Standings
1) Hoying
41-15 (4-9
upset)
2) Schweinfurth
36-15 (6-6 upset)
3) Draper
38-18 (4-9
upset)
4) Seeberg
36-20 (4-9
upset)
Normally, Conference Championship weekend is a pile of suck because of pointless rematches essentially invalidating one or more regular season games. This year, it's a pile of suck, not because of the rematches (there are none) but because our beloved Buckeyes are once again stuck at home.
MAC: Western
Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcats
Draper: I know very little about these
teams, but I know that there's been a lot of boat-rowing in Kalamazoo.
This is all about an interview for Mr. Fleck and the hot WMU Broncos.
But wait, Ohio is coached by someone who has been in a real life national
championship game (let's ignore the fact that he got blown out). Ohio has
been overlooked much of the year, but they've earned a spot here and could
really mess with the Group of 5 (not to mention costing the MAC a lot of
money), but the Broncos are 'too hot to handle'. WMU rows to a MAC
Championship, a likely New Year's Six shellacking, and a new coach next year.
WMU: 41--OU: 31
Hoying: Hello, mismatch.
The Broncos are clearly the superior team here, and they have the prize of all
prizes for a MAC school in front of them: likely win-and-into the Cotton Bowl.
They've proven they can handle the pressure so far, but there may be a problem:
where is PJ Fleck's head right now? The Oregon job is open, the Purdue job is
available, Indiana just fired Kevin Wilson, Brian Kelly is "exploring his
options". . . Is PJ going to keep rowing the boat or sail off into deeper
waters? The Bobcats have shown up for every game this year, nearly scoring a
big upset over Tennessee, but I think the Broncos will still have the focus to
take care of business and boost PJ onto the big stage with a chance to prove
that the Texas Longhorns hired the wrong young hotshot. WMU: 38--OU: 31
Schweinfurth: Hooray for MACtion! Ok, in all
honesty, I really don't care about this game even though this has some serious
New Year's Six implications. PJ Fleck has the Broncos believing and playing
very well all year. The committee has had them underrated all year. This is
WMU's last chance for a statement and OU is just a speed bump. UMU: 42--OU: 24
Seeberg: Honestly, Frank
Solich has done a great job at OU since being unceremoniously canned from
Nebraska over a decade ago. He took a perennial MAC bottom-feeder and
turned it into a near-perennial bowl team. P.J. Fleck, however, is the
midwestern Tom Herman, having resurrected the Broncos, putting them on the path
for a big payday come January 1st (or 2nd this year since the NFL will take
over New Years- so sacrilegious). My guess is the nerves of the moment
keep the Bobcats in it for a half, but too much Bronco offense eventually wins
the day. Enjoy the MACtion! WMU: 38--OU: 24
Pac-12: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Washington Huskies
Draper: The Pac 12 has been a pillow
fight all year with no real dominant team other than the Huskies...until they
were blasted at home by USC. Utah, Colorado, Wazzu, and USC have been
nice teams, but there is simply no way to tell if there is any substance here
(with 0 good out of conference wins by ANYONE). The Buffs have had a
great season, but I don't think Sefu Liufau has enough juice to keep up with
Jake Browning, Pettis, and Ross. UW heads to the playoff and a likely
showdown with Bama....good luck with all that. CU: 27--UW: 34
Hoying: For the better
part of a month, Buckeye Nation has been rooting for these teams to lose in
order to avoid this exact matchup. The Pac-12 continues to suck this year but
these teams are actually kind of good, both playing stellar defense and getting
terrific play out of QBs Sefo Liufau and Jake Browning. Fortunately, the
committee still hates them both, barely putting Washington at #4 ahead of
Meeeeeechigan and Colorado trailing well behind the rest of the B1G elite. I
don't even know who I want to win this game. A Buffalo victory all but locks
the Buckeyes into the playoffs, but it also greatly increases the chances that
our friends up north get in as well, and I don't want to see them again this
year (rematches are dumb, see above). Speaking of the Maize and Blue, Colorado
went into Ann Arbor and played them to a standstill for 3 quarters while U-Dub
was busy with Rutgers. The Buffs come into this battle tested and score the big
