Saturday, December 06, 2008

Championship Week!

The final week the regular season is here. It has been a long and interesting season, not nearly as exciting as last year, but NCAA football just has something special about it that makes every game somewhat intersting and special. Chief has a signifcant lead on me in the standings and even if I picked every game opposite of him today, and won them all, would I have a chance of upsetting him. Oh well, it's all in fun and games.

Boston College vs. Virginia Tech

Gomer: Another rematch from 2007's classic game. These two teams have played each other close every time they hook up on the battle field. The severe lack of ticket sales, combined with mediocre teams shows us a few things; the ACC has the most parity of the BCS conferences, the ACC doesn't necessarily deserve an auto-bid (I'm looking at you too Big East), thing is very few people care about this game and the arguement about the existence of a Conference Championship game comes in. It certainly is a debate as to whether these teams need to prove themselves again. BC: 28 - VT: 24

Chief: In a rematch of last year’s ACC title, these old Big East toppers see each other for the 4th time in 2 years. While VT has underachieved this season, they find themselves where they wanted to be. Conversely, the Eagles had no real hopes of repeating as ACC Atlantic champions, yet a nice streak in conference has opened new doors. These 2 teams are very similar with tenacious defenses and questionable offenses. I like the Hokies due to their slight offensive advantage at QB. Senior Sean Glennon and athlete Tyrod Taylor will split time for VT while Dominick Davis is asked to step in after the injury to Chris Crane. The ACC has been a deadlock all year so this should be a great battle. VT: 23—BC: 20

Alabama vs. Florida
Gomer: Biggest game of the day, if not the year. According to some "experts" there's a chance that UF could win and not make the BCSNCG, I for one do not believe that. The pollsters will make sure it does happen. Since when does and idle Big 12 team not get jumped by Pretty Boy Tebow and the SEC Juggernaut? Basically this game is to determine who plays in the naitional champsionship and I think this game will be much more defensively minded than expected. The team with the superior defence is definitely the Tide and I expect them to shutdown the one dimensional Florida attack. As they say, Defense Wins Championships! Florida is a great team, but without Superman #2 (Percy Harvin) who accounts for 13 TDs, the Tide will only have to key on Tebow. Goodbye Heisman, goodbye SEC championship, goodbye national championship, hello raping somebody in the Sugar Bowl (Ohio State? Cincinnati?). Bama: 30 - UF: 23

Chief: This is easily the best matchup of the day and being referred to as a defacto semi-final for the National Championship. The Gators have been touted as the hottest/best team in the country for months, but no one seems to say anything about the undefeated Crimson Tide. Saban has returned Bama to the national stage in only his 2nd year with a stalwart defense and a steady running game (Glen Coffee). Florida was supposed to be here, but I urge everyone not to forget that while they’ve been on fire since Ole Miss, they did lose to Ole Miss…in the Swamp. Regardless, I think I have to stick with Florida even with the potential for playmaker Percy Harvin on the sideline. I hate both of these teams (Florida more so), but I have to pick someone. I think Bama will keep this extremely close, but Florida doesn’t make mistakes. Coffee and Bama will control the ball, but the explosive Gator offense (Tebow) makes the difference. Bama: 20—UF: 24

Missouri vs. Oklahoma
Gomer: This game may be tougher than anticipated for the Sooners. Isn't this the same Missouri team that was ranked in the top 5 and has put up big numbers throughout the season? Chokelahoma has come up with big clunkers when it really matters and I don't think they deserve to play in the national championship. Unfortunately Oklahoma is clicking right now, and Missouri is coming off a disappointing loss to Kansas. Sam Bradford wins the Heisman today. Mizzou: 38 - OU: 48

Chief: The Big 12 championship features an OU team that ‘snuck in’ to the title and a Missouri team with huge expectations that never materialized. No arguments about the South representative here even though I think Texas is probably better. That’s the system; that’s the rule; live with it and move on (I still like McCoy for Heisman). Here is the last shot for Chase Daniel to make a statement that last year wasn’t a fluke. The loss to Kansas last week hurts, but all is forgotten if they can pull off the monster upset and keep OU out of the national title (just like the Sooners did to them last year). Sadly, the Sooner offense is too solid and the Tiger defense is too porous. OU’s defense is nowhere near as good as the Longhorns’, but they’ll come up with a few more stops than Mizzou. Stoops crew give up a bundle…and still win going away. Mizzou: 34—OU: 60

Cincinnati vs. Hawaii, Gomer: Hawaii - Chief: Cincy
Arizona St. vs. Arizona, Gomer: UA - Chief: UA
Navy vs. Army, Gomer: Navy - Chief: Navy
USC vs. UCLA, Gomer: USC - Chief: USC

Monday, December 01, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Oklahoma
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Florida
5. Texas Tech
6. Utah
7. USC
8. Penn State
9. Boise State
10. Ohio State
11. TCU
12. Ball State
13. Oklahoma State
14. Cincinnati
15. Georgia Tech
16. Georgia
17. Boston College
18. Missouri
19. Brigham Young
20. Oregon
21. Michigan State
22. Pittsburgh
23. Florida State
24. Oregon State
25. Mississippi

A few notes:
-Oklahoma still gets the edge over Texas using the old system, it will be interesting to see what happens after the Sooners defeat Missouri this weekend.
-Penn State will be the Big Ten Auto-Bid, Cincinnati will be the Big East Auto-Bid, USC will be the Pac-10 Auto-Bid after defeating UCLA. Utah gains the non-BCS Conference Berth
-Virginia Tech faces Boston College for the ACC Title and Orange Bowl Berth
-Florida faces Alabama for the SEC Title and bid in the BCS National Championship
-Texas faces Missouri for the Big 12 Title and bid in the BCS National Championship
-Things only get interesting if OU loses the Big 12 Title game, which has happened (see 2003)

Based on these old BCS rankings, here are the games if they were selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Florida vs. Ohio State

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Alabama vs. Utah

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Oklahoma vs. Texas

Texas-Oklahoma re-match? It seems very possible because unlike the OSU-Michigan conundrum 2 years ago, they don't play on the last weekend. Florida-OSU re-match would be nice, PSU-USC will be better than expected, as will VT-Cincy.

Here is the 4 team "play-off"

#1Oklahoma vs. #4 Florida... Should be the real national championship game
#2 Texas vs. #3 Alabama... Traditional powers collide

#5 Texas Tech vs. #6 Utah... Probably better than the experts expect

#7 USC vs. #8 Penn State... Can Penn State return to early season form?

