Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Bowl Pick Bonus - The Dirty Half-Dozen
1) Draper 48-22 (7-8 upset)
1) Hoying 48-22 (4-11 upset)
3) Schweinfurth 46-24 (6-9 upset)
4) Seeberg 45-25 (2-13 upset)
Bowl creep continues. Not only are there 38 total postseason exhibition games, not counting the +1 National Championship Playoff Final, but we've expanded from 4 BCS games to 5 BCS games to 6...New Year's Eve and Day Super Important Games (TM). We'll pick the championship once 2015 arrives, but here's a six-pack of picks to last you until then.
Peach Bowl: Ole Miss Rebels vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Draper: The deciding factor will be TCU's mindset heading into the game. Yeah, they were left out of the playoff. Is this a moment to prove themselves or one in which they just don't care? TCU had this opportunity with the Ginger Ninja playing in the orange and black and took down the Badgers in the Rose Bowl so I think Coach Patterson will get the troops ready to go. This is a game for Treyvone Boykin to show off. The LandShark defense is for real and will rear its ugly head, but the TCU D is no slouch either. I actually think this is more low scoring than my counterparts, but I agree on the outcome. Rebels: 20--TCU: 24
Hoying: PEACHES AIN'T SPORTS, except in the thankfully classically-renamed Peach Bowl. What better way to kick off New Year's Eve than with a mismatch? Ole Miss hasn't been the same worldbeater since Laquon Treadwell's heartbreaking (and leg-breaking) injury against Auburn. However, as my colleagues note, this game will hinge on whether TCU comes out pouting because they got left out of the playoff (see Alabama last year) or with their hair ablaze, ready to prove to a skeptical world that they belonged after all. If it's the latter, watch out. The nation's top defense won't know what hit them. Heisman-invite worthy QB Trevone Boykin and company will be scoring early and often. The Rebel forces can't repel firepower of that magnitude! Rebels: 31--TCU: 45
Schweinfurth: How overrated is the Big 12 this year? This game (and the Cotton Bowl) will bear this out. TCU has a ridiculous offense this year. Ole Miss has Bo Wallace. Saying that, both defenses are about equal. I will take TCU and Trevone Boykin. Rebels: 28--TCU: 42
Seeberg: Ole Miss saved their New Year's Eve and Day Super Important Games (TM) chances with a nice win in the Egg Bowl. Meanwhile, TCU got bumped from the playoff after the Buckeyes' thrashing of Wiscy. This game likely will come down to how motivated TCU is to be in this game after the disappointment of being left out of the playoff. If TCU comes out flat they could struggle to get into double digits on offense against the Rebels' stout D, but I think they will play with anger and purpose and finish off a great season with another W. Rebels: 20--TCU: 28
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State Broncos vs. Arizona Wildcats
Draper: Mr. Hoying and I were two of the VERY few people who believed in the Little Blue Engine that Could in 2007 as the Broncos took down the mighty Sooners. This Boise State team is a shadow of the Zabransky 'juggernaut'. Zona is a weird team that ended a fantastic season with a whimper getting stomped by Oregon. RichRod's boys can fly around the field, but they usually have inferior athletes. Not so in this case. Scooby Wright and Anu Solomon will control both sides of the ball as the Fiesta pays back the Broncos. Boise: 24--Zona: 41
Hoying: Poor, poor Fiesta Bowl. The bowl selection white elephant took a big steaming dump in the desert, plopping down 2-loss Boise State to face DickRod's Destroyers. Were he still coaching Michigan, I'd believe Rodriguez could find a way to cHoke this one away, but the Wildcats are very much a program on the rise and are solid enough in all phases of the game (except game-winning field goals). All-American LB Scooby Wright will snack on star Bronco RB Jay Ajayi, while Arizona's freshman QB Solomon will push the Wildcats another step forward toward Anu era of success. Boise: 20--Zona: 34
Schweinfurth: Why is Boise State playing in one of the "New Year's Six" games? This game will only be watchable to see how many points Arizona puts up. This game will be on in the background. Boise: 17--Zona: 45
Seeberg: Let's be clear, this is NOT your father's Arizona Wildcats football program. Rich-Rod has them playing solid football in the second best conference in the country. Meanwhile, this is also NOT your older brother's Boise State team. Other than a nice win over Colorado State, the Broncos have beaten nobody of note and are unlikely to be able to do enough to slow down the Wildcats' potent O. Arizona posts their first relevant bowl win in, well, literally forever (seriously, they're the only original PAC-10/12 team to never even PLAY in the Rose Bowl, let alone win it). Boise: 24--Zona: 38
Orange Bowl: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Draper: This bowl game is quite intriguing. The Bulldogs faltered down the stretch but are still enormously talented. The Yellow Jackets are a one trick pony....but what a trick! Paul Johnson shows that if you commit to something wholeheartedly, you can still have success even if the technique is outdated. The Jackets potent option attack is a 'you-know-what' to stop, but the Bulldogs are really good on D. Oh yeah, Dak and the Bowling ball are good enough to roll over the overmatched Jacket D. Georgia Tech will frustrate the crap out of the MSU defense, but they won't be able to stop Dak Prescott. MSU: 38--GT: 27
Hoying: Remember when, during the month of October, and for the first time ever, the entire college football world revolved around the state of Mississippi? Since then, the shine's come off the apple a bit in Stark Vegas, but a BCS (New Year's One-of-Six? What do you call one of these non-playoff games?) bowl win would still be a huge jump forward for the program. We're about to find out just how good of a coach Dan Mullen really is. You know what Georgia Tech's going to do. You know they will do it very well. You know you have the athletes that can stop them. Can you figure out a way to get it done, with a month to prepare? Since Mullen seems to be one of the hottest young coaches in the game, and was trained by the best (Corch Irvin Meyers), I have high hopes for the Bulldogs to take this one. MSU: 31--GT: 17
