1) The days of the big boys shutting out the little sisters of the poor are rapidly diminishing.
Offenses have evolved such that it is nearly impossible to hold anyone to fewer than 10 points, no matter the discrepancy in talent. The dink-and-dunk offense has led to nullifying great defensive line play and the penalties are such in favor of the offense, the shutouts have left us (for the most part). Yes, Wisconsin got one this weekend...against a team that just joined FBS and they still needed some luck). Oregon held 'powerhouse' Nicholls State to 3, but that was a lower level team. Look at the bevy of FCS schools that took down FBS teams (even a ranked one). This was unthinkable 5-10 years ago (except for Michigan). The playing field is starting to be leveled, not to the point of equality, but definitely to the point of less embarrassment.
2) Home field is so important in college
Look at the Georgia/Clemson game. Talent was reasonably comparable, and the difference was a botched snap on a gimme field goal. Death Valley is an extremely tough place to play (3rd loudest I've been to--1) Swamp, 2) Shoe) and it showed under the lights. Pro football just doesn't have the same ridiculous atmosphere. When in doubt, go with the home team.
3) Todd Gurley, Khalil Mack, Jadaveon Clowney, Teddy Bridgewater...some are NFL ready before 3 years.
I hate suggesting reducing the requirement for college players, but it may be time. Not because they need money (you know my opinion on that), but because some are ready to compete at the next level. How Khalil Mack ended up in Buffalo still stuns me. Bridgewater may not be bulky enough, but Clowney would compete in the NFL right now. Also, Todd Gurley is certainly no 'girly-man' after what I saw against Clemson. Maybe it's time to consider the number of years removed from high school for the NFL draft and reduce it to 2 (it will never go away). All the football camps and the higher level of high school football leads to earlier maturation in a football sense. They aren't mature enough (physically or emotionally) when leaving high school, but the football acumen is maturing more quickly.
4) Jameis Winston is good....really good.
It was one game, but Winston is a ball player. My biggest takeaway was that he wasn't afraid to 'throw his receiver open'. This is a skill that separates the elite from the very good. Of course, he's not Tom Brady at this point, but the level of trust with his receivers and confidence in his arm is off the charts for a freshman. Compare him to Terrelle Pryor. Pryor had more physical gifts, but he always avoided throws until his receiver broke open. This is why he was never considered a great passer. Winston won't complete every pass all year and this mentality leads to more interceptions, but he's going to be fun to watch for the next couple years.
5) Johnny Manziel will screw up again...and soon.
The focus is on Johnny Manziel thumbing his nose at the NCAA and being a symbol for defiant skill. While many cower at the specter of Johnny Football and what he may do to the system, we need to remember who we're dealing with: an entitled spoiled brat that thinks he's untouchable. What does this mean? He's about to screw up....again. This is a pattern of behavior that doesn't show any signs of slowing. Just wait, he'll shoot himself in the foot.
Showing posts with label 5 things. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 5 things. Show all posts
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Monday, November 21, 2011
Five Thoughts on the Week that was--Week 12
1) Chaos has doomed us to a rematch
All the rooting for the underdogs this past week has essentially sewn up an all SEC title. Are they the best teams in the country? Maybe. Is it definite? No. I will be rooting to absolute brutal chaos this weekend and next. If Arkansas beats LSU and the underdogs win in the conference title games, it's absolutely nuts. That being said, OU/OSU means significantly less; Oregon is out; Clemson is out. The only chance to avoid the punter's rematch is for Ok State to blow out Oklahoma and get lucky. I hope the voters avoid the rematch, but they may not have a choice. SEC is the best we have this year, but they don't stack up to the great teams of the decade let alone history.
2) The one problem of the BCS is that Bama's road to the title game is easier than LSU's (yes, playoffs dilute the season but rule changes could help).
Yes, I like the BCS in principle. I do not wholly support a playoff because I'd rather ensure that my title recipient deserves it (even if it excludes a team or two that also deserves it). A playoff allows teams to sneak away with championships (Steelers, Packers, Giants in football and Cardinals in baseball). The playoffs showed that a team can get hot and not necessarily be the best team but be crowned champion. This year's problem is that non-conference champion (Bama) has the easiest path to the title. They need not play an extra game because they lost at home to LSU. LSU is 'punished' with another game. I wouldn't be opposed to requiring BCS title participants win their conference. In regards to griping this year, there is only 1 team that can (potentially) complain about being 'left out': Houston. Everyone else has a loss so the remaining argument among 1-loss teams could have been avoided by winning all the games. Houston has a crap schedule so their argument is valid yet weak. Every season is a playoff is the argument for BCS apologists which isn't that bad an argument. Without the BCS, Oregon's game vs. USC is a seeding game, not an elimination game. Same with Bedlam (if they didn't suck last week). BCS requires your champion to be worthy while the playoff makes sure all worthy (and some unworthy) have a chance. It's a tradeoff that can't be solved with one system, but Bama's road being easier than LSU's is unfair.
3) RG3 finally had a Heisman quality moment/win
Andrew Luck was/is the Heisman frontrunner all year due to media hype and NFL potential. Is it deserved? For the NFL? Sure. For the Heisman? No. His stats are weak against a bad schedule. Many have pointed to Robert Griffin III as a potential contender but his low exposure and losses have buried him. Now he is resurrected by the upset of Oklahoma. Without the OU win, RG3 had no chance (fair or not), now.... He's right there. If the voters are fair, they should give him a second and third look. His stats are incredible against decent competition and he finally led his team to a HUGE win. I think it's time to jump off the Luck bandwagon. Hype shouldn't determine the greatest individual award in sport.
4) Urban Meyer will be the next coach at Ohio State in 2012.
Read between the lines. It's a done deal. Yes, he's denied 'being offered or accepting a job', but that doesn't mean that hypotheticals haven't been discussed and/or agreed upon in principle. Chris Spielman is his commentating partner so you know it's been discussed around the meeting room table. He will return home to Ohio to lead the Buckeyes in the next phase of success. ESPiN has even taken Meyer out of the 'field' and put him behind a desk due to the rumors. OSU must wait until the season is over to be fair to the coaching staff and players, but it's done. Fickell will be asked to hang around and we'll see what happens, but look for new excitement in Columbus.
5) Rivalries can make or break a season
OSU/Michigan, enough said. This season has been nothing but disappointment for the Scarlet and Gray but all wounds are healed by 1 game. If the Buckeyes beat the Wolverines, this year, Fickell's short tenure as head coach, and this senior class legacy will go down as a success. Without it, everything fails. Auburn can derail Bama's title dreams. The Cowboys can send the Sooners crying and stay in the hunt or be relegated to mediocrity. Gators vs. Noles is for Florida (and recruiting) supremacy. It's all that matters. In the NFL, the Superbowl is the only thing that matters. In college, the title matters, but for most teams who won't get that shot, the rivalry defines the season. So eat the turkey and cheer for your team. Let's break the 3000 day barrier for days since that school up north has beaten THE Ohio State University. It's all we have left....but it's enough.
All the rooting for the underdogs this past week has essentially sewn up an all SEC title. Are they the best teams in the country? Maybe. Is it definite? No. I will be rooting to absolute brutal chaos this weekend and next. If Arkansas beats LSU and the underdogs win in the conference title games, it's absolutely nuts. That being said, OU/OSU means significantly less; Oregon is out; Clemson is out. The only chance to avoid the punter's rematch is for Ok State to blow out Oklahoma and get lucky. I hope the voters avoid the rematch, but they may not have a choice. SEC is the best we have this year, but they don't stack up to the great teams of the decade let alone history.
2) The one problem of the BCS is that Bama's road to the title game is easier than LSU's (yes, playoffs dilute the season but rule changes could help).
Yes, I like the BCS in principle. I do not wholly support a playoff because I'd rather ensure that my title recipient deserves it (even if it excludes a team or two that also deserves it). A playoff allows teams to sneak away with championships (Steelers, Packers, Giants in football and Cardinals in baseball). The playoffs showed that a team can get hot and not necessarily be the best team but be crowned champion. This year's problem is that non-conference champion (Bama) has the easiest path to the title. They need not play an extra game because they lost at home to LSU. LSU is 'punished' with another game. I wouldn't be opposed to requiring BCS title participants win their conference. In regards to griping this year, there is only 1 team that can (potentially) complain about being 'left out': Houston. Everyone else has a loss so the remaining argument among 1-loss teams could have been avoided by winning all the games. Houston has a crap schedule so their argument is valid yet weak. Every season is a playoff is the argument for BCS apologists which isn't that bad an argument. Without the BCS, Oregon's game vs. USC is a seeding game, not an elimination game. Same with Bedlam (if they didn't suck last week). BCS requires your champion to be worthy while the playoff makes sure all worthy (and some unworthy) have a chance. It's a tradeoff that can't be solved with one system, but Bama's road being easier than LSU's is unfair.
3) RG3 finally had a Heisman quality moment/win
Andrew Luck was/is the Heisman frontrunner all year due to media hype and NFL potential. Is it deserved? For the NFL? Sure. For the Heisman? No. His stats are weak against a bad schedule. Many have pointed to Robert Griffin III as a potential contender but his low exposure and losses have buried him. Now he is resurrected by the upset of Oklahoma. Without the OU win, RG3 had no chance (fair or not), now.... He's right there. If the voters are fair, they should give him a second and third look. His stats are incredible against decent competition and he finally led his team to a HUGE win. I think it's time to jump off the Luck bandwagon. Hype shouldn't determine the greatest individual award in sport.
