the same vaunted defense that was unable to secure a win against a lowly Pac 10 team like UCLA. Florida will win, by a lot, and Tebow will have 6 touchdowns. UT: 9--UF: 62
Chief: I wanted to talk about this one because it's going to happen. Everyone has been talking about how Urban Meyer, Tim Tebow, and 'Gaytor Nation' have circled this game as revenge to take out Lane Kiffin. Not so fast my friend! Kiffin in his eminent wisdom, threw the game vs. UCLA to lull the gators into a false sense of security. Crompton will toss all over that 'vaunted defense' for 5 TDs while the Monte Kiffin defense shows the nation the Eric Berry is clearly the best defensive player in the nation and knocks Tebow out of the Heisman race. Wait...the Vols are terrible. UT: 6--UF: 42
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Toledo Rockets
Gomer: The Bucks could be in for a real big emotional let down this week. I don't need to re-hash the offensive struggles from last week's heart-breaker, but if the Terrelle Pryor led offense isn't clicking, the Bucks will still win, but it could mean bad news bears down the road in the Big Ten. The other worry here is that the Rockets could expose some sort of weakness in the pass defense, because they will move the ball, but it will be a matter of when the Bucks force a turnover or other big defensive stop. Toledo won't be out of the game until late unless the Bucks come up with some early quick strikes, it'll be a better game than anyone expects. OSU: 39--UT: 20
Chief: After throwing all they had emotionally, physically, and mentally against the Trojans and coming up short (due to horrendous playcalling), the Bucks look to rebound against a surprising Toledo Rocket team. The Silver Bullets returned last week and I believe are here to stay. This is a major turning point game for the season...lie down and take it or stand and fight. I believe the Buckeyes have too much pride to quit now. I saw the pride last week and I think they fire out of the gate this week. Toledo smashed Colorado and put some points up on Purdue (while giving up a ton). OSU will put the hammer down in this one early. At first, I thought the letdown would keep it close, but the pride of the Buckeyes will not allow a fallback. Bucks continue to roll against Ohio teams. OSU: 41--UT: 10
Other games...
Boise State vs. Fresno State: Gomer: Boise Chief: Boise
USC vs. Washington: Gomer: USC Chief: USC
Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Arizona vs. Iowa: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa (close)
Navy vs. Pittsburgh: Gomer: Pitt Chief: Navy
Northwestern vs. Syracuse: Gomer: Syr Chief: NW
Texas Tech vs. Texas: Gomer: UT Chief: UT (BIG)
Wednesday, September 09, 2009
Week 2 - Put up or Shut Up
Clemson vs. Georgia Tech
Gomer: In the power conference that is the ACC, Clemson, without a doubt, has been the biggest disappointment year in and out for the last 2-4 seasons. Whether it was misused talent or poor coaching, they have been the perennial let down (but not as publicly as Ohio State or Oklahoma). However, it doesn't take a long look through the history books to see that the Ramblin' Wreck was exactly the same mess a few years ago too (Remember Reggie Ball trying to pass to Calvin Johnson?). Until watching this past Monday night's classic between Miami and FSU, I was ready to go with my gut and call the ACC for VT, but that game certainly threw a wrench in my expectations, much as I think this game will do too. I like Paul Johnson's crew to get it done. Clem: 21--GT: 38
Chief: In a battle of 2 ACC teams that actually won last week, we might actually have a good Thursday night game on our hands. Clemson is lead by C.J. Spiller and hopes to get back some respect after falling on their faces last year when hopes abounded. Unfortunately, the Jackets (my ACC preseason pick) have used the triple option extremely well. Jonathan Dwyer will lead Paul Johnson's antiquated attack and his 2 TD 150+ yard performance will be the difference. Clemson should show up (tonight and this year), but the Jackets have another great year while defense struggle to figure out how to stop the option. Clem: 13--GT: 24
UCLA vs. Tennessee :
Gomer: I really like the attitude and swagger that is back with the Vols after the firing of Fat Phil and hiring of Lane Kiffin. But I like Neuheisel and what he's done with UCLA even more. Last season the Bruins were not good, but somehow pulled off the upset of the Volunteers in Westwood. I look for the more experienced Bruin squad to bull a mild upset here and stop the "SEC" chanting for at least one game. UCLA: 27--UT: 24
Chief: Ah, the game of last year that was meant to be so much and led to so little. Don't expect more this year. Lane Kiffin had the Vols firing last Saturday against the coolest mascot ever (Big Red from WKU if you had to ask), and I don't see the Bruins providing much of a problem. I had high hopes for the Pac 10, but UCLA was not included. UT better get a win this week because is Florida time next week. UCLA: 17--UT: 31