#9 Boise State vs. #10 Ohio State... Close because Tressel is too conservative

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Georgia Tech vs. Georgia

Gomer: UGA Chief: GT

Florida vs. Florida State

Gomer: UF Chief: FSU

Oregon vs. Oregon State

Gomer: OSU Chief: OSU

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State

Gomer: OU Chief: OU

Notre Dame vs. USC

Gomer: USC Chief: USC

Auburn vs. Alabama

Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama

Maryland vs. Boston College

Gomer: BC Chief: Maryland

South Carolina Clemson

Gomer: SCAR Chief: SCAR

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

"Real" BCS Standings

1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Oklahoma
4. Florida
5. USC
6. Utah
7. Texas Tech
8. Penn State
9. Boise State
10. Ohio State
11. Georgia
12. Oklahoma State
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. Ball State
16. Cincinnati
17. Oregon State
18. BYU
19. Michigan State
20. Florida State
21. Boston College
22. Georgia Tech
23. Oregon
24. Northwestern
25. Pittsburgh

A few thoughts
-First off, people who complain about Texas being #2 and not Oklahoma need to shut up. Oklahoma lost to Texas earlier this season 45-35 and both have identical records against relatively the same opponents. Texas Tech beat Texas, but lost to Oklahoma, who lost to Texas. It's a wonderful "love" triangle.
-Florida is sitting pretty to beat FSU and Alabama to vault into the BCS NCG and probably pummel whoever they meet there.
-Utah is definitely a dark horse to make it to the championship game, as well as USC. While Utah's regular season is complete, USC has two easy games left before the regular season is done.
-There could be an argument for Oklahoma vs. Texas in the BCS NCG if both win out, maybe if Florida loses to FSU then beats Alabama. It could get interesting in these last two weeks.

Monday, November 24, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Texas
2. Oklahoma
3. Alabama
4. Florida
5. Texas Tech
6. Utah
7. USC
8. Penn State
9. Ohio State
10. Georgia
11. Boise State
12. Oklahoma State
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. Cincinnati
16. Oregon State
17. Ball State
18. Michigan State
19. Florida State
20. Georgia Tech
21. Boston College
22. Brigham Young
23. Pittsburgh
24. Oregon
25. Mississippi

A few notes:
-The bowl picture is starting to sharpen and will be even closer to complete after Thanksgiving weekend.
-Penn State and Cincinnati have clinched BCS Bowl Berths, but here we kinda ignore that.

Based on these "fake" BCS rankings, here are the games if they were selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. Oregon State

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Cincinnati vs. Alabama

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
USC vs. Florida

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Utah vs. Florida State

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Oklahoma vs. Texas

Texas-Oklahoma re-match? It seems very possible because unlike the OSU-Michigan conundrum 2 years ago, they don't play on the last weekend. USC-Florida is a VERY sexy match-up, other than that, a bunch of snoozers.

#1Texas vs. #4 Florida... Another sexy match-up
#2 Oklahoma vs. #3 Alabama... Traditional powers collide

#5 Texas Tech vs. #6 Utah... Probably better than the experts expect

#7 USC vs. #8 Penn State... Can Penn State return to early season form?

#9 Ohio State vs. #10 Georgia... Very good potential match-up

Friday, November 21, 2008

Week 13...

Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Gomer: As awesome as it would be to see the Buckeyes earn a berth to the Rose Bowl on Saturday, I just can't see it happening, at least not when it depends on Brian Hoyer. Penn State's defense is superior to Ohio State's especially when it comes to getting pressure on the QB and Brian Hoyer is the type of QB that can, and will, crumble against that kind of defensive pressure. The balanced "Spread HD" attack of Clark and Royster and "do-it-all" Williams will be too much for the Spartans defense. MSU: 16 - PSU: 30

Chief: The battle for a guaranteed share of the Big 10 Championship takes place outside of Columbus this weekend. The Spartans come in with one of their greatest teams in recent history led by stellar back Javon Ringer. PSU also sports one of the best Nittany Lion teams as well that’s strong in all aspects. I like the Lions to take care of Sparty at home fairly decisively. Aaron Maybin will wreak havoc on the backfield and the PSU will stuff the MSU running game just as OSU did. JoePa gets sent off to the retirement home smelling roses. MSU: 17—PSU: 34

Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati
Gomer: This game is pretty much the Big East championship, although funny things can happen in the waning weeks of the season (ask Rich Rodriguez). I don't really like either of these teams, but Brian Kelly is a superior coach to "The Stache" (Dave Wannstedt) and that in conjunction with the home field will be enough to put Cincy over the edge in this one and send them BCS bowling... although, I don't know a Cincy fan who's about to travel halfway across the country to see the Bearcats, whatevs. Pitt: 7 - UC: 20

Chief: A huge Big East battle in the confines of Nippert Stadium will go a long way to seeing which of these perennial also-rans has a shot at a BCS Bowl. Cincinnati has been a surprise story all year with their multitude of injuries, but they keep chugging along under ‘soon-to-be-elsewhere’ coach Brian Kelly. Pitt seems to go through the motions every week and never look like they’ve turned the corner of mediocrity. A great team wouldn’t have needed 4 OT to dispatch Notre Dame. Go Red, Go Black, Go Bearcats, FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT! Pitt: 10—UC: 24

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Gomer: A true Southwestern shootout looms. This game should be awesome, and a showcase of many future NFL-ers. Sam Bradford and Graham Harrell will be on showcase primarily, and the winner of this game, who makes the least mistakes, will be in the driver's seat for the Heisman Trophy. An OU victory will really throw the BCS into a tizzy, because many pundits, including myself, will not be in favor of OU being ranked ahead of the Longhorns. TTU's defense is far better than I thought, their O-line is outstanding, and the all-around talent is very good. OU has a more balanced offense which is the #1 reason I'm going to pick the Sooners in this marquee match-up. Boomer Sooner! TTU: 34 - OU: 42

Chief: Every week comes with the nation picking against my Red Raiders and every week, they emerge unscathed. TTU will have their hands full trying to enter Norman and take down the Sooners whose record is (something like) 59-2 at home under Stoops. I’m sticking with my boys here and staying with the Red Raider wagon. Both teams are chugging along, but there’s something magical coming out of Lubbock. Look for over 1000 total yards in the game in which 2 (or possibly 3) Heisman finalists take the field. The Texas Texh offensive line again makes the difference as the Raiders start looking to Miami. Harrell to Crabtree over and over while Bradford impresses…but not enough. TTU: 45—OU:41

Michigan vs. Ohio State
Gomer: Wow, wow, wow, the last game of the regular season already. It always amazes me how fast the season goes by, and another one bites the dust. This is the worst Michigan in the history of college football, and that's saying a lot about the ALL-TIME WINNINGEST PROGRAM IN NCAA HISTORY. A Buckeye loss is not only unimaginable, but would be the greatest upset in the history of the rivalry. On the flip side, Ohio State is playing for a share of the Big Ten title, their 4th straight, and an unprecedented 5th straight victory over the state up north. It will be a thrilling day in Ohio Stadium, where we get to see 'Little Animal', Jenkins, Boeckman, Freeman, and (in my opinion) 'Beanie' one last time. The weather will be perfect for a gridiron battle (of spread offenses) where the men will be separated from the boys, and the Men of the Scarlet and Gray will emerge victorious from the trenches after battling the Maize and Blue to a bitter pulp. UM: 20 - OSU: 34

Chief: Throw out the records, it’s still ‘The Game’. Rich Rodriguez comes rolling into Columbus with excuses abounding. Telling his fans to ‘Get a Life’? That tops the list of things you think but don’t say in Ann Arbor. His backup QB is starting, and who knows who starts in the backfield (Minor should be healthy). The Buckeye faithful can’t be caught here looking ahead because this is still Michigan. They have a great defensive line and who knows what could happen if we aren’t prepared. Luckily for us, the sweatervest cares not for any other game and will have the troops fired up. This game is for a share of the Big 10 title and this senior class is looking for the clean sweep (4 straight). It may not be the season they wanted, but it is what it is, and there’s no sweeter way to leave than to send the Wolverines home crying to mama. The Bucks don’t look past (even thought their fans are) and take care of business. Beanie for 150, Laurinitis with 10 tackles, Jenkins with a pick, and close it out with senior captain Todd Boeckman leading a final scoring drive. GO BUCKS!! BEAT BLUE!! UM: 10—OSU: 41

