Friday, January 09, 2009

Back from the Dead

I have a big gripe following the college football bowl season.

While Ohio State has struggled the last few years in bowl games, they finally were respectable in this year's BCS match-up with Texas, but that didn't stop Penn State from dragging the conferences name through the mud.

I have a quick fix on how to begin repairing the Big Ten's further tarnished name. Stop accepting the 2nd BCS bowl bid. What this does is shift everyone else in the conference up a game putting them in, theoretically, more difficult match-ups. I know you have to "play the best to be the best", but look at the records and reputations of the ACC and Pac10. The ACC went 4-6 and got a whopping 10 teams into the money games and only one of those in the BCS. The Pac10 is really where it's at with the usual USC in the BCS and 4 others in winnable match-ups. Get Oregon State in as the Auto-Bid and USC in as an At-Large and things could get interesting.

Here were the Big Ten's match-ups this season:
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin (B10) 13 - Florida State (ACC) 42
Alamo Bowl: Missouri (B12) 30 - Northwestern (B10) 23 OT
Insight Bowl: Kansas (B12) 42 - Minnesota (B10) 21
Outback Bowl: South Carolina (SEC) 10 - Iowa (B10) 31
Capital One Bowl: Georgia (SEC) 24 - Michigan State (B10) 12
Rose Bowl: Penn State (B10) 24 - USC (Pac10) 38
Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (B10) 21 - Texas (Big12) 24

The Regular Tie-ins are as follows (low to high):
Motor City Bowl: Big Ten #7 vs. MAC #1
Insight Bowl: Big Ten #6 vs. Big 12 #6
Champs Sports Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. ACC #4
Alamo Bowl: Big Ten #4/5 vs. Big 12 #4/5
Outback Bowl: Big Ten #3 vs. SEC #3/4
Capital One Bowl: Big Ten #2 vs. SEC #2
Rose Bowl: Big Ten #1 vs. Pac 10 #1

Since Penn State was out of the BCS Championship discussion with a loss to Iowa, it is easy to see where we all would've played this year:

Wisconsin vs. Central Michigan (winnable)
Minnesota vs. Kansas (loss)
Northwestern vs. Florida State (toss-up)
Iowa vs. Missouri (toss-up)
Michigan State vs. South Carolina (winnable)
Ohio State vs. Georgia (winnable)
Penn State vs. USC (loss)

Saturday, December 06, 2008

Championship Week!

The final week the regular season is here. It has been a long and interesting season, not nearly as exciting as last year, but NCAA football just has something special about it that makes every game somewhat intersting and special. Chief has a signifcant lead on me in the standings and even if I picked every game opposite of him today, and won them all, would I have a chance of upsetting him. Oh well, it's all in fun and games.

Boston College vs. Virginia Tech

Gomer: Another rematch from 2007's classic game. These two teams have played each other close every time they hook up on the battle field. The severe lack of ticket sales, combined with mediocre teams shows us a few things; the ACC has the most parity of the BCS conferences, the ACC doesn't necessarily deserve an auto-bid (I'm looking at you too Big East), thing is very few people care about this game and the arguement about the existence of a Conference Championship game comes in. It certainly is a debate as to whether these teams need to prove themselves again. BC: 28 - VT: 24

Chief: In a rematch of last year’s ACC title, these old Big East toppers see each other for the 4th time in 2 years. While VT has underachieved this season, they find themselves where they wanted to be. Conversely, the Eagles had no real hopes of repeating as ACC Atlantic champions, yet a nice streak in conference has opened new doors. These 2 teams are very similar with tenacious defenses and questionable offenses. I like the Hokies due to their slight offensive advantage at QB. Senior Sean Glennon and athlete Tyrod Taylor will split time for VT while Dominick Davis is asked to step in after the injury to Chris Crane. The ACC has been a deadlock all year so this should be a great battle. VT: 23—BC: 20

Alabama vs. Florida
Gomer: Biggest game of the day, if not the year. According to some "experts" there's a chance that UF could win and not make the BCSNCG, I for one do not believe that. The pollsters will make sure it does happen. Since when does and idle Big 12 team not get jumped by Pretty Boy Tebow and the SEC Juggernaut? Basically this game is to determine who plays in the naitional champsionship and I think this game will be much more defensively minded than expected. The team with the superior defence is definitely the Tide and I expect them to shutdown the one dimensional Florida attack. As they say, Defense Wins Championships! Florida is a great team, but without Superman #2 (Percy Harvin) who accounts for 13 TDs, the Tide will only have to key on Tebow. Goodbye Heisman, goodbye SEC championship, goodbye national championship, hello raping somebody in the Sugar Bowl (Ohio State? Cincinnati?). Bama: 30 - UF: 23