Schweinfurth: Georgia Tech runs that tricky triple option offense. However, it's really only tricky if you don't have time to prepare for it. News flash, Mississippi St has had around 3 weeks to prep for this game. The only problem with the triple option is falling behind early. I think that's what happens in this game. GT keeps it somewhat close but just can't keep up with that run heavy offense. MSU: 35--GT: 31
Seeberg: This game is not getting nearly the attention it deserves. GT is a mere eight points away from being undefeated this year while the Bulldogs lost by just five to Bama. A win in that de facto SEC title game likely would have secured their spot in the playoff regardless of the Egg Bowl outcome. The triple option is a nightmare to prepare for, but the extra prep time for a bowl game will certainly help the Bulldogs. In a game likely to be close, the Yellow Jackets' one-dimensional offense may be their undoing (see Florida State). Bulldogs win a tight one. MSU: 34--GT: 27
Cotton Bowl: Michigan State Spartans vs. Baylor Bears
Draper: Another game about 'who want to be here?' I've been pretty consistent on the Sparty is overrated front all year. Yeah, the D is pretty good, but not as good as last year's No Fly Zone. The Offense...eh.... Connor Cook and Langford are nice pieces and Tony Lippett is the real deal, but that's about it. Bryce Petty has been phenomenal all year with the Baylor fast paced attack. Looking at the resume, Baylor has a clear advantage as they've actually won a game vs. a decent team (sorry Nebraska). I feel the unstoppable force vs. the immovable goes to the force. Despite the mantra of defense wins championships, a great offense beats a great defense more often than not these days. I think the Spartans get into a track meet...which is not what they're designed for. Sparty NO!! MSU: 41--Baylor: 48
Hoying: Can Sparty really handle success? There's been a conspicuous dearth of "Sparty, NO!" moments since the refs stole the Notre Dame game from State's grasp last season, but they haven't really beaten anyone of consequence since last year's Rose Bowl win. Two marquee opponents, two faceplants. Baylor's probably kicking themselves that they didn't get a chance at MSU during the regular season, since beating Sparty seems to punch a ticket to the playoff. Alas... This game has the same X-factor as the Peach Bowl: can Baylor shrug off a snub? Whereas TCU was able to graciously accept a Rose Bowl berth after an undefeated 2010 season, and come away with a win over a tough Wisconsin squad, Baylor dealt with last season's title chase stumble by Bortling all over themselves in a loss to Central freaking Florida. With all the foaming at the mouth Art Briles did in his December rants against the Big 12 Commissioner and the Playoff Committee, I'll be surprised if he has anything left to motivate his team for this one. Sparty YES! MSU: 35--Baylor: 34
Schweinfurth: Both of these teams can put up points, that much is undeniable. However, Baylor does not have a defense. I really expect Connor Cook to flat light up the Bear's defense. MSU's defense will have a tough time with the Bear offense, but they should get a stop or two. That will be the difference in this game. MSU: 42--Baylor: 35
Seeberg: Ah yes, "Big 12 team who thinks they should be in the playoff" part two. Baylor laid a big fat egg in their last bowl game, giving up a whopping 52 points to Blake Bortles and UCF. They may have some extra motivation this year to prove they belonged in the playoffs, but they're also playing a much better team in Michigan State, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Art Briles went all Andrew Jackson nepotism, promoting his son to offensive coordinator, and Dantonio and Co. should have some interesting wrinkles to throw at Briles, Jr. Sparty gets a second consecutive high-profile bowl win. Sparty: 42--Baylor: 28
Rose Bowl: Oregon Ducks vs. Florida State Seminoles
Draper: I've got a weird feeling about this playoff-possibly, due to my alma mater-but I think FSU has something to say. Every game has been a nail-biter it seems, but they always seem to 'escape'. Eventually, it's not escaping but winning. Winston has yet to play a complete game this year but many fantastic halves. This is the game in which he blows up. The Seminole D hasn't been good due to injuries piling up all year, but many will return for the Rose Bowl. Oregon has trouble with complete teams that can play both sides of the ball (OSU, Stanford, Auburn,etc.). While FSU's D is not the same as last year's squad, they have the athletes to disrupt any team. The loss of Ifo Ekpre-Olomu will loom large as Winston shows why NFL scouts will prefer him to the Duck counterpart. Mariota is fantastic and will be a nice pro for 5-10 years, but Jameis has superstar talent...if he can stay clean. This will be the shock of the bowl season to most, but I'm going with the Noles. I've got a feeling... UO: 31--FSU: 41
Hoying: Another classic Rose Bowl matchup: Pac-12 vs. ACC. Somehow, Florida State still has not lost a game since Obama's first term, but their style points make 2002 Ohio State look like 2001 Miami. Oregon exorcised some demons in their Blowout...err...Championship Saturday win over Arizona, but do they have the weapons to bring a 29-game win streak to an end? Bluntly, yes. The Ducks feature a high-powered balanced offensive attack behind dual-threat Super Mariota and talented RB Royce Freeman, and I don't think anyone is about to forget what the Duck D did to a terrific Wildcat attack on December 5th. Jameis has been playing with fire all season, actively hurting his team in the first half only to ride to astounding heroics late. Problem is, this only works if you can stop your opponent for a few drives, and this year's Seminole D is like the Chicago Bears compared against last year's Seattle Seahawk-level juggernaut. Root hard for Florida State, Buckeye Nation, but this Duck Hunt will leave the dog laughing all day long. UO: 45--FSU: 31
