Wednesday, January 21, 2026

How To Lose Games and Influence Nothing

 

Allow me to take you all back more than a quarter of a century.  Thirty years, to be precise.  The year was 1995.  Toy Story hit theaters that November and ushered in a new era of animation.  Gas was $1.20 a gallon.  Waterfalls and Gangsta’s Paradise dominated the radio (the actual radio, not streaming kids!).  That year, Ohio State football was an absolute juggernaut.  That team had the best offensive lineman in the country (Orlando Pace, winning the first of his consecutive Lombardi Trophies), the best wide receiver in the country (Terry Glenn, Biletnikoff winner), a 3rd round draft pick at quarterback, and the LITERAL best player in the country in Eddie George, who won the Heisman.  That team hung 45 on 15th ranked Notre Dame and 56 on #25 Iowa en route to an 11-0 start.  Then suddenly, a team with a laughable surplus of offensive firepower forgot how to offense, scoring just 37 points in its final two contests, losses to that team up north and Tennessee in the Citrus Bowl.

 

Thirty years later, the script had flipped from offense to defense.  The 2025 iteration of our beloved Buckeyes had FOUR first round draft picks on defense, including the Thorpe Award winner for best secondary player in the country.  This unit allowed 7.8 points per game in the regular season.  Nobody scored over 16 points all season.  Imagine only needing to score 17 points to guarantee victory!  Quite a privilege.  The last five teams to allow less than 11 points per game in the regular season (including, incidentally, the 2024 Ohio State Buckeyes) all won the natty.  To quote former Vikings (and Cardinals during this famous rant) head coach Dennis Green, “Crown their ass!”

 

Then came the Big Ten championship game.  Lots more great defense.  Only 14 points were required to win this game, against the #2 team in the country!  Except 14 points didn’t come, only 10 did.  13-10 *shudders*.  A bizarre, though somewhat dismissible, loss.  Buckeye faithful had been bemused about mediocre red zone play calling and execution all season, a seemingly endless competition to see how many tight ends could legally be on the field simultaneously.  It hadn’t mattered.  Every game had been won.  Until now.  Now, things must change.

 

Except things didn’t change.  Not in the slightest.  Like a degenerate gambler putting good money after bad,  Ryan Day- and whatever other offensive staff he allows any input- doubled down on a head-scratching strategy to intentionally shorten games and keep opponents as close as they are capable of being which, in the case of the final two games, was so close they actually won.

 

Before I continue, it bears mentioning that, to compliment the incredible defense, Ohio State’s offensive cupboard was FAR from bare.  Max Klare, a day 2 draft pick tight end weapon, Bo Jackson, an incredible freshman running back, TWO FIRST ROUND WIDE RECEIVERS AND A QUARTERBACK WHO SET THE ALL-TIME COMPLETION PERCENTAGE RECORD were on this offense.  This is not hyperbole.  Jeremiah Smith is the best receiver in college football.  Julian Sayin is the most accurate quarterback in the history of the game (they’ve only been playing it for 150 years or so though, so take that with a grain of salt).  Carnell Tate is a first-round pick, yet WR2 on this roster.  Pure absurdity.

 

Yet somehow, this is the offense that mustered a whole 10 points against Indiana (again, only 14 were needed to win).  This is the offensive unit that was shut out at halftime against Miami.  It doesn’t matter how good your defense is if you score 0 points.  Remember that insane 1995 Ohio State offense?  It scored 23 and 14 points in its last two outings.  Still 13 points more than this team managed.

 

The defense?  Phenomenal.  The word “generational” gets thrown around way too often, but when you’re a quarter of the way through a century and NO defense has allowed fewer PPG through the regular season, that qualifies.  Even counting the Big Ten championship game- against the future national champions- that number was only up to 8.2 PPG which tied 2011 Alabama (national champs, of course).  Indiana averaged 40.3 ppg in the playoffs.  They hung 56 on Oregon.  The Silver Bullets held them to a measly 13, and the offense simply did not do its job.

 

In the bigger picture, I can forgive some of the Indiana outing.  Hartline was leaving, recruiting was in flux and as nice as a Big Ten championship is, there was truly not a whole lot at stake.  The post-game interviews sounded as if it was simply a regular season game and that the playoff would wake this offense up.  The ignition would be hit, the car would shift into 5th gear, and away the Buckeyes would go.  Instead, Ryan Day chose to stay in 3rd, cruised town at 35 MPH, and flat out refused to even begin to approach anything like what this offense could have done.