4) Urban Meyer will be the next coach at Ohio State in 2012.
Read between the lines. It's a done deal. Yes, he's denied 'being offered or accepting a job', but that doesn't mean that hypotheticals haven't been discussed and/or agreed upon in principle. Chris Spielman is his commentating partner so you know it's been discussed around the meeting room table. He will return home to Ohio to lead the Buckeyes in the next phase of success. ESPiN has even taken Meyer out of the 'field' and put him behind a desk due to the rumors. OSU must wait until the season is over to be fair to the coaching staff and players, but it's done. Fickell will be asked to hang around and we'll see what happens, but look for new excitement in Columbus.
5) Rivalries can make or break a season
OSU/Michigan, enough said. This season has been nothing but disappointment for the Scarlet and Gray but all wounds are healed by 1 game. If the Buckeyes beat the Wolverines, this year, Fickell's short tenure as head coach, and this senior class legacy will go down as a success. Without it, everything fails. Auburn can derail Bama's title dreams. The Cowboys can send the Sooners crying and stay in the hunt or be relegated to mediocrity. Gators vs. Noles is for Florida (and recruiting) supremacy. It's all that matters. In the NFL, the Superbowl is the only thing that matters. In college, the title matters, but for most teams who won't get that shot, the rivalry defines the season. So eat the turkey and cheer for your team. Let's break the 3000 day barrier for days since that school up north has beaten THE Ohio State University. It's all we have left....but it's enough.
Monday, November 07, 2011
Five Thoughts of the Week that was--Week 10
1) Events in Penn State are disgusting and make all other institutional comparisons pale in comparison.
Joe Paterno MUST go. That's all there is to this. No, he was not the person involved in the act, but withholding information of sexual assault on children from the authorities and keeping a sexual predator associated with the program is beyond wrong. Tressel paid for his negligence for not reporting extra benefits (rightfully so). This isn't even close! This involves the lives of many children, their friends, their families that will NEVER be the same due to this monster. What makes this so gross is that some of it could have been prevented by people following basic moral standards and standing up for what is right. Joe Paterno always has preached 'Success with Honor'....maybe he should practice what he preaches. An illustrious football career will never escape this and it never should. Penn State should be ashamed of what it tacitly allowed to happen. Ignorance is not an excuse when it's your job to be informed (looking at you Gene Smith). OSU Tatgate, USC benefits, Oregon payments, Auburn's 'perfectly legit' recruitment using pay for play....these are nothing compared to the atrocities in State College.
2) Arkansas can cause total chaos.
After the 'Game of the...zzzzz', many have crowned the Bayou Bengals and buried the Tide. No one is examining the armageddon that could ensue if Arkansas manages to win out (including a win in Baton Rouge). Yes, that may be unlikely, but certainly not impossible. If that were to happen (and LSU/Bama win their other games), there will be a 3 way tie in the SEC West. No longer will the talk be as much about a rematch as it will be about who will play in the SEC championship and which 2 get BCS bids. The SEC tie breaker as I read it states that the tie breaker that matters (all others are tied) is final BCS rankings. However, if the top 2 teams in the BCS are within 5 spots of each other, the head-to-head matchup determines the championship game participant. This means that the highest BCS team may not ascend to the SEC title game. LSU>Bama>Ark>LSU....contradiction circle. This is extremely similar to the 3 way tie in the Big 12 South in 2007 with Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas Tech. Talk about absolute craziness ensuing if this happens.....and I hope it does.
3) The so called 'Game of the Century'....sucked. Please, please, please, please, please DON'T have a rematch.
All hype (SEC, SEC, SEC) and no substance; that's the story of this game. Yes, the two defenses on the field were phenomenal and most of those players will be playing on Sundays, but on the other side of the ball....blech. Yeah, Trent Richardson will make the next step, but that's about it. Missed field goals left and right, horrendous QB play, etc. This game was boring. I don't want to take anything away from the defenses, but pitchers' duels are boring. There was some big hits but it's like beating a Sun Belt offense. I don't judge these defenses based on this game (although other games have proven them stout). The only thing I took away from this is we don't need a rematch. Bama had their shot, and they lost....at home. They're done unless LSU loses a game (even then, done barring Arkansas madness). Rematches are stupid especially when Bama lost AT HOME. I don't care if it was close. They lost. Let another team with the same record (or better) have their shot. I don't want to see that atrocity replayed for all the marbles...even if it is the greatest conference of all time (sarcasm). I learned that these 2 teams may be the best to offer this year, but they don't stack up with the best teams of the decade, let alone the 'century'. Stop the hype machine of the SEC. It's a mediocre conference with 3 elite teams and a lot of garbage.
4) The trick play by Bama was a calculated gamble and a good call that just happened to fail
Saban was getting crushed left and right after the game for letting Maze throw a pass down by the redzone. The thing is, it was a good call. If he didn't hang the ball in the air for 20 minutes, if that 6'6'' TE could fight off a 6'1'' CB, if the line could have protected for more than 2 seconds; it's a TD and a fantastic gutsy call that seals a win (one TD would do it). Instead, Murphy's Law reared it's ugly head and LSU got the ball at the one. In hindsight, that shouldn't have mattered either with the LSU offensive ineptitude. Urban Meyer is the only one who defended the call...and I trust his coaching instincts more than the jokers ESPiN and CBS throw out to tout the merits of the SEC.
5) Oklahoma is in great shape to play for the title
Stanford loses to Oregon, and Oklahoma controls their destiny. Yep, that's it. Boise has no chance. Oregon can't jump them with only one quality opponent left. Oklahoma State plays the Sooners. Arkansas will lose to LSU or knock them out and be very hard pressed to jump OU. I think it's also clear that Bama will fall below the Sooners if Bedlam goes Norman way. Even the Chokelahoma standard might allow Big Game Bob to back into the Championship...but I'm the only person who believes in the Pokes. The wins over Florida State, Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas State, and potentially Oklahoma State will be enough for OU to have earned a shot even with that hiccup (barring an undefeated Stanford)...but let's not crown the Sooners Bedlam champions just yet.
Joe Paterno MUST go. That's all there is to this. No, he was not the person involved in the act, but withholding information of sexual assault on children from the authorities and keeping a sexual predator associated with the program is beyond wrong. Tressel paid for his negligence for not reporting extra benefits (rightfully so). This isn't even close! This involves the lives of many children, their friends, their families that will NEVER be the same due to this monster. What makes this so gross is that some of it could have been prevented by people following basic moral standards and standing up for what is right. Joe Paterno always has preached 'Success with Honor'....maybe he should practice what he preaches. An illustrious football career will never escape this and it never should. Penn State should be ashamed of what it tacitly allowed to happen. Ignorance is not an excuse when it's your job to be informed (looking at you Gene Smith). OSU Tatgate, USC benefits, Oregon payments, Auburn's 'perfectly legit' recruitment using pay for play....these are nothing compared to the atrocities in State College.
2) Arkansas can cause total chaos.
After the 'Game of the...zzzzz', many have crowned the Bayou Bengals and buried the Tide. No one is examining the armageddon that could ensue if Arkansas manages to win out (including a win in Baton Rouge). Yes, that may be unlikely, but certainly not impossible. If that were to happen (and LSU/Bama win their other games), there will be a 3 way tie in the SEC West. No longer will the talk be as much about a rematch as it will be about who will play in the SEC championship and which 2 get BCS bids. The SEC tie breaker as I read it states that the tie breaker that matters (all others are tied) is final BCS rankings. However, if the top 2 teams in the BCS are within 5 spots of each other, the head-to-head matchup determines the championship game participant. This means that the highest BCS team may not ascend to the SEC title game. LSU>Bama>Ark>LSU....contradiction circle. This is extremely similar to the 3 way tie in the Big 12 South in 2007 with Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas Tech. Talk about absolute craziness ensuing if this happens.....and I hope it does.
3) The so called 'Game of the Century'....sucked. Please, please, please, please, please DON'T have a rematch.
All hype (SEC, SEC, SEC) and no substance; that's the story of this game. Yes, the two defenses on the field were phenomenal and most of those players will be playing on Sundays, but on the other side of the ball....blech. Yeah, Trent Richardson will make the next step, but that's about it. Missed field goals left and right, horrendous QB play, etc. This game was boring. I don't want to take anything away from the defenses, but pitchers' duels are boring. There was some big hits but it's like beating a Sun Belt offense. I don't judge these defenses based on this game (although other games have proven them stout). The only thing I took away from this is we don't need a rematch. Bama had their shot, and they lost....at home. They're done unless LSU loses a game (even then, done barring Arkansas madness). Rematches are stupid especially when Bama lost AT HOME. I don't care if it was close. They lost. Let another team with the same record (or better) have their shot. I don't want to see that atrocity replayed for all the marbles...even if it is the greatest conference of all time (sarcasm). I learned that these 2 teams may be the best to offer this year, but they don't stack up with the best teams of the decade, let alone the 'century'. Stop the hype machine of the SEC. It's a mediocre conference with 3 elite teams and a lot of garbage.