Notre Dame vs. Michigan
Gomer: Suddenly this game is intriguing with a dominating win by Big Blue in week one and a surprisingly big win by the Irish in a game many expected an upset. Yes this is one of those games where we root for a stadium to collapse, but I've got to go with conference pride in this one, the Big Ten has taken a huge beating for the last three years, and if there's any hope in regaining some swagger, it begins here on Saturday afternoon. Rich Rod, love him or hate him, is turning Michigan around. I for one am thankful for the health of the conference and the Rivalry. Without a huge tangent here, I believe a competent and successful Michigan team is imperative to retaining all the importance The Game has held over the years. Go Blue!!! ND: 34--UM: 44
Chief: An extremely intriguing game enters Ann Arbor this weekend. I don't think these programs are "back", but they certainly are taking giant steps forward. The Wolverines played with more energy than I've seen up there in nearly 3 years (aside from Capitol One Bowl vs. UF) against a nobody MAC school and Notre Dame looked to wake up the echoes against a terrible pass defense. I still think Notre Dame is further along and stopping Colin Kaepernik was a good start. UM jumps on top early but emu-boy Jimmy Clauson takes the pressure and sends Dick Rod home crying. Weis just wants to know what's for dinner. ND: 27--UM: 21
USC vs. Ohio State
Gomer: USC's gameplan is simple; run, run, and run some more. The O-Zone writer "BCast" had an excellent article saying that in the last 7 games the Trojans have lost the common denominator is shutting down the running game. Over those 7 losses the Trojans average roughly 84 ypg on the ground. It really comes down to 2 things, do you trust our D to shut down the Trojan O and subsequently running attack and how does Pryor perform when all the weight is squarely on his shoulders. I for one am not overly optimistic about the chance of a Buckeye victory, our D-line, as good as it is, is not better than the USC O-line protecting Barkley and allowing McKnight and company to have a field day running over the Buckeyes. If Pryor is forced to be one dimensional either all running or all passing, and as much as it pains me to types this... without a perfect storm in OSU's favor, there is no way the Bucks can prevail in this match-up. USC: 25--OSU: 19
Chief: Here we go again. After falling flat on our faces last year, it's come down to this. Don't let last week fool you, Navy is a very good team who will win 9-10 games this season. Defending the triple option is tough for any normal defense (ask the ACC), but OSU cannot struggle on the O-Line this week as they did last week. The embarrassment of the day was the ineptitude of the OSU O-Line. While the O-line was scary bad, the D-Line was scary good. I think OSU's defense will rattle Matt Barkley (even though he says it won't matter) and the USC stellar running game will be slowed, but if there is no protection, it could be a long day. Pryor needs to have a huge statement game passing and running. Yes, USC handle perennial doormat San Jose State, but this is Ohio State and it's time to make a statement. You knew I wasn't picking the Trojans didn't you. USC: 17--OSU: 20
South Carolina vs. Georgia: Gomer: UGA Chief: UGA
Purdue vs. Oregon: Gomer: UO Chief: UO
North Carolina vs. UConn: Gomer: UNC Chief:UNC
Fresno State vs. Wisconsin Gomer: Wisconsin Chief:Wisconsin
Iowa vs. Iowa State: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa
Texas vs. Wyoming: Gomer: Texas Chief: Texas
BYU vs. Tulane: Gomer: BYU Chief: BYU
East Carolina vs. West Virginia: Gomer: WVU Chief: WVU
Purdue vs. Oregon: Gomer: UO Chief: UO
North Carolina vs. UConn: Gomer: UNC Chief:UNC
Fresno State vs. Wisconsin Gomer: Wisconsin Chief:Wisconsin
Iowa vs. Iowa State: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa
Texas vs. Wyoming: Gomer: Texas Chief: Texas
BYU vs. Tulane: Gomer: BYU Chief: BYU
East Carolina vs. West Virginia: Gomer: WVU Chief: WVU
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Week 1...It Begins
Gomer's pregame:
As I sit at home on a Wednesday night and start to think, "Crap, I don't have anything here to eat for dinner" I take a drive to pick-up some food and on the way to and fro, I have a few minutes to listen to the pre-season talk about the UC Bearcats. They aren't talking about a big game necessarily, or big players, but more just complaining about the fact that the Big East Champs are forced to start their title defense on the road in New Jersey against Rutgers... it seems any time I hear or read something about the Buckeyes little brothers in the Southwest corner of the state, its either negative towards OSU or just plain negative. But it does remind me one thing, college football starts tomorrow night!