West Virginia vs. Louisville: Gomer:WVU - Chief:WVU
BYU vs. Utah: Gomer:Utah - Chief:Utah
Oregon State vs. Arizona: Gomer:Ariz - Chief:OSU
Iowa vs. Minnesota: Gomer:Minnesota - Chief:Iowa
Florida State vs. Maryland: Gomer:Maryland - Chief:FSU
Illinois @ Northwestern: Gomer:Illinois - Chief:Illinois

Friday, November 14, 2008

Week 12

Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Gomer: I like Texas to re-assert themselves to get back in the national title picture. UT: 38 - KU: 21

Chief:
The Longhorns look to continue their hopes for a Big 12 south title, but they don’t control their own destiny with the multitude of tie-breaking scenarios. The Jayhawks have been disappointing of late, but a win against UT would turn the season around. Reesing is still pretty good, but Kansas is a blah team. While that may work against mediocre teams, they need some fireworks to defeat the mighty Horns. Colt McCoy will continue to impress and keep himself a solid number 2 in the Heisman race. KU lost to Nebraska last week and Texas needs style points so I see a blow out. Orakpo will wreak havoc while McCoy to Cosby racks the points up. UT: 48—KU: 17

Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles
Gomer: I really like the 'Noles in this ACC night tilt. The FSU defense has been stout all season (for the most part) and the Eagles are a shell of their former selves. Not to mention I get to be there! BC: 17 - FSU: 28

Chief:
Gameday comes to Tallahassee…for the FAMU game down the road? Unfortunately for ESPN, the much bigger (and better) game is in Doak Campbell. Both I and my colleague will be attending the night time black-out in Tallahassee. I’m expecting a great game where the Nole defense continues to hold sway. Ponder is coming into his own with targets like Surrency, Carr, and Easterling, while Smith continues to tote the rock. BC has been mediocre all year but is on a high after shutting out the Irish. This week, their lack of Matt Ryan will be more than the difference. The Noles hit much harder than anyone the Eagles have played thus far and the night atmosphere will shake them to the core. Everette Smith might knock the BC QB to the sideline early. Send Bobby out with a conference title…the way it should be! BC: 10—FSU: 31

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Florida Gators
Gomer: I completely expect this to be a blowout. South Carolina's quarterback play is terrible, and the Gator defense is stout at home in "The Swamp". Timmy Tebow will have a big day further getting him back into the Heisman talk. USC: 16 - UF: 45

Chief:
As Florida is the media-proclaimed juggernaut that cannot be stop, we might as well hand them the hardware now. I can think of a team in 2006 that was unstoppable and this same Gator team ended their magical wire-to-wire run. The Gators are a very good team, but South Carolina has an excellent defense (best in the SEC) and let’s not forget the whole intrigue factor of Spurrier’s return to The Swamp. In 2006, the Old Ball Coach entered the Swamp and came within a blocked field goal of a monumental upset. This year will be very interesting and not without its charm, but I think the Gator’s pull out a victory that is closer than the experts think. USC:10—UF:13
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Illinois Illini
Gomer: When you continuously put your offense in a position to fail, it is bound to happen eventually. The coaching staff hung the offense out to dry with atrocious play calls on 1st and 2nd down to force what seemed like 50 3rd and longs for Pryor and the offense. Luckily for the Bucks the Terrelle decided to make some miraculous runs and keep the drives going all day in Evanston. I don't think that happens this week. When the Illinois D holds the Bucks to 1 or 2 yards on first down, worry, big time. The playbook to stop Ohio State is the same, load up against the run, and make Pryor beat you through the air, which I'm still not 100% convinced he can (last week against Northwestern was a huge improvement in my mind). Illinois still has Juice, Dufrene, and Benn who all tore up the Bucks last year. Some will say without Mendenhall they don't have a chance, he accounted for only 88 yds on the ground while Dufrene and Williams combined for 176. The game will come down to Pryor's ability to throw, and for the first time ever (and mostly because I'm down by a BAJILLION games to Chief) I'm gonna pick the Illini. OSU: 21 - UI: 28

Chief:
The rematch of the lone regular season blemish for the Bucks returns as the prep for the Big Game. Juice Williams had his way last year, but he had current Steelers bench warmer Rashard Mendenhall to carry the load and grind out the tough yards. This year has been one of supreme disappointment for the Zooker and the Juice capped off by the upset by Western Michigan threatening to keep the Illini at home this holiday season. Wells has found his game again and TP is playing very well. The passing game is starting to work in Columbus, and once the coach’s realize that, the Bucks will start lighting up scoreboards. Silver Bullets squeeze the Juice in some payback to take back the Illibuck. OSU: 37—UI: 17

Georgia vs. Auburn, Gomer: Aub Chief: UGA
North Carolina vs. Maryland, Gomer: Mary Chief: UNC
Brigham Young vs. Air Force, Gomer: UAF Chief: BYU
California vs. Oregon State, Gomer: OSU Chief: OSU
USC vs. Stanford, Gomer: USC Chief: USC

Monday, November 10, 2008

BCS Top 25:
1. Alabama 10-0
2. Texas Tech 10-0
3. Texas 9-1
4. Florida 8-1
5. Oklahoma 9-1
6. USC 8-1
7. Utah 10-0
8. Penn State 9-1
9. Boise State 9-0
10. Georgia 8-2
11. Ohio State 8-2
12. Missouri 8-2
13. Oklahoma State 8-2
14. Ball State 9-0
15. Michigan State 9-2
16. North Carolina 7-2
17. BYU 9-1
18. TCU 9-2
19. Florida State 7-2
20. LSU 6-3
21. Pitt 7-2
22. Cincinnati 7-2
23. Tulsa 8-1
24. Wake Forest 6-3
25. South Carolina 7-3

Projected Bowls:

BCS National Championship:
Florida vs. Oklahoma

Sugar Bowl:
Alabama vs. Utah

Fiesta Bowl:
Texas vs. USC

Rose Bowl:
Oregon State vs. Penn State

Orange Bowl:
Florida State vs. Cincinnati

Friday, November 07, 2008

Week 11

Well the Bucks are back after a needed bye and they travel to the typically friendly confines of Ryan Field in Evanston, Illinois. I, along with many fellow brethren will be in attendance on Saturday cheering on the Bucks in what should be a great game in perfect football weather (40's, rain, wind). Records so far: Gomer (70-34) Chief (73-31)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina Tarheels
Gomer: Georgia Tech shocked a lot of people by pounding the FSU defense on the ground (to the tune of 288 yards). Many pundits believe that the Tarheels defense will be the difference in this ACC Coastal tilt, but I, like my colleague, believe that the 'Noles have the best defense in the conference. Georgia Tech will pound the Heels on the ground and the Tech D-line will beat up UNC QB Cam Sexton forcing him to make mistakes, making this more lopsided than expected. GT: 31 - UNC: 16

Chief: Another crucial game in the ACC in which nearly everyone is still in the hunt for a conference title. Watching some ACC games this year, I’ve come to the conclusion that the conference is getting a bad rap (this year). There are no dominant teams in the conference, but they truly are beating each other up yielding mediocre records. This game will most likely determine the Coastal division. Butch Davis has done a number in his second year, getting the Tarheels back onto the national stage, thanks largely to all-around player Branden Tate. On the flip side, Paul Johnson has worked a miracle at GT in one year (thanks to a gift-wrapped win last week). The triple option has stumped great defenses, and I don’t think UNC is a great defense. Look for Tech to ride the wave to another victory (and perhaps the Noles can earn a chance for revenge). GT: 27—UNC: 17

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Gomer: LSU's defense has shown that they struggle to stop an offense with a pulse (see vs. Florida and vs. Georgia). Alabama's offense has been powerful, but lacks that extra spark seemingly. This is also the homecoming of LSU turncoat Nick Saban, but I don't think it will have a huge impact on this game. While getting stomped by the Gators and 'Dogs, LSU's D has not allowed more than 72 yards to any other opponent. If Alabama struggles to put some points on the board early, LSU has a chance to pull of the huge upset. 'Bama: 17 - LSU: 9

Chief: Ah, sweet homecoming. Many are curious as to the reception Mr. Saban will get when entering his old stomping grounds considering he bolted for the NFL but led the Tigers to the championship in 2003. Remember one thing about college football fans, they are stupid and have no memory at all. This crowd will have no remorse at tearing into Saban and his (now) ‘dirty’ tactics and will make the Tide face a truly hostile environment. Wait, what happened the last time they went to the Bulldawgs House? Oh yeah, they blew out a Georgia team that is much better than the Tigers (remember UGA killing LSU last week in Baton Rouge). I don’t like Alabama, but I dislike LSU even more. The return of Mount Cody will stuff the LSU running game and Bama should score once or twice which should be enough. Could the Les Miles in Ann Arbor days be approaching? SEC fans could care less about what happened a year ago (see Phil Fulmer). Bama: 13—LSU: 3

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Gomer: The Raiders were able to win a thriller vs. the #1 Longhorns last week, and are due for a letdown. Oklahoma State is just talented enough to hang with the Raiders but lacks the defensive prowess needed to slow down their attack. The Raiders seem to have an unlimited amount of points to score, and won't be slowed down this week (the let down is looming however). OSU: 45 - TTU: 56

Chief:
Sweet victory. After one of the most exciting games in the history of the sport in which Texas Tech took down the juggernaut of Texas (called by this guy), the Red Raiders try to replicate the monumental win against another top 10 team. The Pokes are one of the teams flying under the radar in the Big 12 because of all the tradition powers hogging the headlines. Offensive Coordinator/Head Coach Mike Gundy is indeed a man and keeps the OSU offense churning out points, but Texas Tech under OC/HC Mike Leach also knows how to light up the scoreboard. The true key to the TT success lies, not in their superstars (Crabtree and Harrell), but in their monstrous offensive line. That was my key to the upset last week, and I believe it holds suit again this week. All eyes descend on the 2 best wide receivers in the country: Michael Crabtree and Dez Bryant (get ya popcorn ready!). The big-uglies provide all the time in the world to continue the Heisman campaigns of Crabtree/Harrell, while the Pokes take another loss that’s closer than the score indicates. OSU: 31—TT: 41

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Gomer: The Buckeyes are back at it after a needed bye week. The loss to Penn State still looms in the back of the memories of the Bucks, and while the fans sure don't give two hoots about this week's game, hopefully the team has had enough time to stew on the two losses so far this season. Northwestern's offense is dangerous enough to make the Buckeye defense pay if they're caught sleeping. Mike Kafka not only threw for 143 yards (that's a lot compared to Terrelle Pryor) but ran for a whopping 217 yards. In the past, mobile QB's have given Ohio State lots of trouble (see Illinois, Ohio, Florida, etc...), and I expect that struggle to continue. On the flip side, the Buckeyes need to pound the ball with Beanie Wells. The coaching staff has squandered away the season (no Nat'l Title, no Big Ten Title = Failure) by not utilizing him effectively. The 'Cats have the nations 26th ranked run D but hopefully the Bucks will keep them off balance by effectively using TP and the PA pass. OSU: 27 - NU: 17

Chief: The Wildcat backup QB Mike Kafka looked like a different player last week against the Gophers as he kept his team in the game almost single handedly until the defense dropped the hammer. I don’t know who starts for Northwestern (Baucher or Kafka), but it appears either option is ok. The Bucks hope to break that nasty streak of losing after bye weeks and I think we can end the pain. The PSU game provided a framework to beat OSU: stuff the run with 11 people and make Pryor throw. The Bucks decided to keep banging their collective heads against the brick wall that was the Nittany Lion D and failed (thanks to 1 freaking mistake). While I believe that OSU can stick to the run game more or less exclusively and come out with a win (NW front seven is nowhere near as good as Penn State’s), I hope we try more of the short passing game. Pryor showed last week a propensity to underthrow every deep ball, but looked pretty good on the few quick slants, flats, and hitches. Stick with what works and the Bucks win easily. Look for the Bullets to control the ranked (?) Wildcats and cruise to victory. OSU: 27—NW: 10

Purdue vs. Michigan State, Gomer: MSU - Chief: MSU
Penn State vs. Iowa, Gomer: PSU - Chief: PSU
Clemson vs. Florida State, Gomer: Clemson - Chief: FSU
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia, Gomer: WVU - Chief: WVU
California vs. USC, Gomer: USC - Chief: USC

Monday, November 03, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Texas Tech
2. Alabama
3. Penn State
4. Texas
5. Florida
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8. Oklahoma State
9. Utah
10. Boise State
11. Georgia
12. Ohio State
13. TCU
14. Missouri
15. Michigan State
16. LSU
17. North Carolina
18. Brigham Young
19. Georgia Tech
20. Ball State
21. Florida State
22. California
23. Northwestern
24. Minnesota
25. West Virginia

A few notes:
-Quite a shake-up in recent weeks...

If the BCS selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Utah vs. Florida

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Ohio State vs. Texas

Orange Bowl (ACC)
West Virginia vs. North Carolina

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Alabama vs. Texas Tech

Ugh wow, talk about some ugly match-ups. PSU getting left out of the BCS NCG "screws" Ohio State into a non-Rose Bowl BCS game. How bad are the ACC and Big East? I can't find a better place to put WVU other than against the other bad conference champion... hopefully that ends up being Florida State to make things more interesting. Here is how it would be in a perfect world with a play-in game to help satisfy those who demand a "play-off"

#1Texas Tech vs. #4 Texas... This would be a helluva re-match
#2 Alabama vs. #3 Penn State... Traditional powers collide

#5 Florida vs. #6 Oklahoma... Very nice

#7 USC vs. #8 Oklahoma State... Not bad, potential blow-out

#9 Utah vs. #10 Boise State... Ugh, this won't happen thankfully

Friday, October 31, 2008

Week 10

A disappointing defeat at the hands of the Nittany Lions. If the Buckeye coaching staff had nto abandoned the run so easily, the Bucks would have had a better chance at pulling the upset, but unfortunately they did not do a good job convincing the Lions they would actually try and pass. The coaches deserve as much blame as one Terrelle Pryor who tried his best, and will learn and grow from the mistakes. Updated records: Gomer (67-30) Chief (70-27) It seems that no matter what I pick I just can't make up any ground.

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Gophers
Gomer: Northwestern went down in defeat last weekend to the Hoosiers effectively putting them out of the Big Ten Title race. Reason I mention it is because not only did Northwestern lose, but they lost QB CJ Bacher and RB Tyrell Sutton, obviously this is a huge blow to the Wildcats. Minnesota must win to keep their slim chance of a Big Ten Title alive. Adam Weber and Eric Decker have been the top QB-Receiver duo in the Big Ten this season, but the big story for the Gophers this season has been the surprise emergence of the defense. The Gophers lead the nation in turnover margin and will take advantage of the Wildcat injury situation. NU: 17 - UM: 41

Chief:
I don’t see this one as being close at all. Northwestern was riding high in the Big 10 until last week’s loss to inept Indiana. In NW’s defense, key injuries are the reason for the downfall as RB Tyrell Sutton and QB C.J. Bacher are out. Last week, backup QB Mike Kafka looked unbelievably bad. Even if he improves this week, I like the Gophers. The Wildcats will fight hard, but Weber and the Gophers take another step closer to a potential BCS bowl??? NW: 17—UM: 31

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Gomer: Tim Tebow has struggled when the spotlight is on him. Although he is a freak of nature athlete, his record isn't so stellar and unfortunately for the Gators, he doesn't play defense. Matthew Stafford and the Bulldogs have rebounded from the disaster against 'Bama and look to continue the success the established against the Gators last year. Speaking of that, I would not be surprised if Meyer's team did something even more extreme than what the Bulldogs did last year, either that, or put a smackdown on the 'Dogs. I'm going with the upset in this edition of the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, UGA wins with a solid run game, and defense. UF: 17 - UGA: 28

Chief: Time for another edition of ‘the game formally known as the World’s Largest Cocktail Party’. Tensions should be extremely high after last year’s genius ploy by Georgia coach Mark Richt to get an unsportsmanlike penalty after the first touchdown to fire the team up. Yes, UF scored on the next possession, aided by the penalty, but the fire never left the Dawg’s eyes. Everyone is completely sold on the Gators after the LSU and Kentucky blowouts, but 2 words come to mind—“Ole Miss”. Georgia was beat down by a fired up Bama team, but is playing good sound ball now. This game will be nasty. Tebow will have a good game, but the UGA defense will knock him down enough to let Moreno shine. Dawgs in the ‘upset’ with a last second FG. UGA: 30—UF: 28

Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Gomer: The Noles are in the thick of the ACC Title chase when seemingly a team gains control of their destiny, they immediately try to pass it off, kinda like a long drawn out game of hot potatoe. Tech has began to struggle as of late, but I'm not sure if it's because teams are getting better at defending the triple option, or because they're running into some hot teams. Either way, FSU is on track to an ACC title if they can win in Atlanta. Expect a defensive struggle. FSU: 16 - GT: 13

Chief:
The Noles are back baby. Last week’s win over VT was huge in the ACC race as well as the return to prominence. As Bobby Bowden said, this team will not be confused with the great teams of the 90s, but it’s moving in the right direction with knockdown smash-mouth defense and an offense that is starting to click. Tech plays tough in Bobby Todd and Paul Johnson has implemented his triple option extremely fast in Atlanta (Note to Michigan: who says you need to wait to get the athletes to implement a new system?). Last week’s loss to the Wahoos really hurt the Jackets in the ACC race, but a win here gets the train back on track. I see FSU taking control by stuffing the run (one of the top in the country against the run) and scoring just enough to take down a better than advertised Jacket defense. Just keep chugging along Noles. FSU: 30—GT: 17

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Raiders
Gomer: The Red Raiders have been red hot as usual on offense and surprisingly, have started to play some defense. Problem is while they're run defense is one of the best in the nation, their pass defense is below average which could lead to a big day for Colt McCoy. The Horns were able to slowdown potent attacks from Oklahoma and Missouri enough to get a decent lead and ride it out. Mack Brown's bunch will finish the brutal 4 game stretch unscathed and will come out as the favorites to win the National Title and Heisman trophy. UT: 47 - TTU: 27

Chief:
Once again, Texas enters the week with another huge game. The Longhorns beat the Sooners in a shootout, dominated the Tigers early and coasted, but were taken to the final moments by the Pokes last week. I think Texas is getting tired (finally). Don’t get me wrong, OSU is very good, but the Longhorns should have put up more in Austin. Tech on the other hand began the Kansas game by trading 2 early TDs a piece and then decided the rout was on. While Texas limps into Lubbock beat up and tired, the Red Raiders are salivating to take down big brother. The biggest battle in this game will be the Tech O-Line (only given up 3 sacks in a pass happy offense all year) and the beast Brian Orakpo on the Horn D-Line. I think Leach’s team gets it done at home in a great game. UT: 34—TT: 38

Washington vs. USC Gomer: USC (+52) - Chief: USC (+36)
Tulsa vs. Arkansas Gomer: Tulsa - Chief: Tulsa
Oregon vs. California Gomer: Cal - Chief: Cal

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Week 9

Put-up or shut-up week. Gameday returns to Columbus for the first time since "The Game of the Century" (#1 OSU vs. #2 Michigan, November 2006) in which the Buckeyes were victorious. Here are the records so far: Gomer (60-27) Chief (62-25)

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Gomer: This game will probably be a shootout much like Oklahoma State/Missouri was a couple weeks ago. Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree will have another statistically big day and will put up just enough to get by the talented Jayhawks and Todd Reesing. TT: 51 - KU: 42

Chief: This is probably the most underrated matchup of the weekend. Texas Tech puts their top 10 ranking and video game offense on the field against slow and steady Kansas. Kansas does not make mistakes which has been their shining star under the Mark Mangino era. Reesing is coldly efficient and let’s not forget that they hung with OU for most of the game last week. Harrell to Crabtree, early and often, is the TT slogan and it works, but that has just barely been enough to beat so-so Nebraska and Texas A&M in the last few weeks. Tech and their contest winning kicker go down in a shootout (but become extremely dangerous in the future). TT: 35—KU: 38
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns
Gomer: Texas has owned this series as of late and I look for that to continue today. Colt McCoy is the real deal and Oklahoma State does not have a defensive answer to counter the Texas attack. With Dez Bryant leading the OSU attack the Pokes will put up points, but the Texas D-line will get enough pressure to force some 3-and-outs and turnovers to seal the deal. OSU: 28 - UT: 45

Chief: Oklahoma State is a very, very good team and their coach is a man…he’s 41! But they are running into a buzzsaw that is Texas. Colt McCoy has been almost perfect, but watching them against Missouri, I saw that his efficiency is purely due to short, dump-down passes that make up, I’d guess, 80% of his throws. Don’t get me wrong, he’s been phenomenal at managing the game, but his unbelievable accuracy is due to the play selection. Ogbonnaya totes the rock very well, the lines block extremely well, and the Will Muschamp defense led by monster Brian Orakpo is extremely tough. The Poke defense looked pretty good against Mizzou, but the offense led by the ground game in tandem with QB Zac Robinson and WR Dez Bryant is fun to watch. I think the Longhorn D comes up big to end this OSU’s title run in Austin—the only thing that can stop Texas is the brutal schedule. OSU: 24—UT: 34
Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers
Gomer: I can't really peg how I feel about this game. LSU was shredded by Florida's run game, and that isn't saying much. Knowshon Moreno has a good chance to get back into the thick of the Heisman talk with a big performance. The LSU D-Line should have Jean-Francois back and should help put pressure on Stafford, however Stafford isn't your typically rattled QB and could very possibly lead the Bulldogs in an overtime upset. UGA: 31 - LSU : 27

Chief: Oh boy, another SEC game. Let’s slobber all over them as usual. Note to college football fans: The SEC is not the best conference this year. That honor is bestowed on the Big 12. The SEC this year is living off media hype alone and thriving. The offenses stink which make the defenses shine, and the non-conference schedules are putrid. The SEC is afraid to exit the southern confines and the media is content to bolster their strength by supporting this saying “Why should they have to play anyone when the conference features the top 12 teams in the nation?” More proof was provided on Thursday night as former top 10 Auburn started strong and petered out against a mediocre West Virginia squad. Don’t worry Tommy, you’ll be back in the South soon and not have to play running QBs (or decent offenses) anymore. Ok, now that that’s out, let’s look at this game. All the focus is on LSU playing in Baton Rouge—a place where the Bayou Bengals traditionally take care of business. The big difference is that this year’s squad is not earth-shatteringly good. I like Georgia to establish the run early with Moreno and mix in some timely passes to freshman star A.J. Green. LSU has a strong defense, but giving up 17 last week to an anemic Gamecock offense is nothing to be proud of. The LSU offense led by Hatch or Lee is nothing special either. The Tigers will need Scott to pound the ball, but I think UGA jumps on them early forcing Mr. Miles to throw the ball….not in the LSU gameplan. Advantage Dawgs and Richt on the road. UGA: 27—LSU: 17
Penn State Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Gomer: For weeks and weeks I have looked at this looming matchup and could not see a way that the Buckeyes would be able to get by the Lions. Penn State is ranked ahead of the Buckeyes in just about every statistical category in the Big Ten. My biggest worry is Pryor's reaction to severe pressure, the OSU O-Line could make us all feel how we did during the USC game, but there is something special about Beanie on the big stage that makes me confident. I look for this to be an epic clash of titans that will come down to field position and turnovers. We Are... OHIO STATE! PSU: 28 - OSU: 30

Chief: Welcome back Bucks! The game in East Lansing was what every true Buckeye fan expected coming into this year. Beanie and Pryor ran all over the Spartans while the defense shut down the leading rusher in the big 10. Efficiency and excellence was the name of the game. That being said, Penn State is very balanced. PSU’s main strength is their exceptional line play on both sides. The Lions hope is to establish Royster on the ground, get a big play or 2 out of Clark and/or Williams, and rattle Pryor early. The Bucks need to get Beanie going up the middle and take some safe intermediate passes to get Pryor in the zone. Defensively, the OSU plan is stick with what’s been working. The last 2 games the Bullets have been firing strong: stuff the run, bother the QB, and get turnovers. PSU is solid, but coming into the Shoe at night is a tall order, especially when the team hasn’t faced adversity this year (100th strength of schedule) and old man Joe ‘Oops, I crapped my pants’ Paterno hasn’t won in Columbus since 1978. Edge OSU for home field, better schedule so far, and experience in handling adversity. OSU wins a close one to scare the nation—can the Bucks still go to Miami? (I still think ‘slim to no chance’, but it’s a step in the right direction.) PSU: 13—OSU: 20

Virginia Tech vs. Florida State, Gomer: VT Chief: FSU
Michigan State vs. Michigan, Gomer: UM Chief: MSU
Alabama vs. Tennessee, Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama
Notre Dame vs. Washington, Gomer: ND Chief: ND
Oregon vs. Arizona State, Gomer: UO Chief: UO
USC vs. Arizona, Gomer: USC Chief: USC

Monday, October 20, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

Update: All computer and human polls have been released

1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Oklahoma
4. Penn State
5. Oklahoma State
6. USC
7. Georgia
8. Ohio State
9. Florida
10. Texas Tech
11. Utah
12. Boise State
13. TCU
14. LSU
15. Missouri
16. Georgia Tech
17. South Florida
18. Pittsburgh
19. Tulsa
20. Ball State
21. Michigan State
22. Kansas
23. Minnesota
24. Brigham Young
25. Boston College

A few notes:
-The gap between #1 Texas has a sizeable lead over #2 Alabama, which actually has grown from last week(1.64-7.60)
-This week's most overrated team is: #14 LSU rated #10 by human polls and 18.6 by the computer polls.
-The most underrated teams is: #20 Ball State rated #26 by human polls and 18.3 by the computer polls.
-The Buckeyes have climbed to #8 in this "mock" BCS and are ranked #10 by the humans and as high as 3 and as low as 9 by the computers, another significant improvement from last week's rankings.
-Any chance at participating in the BCS National Championship game is at risk for both Ohio State and Penn State this Saturday. If the Buckeyes win it will put them in a good position to move up should more upsets occur. If Penn State wins the quality win should catapult them into the Championship game.


If the BCS selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Ohio State vs. Georgia

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Utah vs. Oklahoma

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Alabama vs. Texas

Not sure how I feel about some of those. The ACC and Big East are really struggling to have a "second" team even get considered to make the BCS so I am almost tempted to put two undefeated "mid-majors" in there. Here is how it would be in a perfect world with a play-in game to help satisfy those who demand a "play-off"

#1 Texas vs. #4 Penn State... Spread power vs. balance and smashmouth
#2 Alabama vs. #3 Oklahoma... Talk about coaching, Saban vs. Stoops

#5 Oklahoma State vs. #6 USC... Still not sure if OSU is a pretender or contender

#7 Georgia vs. #8 Ohio State... Yet another strong match-up

#9 Florida vs. #10 Texas Tech... I would pay to watch

Friday, October 17, 2008

Week 8

Buckeye Boredom! Now that the easy game versus Purdue is past... wait, that wasn't easy. Now that the Bucks have struggled with the lowly Boilers the rest of the season is seemingly a toss-up (minus the game with The School Up North) The Buckeyes begin a run of the gauntlet right now with the trip to MSU (6-1) , welcoming PSU (7-0), traveling to Evanston (5-1), and Champaign (Juice Williams anyone). The Buckeyes can win out and make the Rose Bowl or lose one or two and go Captial One/Outback Bowling. Records so far: Gomer (53-27) Chief (57-23)

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Gomer: This could get ugly, Todd Reesing and the rest of the Jayhawks are walking into a potential blowout at OU. The Sooners are coming off the heartbreak against Texas, so they will look to take out some frustrations on the 'Hawks. Sam Bradford didn't fall far out of the Heisman race so this game could be a nice rebound to get the bid going to pass Colt McCoy. KU: 17 - OU: 41

Chief: Kansas gets the distinct honor of playing the Sooners after a loss. Let’s not forget that Sam Bradford was brilliant last week against the Longhorns throwing 5 TD passes. Reesing and the Jayhawks are the epitome of smart play—they don’t turn it over or make dumb mistakes (penalties) very often. Regardless, the Sooners are really good. I think the Jayhawks are in for a major butt-whooping. Remember, Bob Stoops doesn’t call off the dogs. KU: 17—OU: 41

Missouri Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns
Gomer: The Rising Star's fall from glory will continue this week. I've said for a few weeks that Chase Daniel would arguably be one of the worst Heisman winners EVER, and thank the Lord for last week's clunker against the Cowboys (bang bang). Texas was able to pull out a thriller against the Sooners and are now in the driver's seat for a spot in the BCS National Championship Game against either 'Bama, USC, or Florida. The question of the day will be if Colt McCoy will be able to handle last weeks success and pick apart the average Mizzou defense. The other glaring question is if Texas will bring the pressure that the Pokes brought on Chase Daniel to help force him to make poor decisions. This should easily be the best game of the week. UM: 28 - UT: 38

Chief: Boy, those first picks were boring…well, I need to have an upset somewhere and here it is. The number 1 team in the country after an epic rivalry win last week will not hold sway in week 8. The Chase Daniel/Jeremy Maclin led Tigers enter DKR with a bad taste in their mouths after being beaten by a man…he’s 41. The Pokes beat the Tigers on the scoreboard, but Mizzou couldn’t get out of their own way last week. I think this week we see another Clash of the Titans with both quarterbacks doing everything to keep their teams’ dreams alive, but Chase Daniel has just enough to outduel Colt McCoy with that last second comeback everyone expected last week. Mizzou in my upset special squeaker of the week. UM: 31—UT: 30

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans
Gomer: The Bucks come into East Lansing with the defense showing some signs of life but struggling mightily on offense. The O struggled to put up any yardage on the 95th worst defense in the nation (Purdue, giving up 400yds/game) while offensive statistics have plummeted to make OSU the 94th worst offense in the nation (averaging 320yds/game). Michigan State has been solid in all aspects of the game... almost. Brandon Hoyer has matured throughout the last two seasons but consistenly shows poor decision making when pressure is on, problem is, the OSU d-line can't generate pressure (75th in the nation in sacks, 97th in tackles for loss). While the defense isn't getting the necessary pressure and the offense is sputtering, the Bucks tend to play much better on the road in the Big Ten the last few years than they do at home. I would not be surprised if Dantonio gets his first signature win as the head man in East Lansing, he is the D-coordinator I would do anything to have back on the side lines with Coach Tressel. If Ringer gets his Heisman groove on, we should worry, if he has less yards than Beanie, all is well for another week in Buckeye land. OSU: 19 - MSU: 17

Chief:
Welcome back to 2003 Buckeye Nation! Last week, the offense couldn’t get a thing going while the defense remembered how good they were supposed to be. Malcolm Jenkins finally had a coming out party as the Bullets held the Purdue offense to 3 points on their longest field goal in school history. That being said, MSU is another animal. Javon Ringer leads the Spartan attack and this guy is good. The defense will have their hands full, but I think the edge at QB actually stays with the Bucks. Hoyer is terrible, and Pryor, while not perfect, is slowly getting better (if the coaches would start calling better plays (quick slants please!!!). MSU clobbered NU last week, but looked very suspect against a bad Iowa at home 2 weeks ago. I like Beanie and the Bucks to awaken on offense and Laurinaitis to hold Ringer to a mediocre day. This won’t mark the traditional MSU meltdown, but OSU take another step to the 3rd consecutive outright Big 10 title. OSU: 24—MSU: 13

Michigan vs. Penn State - Gomer: PSU - Chief: PSU
LSU vs. South Carolina - Gomer: LSU - Chief: LSU (close)
Virginia Tech vs. Boston College - Gomer: VT - Chief: VT
California vs. Arizona - Gomer: UA - Chief: Cal

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Thursday Night Special...

Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack


Gomer: I've had quite the run of good luck picking the Wolfpack as the spoiler many times in the past, but I really can't even begin to justify it here. The Seminoles have played outstanding defense for the most part this season and finally showed some life in their offense in the rivalry game with the 'Canes. Christian Ponder should continue to improve and will help lead his team to victory in another nail-biter with versus the pack. FSU: 17 - NCST: 9

Chief: Bobby’s Noles enter Raleigh after a bye week following an ugly yet very satisfying win over arch-rival Miami. Yes, Miami put up 39 points on FSU, but the defense was much better than that. Miami only scored on turnovers and gadget plays. Whenever faced with a short field, FSU takes care of business. This week will be no different because while Miami is a team on the rise, the Wolfpack is dropping fast. That win over ECU is a distant memory as the Pirates have fallen off the map. Look for Ponder to shore up the mistakes (I’ll still say 2 turnovers), Smith to pound the ball, and the Nole defense to shut down the Pack on Thursday night. FSU: 31 - NCST: 6

BYU vs. TCU - Gomer: BYU - Chief: BYU

Monday, October 13, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

Update: One week until the official BCS standings are released

1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Penn State
4. USC
5. Oklahoma
6. Oklahoma State
7. Florida
8. Texas Tech
9. Ohio State
10. Georgia
11. Utah
12. Boise State
13. BYU
14. Missouri
15. Michigan State
16. Virginia Tech
17. North Carolina
18. LSU
19. Kansas
20. Wake Forest
21. South Florida
22. TCU
23. California
24. Ball State
25. Vanderbilt

A few notes:
-The gap between #1 Texas has a sizeable lead over #2 Alabama (1.88-7.47)
-This week's most overrated team is: #18 LSU (11.50 rating by the human polls and 27.80 from the computers, a difference of 16.3)
-The most underrated teams is: #24 Ball State (28.25 rating by the human polls and 19.20 from the computers, a difference of 9.05)
-The Buckeyes have climbed to #9 in this "mock" BCS and are ranked either 11, 12, or 13 by the humans and as high as 5 and as low as 15 by the computers, a significant improvement over last week.
-Beating the Spartans will be a tough task for the Buckeyes but if they accomplish it will give them huge points in both the computers and humans leading into next week's showdown with #3 PSU


If the BCS selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Florida vs. Ohio State

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Oklahoma vs. Utah

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Virginia Tech vs. South Florida

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Alabama vs. Texas

Not bad match-ups all around, of course there is the dumb rule of a maximum of 2 teams from any conference, here is how it would be in a perfect world with a play-in game to help satisfy those who demand a "play-off"

#1 Texas vs. #4 USC... Nice rematch, probably a very good game
#2 Alabama vs. #3 Penn State... Power house programs with a ton of history

#5 Oklahoma vs. #6 Oklahoma State... We get to see this game later this season

#7 Florida vs. #8 Texas Tech... Shootout for teams that don't play very good defense

#9 Ohio State vs. #10 Georgia... The early BCSNCG prediction but a nice consolation match-up

Friday, October 10, 2008

Week 7

What a thriller! The Buckeyes survived a scary road trip to Camp Randall and rode on the arms and legs of freshman QB Terrelle Pryor. I've started just going with my gut instinct for most games rather than use logic, because hey, it doesn't really matter. Records so far: Gomer (48-22) Chief (50-20)

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Gomer: Bradford vs. McCoy in the Red River Shootout. This game will have a huge impact on the national title picture and the Heisman race. If the Horns are able to pull off the win they will have a lot of momentum heading into the toughest stretch of the schedule (OU, Mizzou, OSU, TT). I have heard a lot of knocks on UT's schedule thus far but looking at who the two teams have played the only major difference is the win over TCU for the sooners. The biggest reason OU should win is their balance on offense, between Bradford and Murray, OU is diverse where they need it. If McCoy gets hot this could get really interesting and vault him to the top of the Heisman list. UT: 24 - OU: 31

Chief: With all the great games this week, the Red River Shootout tops most peoples’ lists. The Big 12 this year has been a bastion of great QB play and this game has 2 of the best in McCoy and Bradford. Both of these QBs should be invited to the Heisman ceremony at year’s end. I like OU in this matchup as the Horns have played no one this year. OU’s schedule is not anything special, but TCU provided a little tune up. While the Horned Frogs will never be mistaken for the Horns, Bradford and Murray will be enough to stop McCoy and….McCoy. Texas doesn’t have the variety of weapons OU has and it will show in Dallas. UT: 20—OU: 38

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Missouri Tigers
Gomer: Mike Gundy and the Pokes look to shock the country in probably the most underrated match-up of this weekend. These are two of the very best offenses in the country and two average-ish defenses, so in a sense this should look like a Pac-10 game. The best hope for the Cowpokes is to hope for a Mizzou lookahead to next week's game with the Horns. Both teams will put up ridiculous numbers, Chase Daniel will look good and probably solidify his chances at winning the Heisman (I might kill something or someone if he wins). I just have some funny feeling about the Pokes being the underdog and being nameless to the majority of the nation. OSU: 45 - Mizzou: 42

Chief: This Big 12 matchup should be one of the most exciting games of the year. Maybe the reason for the political correct change of the Red River Shootout is because the shootout of the week is in Columbia. The Pokes and Tigers has 2 of the most dynamic offenses in the country with Heisman frontrunner Chase Daniel and relative unknown Zac Robinson (also in the top 5 in passer rating), not to mention the stellar highlight reels Jeremy Maclin and Dez Bryant. Remember the Bengals/Browns game from a few years ago where TDs were scored every minute? Don’t blink in this one or you may miss 3 TDs. I like Mizzou for now in a close win because the Cowboys are still fairly unknown. Chase Daniel leads a game winning drive to keep the dream alive. “Get your popcorn ready!” OSU: 48—Mizzou: 52

LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators
Gomer: Anything I've read speaks to the strength from the Tiger lines on both sides of the ball. While LSU should be able to dominate where it counts the real question is, which Tim Tebow will show up? So far this season we have not seen the Heisman Trophy winner of last year, it's not like he's been bad, but he hasn't been Heisman caliber. This game should be a classic and has huge national title implications because whoever wins will be in the drivers seat to make it to the BCS championship (A 1-loss SEC champion gets in over any other 1-loss team). Another tidbit; under Meyer and Tebow's leadership the Gators have never made a 4th quarter comeback. LSU: 27 - UF: 21

Chief: Does one of these teams have to win??? I would be just fine seeing both lose. This game has huge national title implications as a win for UF puts them back in the hunt and a loss ends all hope. LSU could always use another big road win to solidify their status as Auburn is petering out. Darnell Scott has been getting the hype, but 1 good half by LSU QB Jarrett Lee isn’t enough to make me a believer. For the Gators, look for Tebow to Harvin, Tebow to Harvin, Tebow to Harvin as usual. I’m pulling the trigger here. The Swamp, at night, is a brutal place to play. The Gators will be pumped and Tebow will run the show himself--just enough for an enormous win for Florida. LSU: 17—UF: 20

Penn State Lions vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Gomer: This game could easily be a trap game for the Lions. Wisconsin has fallen from National Title hopes to Rose Bowl hopes to just salvaging the season. Losing to lowly Michigan and a superior Buckeye squad in the final minutes can really do that to you. Is it possible we're looking at the "new MSU"? I don't think Wisconsin will become the team of yearly collapses but they are definitely backed into a corner at 0-2 in conference play staring 0-3 in the face. On the other hand the Lions have roared through their first 6 games but still can't quite crack the top 5 nationally. A win here for JoePa's possibly last squad, will solidify the collision course with 1-loss Ohio State in two weeks. Penn State's D-line will put lots of pressure on Evridge and the Badger running game and this game will not be as close as expected. PSU: 34 - UW: 20

Chief: Yikes…Can I pull it twice? Here’s a game of incredible proportions for these teams for 2 very different reasons. Penn State needs to keep winning to keep the national love affair with Joe Pa alive. Also, they enter a murderer’s row with games at Wisconsin, home vs. Michigan (don’t laugh, PSU hasn’t beaten Michigan since 96) and at Columbus. Wisconsin has become the cornered badger who is by nature going to be extremely dangerous. If Wisconsin learns to run the ball consistently and stops putting the game into Alan Evridge’s hands they have a chance. Bielema needs to circle the wagons and impart the urgency of this game. As the last big game on the schedule, the Badgers need this...but PSU is good when they’re on. I think they do just enough to crush the Badgers hopes for another year. This game will be much closer than the expert’s think, but the Lions put the finishing blow on the Badgers. Deciding factor? PSU’s band will be in Camp Randall. Wisconsin is questionable…God Speed Blue Band! PSU: 24—UW: 23 (Editor's note: PSU's band will not be allowed in the game as of 3:30pm Friday)
(Editor's note: Wisconsin's band WILL BE at the game as of 3:40pm Friday, which means PSU's pep band should be allowed in the game as well)

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Gomer: It's almost a pity that this is Joe Tiller's final hurrah and his team is so terrible. The Boilers benched Senior QB Curtis Painter in last weeks joke against Penn State. The Buckeyes continue to struggle to put meaningful pressure on opposing QB's and will continue to struggle this week, not necessarily because of lack of effort but Painter is really good at getting rid of the ball quickly (for better or for worse). The Buckeyes have given up the most sacks in the Big Ten, even with Pryor, but with Beanie getting limited work and Boom out, this will be closer than expected (Bucks are favored by 19) because of both offensive struggles and JT's unwillingness to send out Tiller with a black eye. PU: 17 - OSU: 31

Chief: After all those great game that should run down to wire, it’s nice to have an easy one. The Bucks come off an epic win in Madison while Purdue continues to be an exercise in futility in West Lafayette. OSU is hitting their stride with the steady Beanie Wells grinding out chunks of yards and the flashy playmaker Terrelle Pryor. At season’s beginning, I had zero expectations of the boy from Jeanette. While the masses were calling for Mr. Pryor on Day 1, I expected no such changing of the guard. Even I have come to the side of the boy wonder. This guy is simply amazing, and with Beanie as another threat (not to mention some receivers who hopefully are prepared to explode), expect OSU to trample the hapless Boiler rush defense (last in the Big 10). It’s gonna be a short game in which the Bucks run, run, run while Painter enjoys the fine turf of Ohio Stadium. Bucks roll. PU: 7—OSU: 38

***On a personal note, if you happen to attend the Clash in Columbus, hang around for halftime as I was privileged enough to assist in the designing of the band’s halftime show—TV Land. See Stewie, Homer, crashing boats, and a salute to the bar where everyone knows your name, and more.***

South Carolina vs. Kentucky - Gomer: UK, Chief: USC
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina - Gomer: UNC, Chief: UNC
Michigan State vs. Northwestern - Gomer: MSU, Chief: MSU