 

Moreover, at the start of the season, when our quarterback was a complete unknown and two new coordinators were being installed, 11-2 sounded about right.  Another CFP appearance was acceptable in August.  But as information compiles, goals are adjusted.  Turns out, that new quarterback was allergic to inaccuracy.  Hey guess what?  That guy that coordinated all those Super Bowl winning defenses in New England knew what he was doing!  Expectations rose accordingly, and justifiably.  Ultimately, those expectations weren’t met.

 

Fair or not, this falls on Ryan Day.  The supposed offensive mastermind managed just 24 points in the final two games of the season with the aforementioned bevy of talent.  There are a litany of truly great Buckeye teams in years past (’69, ’95, ’96, ’98, ’03, ’15, ’19 off the top of my head) that did not win a title for myriad reasons.  2025 has to be added to this list.  A legitimately generational defense was squandered by a coach who absolutely could not get out of his players’ way.  Day’s outright refusal to let his elite offensive players exert their influence on the game to their maximum extent (read:  more plays)- especially when it mattered most in the postseason- will leave Buckeye Nation befuddled for years to come

Thursday, January 08, 2026

Week 18: The Upside Down

Standings:

1.) Hoying 52-20 (2-12 upset)
1.) Schweinfurth 52-20 (0-14 upset)
3.) Seeberg 48-24 (4-10 upset)
4.) Draper 45-27 (2-12 upset)

Welcome to the Upside Down, where everything is strange and alien, and the Eleven Warriors sadly weren't quite as successful as Eleven and her warriors (spoiler alert). Nothing better summarizes this year's bizarro world College Football Playoff than the fact that the Oregon Ducks chasing their first ever national championship after coming oh so close so many times during the last 15 years...is the LEAST compelling narrative of the CFP semifinalists.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 8

Cotton Bowl: Miami Hurricanes vs. Mississippi Rebels
Draper: Going into the playoffs, there was always a chance for these teams to make a run.  I was more confident in Miami as they had all the pieces necessary, but bad Carson Beck kept them from perfection.  Ole Miss was an absolute wildcard from the get go.  In fact, they're similar to the 2024 OSU squad who entered the playoffs with low/no expectations (for different reasons), but then just decided to win the whole effin thing.  Neither of these teams really expected to be here, but a massive choke by UGA left the door open and a pick six doomed the Bucks.  Can the Cane lines bully the Rebels like they did to the Buckeyes? I think they can, but Chambliss is much more mobile than Sayin.  It will come down to Carson Beck's ability to not make the big mistake and Bain getting to the QB.  I think they'll do just enough to edge out the Rebels who have to be running on fumes at this point.  I hate them...but Michael Irvin's dealer will be making some bank.  UM: 24--Miss: 21
Hoying: It's a good thing these teams are playing each other because each of them is threatening to run out of steam at any moment. We (unfortunately) got to see Good Carson Beck (if you can call less than 6 yards per attempt "good") last week in Jerryworld, but it's always only a matter of time before Bad Carson Beck rears his ugly head. And it starts with pressure. The Buckeyes tallied all of two sacks after putting up four each against Tennessee and Texas in last year's Playoff (and EIGHT against Oregon) against the most Jekyll-and-Hyde pressure sensitive QB since Andy Dalton. Unfortunately for the SEC, their last remaining hope isn't exactly known for their defense, averaging about half a sack per game fewer than your favorite team. It's not like the Hurricane offense put a bunch of points up on the Bucks even with the lack of pressure, but the question will be whether Trinidad Chambliss can succeed where Julian Sayin failed, and whether the Rebel front can give him the time to do so. The other elephant in the room is whether Ole Miss will be able to keep their coaching staff intact to sustain a Playoff run, as another pair of offensive coaches have been abducted by the Lane Train. We saw in the Big Ten Championship what can happen when a team has to face distraction after distraction while preparing for a top opponent. These two teams were my outside-the-box choices to potentially turn it on at the right time and pull off a shocker of a Playoff run, and one of them will be taking it all the way to Miami in a couple weeks. With all the turmoil surrounding the Ole Miss program, and the talented Hurricanes peaking at just the right time, I think they'll keep the SEC out of the championship for the third straight year and get their chance to stop a third Big Ten team from taking the title in as many years. UM: 27--Miss: 24
Schweinfurth: The 'Ole Miss joy ride has to end at some point right? They have been impressive to this point, but with all of the distractions, it has to be almost over. Miami, to their credit, can bring the heat on both lines. It truly feels like Miami is the better and more cohesive team. Keeping Carson Beck from making the big mistake will be important. Miami should win. UM: 28--Miss: 17
Seeberg: Just think- we were a “we can use tempo!” coaching decision away from from THREE Big Ten teams in the final four. *Heaviest of sighs*. Anyway, here’s your game to see who gets to be the runner up this year. Ole Miss found something even after the Lane Train’s departure, but they’re still suspect at best defensively. Trinidad is super mobile, but a team that only needs 4 to get pressure like Miami can afford a QB spy on defense. Miami will likely grind down the Rebels and that tired defense will get gashed late. The U reaches a title game only to get their hopes dashed by a Big Ten school. UM: 27—Miss: 16