I will fully admit that I have strayed from the sport that I have followed the longest for my newest fave, the National Hockey League. But unlike pro sports the NCAA competition gives you athletes who will never make a career of their respective sport or complain about not getting enough money this season (that only happens in the NFL and NBA anyways), or face lockouts for various reasons. NCAA Football will always hold a special place in my heart, especially since I was born into it and have bled Scarlet and Gray since the day I was born.Here are the picks and maybe some sort of explanation to the madness...
Chief's pregame:
I have written an elogated preseason prediction. I'll try to post it up here soon.
Oregon vs. Boise State (Late Thursday)
Gomer: The Ducks will be looking to break in a decent amount of new starters and not to mention a new head coach, while the Broncos and the Smurf Turf will more than likely make it an unpleasant opening night while breaking in a few new faces of their own. Boise has only won 3 times against Pac-10 opponents, but those 3 wins have all come against Oregon. I think this could be an ugly game for the ugliest uniforms in sports, especially considering the lack of coherent defense in the Pac-10. UO: 24 - BSU: 52
Chief: The Ducks were perhaps the most impressive team in their bowl as they ran all over the Oklahoma State in the Holiday Bowl. I believe this game is a true statement for the big conferences. While Boise State should have a stellar season, I think Jeremiah Masoli and Euguene Blount will lead the Quackers to a revenge victory. A win for the Broncos doesn’t bury the Ducks but an Oregon win could mean serious problems for the smurfs. UO: 45—BSU: 31
Georgia vs. Oklahoma State
Gomer: For a minute I was afraid that I would not be able to watch this game because it is set to be a ABC/ESPN2 Regional game, but thank goodness I've got DirecTV to save the day this time. I really like OSU in this game for multiple reasons, a couple of them being the skill position trio of QB Zac Robinson, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Dez Bryant as well as the Pokes impressive home opener record (13 in a row) and 15 straight non-conference wins all by an average margin of 33ppg. The Bulldogs on the other hand are going to have a hard time responding after losing Moreno and Stafford to the NFL this past spring. The Dogs do hold an undefeated record against against the Cowboys, and yes we know... "S-E-C, S-E-C, S-E-C!!" UGA: 24 - OSU: 38
Chief: Oklahoma State is another of my surprise teams for 2009. UGA lost so much offensive talent (most in the leaper Knowshon Moreno), but OSU returns all the videogame prowess of last year. The trio of Zac Robinson, Kendall Hunter, and Dez Bryant will outscore the Dawgs. The Pokes defense was awful last year, but if they can stop the opposing team once or twice, that should be enough. UGA: 27—OSU: 45
Alabama vs. Virginia Tech
Gomer: This match-up has the potential to be either awesome or crap. It deserves mention that it will be played in Atlanta, it also should be mentioned that the Tide are 10-1 all time against the Hokies. The Hokies are returning 16 starters and are coming off of a surprising ACC Title and BCS Bowl win. Alabama lost a decent load of talent and but did make it to the SEC title game. The more I write, the more I'm willing to call this one a must-see. 'Bama: 17 - VT: 21