Schweinfurth: Which Heisman QB will shine the brightest? That is the question everyone is asking. Winston has been giving the ball away like Oprah gives away gifts (you get a pick and you get a pick...). If Winston throws 2 or more this time, game over. The Ducks will make the Noles pay. I expect a good game and a FSU comeback, but Oregon's powerful offense is just too much. UO: 35--Noles:31
Seeberg: For weeks us Buckeye fans were convinced a Seminole loss was our only shot to get into the playoff. Now, we must ironically root for them to beat Oregon because, in my opinion, the Ducks are the best team in the country. If this game is anywhere close in the fourth quarter, I genuinely believe that (in)famous Jameis will find a way to win it. The only problem is that the Ducks aren't going to allow it to be that close. Mariota inches closer to equaling Winston's resume with a Heisman and a ring. Ducks: 43--Noles: 24
Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: Ah...another game, another alma mater. The Tide roll in as heavy favorites, but no team in the country is as hot right now as the Buckeyes. Cardale is on top of the world, but he needs to sharpen up a bit against Saban's defense. Blake Sims has been quite consistent during this year but he's been serviceable. Cooper, Henry, and Yeldon will shoulder the offensive load for the Tide while Jones, Elliot, and Smith work for the Bucks. A big part of this game will be decided on the lines. The team that gets pressure will grab the advantage. Bosa needs to dominate and the Buckeye O-line needs to keep Cardale clean. While the Tide have more experience, if the Bucks can avoid mistakes they can ride the youthful exuberance to Dallas. The B1G Championship was largely a case of willpower and refusal to let a repeat occur in Lucas Oil. This time, it's about strict execution. Meyer vs. Saban battles usually turn out something special. I think the Bucks are a year away, but 'I ain't no fake Buckeye!' Bama: 27--OSU: 31
Hoying: In January 1978, the top two coaches in the game led Ohio State and Alabama to a titanic clash in the Sugar Bowl. What happened? The Tide rolled the Buckeyes, 35-6, despite fumbling the ball 10 (!) times. Don't expect either result to occur this time, as these teams are much more easily matched than one of Bear's finest squads taking on fading Woody Hayes (also, ball control is a thing now). Where is Bama vulnerable? If the midseason is any indication, it's on offense. Blake Sims, while impressive, is still learning to be a QB (glad the Buckeyes don't have that problem...) and Super Amario can only do so much to bail him out. The Lucas Oil Massacre showed that the Silver Bullets could win a game with defense; now it's time for them to actually DO it for the first time since the 2012 Wisconsin game. On the other side of the ball, the Buckeyes will need a healthy dose of EzE churning out some yards and 12-gauge Cardale cocking and firing over the top of the Tide's weak safety play. Most importantly, the lines will have to impose their will upon the enemy, like they did against Michigan State and Wisconsin and did NOT do against Virginia Tech. This one's winnable. I feel lucky. The dynasty IS over! Bama: 24--OSU: 27
Schweinfurth: I am so ready for this one. This is not the Bama of the last few years. That secondary just doesn't have that killer instinct of the last few years. Alabama's offense looks like a one trick pony. Yes Amari Cooper is very good, but OSU's D has bottled up good receivers all year. Offensively, OSU knows what it has in Cardale Jones. Alabama has some garbage time against Illinois and the B1G Champ game. Not exactly a lot of film on 12 Gauge. This will be fun and I expect a lot of the same offensive formula that got Cardale into a rhythm early in the B1G Champ game. I trust the front 7 to get pressure on Sims. Finally, Urban Meyer is THE master motivator. Ohio State is a big underdog. Meyer doesn't lose at Ohio State as an underdog. This will be a pissed off OSU team coming out of the tunnel Thrusday night. Happy New Year! GO BUCKS!! Bama: 20--OSU: 28
Seeberg: Congratulations Buckeyes, you made the first EVER college football playoff! (You know, if you don't count any of the other divisions who have had playoffs for decades). Your prize? You get to play the best program of the last five years by a pretty sizable margin. Both coaches will have their teams supremely well-prepared for this game. I believe if these teams played ten teams, OSU wins 3, maybe 4. In a one-game-takes-all scenario though, things are different. Cardale will lead a couple of seamless drives thanks to some solid play-calling and in-game adjusting, but the difference in the game will be Amari Cooper. The Silver Bullets will have to devote a corner and a safety to containing him, which will leave enough gaps in the run game for Bama to have some success between the tackles. If Bosa, Bennett and Co. rattle Sims, which is possible, all bets are off, but Bama's O will make just enough plays to keep the Buckeyes at bay. An overachieving Buckeye squad falls just short, if a year ahead of schedule. Watch out for the 3-QB system in 2015! Bama: 31--Bucks: 21
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Week 1 Picks: A New Era
Boise State Broncos @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: I like the Spartans as a 'surprise' front runner in the B1G. Michigan has the flash, Wisconsin has the recent history, and the Bucks are ineligible. This is the time for the Spartans to forget who they are and actually break through. A new QB in green and white has a very nice security blanket in Le'veon Bell toting the rock. Boise burns me on this 1st game every year but this is a true road game and the smurfs don't have that special QB leading the way. MSU makes a statement by beating up the traditional "David". BSU: 17--MSU: 31