FRIDAY, JANUARY 9

Peach Bowl: Oregon Ducks vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Draper: Ugh....I hate rematches so much.  Let's see...IU went to Eugene and beat this EXACT team on the road this year....but THIS is the one that counts.  While I've faded both of these teams (to my detriment) this year, a new B1G team will be playing for a national championship for the 3rd straight year.  Indiana has been a model of consistency with the upperclassman transfers (do they recruit high school players any more?).  Oregon has continued to thrive with question marks abounding.  The injury to the Duck RB is a real concern in this game, as the Hoosier defense is just awesome.  Can the Ducks slow down Mendoza? I'd suggest asking him his favorite LOTR character...that might cause a delay of game.  It's Cig's world and we're just living in it.  Hoosier mania rolls to the title and we get another interview with the most loveable dork of all time (who is a freaking Heisman winner!).  I can't believe I'm typing this....Indiana to the title.  Ore: 20--IU: 30
Hoying: I hope you enjoyed rematch season, because this is the last one we'll see this year. When these two last played, Indiana pulled out a double digit win in the unfriendly confines of Autzen Stadium, in a game that was only really close because of a late pick six by Oregon. Championship teams can navigate these setbacks. The Hoosiers haven't slowed down since, escaping late against Penn State and needing some boneheaded red zone play by Ohio State but otherwise dominating everyone else they've faced, capped off by the most comprehensive humbling of Alabama since the 20th century. Oregon has been no slouch either, with a bit of a questionable schedule but proving their bona fides with a convincing shutout of the red hot Red Raiders. Rematches have generally flipped the script this season, most visibly with Ole Miss avenging October's fourth quarter collapse against Georgia in last week's Sugar Bowl (offer void for Tulane though), but I just don't see any reason why Oregon takes this one without a monumental collapse by the overwhelming title favorite Indiana Hoosiers (still never won't be weird). We saw last week what happens when a title contender doesn't play up to their potential, but the Indiana players are tough, disciplined, and don't make mistakes. And though Curt Cignetti must be feeling the butterflies leading up to the big moment, on the surface he looks calm and ready (mom's spaghetti). It's not so much that Oregon doesn't have an answer for the 2025 Indiana Hoosiers. It's that nobody does. Ore: 17--IU: 27
Schweinfurth: It's going to take quite a bit to beat the Hoosiers. You need to run the ball effectively and shut down the Hoosiers offense. Oregon can do it. The problem is, it took a pick 6 to keep them in the game. I fully expect this to be close, but Indiana has death machine vibes. Either way, this is probably your true national championship game. Mendoza keeps this one rolling. Ore: 14--IU: 17
Seeberg: I can’t decide which team winning the title would be worse. Oregon not having one is endlessly fun, but the IU fanbase went from nonexistent to never shutting up in about 1.5 years. On the field, remarkably, I do think IU is the better squad. At SOME point, however, talent and experience will win out. Ole Miss is the only good option left, but the Ducks know it’s this year- with big bad OSU out of the way- or never. Dante Moore gets a #1 pick style payday with his performance and sends Oregon to the championship. Quack quack. Ore: 26—IU: 20