Chief: Here’s hoping this year kick-off classic is better than the clunker between Bama and Clemson last year. I really liked VT to be a major contender this year, but the loss of running back Daniel Evans really hurts. Tyrod Taylor is going to have to run the offense and hopefully he’s up to the task. The Tide returns many pieces of a stalwart defense (including 2000 lb Mount Cody), but the Hokie defense is always very opportunistic and stingy. VT has more experience under center which makes the different in a low scoring game. Bama: 10—VT: 13
Navy vs. Ohio State
Gomer: There has been a massive campaign to "stand up and cheer the Navy football team as they enter Ohio Stadium" on Saturday. While I think this is extremely respectful and a nice gesture, I don't support it. Now, this isn't saying "boo the crap out of Navy" but more of a let’s not be friendly and welcoming. Having a stadium as imposing as The Shoe, fans should never be told to "back down", I think that this goes against what home games are about, winning, and protecting the home field. This does not equate to being un-sportsmanlike and inappropriate to men and their families who will at some point be defending our country. Anyway, this game could be much closer than expected, especially with last year's injury of Beanie Wells in the opener that cost the Buckeyes any chance in the USC game. Navy: 15 - OSU: 27
Chief: I agree with Gomer on this issue of cheering Navy. I support the troops, but I will not cheer for Navy to win just because I feel guilty. That being said, this game has some trap implications. Navy is not the pushover academy like most think. They’ve been in multiple bowls in recent years and could conceivably win up to 10 games this year. For the Bucks, they’re back for blood after a disappointing 3 loss season. Terrelle Pryor should lead the offense to a win, but the key matchup is to see how the young defense handles the option attack. I think Navy fights valiantly, but get beat out by superior athletes in the end. Navy: 13—OSU: 31
South Carolina vs. NC State (Thursday)- Gomer: NCST Chief: NCST
Cincinnati vs. Rutgers (Monday)- Gomer: RUTG Chief: Cincinnati
Miami vs. Florida State (Monday)- Gomer: FSU Chief: FSU
Nevada vs. Notre Dame- Gomer: ND Chief: ND (closer than the experts think)
Brigham Young vs. Oklahoma- Gomer: OU Chief: OU
Kentucky vs. Miami (OH)- Gomer: UK Chief: UK
Western Michigan vs. Michigan- Gomer: UM Chief: UM (close)
LSU vs. Washington- Gomer: LSU Chief: LSU
Missouri vs. Illinois- Gomer: UI Chief: UI
As I sit at home on a Wednesday night and start to think, "Crap, I don't have anything here to eat for dinner" I take a drive to pick-up some food and on the way to and fro, I have a few minutes to listen to the pre-season talk about the UC Bearcats. They aren't talking about a big game necessarily, or big players, but more just complaining about the fact that the Big East Champs are forced to start their title defense on the road in New Jersey against Rutgers... it seems any time I hear or read something about the Buckeyes little brothers in the Southwest corner of the state, its either negative towards OSU or just plain negative. But it does remind me one thing, college football starts tomorrow night!
I will fully admit that I have strayed from the sport that I have followed the longest for my newest fave, the National Hockey League. But unlike pro sports the NCAA competition gives you athletes who will never make a career of their respective sport or complain about not getting enough money this season (that only happens in the NFL and NBA anyways), or face lockouts for various reasons. NCAA Football will always hold a special place in my heart, especially since I was born into it and have bled Scarlet and Gray since the day I was born.Here are the picks and maybe some sort of explanation to the madness...
Chief's pregame:
I have written an elogated preseason prediction. I'll try to post it up here soon.