Hoying: Finally, the Bluegrass Boys get an out-of-conference opponent that will really challenge them. Michigan State has been on the rise over the past few seasons, and the boys in green and white would love a chance to make a statement to kick off what they hope is a Big Ten Championship season. Both of these have some questions, with both losing star senior QB's and Boise State missing practically all of last year's defense. The Spartans still have some playmakers, like RB Le'Veon Bell and DE William Gholston, but Bronco coach Chris Petersen lives for match-ups like this. Must be nice not to have to prepare for anyone else all year now that TCU's out of the Mountain West. Expect the whole bag of Bronco tricks to spill out as Boise shocks Sparty in East Lansing. BSU: 28--MSU: 27
Schweinfurth: This is Boise State's season this year. The one big match up that the Broncos look forward to. Like normal, I know nothing about Boise State coming into the season except that Keelen Moore is gone. Even with a "green" (yes, pun intended) QB under center, I think Michigan State is just the flat out better team. Only Ohio State has a better front 7 in the B1G and they have their way with the Broncos. Go State! BSU: 10--MSU: 35
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: ACC Coastal powers collide...sort of. I like the Hokies in the division but the Yellow Jackets option attack is ridiculously pesky. That being said, I don't know any of the backs at Tech. The option is tough to adjust to, but the lack of the absolute stud may be an issue. Logan Thomas is a great QB and should have a fantastic year as a dual threat. This is the start of his campaign. Blacksburg is always tough so advantage VT. GT: 17--VT: 27
Hoying: Why do teams play conference games in week 1? Too much at stake for early season jitters. Well, one Tech will start the season in a nice big hole. On paper, this looks like an easy win for VT. They beat the Yellow Jackets last year, the defense should continue to be impressive, the players are still all pissed off about ending last season with 2 miserable performances, and the game is in Blacksburg at night. So.....they win. GT: 10--VT: 27
Schweinfurth: These early season rivalry games are always a wild one and any night game in Blacksburg is bound to be insane. Georgia Tech's offense is always fun to watch with all of the pre-snap movement and triple option. Unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, the ACC is starting to catch up to "gimmiky" offense. Virgina Tech "Beamer Balls" their way to a win in this one. GT: 7--VT: 20
Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: Everyone's huge matchup of week one features the winningest college program of history vs. defending National Champion (with a history that's not too shabby). The Michigan defense is being lauded for their major 'strides' last year. If you watched the games, you'd realize that the defensive improvement is fools' gold. Yes, they've improved, but the defense is still soft (OSU went nuts on them and we sucked!). Robinson is electric but Bama is going to break him. Denard will try to throw for the win, but he just doesn't have the skill while running for his life. Bama wins solidly and the SEC chants echo into the night. Mich: 13--Bama: 27
Hoying: Two of the greatest football programs of all time square off in the premier matchup of kickoff Saturday. Alabama has been king of the college football landscape over the last few seasons, helped by that abomination of a do-over they got in last year's title game, while Corn and Blue are trying to prove they are back among the ranks of the elite. ScUM QB Denard Robinson has never seen a defense this dominant, not even when he got shut down by...nobody...in some beatdown in Columbus that apparently never happened. Look for Shoelace to throw a few picks before getting broken in half, while Tide QB AJ McCarron and friends expose the overrated Big Blue D. Not this year, Michigan. Not this year. UM: 13--Bama: 31
Schweinfurth: This game is a severely overrated team versus the defending national champs. Denard may be the most electrifying player in college football, but that Alabama defense is just down right nasty. In all honesty, I expect to see Robinson playing more wide receiver as the game rolls on, Gardner is just a better passer. TTUN lost a lot off that defense from last year as well and they will be exposed as a still building team. Alabama "rolls" in this one. TTUN: 6--Bama: 33
Miami (OH) Redhawks @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: And we're back. After a tumultuous year, the Bucks look to forget 2011 ever happened, make a statement in 2012, and, most importantly, use this as a springboard into 2013. The team is stacked on defensive line; so much so that every QB facing the Scarlet and Gray will spend most of the game in a fetal position. Miller is ready to break out under Meyer's system (so long as he stays healthy--but Guiton is ready in the wings). The running attack will be just fine, but the WR corps is a little weak. This game, this season, is all about Urban saying hello and putting the fear of God into the rest of the conference/nation. Sorry Redhawks.... MU: 10--OSU: 48
Hoying: Indiana State over Indiana
Schweinfurth: Ohio over Penn State (I promise I didn't copy Draper)
Tuesday, October 05, 2010
5 Things We've Learned--Week 5
I know SECSPN would rip me for this but it's the truth. There is immense talent in that league without a doubt and I would never say something bad about Saban (for fear of my life--note: he's the exception), but this weekend was an embarassment of coaching in that league. It's gotten to the point where the coaches (and interested media partners--looking at you worldwide leader---and CBS) spend more time talking up the conference to create a false excuse for the horrible blunders from the sideline. Les Miles finishes a game for which he should be fired and his comment is "Just another day in the SEC." I guess one interpretation would be a slam on the mediocrity of the conference and horrid coaching (sans Bama).
