Monday, November 07, 2011

Draper Index Week 10

Draper Index Week 10
1) LSU
2) Oklahoma
3) Oklahoma State (razor thin margin behind OU)
4) Alabama
5) Oregon
6) Stanford
7) Boise State
8) Arkansas
9) Clemson
10) Auburn
11) TCU
12) Virginia Tech
13) Nebraska
14) South Carolina
15) Wisconsin
16) USC
17) Penn State
18) Michigan State
19) Ohio State
20) Texas
21) Kansas State
22) Southern Miss
23) Notre Dame
24) Houston
25) Georgia

No real surprises other than the resurgence of OU (again, one bad loss won't kill them with their quality wins--FSU, TAMU, KSU, Missouri). TCU and Auburn are ranked too highly, but that's vestiges of last year's success (can't wash out if they don't lose). UGA, Southern Miss, and Houston enter the rankings finally with their bad schedules. UGA bounced back finally but the Cougars and Eagles are in due to their gaudy schedules. This also mirrors the polls with the B1G dominating the teens.

My ballot
1) LSU
2) Oklahoma State
3) Stanford
4) Alabama
5) Oregon
6) Oklahoma
7) Boise State
8) Arkansas
9) Clemson
10) Virginia Tech
11) Wisconsin
12) Michigan State
13) Nebraska
14) Penn State
15) USC
16) Houston
17) South Carolina
18) Ohio State
19) Kansas State
20) Georgia
21) Texas
22) Auburn
23) Georgia Tech
24) Florida State
25) Southern Miss

Predicted BCS matchups:
BCS National Championship: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Rose
: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Stanford
Sugar: Alabama vs. Boise State
Orange: Clemson vs. Cincinnati

Note: If Stanford makes the Championship Game...things get really interesting from a BCS selection standpoint. The implications could include Oklahoma State being excluded completely even with only 1 loss (assuming a loss to OU will be the only thing that catapults Stanford above). The reasoning is as follows
BCS Title: LSU vs. Stanford
Rose: B1G winner vs. at large #2
Fiesta: Big 12 vs. at large #3
Sugar: at large #1 vs. at large #4
Orange: Big East vs. ACC

Sugar selects Bama (or LSU if Bama weasels back to championship)
Rose selects Oregon to keep the Pac 12 tie in
If OU is the Big 12 rep (assumed if OSU loses to the sooners), Fiesta will not select Ok State and rematch. Choices are Boise St, Big East Champion, or other.

Scenario 1) I believe they will take Boise in which case, the Sugar happily selects Ok State, and Orange gets stuck with Big East champ.
Scenario 2) They take the Big East champ.......this will not happen
Scenario 3) Craziness. The Fiesta goes for money and selects a B1G school like Wisc, MSU, Nebraska, or UM due to the huge fan base and lots of money. The Sugar would then be forced to choose between Boise (assuming they are in the top 4) and Big East champ. They choose Boise and Orange is stuck with Big East--Orange gets stuck with Big East regardless because NO ONE will take them.

The Cowboys better hope to make the championship or at least have Stanford not make it. Their only other hope for an at large big is for the Fiesta to go for the rematch of OU/Boise. Craziness is coming.....oh yeah, if Arkansas wins out, the SEC is a TOTAL mess. Let's hope that happens too!


No comments: