Thursday, November 11, 2010

Week 11 Picks--Back to work

Kansas State Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers

Gomer: Basking in the afterglow of beating Texas, the KSU Wildcats are due for a slip-up, and there isn't a better chance than in Columbia this weekend. Missouri has taken a tumble since the upset of the #1 ranked Sooners a couple weeks ago, and now Mizzou will seize their chance to get back on track. KSU: 14--Mizzou: 35

Chief:
Here's everything I know about these teams.... that's it, but it's a ranked matchup so it should be here. I had the upset of KSU over the Longhorns last week in Manhattan but in Mizzou's house, they're tough to beat (ask OU). I think Blaine Gabbert gets it done at home because all their woes came on the road. Great run for Bill Snyder with an average team, but not enough. KSU: 20--Mizzou: 31

Georgia Bulldogs @ Auburn Tigers

Gomer: The Bulldogs have had a rough season so far, but a lot of that could be rectified with a big win over "rival" Auburn. Auburn and Cam Newton have some major issues within the team and athletic department that could be major distractions. With all the issues off-field, it's hard to deny the talent of Cam Newton who will surely carry Auburn to a win. UGA: 21--Aub: 40

Chief:
This should be a great game. The Tigers still hold the number one spot but the allegations are flying around Cam Newton. UGA has been slowly improving with the return of A.J. Green and should make this game much closer than the experts think. Problem is, Auburn gets them at home....again. Talk about a favorable schedule. Look out for the Tide but this will be a major wakeup call with Reggie Bush....I mean Cam Newton pulling out a tight win. UGA: 31--Aub: 34

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Alabama Crimson Tide

Gomer: The real question is "has Alabama given up?". I think the Crimson Tide still have what it takes to make a push this month and earn a BCS bid, but it will take nearly flawless play the rest of the way. MSU is, in my opinion, very overrated and will again be outclassed by the Tide. MSU: 13--Bama: 34

Chief:
Let it be known that this college football analyst also called the monster upset of MSU over UF in the Swamp earlier this year. This Tide team is not the Gators. I think they're going to come out extremely angry and fired up. Saban's bunch has dropped 2 which is unacceptable with their talent. I see a HUGE game from Ingram and a big Tide return to glory in Tuscaloosa. MSU: 10--Bama: 38

South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators

Gomer: Florida is not the better team in this year's Spurrier vs. Meyer Bowl. Urban Meyer's squad has improved as the season has progressed, and the Gamecocks have not been without a healthy amount of success so far either. Based on team rankings, this should be a pretty good game with plenty of action, but I have a feeling the Gators are clicking right now and will make life painful for the real USC. SC: 16--UF: 35

Chief:
So it happens again. As with 2006, Spurrier entered the Swamp with dreams of an upset crushed by a blocked field goal as time expired (we won't mention what happened in the bowls that year). This is the Gamecocks only chance to take the SEC East. Florida stinks, UGA stinks, Tennessee...still stinks. It's there for the taking, but they need to take this head to head vs. the Gators. Seems the Cocks get up for the big games (Alabama) and struggle in the others (Kentucky). They'll get ready to rock this Saturday and will get a program changing win to take the SEC East title (essentially). SC: 38--UF: 27



Penn State Nittany Lions @ The Ohio State University Buckeyes

Gomer: The Buckeyes typically don't lose in November, and I don't expect anything but the norm to continue this Saturday in the Shoe. Yeah yeah, JoePa won 400 games, but really, how can you count anything since the crapping of his pants in 2006 vs. Ohio State? I mean, the guy doesn't even wear the headphones on the sideline, he is a figurehead who is putting himself ahead of the University at this point, and his ego above all. Woody would be ashamed. Buckeyes blast the Lions. PeeSU: 13--OSU: 45

Chief:
Congrats to Joe Pa for getting number 400. Don't expect 401 this week. Honestly, PSU has gotten better from week to week this entire season. Royster has starting running like in past years and it looks like they're happy with McGloin at QB. Coming to the Shoe is a lot different from facing NW and Michigan at home. Expect a stellar performance on defense as the Bucks had 2 weeks to prepare. The only worry is the look ahead to the big test in Iowa City, but Tress should have Pryor and company focused since PSU is no longer under the radar. Hopefully, the Bullets will knock them out quickly so no one gets hurt. An 18 point spread is a bit much, but OSU should win easily (maybe some garbage points). PSU: 13--OSU: 27



Other Games to Pick

Ind @ Wis: Gomer: Wis Chief: Wis

Iowa @ NW: Gomer: Iowa Chief: Iowa

Miami @ GT: Gomer: Miami Chief: GT

Minn @ Ill: Gomer: Ill Chief: Ill

Cinn @ WVU: Gomer: WVU Chief: WVU

Mich @ Pur: Gomer: UM Chief: UM

Utah @ ND: Gomer: Utah Chief: Utah

TAMU @ Baylor: Gomer: Baylor Chief: Baylor

VT @ UNC: Gomer: UNC Chief: VT

Oreg @ Cal: Gomer: UO Chief: UO

OkSt @ Tex: Gomer: UT Chief: OkSt

USC @ Zona: Gomer: USC Chief: Zona

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Draper Index Week 10

After a week of interesting results, I thought the rankings would realign...unfortunately, I'm more convinced that I need to shrink the rankings more from year to year. Alabama's incredible lead from last year is still too much such that they remain in the top 2. It's tough to blame them for 2 tough losses on the road to top opponents when they played, but they did lose which needs to cause a drop. Still a learning process but here's what I got for this week.

Draper Index 11/07/10
1) TCU (sizeable lead for now)
2) Alabama (razor thin margin--still shouldn't be here)
3) Oregon
4) Auburn
5) Boise State
6) LSU
7) Nebraska
8) Oklahoma State
9) Ohio State
10) Utah
11) Iowa
12) Florida (yeesh--started too high/also affected Bama)
13) Oklahoma
14) Michigan State
15) Wisconsin
16) Stanford
17) Virginia Tech
18) Arkansas
19) Missouri
20) Arizona
21) Nevada
22) Penn State
23) USC
24) Florida State
25) Miami (FL)