Oregon vs. Boise State (Late Thursday)
Gomer: The Ducks will be looking to break in a decent amount of new starters and not to mention a new head coach, while the Broncos and the Smurf Turf will more than likely make it an unpleasant opening night while breaking in a few new faces of their own. Boise has only won 3 times against Pac-10 opponents, but those 3 wins have all come against Oregon. I think this could be an ugly game for the ugliest uniforms in sports, especially considering the lack of coherent defense in the Pac-10. UO: 24 - BSU: 52
Chief: The Ducks were perhaps the most impressive team in their bowl as they ran all over the Oklahoma State in the Holiday Bowl. I believe this game is a true statement for the big conferences. While Boise State should have a stellar season, I think Jeremiah Masoli and Euguene Blount will lead the Quackers to a revenge victory. A win for the Broncos doesn’t bury the Ducks but an Oregon win could mean serious problems for the smurfs. UO: 45—BSU: 31
Georgia vs. Oklahoma State
Gomer: For a minute I was afraid that I would not be able to watch this game because it is set to be a ABC/ESPN2 Regional game, but thank goodness I've got DirecTV to save the day this time. I really like OSU in this game for multiple reasons, a couple of them being the skill position trio of QB Zac Robinson, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Dez Bryant as well as the Pokes impressive home opener record (13 in a row) and 15 straight non-conference wins all by an average margin of 33ppg. The Bulldogs on the other hand are going to have a hard time responding after losing Moreno and Stafford to the NFL this past spring. The Dogs do hold an undefeated record against against the Cowboys, and yes we know... "S-E-C, S-E-C, S-E-C!!" UGA: 24 - OSU: 38
Chief: Oklahoma State is another of my surprise teams for 2009. UGA lost so much offensive talent (most in the leaper Knowshon Moreno), but OSU returns all the videogame prowess of last year. The trio of Zac Robinson, Kendall Hunter, and Dez Bryant will outscore the Dawgs. The Pokes defense was awful last year, but if they can stop the opposing team once or twice, that should be enough. UGA: 27—OSU: 45
Alabama vs. Virginia Tech
Gomer: This match-up has the potential to be either awesome or crap. It deserves mention that it will be played in Atlanta, it also should be mentioned that the Tide are 10-1 all time against the Hokies. The Hokies are returning 16 starters and are coming off of a surprising ACC Title and BCS Bowl win. Alabama lost a decent load of talent and but did make it to the SEC title game. The more I write, the more I'm willing to call this one a must-see. 'Bama: 17 - VT: 21
Chief: Here’s hoping this year kick-off classic is better than the clunker between Bama and Clemson last year. I really liked VT to be a major contender this year, but the loss of running back Daniel Evans really hurts. Tyrod Taylor is going to have to run the offense and hopefully he’s up to the task. The Tide returns many pieces of a stalwart defense (including 2000 lb Mount Cody), but the Hokie defense is always very opportunistic and stingy. VT has more experience under center which makes the different in a low scoring game. Bama: 10—VT: 13
Navy vs. Ohio State
Gomer: There has been a massive campaign to "stand up and cheer the Navy football team as they enter Ohio Stadium" on Saturday. While I think this is extremely respectful and a nice gesture, I don't support it. Now, this isn't saying "boo the crap out of Navy" but more of a let’s not be friendly and welcoming. Having a stadium as imposing as The Shoe, fans should never be told to "back down", I think that this goes against what home games are about, winning, and protecting the home field. This does not equate to being un-sportsmanlike and inappropriate to men and their families who will at some point be defending our country. Anyway, this game could be much closer than expected, especially with last year's injury of Beanie Wells in the opener that cost the Buckeyes any chance in the USC game. Navy: 15 - OSU: 27
Chief: I agree with Gomer on this issue of cheering Navy. I support the troops, but I will not cheer for Navy to win just because I feel guilty. That being said, this game has some trap implications. Navy is not the pushover academy like most think. They’ve been in multiple bowls in recent years and could conceivably win up to 10 games this year. For the Bucks, they’re back for blood after a disappointing 3 loss season. Terrelle Pryor should lead the offense to a win, but the key matchup is to see how the young defense handles the option attack. I think Navy fights valiantly, but get beat out by superior athletes in the end. Navy: 13—OSU: 31
South Carolina vs. NC State (Thursday)- Gomer: NCST Chief: NCST
Cincinnati vs. Rutgers (Monday)- Gomer: RUTG Chief: Cincinnati
Miami vs. Florida State (Monday)- Gomer: FSU Chief: FSU
Nevada vs. Notre Dame- Gomer: ND Chief: ND (closer than the experts think)
Brigham Young vs. Oklahoma- Gomer: OU Chief: OU
Kentucky vs. Miami (OH)- Gomer: UK Chief: UK
Western Michigan vs. Michigan- Gomer: UM Chief: UM (close)
LSU vs. Washington- Gomer: LSU Chief: LSU
Missouri vs. Illinois- Gomer: UI Chief: UI
Friday, January 30, 2009
Last to Sign?