4) The trick play by Bama was a calculated gamble and a good call that just happened to fail
Saban was getting crushed left and right after the game for letting Maze throw a pass down by the redzone. The thing is, it was a good call. If he didn't hang the ball in the air for 20 minutes, if that 6'6'' TE could fight off a 6'1'' CB, if the line could have protected for more than 2 seconds; it's a TD and a fantastic gutsy call that seals a win (one TD would do it). Instead, Murphy's Law reared it's ugly head and LSU got the ball at the one. In hindsight, that shouldn't have mattered either with the LSU offensive ineptitude. Urban Meyer is the only one who defended the call...and I trust his coaching instincts more than the jokers ESPiN and CBS throw out to tout the merits of the SEC.
5) Oklahoma is in great shape to play for the title
Stanford loses to Oregon, and Oklahoma controls their destiny. Yep, that's it. Boise has no chance. Oregon can't jump them with only one quality opponent left. Oklahoma State plays the Sooners. Arkansas will lose to LSU or knock them out and be very hard pressed to jump OU. I think it's also clear that Bama will fall below the Sooners if Bedlam goes Norman way. Even the Chokelahoma standard might allow Big Game Bob to back into the Championship...but I'm the only person who believes in the Pokes. The wins over Florida State, Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas State, and potentially Oklahoma State will be enough for OU to have earned a shot even with that hiccup (barring an undefeated Stanford)...but let's not crown the Sooners Bedlam champions just yet.
Tuesday, November 01, 2011
Five Thoughts from the week that was--Week 9
1) You can't change a tiger's stripes. Different year, same teams.
Ok everyone. The story remains the same year in year out and we always expect a different outcome. Clemson riding high and undefeated; Sparty grabbing hold of the B1G; OU clobbering everyone in their path; Michigan starting a nice healthy 5-0. Then, say it with me, the same thing always happens. Clemson turns up their flaky meter and gets smoked; MSU chokes big time; Oklahoma drops a game they have no business at all losing; Michigan plays a real team/defense and remembers they can't play football. Why are we always surprised? Yes, there's the occasional aberration, but the norm is rarely diverted. Stop being surprised when the flaky teams do what they do every year, be surprised if these teams ever buck the choke trend.
2) Home field advantage is palpable in college football.
Who really thought OSU was going to beat Wisconsin? Neb over MSU? Homefield advantage is greatly overrated in many sports (NFL, MLB, NHL--pro sports not locked out), but in college, it's truly magical. The fans have so much invested, the band/cheerleaders are there, the location is familiar, and the stadiums are built for sound and craziness. Also, the tickets are hoarded and only a small percentage are sold to the opponents. Remember, when Wisky smashed Nebraska and looked like world beaters then got beaten by MSU and OSU. MSU loses to Nebraska once they left the friendly confines of East Lansing. Stanford squeaked by USC when no one really thought the Trojans had a chance. Home field isn't all there is, but it's does make a difference.
3) The reports of Ohio State's death are greatly exaggerated.
So OSU has 3 losses before November. While the streak of dominance (6 straight conference titles) may appear in jeopardy, the huge upset over the Badgers puts the Buckeyes one additional PSU loss away from controlling their destiny. Buckeye Nation is slowly recovering from TatGate and fearing potential additional sanctions, but while the rest of the B1G saw an opportunity to steal a title, the Buckeyes won't go away. In fact, they should be highly favored in all their remaining games until the Game vs. the hated Wolverines. Imagine the hatred if the Buckeyes can take all the slings and arrows and still emerge victorious. In all honesty, I imagine this to be a 50-50 shot. OSU should steamroll Indiana, PSU (at home), and Purdue, but the Wolverines may provide a challenge for the first time in years. I feel good about the game because I believe UM is the same overrated team of old (although not as bad in previous years), but it will be more competitive. I will say this: no one is looking forward to facing the Buckeyes as they remembered they are Ohio State and the title goes through them.
4) Filling the early schedule with creampuffs can be dangerous.
Wisconsin started the season with a series of horrid opponents and was touted as a national title contender due to the absolute havoc they wreaked on their foes. After a blasting of Nebraska, it appeared Wisconsin was running to the Rose Bowl (or maybe the National Title). Then, real defenses shook them back to earth. Stanford warmed up with no one....and was almost tagged in their first test in LA (I'm sure the Ducks are chomping at the bit). Yes, there are downsides as FSU threw everything at the Sooners and injuries/let down cost them the next 2 games (and most likely the ACC), but OSU, LSU, Bama (PSU isn't bad), and Oregon were tested early and look more poised than those who coasted. It's not a hard and fast rule, but it seems those tested early are more prepared for the key conference matchups.
5) S-E-Crap
Quick, name the 3rd best team in the SEC! If you answered: 'the team that just squeaked by Vanderbilt by a late comeback', you'd be correct. Yeah....Vanderbilt. Arkansas pops in at 3 in most opinions, but after the 2 world beaters of LSU and Bama, there's not a whole lot of meat. Can we stop talking about the SEC as if it was the AFC North? I will openly and honestly admit that LSU and Alabama are the 2 best teams in the country. Best at the top does not imply best top to bottom. Arkansas is ok but is living off the SEC name. South Carolina was good as a one man team but no Lattimore spells trouble. Auburn and Georgia are ok but nothing special (same level as PSU, GT, ASU, OSU, etc.). The next tier includes UF and UT but Florida lost every game in Oct. and Tennessee has faded fast. The bottom feeders are there like every conference (MSU, Ole Miss, Vandy, UK) and don't give me the worst of the SEC is the middle of other conferences. They just plain suck. SEC is the elite...at the top, but the middle is not as hefty as the B1G or the Big12 middle and the bottom is sufficiently plump.
Ok everyone. The story remains the same year in year out and we always expect a different outcome. Clemson riding high and undefeated; Sparty grabbing hold of the B1G; OU clobbering everyone in their path; Michigan starting a nice healthy 5-0. Then, say it with me, the same thing always happens. Clemson turns up their flaky meter and gets smoked; MSU chokes big time; Oklahoma drops a game they have no business at all losing; Michigan plays a real team/defense and remembers they can't play football. Why are we always surprised? Yes, there's the occasional aberration, but the norm is rarely diverted. Stop being surprised when the flaky teams do what they do every year, be surprised if these teams ever buck the choke trend.
2) Home field advantage is palpable in college football.
Who really thought OSU was going to beat Wisconsin? Neb over MSU? Homefield advantage is greatly overrated in many sports (NFL, MLB, NHL--pro sports not locked out), but in college, it's truly magical. The fans have so much invested, the band/cheerleaders are there, the location is familiar, and the stadiums are built for sound and craziness. Also, the tickets are hoarded and only a small percentage are sold to the opponents. Remember, when Wisky smashed Nebraska and looked like world beaters then got beaten by MSU and OSU. MSU loses to Nebraska once they left the friendly confines of East Lansing. Stanford squeaked by USC when no one really thought the Trojans had a chance. Home field isn't all there is, but it's does make a difference.
3) The reports of Ohio State's death are greatly exaggerated.
So OSU has 3 losses before November. While the streak of dominance (6 straight conference titles) may appear in jeopardy, the huge upset over the Badgers puts the Buckeyes one additional PSU loss away from controlling their destiny. Buckeye Nation is slowly recovering from TatGate and fearing potential additional sanctions, but while the rest of the B1G saw an opportunity to steal a title, the Buckeyes won't go away. In fact, they should be highly favored in all their remaining games until the Game vs. the hated Wolverines. Imagine the hatred if the Buckeyes can take all the slings and arrows and still emerge victorious. In all honesty, I imagine this to be a 50-50 shot. OSU should steamroll Indiana, PSU (at home), and Purdue, but the Wolverines may provide a challenge for the first time in years. I feel good about the game because I believe UM is the same overrated team of old (although not as bad in previous years), but it will be more competitive. I will say this: no one is looking forward to facing the Buckeyes as they remembered they are Ohio State and the title goes through them.
4) Filling the early schedule with creampuffs can be dangerous.
Wisconsin started the season with a series of horrid opponents and was touted as a national title contender due to the absolute havoc they wreaked on their foes. After a blasting of Nebraska, it appeared Wisconsin was running to the Rose Bowl (or maybe the National Title). Then, real defenses shook them back to earth. Stanford warmed up with no one....and was almost tagged in their first test in LA (I'm sure the Ducks are chomping at the bit). Yes, there are downsides as FSU threw everything at the Sooners and injuries/let down cost them the next 2 games (and most likely the ACC), but OSU, LSU, Bama (PSU isn't bad), and Oregon were tested early and look more poised than those who coasted. It's not a hard and fast rule, but it seems those tested early are more prepared for the key conference matchups.
5) S-E-Crap
Quick, name the 3rd best team in the SEC! If you answered: 'the team that just squeaked by Vanderbilt by a late comeback', you'd be correct. Yeah....Vanderbilt. Arkansas pops in at 3 in most opinions, but after the 2 world beaters of LSU and Bama, there's not a whole lot of meat. Can we stop talking about the SEC as if it was the AFC North? I will openly and honestly admit that LSU and Alabama are the 2 best teams in the country. Best at the top does not imply best top to bottom. Arkansas is ok but is living off the SEC name. South Carolina was good as a one man team but no Lattimore spells trouble. Auburn and Georgia are ok but nothing special (same level as PSU, GT, ASU, OSU, etc.). The next tier includes UF and UT but Florida lost every game in Oct. and Tennessee has faded fast. The bottom feeders are there like every conference (MSU, Ole Miss, Vandy, UK) and don't give me the worst of the SEC is the middle of other conferences. They just plain suck. SEC is the elite...at the top, but the middle is not as hefty as the B1G or the Big12 middle and the bottom is sufficiently plump.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Five Thoughts on the week that was--Week 8
1) Oklahoma upset was HUGE
Everyone is swooning over the Hail Mary MSU win over Wisconsin and what that means to the future, but that is but a drop in the bucket to the storm that erupted in Norman. Let's make this clear: Oklahoma does NOT lose in Norman. They play so much better at home than on the road, they never play Texas at home, and they just own the rest of the country when they come to their house. Texas Tech was a nice little upstart, but they shouldn't have had a prayer with all on the line in the Sooner's house. The OU defense was befuddled by Doege and even though they put up points, no one expected them to need a comeback to make it close. This loss is HUGE for the shakeup of the BCS (much much bigger than the Wisconsin loss) and will also haunt Bob Stoops. Big game Bob showed the 'Chokelahoma' moniker is more deserved.
2) Don't forget about Oregon
With all the hype around the SEC matchup in 2 weeks and all the other top 5 upsets, people are forgetting about the Ducks sneaking around the chicken coop. Yes, they lost to LSU at a 'neutral site' in Jerry world because they nicely handed the ball to LSU many times, but since then, they are trouncing everyone. I know the competition is much much weaker, but I'm not sold that Stanford can take the Ducks this year. If LSU dominates Bama, we may have to face the possibility that the Ducks are the 2nd best team in the country. Perhaps they deserve a rematch against LSU in a more neutral location in the national championship....wait....it's in New Orleans? Crap.
3) B1G is an absolute mess
Is there a team (outside of Indiana or Minnesota--maybe Purdue) in the B1G that you can say is out of the race? The answer is no. Why? OSU is down. There is no National Title contender in the conference (as I said preseason) and the conference contains a bunch of mid-level teams for this season. The clear favorites for the B1G Conference Title Game is Wisconsin v. MSU, but pretty much every other team (more or less) controls their destiny. Let's be honest. When this Ohio State team is 1 additional Penn State loss from controlling their destiny, this conference has issues. Perhaps this is the B1G basketball year!
4) Wisconsin faced a defense and....
They were exposed. The Wisconsin offense put some points up, but the unstoppable force was not so impressive in East Lansing. The game turned into a shootout and Wilson couldn't quite hang on. Let's recall that OSU gave up 10 points to the Spartans. This Wisconsin team is pretty good, but certainly not elite. They have been feasting off the dregs in Madison and weren't ready for a real test. They come into Columbus this week to face another defense with some bite and an offense that.....well the defense is good. It's not that big of a stretch to think that Wisconsin was all bark no bite.
5) BCS teams are more or less fixed right now
Can anyone imagine a situation in which a team other than those listed below will make a BCS game?
Big 12: OU/OSU
Pac 12: Stanford/Oregon
SEC: LSU/Bama
B1G: Champ (Wisc or MSU probable)
Big East: Champ (who cares)
ACC: Champ (Clemson probable)
At-Large: Boise
In my opinion, this will be the slate and I would be surprised with anything else. Yeah, Oklahoma could die off, but I'm not seeing it. One loss also does Boise in, but can anyone on their schedule beat them. Again, the excitement is somewhat tempered with the lack of top contenders. My midseason BCS Bowl predictions are:
Rose: Oregon vs. MSU
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Sugar: Alabama vs. Stanford
Orange: Clemson vs. WVU
BCS Title: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Pretty good matchups (except for the Orange....)
Everyone is swooning over the Hail Mary MSU win over Wisconsin and what that means to the future, but that is but a drop in the bucket to the storm that erupted in Norman. Let's make this clear: Oklahoma does NOT lose in Norman. They play so much better at home than on the road, they never play Texas at home, and they just own the rest of the country when they come to their house. Texas Tech was a nice little upstart, but they shouldn't have had a prayer with all on the line in the Sooner's house. The OU defense was befuddled by Doege and even though they put up points, no one expected them to need a comeback to make it close. This loss is HUGE for the shakeup of the BCS (much much bigger than the Wisconsin loss) and will also haunt Bob Stoops. Big game Bob showed the 'Chokelahoma' moniker is more deserved.
2) Don't forget about Oregon
With all the hype around the SEC matchup in 2 weeks and all the other top 5 upsets, people are forgetting about the Ducks sneaking around the chicken coop. Yes, they lost to LSU at a 'neutral site' in Jerry world because they nicely handed the ball to LSU many times, but since then, they are trouncing everyone. I know the competition is much much weaker, but I'm not sold that Stanford can take the Ducks this year. If LSU dominates Bama, we may have to face the possibility that the Ducks are the 2nd best team in the country. Perhaps they deserve a rematch against LSU in a more neutral location in the national championship....wait....it's in New Orleans? Crap.
3) B1G is an absolute mess
Is there a team (outside of Indiana or Minnesota--maybe Purdue) in the B1G that you can say is out of the race? The answer is no. Why? OSU is down. There is no National Title contender in the conference (as I said preseason) and the conference contains a bunch of mid-level teams for this season. The clear favorites for the B1G Conference Title Game is Wisconsin v. MSU, but pretty much every other team (more or less) controls their destiny. Let's be honest. When this Ohio State team is 1 additional Penn State loss from controlling their destiny, this conference has issues. Perhaps this is the B1G basketball year!
4) Wisconsin faced a defense and....
They were exposed. The Wisconsin offense put some points up, but the unstoppable force was not so impressive in East Lansing. The game turned into a shootout and Wilson couldn't quite hang on. Let's recall that OSU gave up 10 points to the Spartans. This Wisconsin team is pretty good, but certainly not elite. They have been feasting off the dregs in Madison and weren't ready for a real test. They come into Columbus this week to face another defense with some bite and an offense that.....well the defense is good. It's not that big of a stretch to think that Wisconsin was all bark no bite.
5) BCS teams are more or less fixed right now
Can anyone imagine a situation in which a team other than those listed below will make a BCS game?
Big 12: OU/OSU
Pac 12: Stanford/Oregon
SEC: LSU/Bama
B1G: Champ (Wisc or MSU probable)
Big East: Champ (who cares)
ACC: Champ (Clemson probable)
At-Large: Boise
In my opinion, this will be the slate and I would be surprised with anything else. Yeah, Oklahoma could die off, but I'm not seeing it. One loss also does Boise in, but can anyone on their schedule beat them. Again, the excitement is somewhat tempered with the lack of top contenders. My midseason BCS Bowl predictions are:
Rose: Oregon vs. MSU
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Sugar: Alabama vs. Stanford
Orange: Clemson vs. WVU
BCS Title: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Pretty good matchups (except for the Orange....)
Tuesday, October 05, 2010
5 Things We've Learned--Week 5
1) The SEC has the WORST coaches in the league
I know SECSPN would rip me for this but it's the truth. There is immense talent in that league without a doubt and I would never say something bad about Saban (for fear of my life--note: he's the exception), but this weekend was an embarassment of coaching in that league. It's gotten to the point where the coaches (and interested media partners--looking at you worldwide leader---and CBS) spend more time talking up the conference to create a false excuse for the horrible blunders from the sideline. Les Miles finishes a game for which he should be fired and his comment is "Just another day in the SEC." I guess one interpretation would be a slam on the mediocrity of the conference and horrid coaching (sans Bama).
Let's start with the minor infraction by a coach considered 'one of the best', Mr. Urban Meyer. The Gator's have been the poster child of the SEC for the last 5 years or so (Praise Tebow), but their time has come and there's a new leader in town. The torch was passed last year in the SEC championship to the Tide. The beatdown in Tuscaloosa was more evidence of this phenomenon. Regardless of this transition, Meyer doesn't want to let go of Tebow. You know the play to which I'm referring. 4th and goal, 1st quarter, down 7-0 and Meyer calls the Tebow special: the jump pass. Look, I think the right call was to take the points, but if you want to go for it, fine. Worst case scenario is Bama gets the ball on the 1...or not. Jump pass is read by the Bama coaches before the play and Trey Burton (termed Tebow-Lite...tipping your hand maybe?) throws the pick in the endzone to not only give up the points, but also gives Bama favorable field position. Urban needs to realize that they need to play with an underdog mentality again even though it's been 40 games since they've been the underdog.
Now, to the abomination of the weekend. Baton Rouge featured the showdown for dumbest coach in America (won by the well-known Derek Dooley--who?). I was so excited when I saw Les Miles ineptitude bite him by substituting his whole offense with 10 seconds to go, snapping before the team was set, recovering the fumble, and the clock expiring. Hooray! He got his comeuppance....but wait. Dooley and his assistants sent 13 Vols on the field for the final play of ineptitude. Note: these extra defenders didn't influence the play at all. Dooley hands Miles another untimed down on which they score to end the game. In the words of Jerry Palm, CBS writer, "It's hard to out-dumb Les Miles, but if you don't put your mind to it, it can be done. Without referring to the myraid official failures on this play (1. not staying over the ball until UT had a chance to substitute which is allowed by rule, 2. not calling the personal foul for the LSU player spiking his helmet after his coach screwed them, perhaps I should stop there), both of these coaches better get either fired or severely questioned by their alumni/athletic director. Dooley is almost certainly an interim coach after the Lane Kiffin debaucle, but Miles better watch it.