upset on their way...to the Rose Bowl. CU: 31--UW: 27
Schweinfurth: Let me say that the PAC-12 has
been all over the map this year. There is no "great" team in this
conference. Washington was a great story until USC blew their doors off and
game Colorado the blue print to beat them. I really want to see this upset just
for Colorado's sake. This once proud program has been through a lot of
heartache since joining the PAC-12. Washington, you had a great season, but
Buffs are going to pound this one out. Last second field goal FTW! CU:
38--UW: 35
Seeberg: And here is
where the potential playoff chaos begins. A Colorado win puts them at
11-2 (comparable to 10-2 TTUN), and obviously ahead of Washington should it
win. Will the committee put the Buffs ahead of
we-are-giving-them-an-inexplicable-pass-for-losing-twice-in-the-last-three-weeks
TTUN squad? Colorado lost to the Wolverines 45-28, but were leading and
looking good before Liufau was sidelined with an injury. Thankfully for
the committee (and those of us who would just as soon walk blindfolded into
traffic as see TTUN make the playoff), it won't be an issue. Browning and
Co. are just too good offensively to drop this one, especially on a neutral
field. Onto the #4 seed to get pasted by 'Bama for the Huskies. CU:
27--UW: 42
AAC: Temple Owls
@ Navy Midshipmen
Draper: Again, Navy looks to totally mess
with bowl season as a win here puts the Group of Five representative into
question...and thereby putting all minor bowls into question. Navy has
been on fire lately (I believe they punted TWICE in the month of November) and
loves to just drain a game with their running attack. On the other side of the
ball, I guess Temple is playing football this year...and that's cool. I
know nothing about them, but Navy is usually fun to watch. Midshipmen
represent Murika well and take down the Owls. Temple: 20 -- Navy: 41
Hoying: I'm surprised that this one is a
noon kickoff on ABC rather than on ESPN 2, 5, and 6. For the second
straight season, Temple finds itself in the AAC championship game, and for the
second straight season, they're going to lose. In the month of November, Navy's
efficiency on offense would put the U.S. fleet to shame, as the Midshipmen took the field 40 times,
scored 29 TDs and one FG, and ran out the clock 6 times. Ask Notre Dame
what it's like to get ground into paste by 10 minute TD drive after 10 minute
TD drive (aaaaagggghhhhh, Juice Williams flashback...). The entire bowl-seeding
world may be rooting against Navy, since a win this weekend makes Army-Navy
relevant for the first time since about WWII and delays the whole New Year's
Six process, but Owl be surprised if the Middies don't take this one. Temple: 17--Navy: 28
Schweinfurth: I always have a soft spot for the
armed forces teams (Go Air Force! 2016 Commander-In-Chief Trophy Winner). Navy
runs the triple option better than anyone and no coach knows his team better
than Coach Ken. Navy could get in trouble if Temple gets up by 2 TDs, but I
just don't see that happening. Navy's offense keeps the game short so this
won't be a total blowout in numbers terms. Navy makes the Selection Committee's
job a bit more difficult (Let them play in a New Year's Six!). Temple: 10--Navy 24
Seeberg: Hey, remember
when this game was going to be Houston vs. who-gives-a-damn? Oops.
Navy left a lot of opponents in its wake the last month of the season
(#seewhatIdidthere?) and Temple is not the defense it was last year that
carried the team to the conference title game, dropping a well-contested game
to the Houston Hermans. Watching Navy pulverize the now second-best
golden-domer team in Notre Dame was fabulous, and this one will likely be
similar. I'd set the over/under at 9 pass attempts for Navy...and take
the under. More New Year's Six chaos abounds! Temple: 16--Navy:
38
Big 12: Oklahoma
State Cowboys @ Oklahoma Sooners
Draper: Points and points and points. The Sooners have been rocking since the beatdown by the Bucks but the Pokes look to throw a wrench in their rival's season (which they have done many times before). Mike Gundy and his fantastic mullet have 2 losses (1 of which really shouldn't have counted...but it does) but they haven't faced the Sooners yet. Dede Westbrook and Baker Mayfield will continue to give opposing defenses nightmares...but the Sooner defense does the same for those in Norman. Bob Stoops doesn't lose much in Norman, but I think the quota for OSUs beating OU in Norman has been met this year. BOOMER!!!! OSU: 45--OU: 55