Troy Smith was the last to sign in the 2002 recruiting class, the class featured stars like Bobby Carpenter, Doug Datish, TJ Downing, Roy Hall, AJ Hawk, Santonio Holmes, Nick Mangold, Quinn Pitcock, Joel Penton, Jay Richardson, and Nate Salley.
Today Ohio State landed 3-star QB Ken Guiton out of Aldine, Texas. Guiton is listed as a "dual-threat quarterback" at 6' 2", 178lbs, and a 3.13 gpa. Guiton was also offered by Rice, Kansas, Iowa State, and Houston. 3 of the 4 of those gives some reassurance to the Buckeyes going after this kid, Rice, Houston, and Kansas have had outstanding quarterbacks recently and obviously saw something in this kid.
Here's ESPN.com Insider's write-up on the kid:
Only time will tell if he will be the unsung hero of the class of 2009...
Today Ohio State landed 3-star QB Ken Guiton out of Aldine, Texas. Guiton is listed as a "dual-threat quarterback" at 6' 2", 178lbs, and a 3.13 gpa. Guiton was also offered by Rice, Kansas, Iowa State, and Houston. 3 of the 4 of those gives some reassurance to the Buckeyes going after this kid, Rice, Houston, and Kansas have had outstanding quarterbacks recently and obviously saw something in this kid.
Here's ESPN.com Insider's write-up on the kid:
Guiton is a smooth, athletic dual-threat quarterback that when operating the spread can be very dangerous as a runner and passer. Is a tall, flexible athlete with long legs and good overall movement skills. So much so that he could be a WR candidate at the next level too if a position change were necessary. He is probably a better runner than passer at this stage, but he does shows a quick release, live little arm in the short and intermediate areas of the field and he is capable of showing patience in the pocket and also throwing on the move which is when he is at his best. Possesses very good presence and initial quickness in the pocket, feels the rush, will buy time, move around and if he breaks contain he can create problems as a run/pass threat. Throws well on the move to either side. Footwork is solid and he has good feet in his drops and set up. Works out of the shotgun primarily and would like to see him work through progressions while having to drop from center. As athletic as he is, he needs to develop technically as a passer in terms of mechanics and refine his methods, become more crisp in the passing game. Must be careful not to take off and run too quickly, sit in the pocket and be an athletic passer, not just an athlete playing QB. Arm strength is solid, but not elite and he may not be able to drive the ball vertically on a consistent basis. Overall, Guiton is a quality prospect with good overall skills and upside to be a dangerous dual-threat in time.
Only time will tell if he will be the unsung hero of the class of 2009...
Friday, January 09, 2009
Back from the Dead
I have a big gripe following the college football bowl season.
While Ohio State has struggled the last few years in bowl games, they finally were respectable in this year's BCS match-up with Texas, but that didn't stop Penn State from dragging the conferences name through the mud.
I have a quick fix on how to begin repairing the Big Ten's further tarnished name. Stop accepting the 2nd BCS bowl bid. What this does is shift everyone else in the conference up a game putting them in, theoretically, more difficult match-ups. I know you have to "play the best to be the best", but look at the records and reputations of the ACC and Pac10. The ACC went 4-6 and got a whopping 10 teams into the money games and only one of those in the BCS. The Pac10 is really where it's at with the usual USC in the BCS and 4 others in winnable match-ups. Get Oregon State in as the Auto-Bid and USC in as an At-Large and things could get interesting.