2) The Heisman race is not over regardless of the media's perception
Watching ESPN and reading all kinds of coverage of college football, the 2010 Heisman Trophy has already been engraved with Denard Robinson. While he is absolutely the frontrunner (undefeated team, stunning video game numbers, dual threat QB, leadership, etc.), it is the first week of October.
What if Robinson trips over a curb tomorrow and breaks a leg? He's out.
He is the UM offense so he takes a ton of hits. What if he breaks when someone catches him (which most likely will happen)? He's out.
What if they play a real defense that knows how to tackle (see the next...oh 7 weeks)? He's out.
What if his team hits a losing skid and ends the season 6-6 or 7-5 (very possible)? He's out.
What if another candidate has a great stretch that sends his team into the title talk? He's out.
There is way too much time to call this a done deal when there are so many different scenarios still to come.
3) Everyone blaming the BCS for Boise's falling need to critically examine the situation instead of the knee jerk reaction.
I'm so sick of everyone's absolutely defiant opinions about which conference is the best. Here it is, the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth: NO CONFERENCE IS CLEARLY BETTER THAN ANOTHER IN THE BIG 4 (SEC, Pac 10, Big 12, Big Ten)--sorry Big East, you're terrible and sorry ACC but you just don't have the juggernaut this year--very competitive, but no standout. The Big 12 is hanging on by a thread with OU and Nebraska but Texas is really hurting.
The SEC is the de facto because they've been top heavy these last few years with Alabama and Florida (and LSU a few years back). Now, it's Bama at the top, UF, Ark, LSU, SC, and Aub in the ok but still haven't proved anything yet, and the rest is trash. The Big Ten has OSU at the top, Iowa, Wisc, MSU, UM, PSU, and NW in the ok but nothing proven and trash. The Big 12 is pretty much OU and Neb with some stragglers (what happened to Texas). And finally, the Pac 10 is getting way too much love...more to come (see point 5). Stop trying to order them because each conference has it's goods, oks, and citgos (bad). Just enjoy the game and see which team plays harder and comes out on top.
5) West Coast bias is starting to cloud judgement...yeah...you heard me.
I'm sure some people will come down on me here but I'm gonna say it. Slow down on the Pac10 talk. They've joined the party, but nothing special. Top to bottom, the Pac 10 has a very good Oregon team with a dynamic offense (and no defense); a good Stanford team that will only go as far as Luck takes them; a stout Arizona team that is the only team out there that plays defense (and will still play a major factor in the conference); and....well not much else. USC was gutted by sanctions and have already shown vulnerabilities; UCLA went on the road and exposed Texas (good win) but lost to Kansas St.; Washington beat USC in their house but got destroyed out of conference; Oregon St is the most overrated of them all getting beat by TCU and Boise (good teams) but catching them on bad nights--not to mention squeaking by Louisville at home; Cal got smoked by Nevada; Arizona St. had a stellar special teams unit they gave them a chance to pull off the upset in Madison but fell short with no offense; and Washington St is a train wreck.
All the 'east coast' reporters are quick to laud the Pac 10's 'reemergence' as the 'second best conference'. They're just pandering to the crowd to show how they've always been a supporter (false) so more people will read their column. This refers to point 4: this brought them back into the top tier, but can you really say they're better? The answer is no.
I know SECSPN would rip me for this but it's the truth. There is immense talent in that league without a doubt and I would never say something bad about Saban (for fear of my life--note: he's the exception), but this weekend was an embarassment of coaching in that league. It's gotten to the point where the coaches (and interested media partners--looking at you worldwide leader---and CBS) spend more time talking up the conference to create a false excuse for the horrible blunders from the sideline. Les Miles finishes a game for which he should be fired and his comment is "Just another day in the SEC." I guess one interpretation would be a slam on the mediocrity of the conference and horrid coaching (sans Bama).
Let's start with the minor infraction by a coach considered 'one of the best', Mr. Urban Meyer. The Gator's have been the poster child of the SEC for the last 5 years or so (Praise Tebow), but their time has come and there's a new leader in town. The torch was passed last year in the SEC championship to the Tide. The beatdown in Tuscaloosa was more evidence of this phenomenon. Regardless of this transition, Meyer doesn't want to let go of Tebow. You know the play to which I'm referring. 4th and goal, 1st quarter, down 7-0 and Meyer calls the Tebow special: the jump pass. Look, I think the right call was to take the points, but if you want to go for it, fine. Worst case scenario is Bama gets the ball on the 1...or not. Jump pass is read by the Bama coaches before the play and Trey Burton (termed Tebow-Lite...tipping your hand maybe?) throws the pick in the endzone to not only give up the points, but also gives Bama favorable field position. Urban needs to realize that they need to play with an underdog mentality again even though it's been 40 games since they've been the underdog.
Now, to the abomination of the weekend. Baton Rouge featured the showdown for dumbest coach in America (won by the well-known Derek Dooley--who?). I was so excited when I saw Les Miles ineptitude bite him by substituting his whole offense with 10 seconds to go, snapping before the team was set, recovering the fumble, and the clock expiring. Hooray! He got his comeuppance....but wait. Dooley and his assistants sent 13 Vols on the field for the final play of ineptitude. Note: these extra defenders didn't influence the play at all. Dooley hands Miles another untimed down on which they score to end the game. In the words of Jerry Palm, CBS writer, "It's hard to out-dumb Les Miles, but if you don't put your mind to it, it can be done. Without referring to the myraid official failures on this play (1. not staying over the ball until UT had a chance to substitute which is allowed by rule, 2. not calling the personal foul for the LSU player spiking his helmet after his coach screwed them, perhaps I should stop there), both of these coaches better get either fired or severely questioned by their alumni/athletic director. Dooley is almost certainly an interim coach after the Lane Kiffin debaucle, but Miles better watch it.
2) The Heisman race is not over regardless of the media's perception
Watching ESPN and reading all kinds of coverage of college football, the 2010 Heisman Trophy has already been engraved with Denard Robinson. While he is absolutely the frontrunner (undefeated team, stunning video game numbers, dual threat QB, leadership, etc.), it is the first week of October.
What if Robinson trips over a curb tomorrow and breaks a leg? He's out.
He is the UM offense so he takes a ton of hits. What if he breaks when someone catches him (which most likely will happen)? He's out.
What if they play a real defense that knows how to tackle (see the next...oh 7 weeks)? He's out.
What if his team hits a losing skid and ends the season 6-6 or 7-5 (very possible)? He's out.
What if another candidate has a great stretch that sends his team into the title talk? He's out.
There is way too much time to call this a done deal when there are so many different scenarios still to come.
3) Everyone blaming the BCS for Boise's falling need to critically examine the situation instead of the knee jerk reaction.
So many people in the media have ambushed the AP poll and the coaches poll for jumping Oregon over Boise in the latest poll. Oregon has the best win outside of Bama of those high ranked teams and are deserving of jumping as high as 2 in the latest poll (this coming from a Buckeye fan). By saying this, I want to temper the statement by saying if OSU goes to Wisconsin and Iowa and wins both of those (impressively or not), they will deserve to jump back to number 2--Bama is still 1 until they lose, they've earned it.
Most of the talk I hear is centered on the 'outrage' that Boise can get jumped while thumping the horrid teams in their conference. Many blame the BCS to find an outlet that is in no way related to the argument. With or without the BCS, ordering happens based on who you beat and how you beat them. That's the nature of ordering. A playoff is supposed to heal all wounds in this scenario, but what happens if 2 non-conference champions round out the top 8? Right now it's Boise and TCU in the playoff. Are you suggesting that an uproar wouldn't come from Arizona, Michigan (State and Wolverines), Oklahoma, and the multitude of undefeated teams...not to mention the one loss teams vs. the top opponents? The sad truth is that every system misses something. A playoff makes us feel good about Boise and gives them 'their shot' but do they deserve a shot? Of course! Do they deserve it over many other teams? Not as clear.
My major point of contention is that the same people 'up in arms' about this are those who rail against preseason rankings for their 'bias' and affect on the championship picture. Let's look at it critically. Boise was number 3 in the preseason and everyone complained that they have no chance to jump into the top 2 without a top 2 team losing because of the horrible, evil, very-bad, no-good, rotten pollsters who vote with the sole intention of screwing Idaho. Yet, these same people say how wrong it is for an accomplished Oregon team who beat a good Stanford team to jump a Boise St. that has no wins of that caliber. It's a ludicrous double standard. If you want Boise to have the opportunity for moving up based on their body of work, they must also have the ability to move down based upon their body of work. The sad truth is this: Boise's does not have a win as good as any team above them (yes, OSU's win over Miami is better than Boise's over VT by a hair). The sadder truth is that they will not have a better win by season's end as their next best game is against the powerhouse Wolfpack of Nevada (I'm aware they played Oregon State and I stand by my statement).
Here's my solution. Keep the preseason rankings. They're fun and always a point of contention. But from week to week, the voters (coaches, media, and Harris) must be willing to allow the poll to fluctuate based on the entire body of work. The idea of you own the position until you lose is outdated and must go...unfortunately, there's about zero chance of that happening so we'll have to keep arguing here.
I'm so sick of everyone's absolutely defiant opinions about which conference is the best. Here it is, the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth: NO CONFERENCE IS CLEARLY BETTER THAN ANOTHER IN THE BIG 4 (SEC, Pac 10, Big 12, Big Ten)--sorry Big East, you're terrible and sorry ACC but you just don't have the juggernaut this year--very competitive, but no standout. The Big 12 is hanging on by a thread with OU and Nebraska but Texas is really hurting.
The SEC is the de facto because they've been top heavy these last few years with Alabama and Florida (and LSU a few years back). Now, it's Bama at the top, UF, Ark, LSU, SC, and Aub in the ok but still haven't proved anything yet, and the rest is trash. The Big Ten has OSU at the top, Iowa, Wisc, MSU, UM, PSU, and NW in the ok but nothing proven and trash. The Big 12 is pretty much OU and Neb with some stragglers (what happened to Texas). And finally, the Pac 10 is getting way too much love...more to come (see point 5). Stop trying to order them because each conference has it's goods, oks, and citgos (bad). Just enjoy the game and see which team plays harder and comes out on top.
5) West Coast bias is starting to cloud judgement...yeah...you heard me.
I'm sure some people will come down on me here but I'm gonna say it. Slow down on the Pac10 talk. They've joined the party, but nothing special. Top to bottom, the Pac 10 has a very good Oregon team with a dynamic offense (and no defense); a good Stanford team that will only go as far as Luck takes them; a stout Arizona team that is the only team out there that plays defense (and will still play a major factor in the conference); and....well not much else. USC was gutted by sanctions and have already shown vulnerabilities; UCLA went on the road and exposed Texas (good win) but lost to Kansas St.; Washington beat USC in their house but got destroyed out of conference; Oregon St is the most overrated of them all getting beat by TCU and Boise (good teams) but catching them on bad nights--not to mention squeaking by Louisville at home; Cal got smoked by Nevada; Arizona St. had a stellar special teams unit they gave them a chance to pull off the upset in Madison but fell short with no offense; and Washington St is a train wreck.
All the 'east coast' reporters are quick to laud the Pac 10's 'reemergence' as the 'second best conference'. They're just pandering to the crowd to show how they've always been a supporter (false) so more people will read their column. This refers to point 4: this brought them back into the top tier, but can you really say they're better? The answer is no.
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
5 Things We've Learned--Week 4
1) The Big East is absolutely horrible and doesn't deserve a BCS bid
So much of the media focus is on the ACC and their struggles, but the real problem of the AQ (auto-qualifying conferences) is the Big East. Comparatively, the ACC is a powerhouse. In the ACC, FSU seems to have rebounded nicely from the shellacking received from OU in Norman, VT is bouncing back from the JMU fiasco, NC State is a surprising 4-0, UNC would be good if their whole team was on the field rather than in prison, Miami came out and wiped Pitt out on the road after losing to OSU, the stories go on and on.
Now, the Big East on the other hand is a total mess. UConn was destroyed in the Big House, WVU struggled to beat Marshall in OT, and Cincy fought OU but lost just the same (and they lost to Fresno as well). The marquee conference win up to this point is the stunner of WVU over Maryland.
Here are the numbers and they speak for themselves (and will get the non-AQ conferences in an absolute uproar).
Big East vs. teams from automatic qualifying conferences: 1-10
Big East vs. FBS (Div 1-A) teams: 6-13
And the one bright spot:
Big East vs. FCS (Div 1-AA) teams: 9-0 (Yay! They might win the lower division!)
It's unbelieveable how bad they are and no one says anything.
To get the blood boiling more, think about this, one of these teams (Syracuse, WVU, Rutgers, USF, UConn, Louisville, Pitt, or Cincy) will be in a BCS bowl while at least one (usually 2) from each group of 3 will be left out: OSU, Wisc, Iowa; Stanford, Oregon, Arizona; OU, Texas, Nebraska; Florida, Alabama, Auburn. A playoff isn't needed to 'fix' the BCS, but perhaps it's time to trim the fluff.
2) Alabama and OSU are really good
As a student at THE Ohio State University, I'm a little biased but you can see from my grades of OSU that I'm very critical. OSU absolutely demolished every team this year (Miami was close for about a half--and yes I realize the other opponents were terrible) and their only weaknesses readily apparent are special teams and a consistant running game (but our QB scramble game makes it tough for any defense).
Alabama has cruised until the scare this week against Arkansas but was there really any doubt? As the scores flashed on the video board in Columbus and a cheer went up, I was very stoic, urging caution. I fully expected a team with Bama's weapons would come back. Arkansas is a very good team, but they just don't match up enough on defense to stop the Tide. As the game progressed, my caution appeared warranted (don't get me wrong, I'd like them to lose...but I really don't want Boise to get a shot because it's not right). I expect the problems of the Tide were fixed at halftime with Nick Saban threatening to kill puppies if his defense didn't wake up and hit someone. It obviously worked and now they sit undefeated with another big one this week.
3) The difference between the mid-majors and the BCS conferences (in general) is depth
My crazy, off-the-wall upset pick last week had Bernard Pierce and the Temple Owls defeating the Penn State Nittany Lions in Happy Valley. As the first half progressed, I was feeling pretty darn good about it as the scores kept flashing up in Ohio Stadium with Temple TDs vs. PSU FGs. After halftime, I noticed the Temple points completely dried up which left me wondering how a promising pick went awry.
While watching College Gameday Final (and their absolutely horrid Few Good Men parody), I discovered the flaw in my pick: it hinged on Pierce playing the whole game. It appeared Al Golden's Owl defense stifled the Lions and continually held them to FGs while Pierce run wild, but the injury bug bit around halftime and the dreams of upset died there. Without Pierce, Temple couldn't move the ball and were forced into a subpar passing game which flip field and led to turnovers.
In most BCS conferences, when 'the guy' goes down, there's someone ready in the wings to take the reins and give it a shot, but at Temple (and most other little schools) there's just a huge drop between the starters and the backups. Don't get me wrong, if OSU lost Pryor, we'd pretty much be screwed, but if Herron or Saine twisted an ankle, there are always Hall and Berry capable of moving the ball. Look at Bama. They lost a Heisman winning RB to injury and Trent Richardson smoked the competition in his absence. One guy makes a HUGE difference in the upset bids and midmajor conference races.
4) Just playing a BCS conference opponent doesn't make the game tougher
Many people jumped all over the Boise/Oregon State game as the big hurdle for Boise. Gameday was there and praise was heaped on the Beavers as a worthy opponent. If Boise could clear this evil BCS foe, they'd be ready. Here's a secret, Oregon State is really overrated. The Rodgers brothers are nice, but the quarterback is trash and the defense is a sieve. Boise's win over VT was a quality win and it will be shown as the season progresses and VT remembers they don't suck, but the Oregon State win will mean less and less as time goes on. The Pac 10 is full of midlevel talent teams and a few who have looked excellent so far (Stanford, Oregon, Arizona to a lesser extent). I wouldn't be surprised is Oregon State finishes in the lower half of the conference.
Another example is jumping on OSU for playing Ohio and EMU. Editor's note: These teams don't just suck, they're black holes of suck. I realize this. What everyone is forgetting is that every team has these garbage opponents. A lot of praise was heaped on Bama and Mark Ingram for destroying a BCS opponent in week 3. It was Duke. The Blue Devils would struggle with these crap MAC teams. Look at the team, not the conference. Realize that there are quality non-AQ teams (Boise, TCU, Utah, AF, Nevada) and suck BCS teams (Purdue, Minn, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Duke, Wake, Kansas, Baylor, Washington State, UCLA--oops sorry Texas, the whole Big East) .
5) Oklahoma is the most confusing team ever
Look at the results:
Week 1: Squeak by Utah State (bad)
Week 2: Slaughter FSU
Week 3: Defeat AF by a score and get destroyed on the ground
Week 4: Survive a bad Cincinnati team on the road
Which team will we see this week? The destruction of my Noles is a quality win and beating AF no matter the score is a good thing, but Cincinnati and Utah State should have been demolished by this same team. Consistency is usually needed to win the title and Oklahoma is certainly not showing it now. Granted, it matters not how the games are won, but I would certainly not be stunned if OU drops a game that it shouldn't later this year. I expect them to blow out the Longhorns in Dallas, but watch for a let down game shortly thereafter. Remember Arizona's handling of Iowa to be follwed by a last sec TD to beat Cal (bad) 10-9?
Bonus---aka I forgot this last week
Big Ten (and in fact most of NCAA) has awful special teams
Ohio State, the marquee, thus far has had 1 punt returned, 2 kicks returned (1 called back), a blocked FG returned for TD, and a blocked punt along with mediocre to bad return/coverage teams. Wisconsin had 2.9999 kicks returned for TDs against them against ASU which would have cost them the game had the returner gotten 1 more yard before halftime. Iowa lost to Arizona following myriad special teams blunders including a blocked punt. Michigan survived the UMass scare following a blocked punt. Leaving the conference, Cincy might have pulled a monster upset had they not fumbled a punt inside the 20. This is a serious issue on which many coaches need to focus more effort. Very surprising that Tressel's mantra of field position and special teams appears to be falling on deaf ears.
