Standings
1) Draper 25-12 (4-4 upset)
1) Seeberg 25-12 (1-7 upset)
3) Hoying 24-13 (3-5 upset)
4) Schweinfurth 22-15 (3-5 upset)
3) Hoying 24-13 (3-5 upset)
4) Schweinfurth 22-15 (3-5 upset)
There's no big, sexy game on this week's slate, but there are a few worthy distractions to keep you occupied until the white-out at 8 P.M. (7 Central) Saturday night.
Ole Miss Rebels @ Louisiana State Tigers
Draper: For some reason, I'm thinking this might actually be a game. LSU has looked terrible most of the year, but I feel Les pulls one out of this butt every year. I don't think he'll have quite enough to stop Dr. Bo and Mr. Nkemdiche. Don't get me wrong, Ole Miss is the superior team, but a night game Death Valley gives me a little pause. Not enough to pull the trigger, but the booger eater makes it close. Ole Miss: 31--LSU: 28
Hoying: After their coming-out party against the Tide (THE DYNASTY IS NOT OVER) and their follow up win against some overrated Lone Star team, the Rebels suffered a bit of a letdown against SEC Least foe Tennessee...for about 10 minutes. Even after their slow start, Ole Miss still managed to paste the Volunteers, surging past struggling Stanford to claim the title of nation's top defense. What does this mean for LSU? The Tigers posted all of 7 points against Auburn and were sitting on 16 points against Mississippi State until the Bulldogs' bizarre 4th-quarter collapse. LSU can't decide which terrible quarterback to play on any given down (oh where have you gone, Zach WarrenBurger), and good luck trying to run on this Rebel front. Ole Miss completes the Mississippi sweep in Death Valley. Ole Miss: 30--LSU: 17
Schweinfurth: LSU has not looked great this year (It took an injury to one of the nation's rushing leaders to beat Wisconsin among other games). This team just does not have the snarl and talent it did just a few short years ago. Ole Miss is riding on a big wave of momentum and has looked good so far. As long as horrendous Bo doesn't show up, Ole Miss wins fairly easy. Ole Miss: 35--LSU: 14
Seeberg: It's remarkable to think just how, at least for this season, the fortunes of these two teams have flip-flopped. LSU is a huge second-half comeback against Wiscy away from being a 3-loss team while Ole Miss has only had one serious threat all season. Ole Miss gives up barely 10 points a game, and LSU struggles on the offensive side of the ball, which is clearly a recipe for disaster along the same lines of the OSU-PSU game (see below). LSU feeds off the night crowd energy early, but can't score enough to stay in it much past halftime. Ole Miss: 27--LSU: 10
USC Trojans @ Utah Utes
Draper: The Utes have quietly put together a nice little season, albeit living on the edge. Can they spring the upset at home? Would it be an upset with the sporadic play of the Trojans? I believe the Trojans are the better team but still in the process of 'finding themselves'. Utah knows who they are and they're a mid-level football team. SC opened the floodgates last week letting Kessler sling the ball for a record 7 TDs, but Utah is certainly better than the hapless Buffs. The road game makes USC a little shaky, but they have the better talent and will pull off the win by a TD--assuming they can stop the Hail Mary this time. USC: 38--Utah: 31
Hoying: Is USC finally back? Seems like a silly question to ask after a bizarre loss to Boston College and terrible Hail Mary defense against Arizona State, but when you think about the Trojan dynasty from the early 2000's, what comes to mind? Elite QB play, embodied by Carson Palmer, Matt Leinart, and Mark Sanchez. After a 7 passing TD display against Colorado, Cody Kessler is angling for inclusion on this list (don't laugh, how many of you remember Carson Palmer's junior season?). More questionable is whether a middling USC defense can handle a great Utah rushing attack led by RB Devontae Booker. After all, BC only ran for about 450 YARDS against the Trojan front. In the end, I think Kessler will do enough to make up for what his front seven lacks. Fight on. USC: 31--Utah: 27
Schweinfurth: I really like what Steve Sarkisian has done at USC already. That offense is tough to stop when they play ahead of the chains and go no-huddle. The defense isn't a slouch either. They seem to bring guys from every angle and do a very good job confusing QBs. While Utah will be able to move the ball on the ground, I really think that Sark's offense will be the difference in this game. USC: 24--Utah: 20
Seeberg: Utah actually has the best win of the two teams, a narrow victory at then-top-10 UCLA. Unfortunately, they followed with a near-disaster against Oregon State, escaping in double OT. USC struggles to stop the run- which is what Utah does well- but can score a lot to compensate, and it's difficult to picture the Utes shutting down USC's wide receiving corps. I think USC makes just enough fixes on D to go on the road and get a suddenly critical conference win. USC: 35--Utah: 28
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Draper: I thought OSU was a pretty good team but the faceplant last week didn't help. WVU is really knocking it up a notch with Clint Trickett (former Nole) flourishing under Larry Fine's (get it? Holgerson looks like Larry from the Stooges! I know this is a sad state of affairs that I need to explain this...) offensive scheme. The Pokes are REALLY tough to beat in Stillwater, but while their speed may match WVU, their execution does not. Stickin' with the Mountaineers begrudgingly as I love the Pokes. Expect fireworks. WVU: 41--OSU: 38