Hoying: Has any top 10 team gotten less respect or coverage lately than the Cowboys? After a devastating loss to CMU and a disappointing showing against Baylor, the Pokes have run off 7 straight wins (and Mike Gundy's hair has run off 7 straight inches). All the Big 12 love has focused on their hated rivals in Norman, who have been putting up big points (so have the Cowboys), blowing out West Virginia (so did the Cowboys) and racking up crazy numbers at QB (so has...you get the idea). Chris Spielman has moved on to FOX (which is showing this game), but fortunately he's doing the NFL and not college, or he would weep big ol' sad dad tears watching these teams try to play defense. The winner? When in doubt, go with the home team. OSU: 48--OU: 52
Draper: Points and points and points. The Sooners have been rocking since the beatdown by the Bucks but the Pokes look to throw a wrench in their rival's season (which they have done many times before). Mike Gundy and his fantastic mullet have 2 losses (1 of which really shouldn't have counted...but it does) but they haven't faced the Sooners yet. Dede Westbrook and Baker Mayfield will continue to give opposing defenses nightmares...but the Sooner defense does the same for those in Norman. Bob Stoops doesn't lose much in Norman, but I think the quota for OSUs beating OU in Norman has been met this year. BOOMER!!!! OSU: 45--OU: 55
Hoying: Has any top 10 team gotten less respect or coverage lately than the Cowboys? After a devastating loss to CMU and a disappointing showing against Baylor, the Pokes have run off 7 straight wins (and Mike Gundy's hair has run off 7 straight inches). All the Big 12 love has focused on their hated rivals in Norman, who have been putting up big points (so have the Cowboys), blowing out West Virginia (so did the Cowboys) and racking up crazy numbers at QB (so has...you get the idea). Chris Spielman has moved on to FOX (which is showing this game), but fortunately he's doing the NFL and not college, or he would weep big ol' sad dad tears watching these teams try to play defense. The winner? When in doubt, go with the home team. OSU: 48--OU: 52
Schweinfurth: Hey look, the Big-12 has a championship
game a year early! The Sooners have turned it around after the pasting Ohio
State put on them (mostly because Big-12 defenses are bad). This game will be a
shootout for sure. Neither team really plays much defense. Mixon and Perine are
just too much to handle for the Cowboys and we all know Mayfield can make
plays. OSU: 49--OU: 56
Seeberg: Unlike the B1G
title game below, this one should be lots of fun to witness. Of course
watching the Sooners rip off a bunch of wins has helped the Buckeyes' cause,
and in the title game/bedlam they meet a mirror image: A team from
Oklahoma with a noteworthy offense and technically a defense only because
they're required to line up against opposing offenses. The Sooners may
try to outperform their insane first half against West Virginia- and they might
manage it. A turnover or two will go Boomer's way, and they will
desperately hope for gargantuan amounts of chaos to sneak into the playoff.
OSU: 44--OU: 52
SEC: Alabama
Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators
Draper: Bama/Florida....again. This
time is different...Bama is far superior....so maybe it isn't that different
from the recent past. Saban >> any coach not named Urban so this
will likely not be close. The real question is whether UF will score...or
cross the 50. Bama may not be unbeatable, but the Gators aren't that
team. I'll call the shut out because Gators suck. Bama: 24--UF: 0
Hoying: Oh look, it's Alabama-Florida. Again. For the 9th time. Florida is still the last SEC East team to win this game...in 2008. Hmmm...who coached that team... Corch Irvin Meyers might make an appearance in the Georgia Dome this year, but not until the Peach Bowl on December 31st. In his absence, this will sure be a football game! Ala: 31--UF: 6
Hoying: Oh look, it's Alabama-Florida. Again. For the 9th time. Florida is still the last SEC East team to win this game...in 2008. Hmmm...who coached that team... Corch Irvin Meyers might make an appearance in the Georgia Dome this year, but not until the Peach Bowl on December 31st. In his absence, this will sure be a football game! Ala: 31--UF: 6
Schweinfurth: I'm not going into too much
detail here. Florida is a mediocre team playing in a mediocre conference.