So much of the media focus is on the ACC and their struggles, but the real problem of the AQ (auto-qualifying conferences) is the Big East. Comparatively, the ACC is a powerhouse. In the ACC, FSU seems to have rebounded nicely from the shellacking received from OU in Norman, VT is bouncing back from the JMU fiasco, NC State is a surprising 4-0, UNC would be good if their whole team was on the field rather than in prison, Miami came out and wiped Pitt out on the road after losing to OSU, the stories go on and on.
Now, the Big East on the other hand is a total mess. UConn was destroyed in the Big House, WVU struggled to beat Marshall in OT, and Cincy fought OU but lost just the same (and they lost to Fresno as well). The marquee conference win up to this point is the stunner of WVU over Maryland.
Here are the numbers and they speak for themselves (and will get the non-AQ conferences in an absolute uproar).
Big East vs. teams from automatic qualifying conferences: 1-10
Big East vs. FBS (Div 1-A) teams: 6-13
And the one bright spot:
Big East vs. FCS (Div 1-AA) teams: 9-0 (Yay! They might win the lower division!)
It's unbelieveable how bad they are and no one says anything.
To get the blood boiling more, think about this, one of these teams (Syracuse, WVU, Rutgers, USF, UConn, Louisville, Pitt, or Cincy) will be in a BCS bowl while at least one (usually 2) from each group of 3 will be left out: OSU, Wisc, Iowa; Stanford, Oregon, Arizona; OU, Texas, Nebraska; Florida, Alabama, Auburn. A playoff isn't needed to 'fix' the BCS, but perhaps it's time to trim the fluff.
2) Alabama and OSU are really good
As a student at THE Ohio State University, I'm a little biased but you can see from my grades of OSU that I'm very critical. OSU absolutely demolished every team this year (Miami was close for about a half--and yes I realize the other opponents were terrible) and their only weaknesses readily apparent are special teams and a consistant running game (but our QB scramble game makes it tough for any defense).
Alabama has cruised until the scare this week against Arkansas but was there really any doubt? As the scores flashed on the video board in Columbus and a cheer went up, I was very stoic, urging caution. I fully expected a team with Bama's weapons would come back. Arkansas is a very good team, but they just don't match up enough on defense to stop the Tide. As the game progressed, my caution appeared warranted (don't get me wrong, I'd like them to lose...but I really don't want Boise to get a shot because it's not right). I expect the problems of the Tide were fixed at halftime with Nick Saban threatening to kill puppies if his defense didn't wake up and hit someone. It obviously worked and now they sit undefeated with another big one this week.
3) The difference between the mid-majors and the BCS conferences (in general) is depth
My crazy, off-the-wall upset pick last week had Bernard Pierce and the Temple Owls defeating the Penn State Nittany Lions in Happy Valley. As the first half progressed, I was feeling pretty darn good about it as the scores kept flashing up in Ohio Stadium with Temple TDs vs. PSU FGs. After halftime, I noticed the Temple points completely dried up which left me wondering how a promising pick went awry.
While watching College Gameday Final (and their absolutely horrid Few Good Men parody), I discovered the flaw in my pick: it hinged on Pierce playing the whole game. It appeared Al Golden's Owl defense stifled the Lions and continually held them to FGs while Pierce run wild, but the injury bug bit around halftime and the dreams of upset died there. Without Pierce, Temple couldn't move the ball and were forced into a subpar passing game which flip field and led to turnovers.
In most BCS conferences, when 'the guy' goes down, there's someone ready in the wings to take the reins and give it a shot, but at Temple (and most other little schools) there's just a huge drop between the starters and the backups. Don't get me wrong, if OSU lost Pryor, we'd pretty much be screwed, but if Herron or Saine twisted an ankle, there are always Hall and Berry capable of moving the ball. Look at Bama. They lost a Heisman winning RB to injury and Trent Richardson smoked the competition in his absence. One guy makes a HUGE difference in the upset bids and midmajor conference races.
4) Just playing a BCS conference opponent doesn't make the game tougher
Many people jumped all over the Boise/Oregon State game as the big hurdle for Boise. Gameday was there and praise was heaped on the Beavers as a worthy opponent. If Boise could clear this evil BCS foe, they'd be ready. Here's a secret, Oregon State is really overrated. The Rodgers brothers are nice, but the quarterback is trash and the defense is a sieve. Boise's win over VT was a quality win and it will be shown as the season progresses and VT remembers they don't suck, but the Oregon State win will mean less and less as time goes on. The Pac 10 is full of midlevel talent teams and a few who have looked excellent so far (Stanford, Oregon, Arizona to a lesser extent). I wouldn't be surprised is Oregon State finishes in the lower half of the conference.
Another example is jumping on OSU for playing Ohio and EMU. Editor's note: These teams don't just suck, they're black holes of suck. I realize this. What everyone is forgetting is that every team has these garbage opponents. A lot of praise was heaped on Bama and Mark Ingram for destroying a BCS opponent in week 3. It was Duke. The Blue Devils would struggle with these crap MAC teams. Look at the team, not the conference. Realize that there are quality non-AQ teams (Boise, TCU, Utah, AF, Nevada) and suck BCS teams (Purdue, Minn, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Duke, Wake, Kansas, Baylor, Washington State, UCLA--oops sorry Texas, the whole Big East) .
5) Oklahoma is the most confusing team ever
Look at the results:
Week 1: Squeak by Utah State (bad)
Week 2: Slaughter FSU
Week 3: Defeat AF by a score and get destroyed on the ground
Week 4: Survive a bad Cincinnati team on the road
Which team will we see this week? The destruction of my Noles is a quality win and beating AF no matter the score is a good thing, but Cincinnati and Utah State should have been demolished by this same team. Consistency is usually needed to win the title and Oklahoma is certainly not showing it now. Granted, it matters not how the games are won, but I would certainly not be stunned if OU drops a game that it shouldn't later this year. I expect them to blow out the Longhorns in Dallas, but watch for a let down game shortly thereafter. Remember Arizona's handling of Iowa to be follwed by a last sec TD to beat Cal (bad) 10-9?
Bonus---aka I forgot this last week
Big Ten (and in fact most of NCAA) has awful special teams
Ohio State, the marquee, thus far has had 1 punt returned, 2 kicks returned (1 called back), a blocked FG returned for TD, and a blocked punt along with mediocre to bad return/coverage teams. Wisconsin had 2.9999 kicks returned for TDs against them against ASU which would have cost them the game had the returner gotten 1 more yard before halftime. Iowa lost to Arizona following myriad special teams blunders including a blocked punt. Michigan survived the UMass scare following a blocked punt. Leaving the conference, Cincy might have pulled a monster upset had they not fumbled a punt inside the 20. This is a serious issue on which many coaches need to focus more effort. Very surprising that Tressel's mantra of field position and special teams appears to be falling on deaf ears.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
5 Things We've Learned--Week 3
A few more interesting games than expected this week. Nothing ground-breaking this week, but I'll do my best.
1) There is a MAJOR lack of parity this year
Let's face it, there are 2 (maybe 3) good teams this year. Ohio State and Alabama are WAY ahead of the pack and to be honest, it will be a surprise if these 2 don't meet up in Glendale. Boise is trying their best, but with the schedule, there's absolutely NO way they just into the top two without some help (and that might mean 2 losses from the top). TCU is fine as well, but schedule is a problem there as well. With the Hawkeyes and Gators showing major chinks, the Bucks and Tide should cruise. Oregon and Texas could very well go undefeated as well(doubtful), but it just won't matter unless the preseason favorites keep winning.
Also, speaking of Boise, did you really need to throw that flea-flicker in on the 2nd possession against Wyoming? It's Wyoming. That's like OSU running a fumble-rooskie against EMU next week. I get it Boise, you need the limelight and no one believes you're deserving. Let me let you in on a little secret, you could win the rest of your games by seventy bajillion points and you won't sniff Glendale (for the Championship anyway) if Bama and OSU are undefeated. If you want to be one of the big boys, win it in a big boy way. No need to resort to tricks to show you can fool a middle/lower level Mtn West team. Boise looked like they could complete with VT but then again, so could JMU. Unfortunate, yes, but it is what it is. Joining the Mtn West is a good step, but you'll never reach the big time in a midmajor conference...and you'll never get into a major conference without improving other sports and, more importantly, your academics. Good luck against a middle of the road Oregon State...it's your last college opponent this year.
2) ESPN is relentlessly pushing their agenda
The SEC contract with ESPN is an absolute goldmine in more than just TV money. So far, College Gameday has been to 3 SEC games in 3 weeks. Week 1 was a big game and probably the best site so no complaints. Week 2, the UM-OSU rematch of the 2002 championship was bigger and had higher ranked opponents (PSU=bad) but Bama was 1 so whatever. Week 3, Auburn/Clemson? Really? Yeah, it went to overtime and was hard-hitting but the Iowa/Arizona game was bigger AND the teams were better AND it provided a nice spread of the country with a Pac 10/Big Ten matchup AND it was just as good of a game. The SEC gets the nod again because of the money ESPN has invested.
The SEC doesn't just reap the TV spotlight, it also gets a major PR boost. Again, everyone looks to the Worldwise Leader for their sports info so when Sportscenter says the SEC is leaps and bounds better than the rest, everyone believes it, including the AP voters, Harris voters, and coaches. This significantly skews the polls and therefore the shots at the national championship. Not only does ESPN push for the SEC, it also pushes the agenda of a college football playoff (which just isn't coming). Boise is put forward as the shunned 'little engine that could' that doesn't get a shot. They get shots, but winning the WAC is NOT ENOUGH to play for a championship. A one game season does not a champion make. The system we have is not perfect, but it is better than many of the proposed systems in the works. Lay off ESPN and cover the news, don't make it.