Hoying: How about that great Cowboy win against...erm...well...how about their game last wee...uh...they sure played FSU tough a couple months ago, didn't they? Okie State doesn't really do anything well, except post unimpressive victories against total cream puffs. In contrast, West Virginia QB Clint Trickett leads arguably the best pass attack outside of Pullman, Washington, tossing for over 300 yards in each game so far this season. Bafflingly, the Mountaineers also violated school tradition by playing actual defense against a blazing Baylor attack last weekend. This is a clear mismatch, no matter what Vegas tells you. They have the Pokes favored, but it's garbage, and the oddsmaker who let it come out is garbage! WVU: 34--OSU: 27
Schweinfurth: I don't know if there is a more surprising team to me than West Virginia. I was impressed by WVU's losses this year if only because they were supposed to get trounced in both. It seems as though Dana Hogerson does know how to coach a defense. That is a dangerous combo with the offense the Mountaineers roll out there. Oklahoma State runs a fairly similar offense to Baylor and we all know how that turned out last week. Mountaineers win and keep proving they are no longer a one trick pony. WVU: 45--OSU: 24
Seeberg: This game is likely to be close as West Virginia has an annoying habit of playing to the level of their competition, for better or worse (close loss to Bama, close win against Maryland, for instance). Oklahoma State's usually vaunted offense was completely shut down by a good TCU squad, which may have provided some blueprints for other teams. WVU isn't as talented on D as TCU- except they gave up a whopping 34 points fewer to Baylor. The Mountaineers make it closer than they should, but get out of Stillwater with a win. WVU: 38--OSU: 34
THE Ohio State University Buckeyes @ Penn State Nittany Lions
Draper: PSU looked...ok...early on, but they have looked like they're steadily getting worse....while the Bucks have improved every week. Happy Valley is always rocking at night, but the team is certainly not like the PSU teams of old. Hackenburg is a pretty boy QB, but I haven't seen the jaw-dropping talent to which people continue to refer. After their easy win against Rutgers (I mean, who could have picked Rutgers over PSU....what a dumb pick...), they've taken a dive against NW AT HOME!! and vs. a terrible Michigan team. The Bucks are on such a high, I just see more of the same. JT continues to carve up opponents, and, while he'll struggle early getting his bearings on the road in a tough environment, he'll recenter and take care of business. Look for a BIG day from the defensive line. Bucks roll. OSU: 42--PSU: 24
Hoying: Ah, Penn State, the Vanderbilt of the B1G East, minus the academics. After a 4-0 start, including a shocking stun of Rutgers in Piscataway, the Nittany Lions have lost to two BAD teams, including a homecoming blowout loss to Northwestern. With no time to throw the ball, Christian Pickenberg has become a total non-factor, and his outlook isn't likely to improve with the new and improved Silver Bullet D coming to Happy Valley. Penn State still has a nominally impressive defense, certainly better than any the Buckeyes have seen since Virginia Tech, but Barrett isn't showing any signs of slowing. My concern: after another 4 TD and 350 yard performance on national TV vaults JT into the Heisman discussion, should Braxton consider transferring? OSU: 45--PSU: 13
Schweinfurth: Can anyone point to an offensive line that acts like a sieve more than Penn State? If Michigan can set up camp in the Lions backfield, what is Joey Bosa going to do to Hackenberg? Think about that. Bosa, Bennett, Washington and company are going to have some fun (are you not entertained!?!) this week. The only concern I have is the OSU offensive line. They have looked impressive since the Va Tech game but that has also been inferior competition. While Penn State does have a statistically good defense, again, it's been against inferior competition. What does that all mean? Well, Penn State is going to come out in a Bear/Double Eagle front (duh) and J.T. is going to pick it apart. This game is gonna get ugly. I really hope they have a "Hackenberg got crushed" counter this week because he will get rocked over and over and over and over... Oh, yea, I think the 50+ streak ends this week but J.T. FOR HEISMAN!!!! OSU: 48--PSU: 17
Seeberg: Oh fantastic, another night game in not-so-Happy Valley so the locals have 12 hours to enjoy their favorite adult beverages before filing into Beaver Stadium. Penn State does boast a very respectable D that has kept them in most games, giving up barely 15 points a game. Their O, however, is equally unrespectable, scoring just 21 a game. Even if Hackenberg stays upright (not likely), he doesn't have enough weaponry to cause the Silver Bullets enough troubles. The raucous crowd and scripted opening plays keep the Lions in it early, but too much Barrett and Co. (let's get Heuerman involved some now that he's healthy please!) makes it another solid win. OSU: 38--PSU: 13
Upset Special
Draper: Cal over Oregon
Hoying: Washington over Arizona State
Schweinfurth: South Carolina over Auburn (why not hope for absolute chaos)
Seeberg: Washington State over Arizona (see what I did there, Hoying?)
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