Alabama has shown that they are the best team in the nation so far. This is
going to get ugly quick. Bama:
35--UF: 3
Seeberg: Alabama hasn't
allowed an offensive touchdown in 17 quarters (13 against actual FBS
opponents). Florida's offense can best be described as "only mildly
putrid". This is a lousy combination for anybody sick of Saban
(read: everyone not in Tuscaloosa). First to ten wins! Which
*sigh* will be *sigh* 'Bama *enormous sigh*. Ala: 27--UF: 6
ACC: Clemson
Tigers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: Virginia Tech has been a very interesting team this year with some very nice performances followed by monster clunkers (see Syracuse). Clemson had the traditional Clemsoning versus Pitt, but I don't expect any more. Coach Dabo has the team hyperfocused since the Pitt loss. I just don't see Deshaun Watson and the best WR in the country, Mike Williams, dropping another before the playoffs. It would be FANTASTIC for #TeamChaos to have a Hokie win, but I just don't see it. Clemson...Tigers....Clemson....Tigers Representing the ACC! (worth your time) Clem: 52--VT: 27
Hoying: Well, Clemson Clemsoned already against Pitt, so we can't count on that being a factor here. Unless, it's the dreaded Double Clemsoning, in which Clemson Clemsons even harder since nobody expects them to Clemson! This isn't like last year, where an explosive UNC offense had the tools to stand eye-to-eye with the Tigers and trade blows (bad calls on onside kicks notwithstanding). Much like the SEC championship, we're only here because the conference wanted another paycheck and a tiny chance of disaster befalling their last playoff hope. Won't happen. Clem: 45--VT: 20
Draper: Virginia Tech has been a very interesting team this year with some very nice performances followed by monster clunkers (see Syracuse). Clemson had the traditional Clemsoning versus Pitt, but I don't expect any more. Coach Dabo has the team hyperfocused since the Pitt loss. I just don't see Deshaun Watson and the best WR in the country, Mike Williams, dropping another before the playoffs. It would be FANTASTIC for #TeamChaos to have a Hokie win, but I just don't see it. Clemson...Tigers....Clemson....Tigers Representing the ACC! (worth your time) Clem: 52--VT: 27
Hoying: Well, Clemson Clemsoned already against Pitt, so we can't count on that being a factor here. Unless, it's the dreaded Double Clemsoning, in which Clemson Clemsons even harder since nobody expects them to Clemson! This isn't like last year, where an explosive UNC offense had the tools to stand eye-to-eye with the Tigers and trade blows (bad calls on onside kicks notwithstanding). Much like the SEC championship, we're only here because the conference wanted another paycheck and a tiny chance of disaster befalling their last playoff hope. Won't happen. Clem: 45--VT: 20
Schweinfurth: Virginia Tech has had a
resurgence! Well, okay they have beat up on some meh competition lately. I just
can't look past Clemson in this game. This is the time we see Clemson play to
their potential this year. the ACC Title and Playoff bid are sooo close they
can taste it (which would make a second Clemsoning not surprising). Deshaun
Watson just wins. This game will be close because the Hokies are playing good
football right now. I just see Watson making one or two big plays late to pull
it out. Clem: 35--VT: 31
Seeberg: This is good...real good.
I'm still angry at Clemson for beating Braxton Miller and the Buckeyes
that should've been playing for a national title except for some horrendous
play-calling against MSU in the B1G title game that left Urban to eat cold
pizza disconsolately. Va Tech is borderline relevant again, but Clemson
managed to not go all Clemson (except for NC State...and Pitt...and Troy, but
they won two of those miraculously) and are in prime position for a rematch of
the 2014 Orange Bowl. Deshaun
Watson woke up just in time to see himself get invited to New York again, and
Clemson rolls into the playoff again. Clem: 42--VT: 24
B1G: Wisconsin
Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Draper: I have no clue who to pick here. Honestly, I wouldn't be shocked by anything short of a Wisconsin offensive showcase. There may be some playoff implications but likely not unless Washington or Clemson nosedives. PSU has been hot as the Sun lately while Wisky keeps plodding along and rolling over their opponents with an oppressive defense. PSU's signature win over the Buckeyes on a fluke play is one of the top wins in the country, while the Badger's premier win is over an LSU team that now has 4 (albeit good) losses. With that being said, neither of these teams has another win worth patting themselves on the back (Iowa?...nah.) They keep living on the 'good loss' narrative, but that's not enough to leapfrog the Buckeyes. I hate that the Bucks aren't in this game, but the resume is simply better than either of these teams even with a win here. What will happen? Trace McSorley and Saquan Barkley have been on fire, but the Wisky defense will rise up and do just enough for the Badger faithful to emerge with their 3rd B1G championship title game win (2 of which they were nowhere near the best team in the conference). Enjoy Pasadena. UW: 17--PSU: 16
Hoying: A small part of me is actually happy the Buckeyes aren't playing in this game. After such an all-consuming victory over the Crying Harbaughs, I don't know what our Bucks could've mustered on just a week's preparation. But the larger part of me is disgusted because I hate Penn State and the thought of them as Big Ten champions makes me violently ill. QB Trace McSorley and B1G Offensive Player of the Year Saquon Barkley (lolololol) have been shredding their opponents since their get-lucky win over Ohio State, including racking up 45 against a spent Michigan State last weekend. Meanwhile, the once-impenetrable Badger D has looked oddly vulnerable in recent games against Purdue and Minnesota. I've believed all season that Wisconsin is the better team, but PSU keeps picking up steam, and I don't trust the Badgers to slow down one of the nation's best second-half comeback teams without 80,000+ strong at Camp Randall to rally them. Penn State...gets to go to the Rose Bowl to face Colorado, and freaking Michigan goes to the playoffs for a super-sexy matchup against Alabama. UW: 20--PSU:24
Draper: I have no clue who to pick here. Honestly, I wouldn't be shocked by anything short of a Wisconsin offensive showcase. There may be some playoff implications but likely not unless Washington or Clemson nosedives. PSU has been hot as the Sun lately while Wisky keeps plodding along and rolling over their opponents with an oppressive defense. PSU's signature win over the Buckeyes on a fluke play is one of the top wins in the country, while the Badger's premier win is over an LSU team that now has 4 (albeit good) losses. With that being said, neither of these teams has another win worth patting themselves on the back (Iowa?...nah.) They keep living on the 'good loss' narrative, but that's not enough to leapfrog the Buckeyes. I hate that the Bucks aren't in this game, but the resume is simply better than either of these teams even with a win here. What will happen? Trace McSorley and Saquan Barkley have been on fire, but the Wisky defense will rise up and do just enough for the Badger faithful to emerge with their 3rd B1G championship title game win (2 of which they were nowhere near the best team in the conference). Enjoy Pasadena. UW: 17--PSU: 16
Hoying: A small part of me is actually happy the Buckeyes aren't playing in this game. After such an all-consuming victory over the Crying Harbaughs, I don't know what our Bucks could've mustered on just a week's preparation. But the larger part of me is disgusted because I hate Penn State and the thought of them as Big Ten champions makes me violently ill. QB Trace McSorley and B1G Offensive Player of the Year Saquon Barkley (lolololol) have been shredding their opponents since their get-lucky win over Ohio State, including racking up 45 against a spent Michigan State last weekend. Meanwhile, the once-impenetrable Badger D has looked oddly vulnerable in recent games against Purdue and Minnesota. I've believed all season that Wisconsin is the better team, but PSU keeps picking up steam, and I don't trust the Badgers to slow down one of the nation's best second-half comeback teams without 80,000+ strong at Camp Randall to rally them. Penn State...gets to go to the Rose Bowl to face Colorado, and freaking Michigan goes to the playoffs for a super-sexy matchup against Alabama. UW: 20--PSU:24
Schweinfurth: So, for
the record here, I have picked the Pac-12 Title game upset. That brings us to
this game. The winner of this game joins OSU, Bama, and Clemson in the
playoffs. Seriously. Despite both teams losing to scUM, this win will catapult
the winner over the Wolverines. I have no faith in James Franklin as an in-game
coach. Saquon Barkley has a banged up ankle but will play. The Badgers have
faith in both QB's so Hornybrook's injury may not be an issue here. Trace
McSorley is the second coming of Brady Quinn (chuck the ball as high as you can
and pray a WR runs under it). That will not fly against an aggressive Badgers
defense. Wisconsin puts Penn State back into their rightful place. Remember
Wisconsin lost close ON THE ROAD at scUM. A decisive victory knocks the poor
Harbooger back to a New Year's Six game (and yes, the tears will sustain me). UW: 35--PSU: 14
Seeberg: This is what
happens when you separate your divisions geographically and you put easily the
three best teams historically (OSU, TTUN, PSU) in the same freakin' division.
Dumb conference decisions aside, this one may not be a pretty watch.
Both teams play solid D, Wiscy may also be out its starting QB, and Penn
State has looked downright competent on offense the last few weeks. Like
my colleague Mr. Hoying, I believe Wisconsin is the superior team, but Penn
State is the superior team right now. All the fabulous play-calling in
the world from Paul Chryst (who only has one week to prepare and doesn't have a
home crowd) still won't be enough. Lions win the Big Ten title
*bleh...sorry, I just threw up in my mouth a little* UW: 17--PSU: 23