Let's start with the minor infraction by a coach considered 'one of the best', Mr. Urban Meyer. The Gator's have been the poster child of the SEC for the last 5 years or so (Praise Tebow), but their time has come and there's a new leader in town. The torch was passed last year in the SEC championship to the Tide. The beatdown in Tuscaloosa was more evidence of this phenomenon. Regardless of this transition, Meyer doesn't want to let go of Tebow. You know the play to which I'm referring. 4th and goal, 1st quarter, down 7-0 and Meyer calls the Tebow special: the jump pass. Look, I think the right call was to take the points, but if you want to go for it, fine. Worst case scenario is Bama gets the ball on the 1...or not. Jump pass is read by the Bama coaches before the play and Trey Burton (termed Tebow-Lite...tipping your hand maybe?) throws the pick in the endzone to not only give up the points, but also gives Bama favorable field position. Urban needs to realize that they need to play with an underdog mentality again even though it's been 40 games since they've been the underdog.
Now, to the abomination of the weekend. Baton Rouge featured the showdown for dumbest coach in America (won by the well-known Derek Dooley--who?). I was so excited when I saw Les Miles ineptitude bite him by substituting his whole offense with 10 seconds to go, snapping before the team was set, recovering the fumble, and the clock expiring. Hooray! He got his comeuppance....but wait. Dooley and his assistants sent 13 Vols on the field for the final play of ineptitude. Note: these extra defenders didn't influence the play at all. Dooley hands Miles another untimed down on which they score to end the game. In the words of Jerry Palm, CBS writer, "It's hard to out-dumb Les Miles, but if you don't put your mind to it, it can be done. Without referring to the myraid official failures on this play (1. not staying over the ball until UT had a chance to substitute which is allowed by rule, 2. not calling the personal foul for the LSU player spiking his helmet after his coach screwed them, perhaps I should stop there), both of these coaches better get either fired or severely questioned by their alumni/athletic director. Dooley is almost certainly an interim coach after the Lane Kiffin debaucle, but Miles better watch it.
2) The Heisman race is not over regardless of the media's perception
Watching ESPN and reading all kinds of coverage of college football, the 2010 Heisman Trophy has already been engraved with Denard Robinson. While he is absolutely the frontrunner (undefeated team, stunning video game numbers, dual threat QB, leadership, etc.), it is the first week of October.
What if Robinson trips over a curb tomorrow and breaks a leg? He's out.
He is the UM offense so he takes a ton of hits. What if he breaks when someone catches him (which most likely will happen)? He's out.
What if they play a real defense that knows how to tackle (see the next...oh 7 weeks)? He's out.
What if his team hits a losing skid and ends the season 6-6 or 7-5 (very possible)? He's out.
What if another candidate has a great stretch that sends his team into the title talk? He's out.
There is way too much time to call this a done deal when there are so many different scenarios still to come.
3) Everyone blaming the BCS for Boise's falling need to critically examine the situation instead of the knee jerk reaction.
So many people in the media have ambushed the AP poll and the coaches poll for jumping Oregon over Boise in the latest poll. Oregon has the best win outside of Bama of those high ranked teams and are deserving of jumping as high as 2 in the latest poll (this coming from a Buckeye fan). By saying this, I want to temper the statement by saying if OSU goes to Wisconsin and Iowa and wins both of those (impressively or not), they will deserve to jump back to number 2--Bama is still 1 until they lose, they've earned it.
Most of the talk I hear is centered on the 'outrage' that Boise can get jumped while thumping the horrid teams in their conference. Many blame the BCS to find an outlet that is in no way related to the argument. With or without the BCS, ordering happens based on who you beat and how you beat them. That's the nature of ordering. A playoff is supposed to heal all wounds in this scenario, but what happens if 2 non-conference champions round out the top 8? Right now it's Boise and TCU in the playoff. Are you suggesting that an uproar wouldn't come from Arizona, Michigan (State and Wolverines), Oklahoma, and the multitude of undefeated teams...not to mention the one loss teams vs. the top opponents? The sad truth is that every system misses something. A playoff makes us feel good about Boise and gives them 'their shot' but do they deserve a shot? Of course! Do they deserve it over many other teams? Not as clear.
