1) Seeberg 34-11 (0-9 upset)
2) Draper 33-12 (4-5 upset)
3) Hoying 30-15 (1-8 upset)
3) Schweinfurth 30-15 (1-8 upset)
We've made it through the wilderness and to the Promised Land: November. Unfortunately, our Moses won't be joining us for a week. While we breathlessly await his return, there are some pretty important struggles throughout outlying provinces.
Duke Blue Devils @ #25 North Carolina Tar Heels
Draper: The Battle for the Victory Bell...not as sexy as the basketball matchup. Duke is reeling after the crazy loss to the Canes after some missed calls and poor officiating and UNC is high after a nationally televised win over ranked Pitt. I think these are two teams moving in different directions. Duke \has something to prove...but I don't see the rebound this quickly from what they experienced. Heels win in Chapel Hill to avenge the Dukie national championship (although no one will care). Duke: 17--UNC: 27
Hoying: One of the nation's great rivalries is renewed at the Dean Smith Center...what? Football? Consequence?? Yes, boys and girls, Duke and UNC are about to lock horns to determine control of a Power 5 division! The Heels are riding high after a huge road win over a good Pitt team, while Duke saw a great comeback against Miami ruined by the most special special teams ever. Both teams feature great defense, although the Devils have been exposed a bit lately, and not against juggernaut offenses either (hello, Virginia Tech). Time for a loss that even Mike Greenberg and the BooHoo Devils agree shouldn't be reversed. Duke: 20--UNC: 27
Schweinfurth: This is two underrated teams. I really think that Duke is going to be inspired by that debacle last week. I expect this will be a low scoring game. Duke: 17--UNC:14
Seeberg: As odd as this may sound, this relevant football game is all riding on Duke. If they can put last week's debacle behind them, they have a very good shot to win this game. If not? Their season may collapse like the gingerbread houses most of us try to make in December. UNC might be riding high after their win over Pitt and their entrance into the rankings (including the prestigious Let's Go Bucks rankings, of course), but Duke's mindset is still more in question. Both teams avoid Clemson and FSU in crossover games and have a pretty legitimate shot to be at double-digit wins heading to the ACC title game. In the end, I think the Hurricane Hullabaloo (because Miami Miracle is catchy but I want to be original while still using alliteration) is too much for the Blue Devils to overcome. Duke: 17--UNC: 28
#17 Florida State Seminoles @ #2 Clemson Tigers
Draper: Can the Tigers handle the pressure? Can the Noles respond after a flukish bad game vs. the Jackets? Clemson is playing at a super high level right now...but that's exactly when it all comes crashing down. FSU has been pretty 'eh' all year, but the talent cannot be denied. If Dalvin Cook plays and is 100%, there's a chance, but this Nole team isn't as good as the last 5 years. The primary thing going for FSU is, as Thad Matta would say, 'Their ***holes are tight." Clemson always chugs along and hits that wall against the Noles--they just expect to lose. A 3:30 kick is great for the Noles because I've said in the past that Death Valley is the 3rd loudest stadium I've ever been to (behind the Swamp and the Shoe). However, the magic of the stupid rock and crazy Dabo rises up to take control of the ACC and the playoffs...until they poop it away vs. Syracuse or Wake. FSU: 27--Clem: 38
Hoying: I'm tempted to never pick Clemson in this game again. Last year, the Tigers had the Noles exactly where they wanted them: trailing, with a terrible QB behind center that engineered shorter drives than a 4 year old golfer. And then they Clemsoned all over themselves. You might be tempted to say that this isn't last year's Clemson team, but one can never be sure until they play Florida State. Yes, FSU pooped the bed against an awful Georgia Tech team, but they still feature a very efficient QB, possibly the nation's top RB, and a stifling defense. All the pressure is on Clemson in this one. I don't think they can handle it. Look for the Seminole defense to force some turnovers and turn the tide. No hurricane is going to stop the Clemsoning this time. FSU: 30--Clem: 28
Schweinfurth: It seems like every time Clemson gets highly ranked and I pick them they lose. What brings me back to Clemson is the absence of Everett Golson (I can't believe I just wrote that) and the possible absence of Dalvin Cook. Cook at full go, I think he piles up the yards. I just really don't think the 'Noles have the firepower to pull off the upset on the road. FSU: 28--Clem: 35