3) Coaches and players need to be help accountable for playing people with injuries/concussions
Ok. Let me make this clear. I do NOT support the NFL players and their quest for more money for 'playing injured'. This is a stupid argument. When you signed up to play football (for MILLIONS OF DOLLARS), you knew this involved getting the crap kicked out fo you by 350 lb men. That's why you were well compensated for the risk. If you don't like it, DON'T PLAY!! The league should, of course, protect players, but they're still getting blown up by 350 lb men!!!
What I'm talking about is taking players out of games when they're injured/concussed. I know that sounds crazy, but that's the simple answer. Jason Witten was benched in the Cowboys loss by the doctors and was visibly angry on the sideline screaming to get back into the game. The doctor made the right call benching him protecting the Cowboys investment.
Look on the flip side in the Clemson/Auburn game. The Clemson QB was knocked silly by the Auburn defense and had no clue where he was. He was in serious pain and could have been even more injured by reentering the game. What did Dabo do? Put him back into the hardest hitting game of the year. He was in serious pain on every snap that was immediately obvious to anyone watching the game. The outcome surely resulted in the greatest fallen warrior comeback story ever, right? Nope, Auburn won in OT despite the play of the 'courageous' (translated: stupid)QB. (Note: For those who don't know me, I HATE when sports commentators use the word 'courageous' in regards to sports--military personnel fighting for our freedom are 'courageous', single mothers working 4 jobs to feed her family while spending time with their children are 'courageous', trying to get a piece of leather across a line is NOT 'courageous') If coaches truly care about their players, they would never put a players career/future on the line to win a game NO MATTER THE COST. A coach who cares more about a player than winning is who I want coaching my kids some day, especially in college.
4) Michigan...THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGH THEY WERE
Thank you Wolverines for proving my point. Mediocrity looks to be right around the corner. Yes, Denard Robinson is explosive and exciting, but there's no way he can carry them on his back the whole season. The defense is atrocious and once opposing defense realize that they're playing 11 on 1 (Robinson), it's just going to get easier and easier. UMass (yeah Div 1-AA--yeah I said it) just gave a blueprint on how to beat Michigan. It may not happen next week (Bowling Green), or the next (Indiana), but the writing is on the wall. Looks like we're getting more of the same from good ole Rich Rod.
5) The MAC is really, really bad (really)
I was at the massacre in the Shoe on Sat and it was just as ugly as it appeared on TV. Ohio was completely drubbed up and down the field. Their last minute touchdown (I think) was against our 9 (yeah we didn't put a full 1 out) best towel boys. It was just embarassing--I really started feeling (a little) bad for them at the end of the 1st half. Toledo (blown out by Arizona at home), Kent State (shut out by PSU), directional Michigans--tune in next week for those Eastern Michigan Eagles and their crapulence, NIU, Buffalo,... the list goes on and on and it's just horrible. It's looking like Temple (yeah, Bill Cosby's alma mater) could run away with the conference under RB Bernard Pierce (pun intended). This one could come down to the wire for the coveted Motor City Bowl berth. Maybe that's why they suck, no one in their right mind would consider a trip to Detroit something for which to strive.
1) There is a MAJOR lack of parity this year
Let's face it, there are 2 (maybe 3) good teams this year. Ohio State and Alabama are WAY ahead of the pack and to be honest, it will be a surprise if these 2 don't meet up in Glendale. Boise is trying their best, but with the schedule, there's absolutely NO way they just into the top two without some help (and that might mean 2 losses from the top). TCU is fine as well, but schedule is a problem there as well. With the Hawkeyes and Gators showing major chinks, the Bucks and Tide should cruise. Oregon and Texas could very well go undefeated as well(doubtful), but it just won't matter unless the preseason favorites keep winning.
Also, speaking of Boise, did you really need to throw that flea-flicker in on the 2nd possession against Wyoming? It's Wyoming. That's like OSU running a fumble-rooskie against EMU next week. I get it Boise, you need the limelight and no one believes you're deserving. Let me let you in on a little secret, you could win the rest of your games by seventy bajillion points and you won't sniff Glendale (for the Championship anyway) if Bama and OSU are undefeated. If you want to be one of the big boys, win it in a big boy way. No need to resort to tricks to show you can fool a middle/lower level Mtn West team. Boise looked like they could complete with VT but then again, so could JMU. Unfortunate, yes, but it is what it is. Joining the Mtn West is a good step, but you'll never reach the big time in a midmajor conference...and you'll never get into a major conference without improving other sports and, more importantly, your academics. Good luck against a middle of the road Oregon State...it's your last college opponent this year.
2) ESPN is relentlessly pushing their agenda
The SEC contract with ESPN is an absolute goldmine in more than just TV money. So far, College Gameday has been to 3 SEC games in 3 weeks. Week 1 was a big game and probably the best site so no complaints. Week 2, the UM-OSU rematch of the 2002 championship was bigger and had higher ranked opponents (PSU=bad) but Bama was 1 so whatever. Week 3, Auburn/Clemson? Really? Yeah, it went to overtime and was hard-hitting but the Iowa/Arizona game was bigger AND the teams were better AND it provided a nice spread of the country with a Pac 10/Big Ten matchup AND it was just as good of a game. The SEC gets the nod again because of the money ESPN has invested.
The SEC doesn't just reap the TV spotlight, it also gets a major PR boost. Again, everyone looks to the Worldwise Leader for their sports info so when Sportscenter says the SEC is leaps and bounds better than the rest, everyone believes it, including the AP voters, Harris voters, and coaches. This significantly skews the polls and therefore the shots at the national championship. Not only does ESPN push for the SEC, it also pushes the agenda of a college football playoff (which just isn't coming). Boise is put forward as the shunned 'little engine that could' that doesn't get a shot. They get shots, but winning the WAC is NOT ENOUGH to play for a championship. A one game season does not a champion make. The system we have is not perfect, but it is better than many of the proposed systems in the works. Lay off ESPN and cover the news, don't make it.
3) Coaches and players need to be help accountable for playing people with injuries/concussions
Ok. Let me make this clear. I do NOT support the NFL players and their quest for more money for 'playing injured'. This is a stupid argument. When you signed up to play football (for MILLIONS OF DOLLARS), you knew this involved getting the crap kicked out fo you by 350 lb men. That's why you were well compensated for the risk. If you don't like it, DON'T PLAY!! The league should, of course, protect players, but they're still getting blown up by 350 lb men!!!
What I'm talking about is taking players out of games when they're injured/concussed. I know that sounds crazy, but that's the simple answer. Jason Witten was benched in the Cowboys loss by the doctors and was visibly angry on the sideline screaming to get back into the game. The doctor made the right call benching him protecting the Cowboys investment.
Look on the flip side in the Clemson/Auburn game. The Clemson QB was knocked silly by the Auburn defense and had no clue where he was. He was in serious pain and could have been even more injured by reentering the game. What did Dabo do? Put him back into the hardest hitting game of the year. He was in serious pain on every snap that was immediately obvious to anyone watching the game. The outcome surely resulted in the greatest fallen warrior comeback story ever, right? Nope, Auburn won in OT despite the play of the 'courageous' (translated: stupid)QB. (Note: For those who don't know me, I HATE when sports commentators use the word 'courageous' in regards to sports--military personnel fighting for our freedom are 'courageous', single mothers working 4 jobs to feed her family while spending time with their children are 'courageous', trying to get a piece of leather across a line is NOT 'courageous') If coaches truly care about their players, they would never put a players career/future on the line to win a game NO MATTER THE COST. A coach who cares more about a player than winning is who I want coaching my kids some day, especially in college.
4) Michigan...THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGH THEY WERE
Thank you Wolverines for proving my point. Mediocrity looks to be right around the corner. Yes, Denard Robinson is explosive and exciting, but there's no way he can carry them on his back the whole season. The defense is atrocious and once opposing defense realize that they're playing 11 on 1 (Robinson), it's just going to get easier and easier. UMass (yeah Div 1-AA--yeah I said it) just gave a blueprint on how to beat Michigan. It may not happen next week (Bowling Green), or the next (Indiana), but the writing is on the wall. Looks like we're getting more of the same from good ole Rich Rod.
5) The MAC is really, really bad (really)
I was at the massacre in the Shoe on Sat and it was just as ugly as it appeared on TV. Ohio was completely drubbed up and down the field. Their last minute touchdown (I think) was against our 9 (yeah we didn't put a full 1 out) best towel boys. It was just embarassing--I really started feeling (a little) bad for them at the end of the 1st half. Toledo (blown out by Arizona at home), Kent State (shut out by PSU), directional Michigans--tune in next week for those Eastern Michigan Eagles and their crapulence, NIU, Buffalo,... the list goes on and on and it's just horrible. It's looking like Temple (yeah, Bill Cosby's alma mater) could run away with the conference under RB Bernard Pierce (pun intended). This one could come down to the wire for the coveted Motor City Bowl berth. Maybe that's why they suck, no one in their right mind would consider a trip to Detroit something for which to strive.
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