My major point of contention is that the same people 'up in arms' about this are those who rail against preseason rankings for their 'bias' and affect on the championship picture. Let's look at it critically. Boise was number 3 in the preseason and everyone complained that they have no chance to jump into the top 2 without a top 2 team losing because of the horrible, evil, very-bad, no-good, rotten pollsters who vote with the sole intention of screwing Idaho. Yet, these same people say how wrong it is for an accomplished Oregon team who beat a good Stanford team to jump a Boise St. that has no wins of that caliber. It's a ludicrous double standard. If you want Boise to have the opportunity for moving up based on their body of work, they must also have the ability to move down based upon their body of work. The sad truth is this: Boise's does not have a win as good as any team above them (yes, OSU's win over Miami is better than Boise's over VT by a hair). The sadder truth is that they will not have a better win by season's end as their next best game is against the powerhouse Wolfpack of Nevada (I'm aware they played Oregon State and I stand by my statement).
Here's my solution. Keep the preseason rankings. They're fun and always a point of contention. But from week to week, the voters (coaches, media, and Harris) must be willing to allow the poll to fluctuate based on the entire body of work. The idea of you own the position until you lose is outdated and must go...unfortunately, there's about zero chance of that happening so we'll have to keep arguing here.
I'm so sick of everyone's absolutely defiant opinions about which conference is the best. Here it is, the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth: NO CONFERENCE IS CLEARLY BETTER THAN ANOTHER IN THE BIG 4 (SEC, Pac 10, Big 12, Big Ten)--sorry Big East, you're terrible and sorry ACC but you just don't have the juggernaut this year--very competitive, but no standout. The Big 12 is hanging on by a thread with OU and Nebraska but Texas is really hurting.
The SEC is the de facto because they've been top heavy these last few years with Alabama and Florida (and LSU a few years back). Now, it's Bama at the top, UF, Ark, LSU, SC, and Aub in the ok but still haven't proved anything yet, and the rest is trash. The Big Ten has OSU at the top, Iowa, Wisc, MSU, UM, PSU, and NW in the ok but nothing proven and trash. The Big 12 is pretty much OU and Neb with some stragglers (what happened to Texas). And finally, the Pac 10 is getting way too much love...more to come (see point 5). Stop trying to order them because each conference has it's goods, oks, and citgos (bad). Just enjoy the game and see which team plays harder and comes out on top.
5) West Coast bias is starting to cloud judgement...yeah...you heard me.
I'm sure some people will come down on me here but I'm gonna say it. Slow down on the Pac10 talk. They've joined the party, but nothing special. Top to bottom, the Pac 10 has a very good Oregon team with a dynamic offense (and no defense); a good Stanford team that will only go as far as Luck takes them; a stout Arizona team that is the only team out there that plays defense (and will still play a major factor in the conference); and....well not much else. USC was gutted by sanctions and have already shown vulnerabilities; UCLA went on the road and exposed Texas (good win) but lost to Kansas St.; Washington beat USC in their house but got destroyed out of conference; Oregon St is the most overrated of them all getting beat by TCU and Boise (good teams) but catching them on bad nights--not to mention squeaking by Louisville at home; Cal got smoked by Nevada; Arizona St. had a stellar special teams unit they gave them a chance to pull off the upset in Madison but fell short with no offense; and Washington St is a train wreck.
All the 'east coast' reporters are quick to laud the Pac 10's 'reemergence' as the 'second best conference'. They're just pandering to the crowd to show how they've always been a supporter (false) so more people will read their column. This refers to point 4: this brought them back into the top tier, but can you really say they're better? The answer is no.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
5 Things We've Learned--Week 3
1) There is a MAJOR lack of parity this year
Let's face it, there are 2 (maybe 3) good teams this year. Ohio State and Alabama are WAY ahead of the pack and to be honest, it will be a surprise if these 2 don't meet up in Glendale. Boise is trying their best, but with the schedule, there's absolutely NO way they just into the top two without some help (and that might mean 2 losses from the top). TCU is fine as well, but schedule is a problem there as well. With the Hawkeyes and Gators showing major chinks, the Bucks and Tide should cruise. Oregon and Texas could very well go undefeated as well(doubtful), but it just won't matter unless the preseason favorites keep winning.
Also, speaking of Boise, did you really need to throw that flea-flicker in on the 2nd possession against Wyoming? It's Wyoming. That's like OSU running a fumble-rooskie against EMU next week. I get it Boise, you need the limelight and no one believes you're deserving. Let me let you in on a little secret, you could win the rest of your games by seventy bajillion points and you won't sniff Glendale (for the Championship anyway) if Bama and OSU are undefeated. If you want to be one of the big boys, win it in a big boy way. No need to resort to tricks to show you can fool a middle/lower level Mtn West team. Boise looked like they could complete with VT but then again, so could JMU. Unfortunate, yes, but it is what it is. Joining the Mtn West is a good step, but you'll never reach the big time in a midmajor conference...and you'll never get into a major conference without improving other sports and, more importantly, your academics. Good luck against a middle of the road Oregon State...it's your last college opponent this year.