Seeberg: I'll be honest, I thought this pick was a no-brainer for Clemson until I saw what Florida State did without Everett Golson and Dalvin Cook last week. Yes Syracuse is mediocre at best, but 45 points without their two primary playmakers seemed unthinkable. Cook is probable for this game which means one of two things: He's 100% and ready to shred the Tiger D, or he's about 85% and has to give it a go for the Seminoles to have a reasonable chance of winning. The starting quarterback is TBD, but my gut tells me they should go with Maguire and see if a talented backup with which the opponent has very little film of can win a big game (sound familar, Cardale fans??). With all that said, however, I just don't fully trust the FSU defense. They have put up some nice numbers against...Georgia Tech? Miami? Boston we-forgot-to-field-an-offense College? The Tigers will test that defense and though Florida State might pass that test, it'll only be with a C- or a D+, and that's not enough for a win. FSU: 31--Clem: 38
#5 TCU Horned Frogs @ #10 Oklahoma State Cowboys
Draper: The first real game in the Big 12 on display here. While we've seen defense is a dirty word in the conference, TCU has the slightly less sucky squad. Trevone Boykin is the best athlete on the field with a bevy of good receivers, but the Pokes are nothing to sneeze at. Mike Gundy has the Cowboys contending, but they've played a LOT of scrubs. TCU is slightly more battle tested so I lean on the Frogs here. TCU: 52--OSU: 45
Hoying: Give these teams credit. Both found themselves in deep holes early in games (TCU vs. KSU, OKSt vs. TTech) and clawed their way to victory. Don't count on seeing a great comeback this week, though. Whoever starts fast will just keep blasting away until the final gun. It's not like one of these teams would just stop playing up 21 in the 4th quarter and suffer a loss that eliminates them from national title contention. You could say TCU is on a mission after getting left out of last year's playoff, but the Cowboys were jobbed even harder in 2011 and turned that rage into an 8-5 campaign the next year. TCU has started to play a bit of defense since the first half at Kansas State, so look for them to stay within the ranks of the undefeated for at least another week. TCU: 49--OSU: 45
Schweinfurth: Welcome to your Big 12 shootout game of the week. TCU is going to have a chip on their shoulder after getting buried outside of the top 5 in the CFP rankings. Even without that motivation, I just think that TCU is better. I expect Trevone Boykin to continue to put up numbers (especially with the state of Big 12 defenses). I'm still not sold on TCU as a championship contender, but they are still one of the best teams in the Big 12. TCU: 52--OSU: 42
Seeberg: Start the obligatory scoreboard-breaking clichés. Texas Tech has lost 2 games this year in which they scored at least 50 points...55-52 to TCU and 70-53 to Oklahoma State. (Incidentally the last team to lose two games in a season scoring 50+ was Baylor in 2012, which probably surprises nobody). I don't know when this game is on but I hope it doesn't conflict with the Buckeyes' 8 PM kick (ok, 8:12 or whatever it is) so that I can watch this hilarity in its entirety. I still can't decide if Big 12 coaches simply stop recruiting defensive players after about 8th grade or if they self-select and go to the SEC or Big 10 where they have a chance to be relevant. In any event, expect some video-game numbers in this one, particularly from Trevone Boykin, and a Horned Frog defense that's getting a little bit healthier and a little bit better to make enough plays to win another old west shootout. TCU: 56--OSU: 45
Navy Midshipmen @ #7 Memphis Tigers
Draper: Memphis joins Iowa at the 'royally screwed by the playoff committee' table. That being said, you want respect Tigers? Prove it. Keenan Reynolds is about to take sole possession of the career TD rushing record in NCAA history from Montee Ball (sorry, Joe Tessitore) but the Tigers have the primo victory over Ole Miss (is it reeeeeeally that good, though?). That option attack is a bear to prepare for, but Memphis knows the stakes. Justin Fuente's Tigers keep rolling in a close hard fought win. Navy: 24--Mem: 30
Hoying: Upset about a premiere at #13 in the playoff rankings, Memphis? Here comes a nice stretch run to improve that resume. The Tigers' next 3 opponents have a combined record of 24-2, kicking off with the Midshipmen. Memphis actually has a pretty good rush defense, surrendering only 3.2 yards per carry, but preparing for Navy and the triple option is a whole different animal (ask Florida State about faceplanting against such an offense). Considering that Memphis played Tulane last, week, they probably had a bit of extra time to think about getting ready to face Navy. Y'all is Tiger boat. Navy: 20--Mem: 30
Schweinfurth: Navy is always a good quality opponent, but I would not want to face that offense in the middle of the season. With that said, I expect Navy to score, but Memphis will make the necessary adjustments. Navy: 21--Mem: 35
Seeberg: Navy will definitely score some points in this matchup. Memphis, however, is likely to score even more. The Tigers' primary concern has got to be keeping their defensive line healthy against the endless cut blocking of the triple option Midshipmen attack. Memphis has a darn good shot to go 12-0 and despite a first-half tussle with the only currently relevant service academy, the Tigers stay unbeaten. NAVY: 24--MEM: 42