Here were the Big Ten's match-ups this season:
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin (B10) 13 - Florida State (ACC) 42
Alamo Bowl: Missouri (B12) 30 - Northwestern (B10) 23 OT
Insight Bowl: Kansas (B12) 42 - Minnesota (B10) 21
Outback Bowl: South Carolina (SEC) 10 - Iowa (B10) 31
Capital One Bowl: Georgia (SEC) 24 - Michigan State (B10) 12
Rose Bowl: Penn State (B10) 24 - USC (Pac10) 38
Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (B10) 21 - Texas (Big12) 24
The Regular Tie-ins are as follows (low to high):
Motor City Bowl: Big Ten #7 vs. MAC #1
Insight Bowl: Big Ten #6 vs. Big 12 #6
Champs Sports Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. ACC #4
Alamo Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. Big 12 #4/5
Outback Bowl: Big Ten #3 vs. SEC #3/4
Capital One Bowl: Big Ten #2 vs. SEC #2
Rose Bowl: Big Ten #1 vs. Pac 10 #1
Since Penn State was out of the BCS Championship discussion with a loss to Iowa, it is easy to see where we all would've played this year:
Wisconsin vs. Central Michigan (winnable)
Minnesota vs. Kansas (loss)
Northwestern vs. Florida State (toss-up)
Iowa vs. Missouri (toss-up)
Michigan State vs. South Carolina (winnable)
Ohio State vs. Georgia (winnable)
Penn State vs. USC (loss)
I have a big gripe following the college football bowl season.
While Ohio State has struggled the last few years in bowl games, they finally were respectable in this year's BCS match-up with Texas, but that didn't stop Penn State from dragging the conferences name through the mud.
I have a quick fix on how to begin repairing the Big Ten's further tarnished name. Stop accepting the 2nd BCS bowl bid. What this does is shift everyone else in the conference up a game putting them in, theoretically, more difficult match-ups. I know you have to "play the best to be the best", but look at the records and reputations of the ACC and Pac10. The ACC went 4-6 and got a whopping 10 teams into the money games and only one of those in the BCS. The Pac10 is really where it's at with the usual USC in the BCS and 4 others in winnable match-ups. Get Oregon State in as the Auto-Bid and USC in as an At-Large and things could get interesting.
Here were the Big Ten's match-ups this season:
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin (B10) 13 - Florida State (ACC) 42
Alamo Bowl: Missouri (B12) 30 - Northwestern (B10) 23 OT
Insight Bowl: Kansas (B12) 42 - Minnesota (B10) 21
Outback Bowl: South Carolina (SEC) 10 - Iowa (B10) 31
Capital One Bowl: Georgia (SEC) 24 - Michigan State (B10) 12
Rose Bowl: Penn State (B10) 24 - USC (Pac10) 38
Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (B10) 21 - Texas (Big12) 24
The Regular Tie-ins are as follows (low to high):
Motor City Bowl: Big Ten #7 vs. MAC #1
Insight Bowl: Big Ten #6 vs. Big 12 #6
Champs Sports Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. ACC #4
Alamo Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. Big 12 #4/5
Outback Bowl: Big Ten #3 vs. SEC #3/4
Capital One Bowl: Big Ten #2 vs. SEC #2
Rose Bowl: Big Ten #1 vs. Pac 10 #1
Since Penn State was out of the BCS Championship discussion with a loss to Iowa, it is easy to see where we all would've played this year:
Wisconsin vs. Central Michigan (winnable)
Minnesota vs. Kansas (loss)
Northwestern vs. Florida State (toss-up)
Iowa vs. Missouri (toss-up)
Michigan State vs. South Carolina (winnable)
Ohio State vs. Georgia (winnable)
Penn State vs. USC (loss)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)