2) ESPN is relentlessly pushing their agenda
The SEC contract with ESPN is an absolute goldmine in more than just TV money. So far, College Gameday has been to 3 SEC games in 3 weeks. Week 1 was a big game and probably the best site so no complaints. Week 2, the UM-OSU rematch of the 2002 championship was bigger and had higher ranked opponents (PSU=bad) but Bama was 1 so whatever. Week 3, Auburn/Clemson? Really? Yeah, it went to overtime and was hard-hitting but the Iowa/Arizona game was bigger AND the teams were better AND it provided a nice spread of the country with a Pac 10/Big Ten matchup AND it was just as good of a game. The SEC gets the nod again because of the money ESPN has invested.
The SEC doesn't just reap the TV spotlight, it also gets a major PR boost. Again, everyone looks to the Worldwise Leader for their sports info so when Sportscenter says the SEC is leaps and bounds better than the rest, everyone believes it, including the AP voters, Harris voters, and coaches. This significantly skews the polls and therefore the shots at the national championship. Not only does ESPN push for the SEC, it also pushes the agenda of a college football playoff (which just isn't coming). Boise is put forward as the shunned 'little engine that could' that doesn't get a shot. They get shots, but winning the WAC is NOT ENOUGH to play for a championship. A one game season does not a champion make. The system we have is not perfect, but it is better than many of the proposed systems in the works. Lay off ESPN and cover the news, don't make it.
3) Coaches and players need to be help accountable for playing people with injuries/concussions
Ok. Let me make this clear. I do NOT support the NFL players and their quest for more money for 'playing injured'. This is a stupid argument. When you signed up to play football (for MILLIONS OF DOLLARS), you knew this involved getting the crap kicked out fo you by 350 lb men. That's why you were well compensated for the risk. If you don't like it, DON'T PLAY!! The league should, of course, protect players, but they're still getting blown up by 350 lb men!!!
What I'm talking about is taking players out of games when they're injured/concussed. I know that sounds crazy, but that's the simple answer. Jason Witten was benched in the Cowboys loss by the doctors and was visibly angry on the sideline screaming to get back into the game. The doctor made the right call benching him protecting the Cowboys investment.
Look on the flip side in the Clemson/Auburn game. The Clemson QB was knocked silly by the Auburn defense and had no clue where he was. He was in serious pain and could have been even more injured by reentering the game. What did Dabo do? Put him back into the hardest hitting game of the year. He was in serious pain on every snap that was immediately obvious to anyone watching the game. The outcome surely resulted in the greatest fallen warrior comeback story ever, right? Nope, Auburn won in OT despite the play of the 'courageous' (translated: stupid)QB. (Note: For those who don't know me, I HATE when sports commentators use the word 'courageous' in regards to sports--military personnel fighting for our freedom are 'courageous', single mothers working 4 jobs to feed her family while spending time with their children are 'courageous', trying to get a piece of leather across a line is NOT 'courageous') If coaches truly care about their players, they would never put a players career/future on the line to win a game NO MATTER THE COST. A coach who cares more about a player than winning is who I want coaching my kids some day, especially in college.
4) Michigan...THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGH THEY WERE
Thank you Wolverines for proving my point. Mediocrity looks to be right around the corner. Yes, Denard Robinson is explosive and exciting, but there's no way he can carry them on his back the whole season. The defense is atrocious and once opposing defense realize that they're playing 11 on 1 (Robinson), it's just going to get easier and easier. UMass (yeah Div 1-AA--yeah I said it) just gave a blueprint on how to beat Michigan. It may not happen next week (Bowling Green), or the next (Indiana), but the writing is on the wall. Looks like we're getting more of the same from good ole Rich Rod.
5) The MAC is really, really bad (really)
I was at the massacre in the Shoe on Sat and it was just as ugly as it appeared on TV. Ohio was completely drubbed up and down the field. Their last minute touchdown (I think) was against our 9 (yeah we didn't put a full 1 out) best towel boys. It was just embarassing--I really started feeling (a little) bad for them at the end of the 1st half. Toledo (blown out by Arizona at home), Kent State (shut out by PSU), directional Michigans--tune in next week for those Eastern Michigan Eagles and their crapulence, NIU, Buffalo,... the list goes on and on and it's just horrible. It's looking like Temple (yeah, Bill Cosby's alma mater) could run away with the conference under RB Bernard Pierce (pun intended). This one could come down to the wire for the coveted Motor City Bowl berth. Maybe that's why they suck, no one in their right mind would consider a trip to Detroit something for which to strive.
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Week 1...It Begins
As I sit at home on a Wednesday night and start to think, "Crap, I don't have anything here to eat for dinner" I take a drive to pick-up some food and on the way to and fro, I have a few minutes to listen to the pre-season talk about the UC Bearcats. They aren't talking about a big game necessarily, or big players, but more just complaining about the fact that the Big East Champs are forced to start their title defense on the road in New Jersey against Rutgers... it seems any time I hear or read something about the Buckeyes little brothers in the Southwest corner of the state, its either negative towards OSU or just plain negative. But it does remind me one thing, college football starts tomorrow night!
I will fully admit that I have strayed from the sport that I have followed the longest for my newest fave, the National Hockey League. But unlike pro sports the NCAA competition gives you athletes who will never make a career of their respective sport or complain about not getting enough money this season (that only happens in the NFL and NBA anyways), or face lockouts for various reasons. NCAA Football will always hold a special place in my heart, especially since I was born into it and have bled Scarlet and Gray since the day I was born.Here are the picks and maybe some sort of explanation to the madness...