#1 Louisiana State Tigers @ #9 Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: This one should be fun....maybe. Let's be honest, Bama loses this one they're done, right? RIGHT?!?! Does a second 'quality loss' move them up? Leonard Fournette is the best athlete in college football right now but Bama has the best combination on the field. Coker isn't spectacular, but he complements Derrick Henry really well and the Tide defense is quite good. Bama was in no way deserving of the 4 spot in the CFP rankings...yet, but if they win out, they'll have a great argument. This game is by far the toughest game of the year for them and they get em in Tuscaloosa. I have a lot of respect for the Tigers, but the Tide is a bit too much. Please don't suck as much as the 9-6 crap fest 3 years ago... LSU: 17--Bama: 24
Hoying: Welcome to your GAME OF THE YEAR, if you don't count about 5 games coming up in the Big 12, or Ohio State/Michigan State. LSU hasn't been playing particularly well on the road, struggling against Mississippi State and Syracuse, while Alabama has sucked at home, losing to Ole Miss and nearly screwing the Smokey against Tennessee. Despite these efforts, the Playoff Committee is ready to crown Alabama for another year, but why? Because they blew out a mediocre Georgia team? Because they whupped a Wisconsin team that no one seems to care that Iowa beat? They do have that QUALITY LOSS (TM), I suppose. LSU still can't throw the ball, but it doesn't matter. The Tigers are sick of losing to the Tide and they have the power running game and the defense to deliver a victory in Tuscaloosa. Phyllis won't be happy after this one. LSU: 21--Bama: 20
Seeberg: I...I just don't know about this one. Eerily similar teams with dominant running backs, excellent defenses and questions at the QB position. Make no mistake, our beloved Zeke might be the best all around RB in college football (rout running, pass blocking, etc.), but Leonard Fournette and Derrick Henry are the two best backs in the game with the ball in their hands. I think this game is a low-scoring version of the Bama-Ole Miss game. In the end, I just don't trust Kiffin to give the ball to Henry enough, and LSU squeaks out a huge win. Enjoy that fescue, Les. LSU: 20--Bama: 16
Minnesota Golden Gophers @ #3 THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: The Buckeyes suffered a punch to the gut last week as JT went full Simple Jack, but it doesn't compare to the pile driver Tracy Claeys performed on the Gophers. I've never seen the end of a game coached worse than I saw last week. 19 seconds from the 1 yard line and a timeout and you run...2 plays...2!!!! I would have fired him on the sideline. Jerry Kill (clear B1G COY) could have coached that better from his house. Claeys stole from those kids a huge opportunity thaey won't get back. I don't see any way their heads are on straight this week. Cardale will be fine (not as good as JT), but there won't be a huge issue. Meyer will play this as a 'get the ball to Zeke, put em away early, and go home' type game. It won't feature explosive plays, but a workmanlike yeoman performance will get it done. Minn: 10--OSU: 38
Hoying: OK, JT did a dumb thing. And it'll hurt the Buckeyes to be without him this week. Fortunately, the opponent we face is far dumber, gagging away a sure win against our hated rivals by demonstrating clock management that would knock the blade of grass out of Les Miles's mouth and play-calling that begs for a Malcolm Butler interception. Don't fear the Gophers, Buckeye Nation. Minnesota QB Leidner inexplicably got away with chucking up prayers against a pretty good Wolverine secondary and Michigan still found a way to win behind the arm of a guy who wasn't even good enough to beat out Jake freaking Rudock for a starting gig. Cardale will be good, not great, just like always, and the Silver Bullets will step up in a big way to get the Bucks to 9-0. Minn: 13--OSU: 34 (sorry, Seeberg)
Seeberg: This is without a doubt the oddest quarterback carousel I can recall. Starting all the way back in the summer of 2014, allow me to refresh your memory: J.T. passes Cardale on depth chart as backup, Braxton goes down a week and a half later and J.T. is starter, J.T. injured against scUM and Cardale wins the golden lipstick, Braxton goes to H-back, Cardale wins starting job, Cardale yields to J.T. in red zone, J.T. takes starting job, J.T. suspended a week later and Cardale is starting again. Absolutely insane. Thankfully, Cardale has a full week to prepare with the starters and Minnesota is likely to be crushed mentally after snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in a valiant effort against TTUN last week. The Silver Bullets have a week to study the schematic changes the Gophers made to basically rip apart the Wolverine D in the first half (254 yards) and coast to a comfy win in the friendly confines of the 'Shoe. Minn: 13--OSU: 34
Upset Special
Draper: Indiana over Iowa
Hoying: Cincinnati over Houston
Schweinfurth: Washington over Utah
Seeberg: Northern Illinois over Toledo (had it up Monday night- Hoying saw it!)