Chief's pregame:
I have written an elogated preseason prediction. I'll try to post it up here soon.
Oregon vs. Boise State (Late Thursday)
Gomer: The Ducks will be looking to break in a decent amount of new starters and not to mention a new head coach, while the Broncos and the Smurf Turf will more than likely make it an unpleasant opening night while breaking in a few new faces of their own. Boise has only won 3 times against Pac-10 opponents, but those 3 wins have all come against Oregon. I think this could be an ugly game for the ugliest uniforms in sports, especially considering the lack of coherent defense in the Pac-10. UO: 24 - BSU: 52
Chief: The Ducks were perhaps the most impressive team in their bowl as they ran all over the Oklahoma State in the Holiday Bowl. I believe this game is a true statement for the big conferences. While Boise State should have a stellar season, I think Jeremiah Masoli and Euguene Blount will lead the Quackers to a revenge victory. A win for the Broncos doesn’t bury the Ducks but an Oregon win could mean serious problems for the smurfs. UO: 45—BSU: 31
Georgia vs. Oklahoma State
Gomer: For a minute I was afraid that I would not be able to watch this game because it is set to be a ABC/ESPN2 Regional game, but thank goodness I've got DirecTV to save the day this time. I really like OSU in this game for multiple reasons, a couple of them being the skill position trio of QB Zac Robinson, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Dez Bryant as well as the Pokes impressive home opener record (13 in a row) and 15 straight non-conference wins all by an average margin of 33ppg. The Bulldogs on the other hand are going to have a hard time responding after losing Moreno and Stafford to the NFL this past spring. The Dogs do hold an undefeated record against against the Cowboys, and yes we know... "S-E-C, S-E-C, S-E-C!!" UGA: 24 - OSU: 38
Chief: Oklahoma State is another of my surprise teams for 2009. UGA lost so much offensive talent (most in the leaper Knowshon Moreno), but OSU returns all the videogame prowess of last year. The trio of Zac Robinson, Kendall Hunter, and Dez Bryant will outscore the Dawgs. The Pokes defense was awful last year, but if they can stop the opposing team once or twice, that should be enough. UGA: 27—OSU: 45
Alabama vs. Virginia Tech
Gomer: This match-up has the potential to be either awesome or crap. It deserves mention that it will be played in Atlanta, it also should be mentioned that the Tide are 10-1 all time against the Hokies. The Hokies are returning 16 starters and are coming off of a surprising ACC Title and BCS Bowl win. Alabama lost a decent load of talent and but did make it to the SEC title game. The more I write, the more I'm willing to call this one a must-see. 'Bama: 17 - VT: 21
Chief: Here’s hoping this year kick-off classic is better than the clunker between Bama and Clemson last year. I really liked VT to be a major contender this year, but the loss of running back Daniel Evans really hurts. Tyrod Taylor is going to have to run the offense and hopefully he’s up to the task. The Tide returns many pieces of a stalwart defense (including 2000 lb Mount Cody), but the Hokie defense is always very opportunistic and stingy. VT has more experience under center which makes the different in a low scoring game. Bama: 10—VT: 13
Navy vs. Ohio State
Gomer: There has been a massive campaign to "stand up and cheer the Navy football team as they enter Ohio Stadium" on Saturday. While I think this is extremely respectful and a nice gesture, I don't support it. Now, this isn't saying "boo the crap out of Navy" but more of a let’s not be friendly and welcoming. Having a stadium as imposing as The Shoe, fans should never be told to "back down", I think that this goes against what home games are about, winning, and protecting the home field. This does not equate to being un-sportsmanlike and inappropriate to men and their families who will at some point be defending our country. Anyway, this game could be much closer than expected, especially with last year's injury of Beanie Wells in the opener that cost the Buckeyes any chance in the USC game. Navy: 15 - OSU: 27
Chief: I agree with Gomer on this issue of cheering Navy. I support the troops, but I will not cheer for Navy to win just because I feel guilty. That being said, this game has some trap implications. Navy is not the pushover academy like most think. They’ve been in multiple bowls in recent years and could conceivably win up to 10 games this year. For the Bucks, they’re back for blood after a disappointing 3 loss season. Terrelle Pryor should lead the offense to a win, but the key matchup is to see how the young defense handles the option attack. I think Navy fights valiantly, but get beat out by superior athletes in the end. Navy: 13—OSU: 31
South Carolina vs. NC State (Thursday)- Gomer: NCST Chief: NCST
Cincinnati vs. Rutgers (Monday)- Gomer: RUTG Chief: Cincinnati
Miami vs. Florida State (Monday)- Gomer: FSU Chief: FSU
Nevada vs. Notre Dame- Gomer: ND Chief: ND (closer than the experts think)
Brigham Young vs. Oklahoma- Gomer: OU Chief: OU
Kentucky vs. Miami (OH)- Gomer: UK Chief: UK
Western Michigan vs. Michigan- Gomer: UM Chief: UM (close)
LSU vs. Washington- Gomer: LSU Chief: LSU
Missouri vs. Illinois- Gomer: UI Chief: UI