Chief: This is easily the best matchup of the day and being referred to as a defacto semi-final for the National Championship. The Gators have been touted as the hottest/best team in the country for months, but no one seems to say anything about the undefeated Crimson Tide. Saban has returned Bama to the national stage in only his 2nd year with a stalwart defense and a steady running game (Glen Coffee). Florida was supposed to be here, but I urge everyone not to forget that while they’ve been on fire since Ole Miss, they did lose to Ole Miss…in the Swamp. Regardless, I think I have to stick with Florida even with the potential for playmaker Percy Harvin on the sideline. I hate both of these teams (Florida more so), but I have to pick someone. I think Bama will keep this extremely close, but Florida doesn’t make mistakes. Coffee and Bama will control the ball, but the explosive Gator offense (Tebow) makes the difference. Bama: 20—UF: 24

Missouri vs. Oklahoma
Gomer: This game may be tougher than anticipated for the Sooners. Isn't this the same Missouri team that was ranked in the top 5 and has put up big numbers throughout the season? Chokelahoma has come up with big clunkers when it really matters and I don't think they deserve to play in the national championship. Unfortunately Oklahoma is clicking right now, and Missouri is coming off a disappointing loss to Kansas. Sam Bradford wins the Heisman today. Mizzou: 38 - OU: 48

Chief: The Big 12 championship features an OU team that ‘snuck in’ to the title and a Missouri team with huge expectations that never materialized. No arguments about the South representative here even though I think Texas is probably better. That’s the system; that’s the rule; live with it and move on (I still like McCoy for Heisman). Here is the last shot for Chase Daniel to make a statement that last year wasn’t a fluke. The loss to Kansas last week hurts, but all is forgotten if they can pull off the monster upset and keep OU out of the national title (just like the Sooners did to them last year). Sadly, the Sooner offense is too solid and the Tiger defense is too porous. OU’s defense is nowhere near as good as the Longhorns’, but they’ll come up with a few more stops than Mizzou. Stoops crew give up a bundle…and still win going away. Mizzou: 34—OU: 60

Cincinnati vs. Hawaii, Gomer: Hawaii - Chief: Cincy
Arizona St. vs. Arizona, Gomer: UA - Chief: UA
Navy vs. Army, Gomer: Navy - Chief: Navy
USC vs. UCLA, Gomer: USC - Chief: USC

Monday, December 01, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Oklahoma
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Florida
5. Texas Tech
6. Utah
7. USC
8. Penn State
9. Boise State
10. Ohio State
11. TCU
12. Ball State
13. Oklahoma State
14. Cincinnati
15. Georgia Tech
16. Georgia
17. Boston College
18. Missouri
19. Brigham Young
20. Oregon
21. Michigan State
22. Pittsburgh
23. Florida State
24. Oregon State
25. Mississippi

A few notes:
-Oklahoma still gets the edge over Texas using the old system, it will be interesting to see what happens after the Sooners defeat Missouri this weekend.
-Penn State will be the Big Ten Auto-Bid, Cincinnati will be the Big East Auto-Bid, USC will be the Pac-10 Auto-Bid after defeating UCLA. Utah gains the non-BCS Conference Berth
-Virginia Tech faces Boston College for the ACC Title and Orange Bowl Berth
-Florida faces Alabama for the SEC Title and bid in the BCS National Championship
-Texas faces Missouri for the Big 12 Title and bid in the BCS National Championship
-Things only get interesting if OU loses the Big 12 Title game, which has happened (see 2003)

Based on these old BCS rankings, here are the games if they were selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Florida vs. Ohio State

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Alabama vs. Utah

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Oklahoma vs. Texas

Texas-Oklahoma re-match? It seems very possible because unlike the OSU-Michigan conundrum 2 years ago, they don't play on the last weekend. Florida-OSU re-match would be nice, PSU-USC will be better than expected, as will VT-Cincy.

Here is the 4 team "play-off"

#1Oklahoma vs. #4 Florida... Should be the real national championship game
#2 Texas vs. #3 Alabama... Traditional powers collide

#5 Texas Tech vs. #6 Utah... Probably better than the experts expect

#7 USC vs. #8 Penn State... Can Penn State return to early season form?

#9 Boise State vs. #10 Ohio State... Close because Tressel is too conservative

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Georgia Tech vs. Georgia

Gomer: UGA Chief: GT

Florida vs. Florida State

Gomer: UF Chief: FSU

Oregon vs. Oregon State

Gomer: OSU Chief: OSU

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State

Gomer: OU Chief: OU

Notre Dame vs. USC

Gomer: USC Chief: USC

Auburn vs. Alabama

Gomer: Bama Chief: Bama

Maryland vs. Boston College

Gomer: BC Chief: Maryland

South Carolina Clemson

Gomer: SCAR Chief: SCAR

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

"Real" BCS Standings

1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Oklahoma
4. Florida
5. USC
6. Utah
7. Texas Tech
8. Penn State
9. Boise State
10. Ohio State
11. Georgia
12. Oklahoma State
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. Ball State
16. Cincinnati
17. Oregon State
18. BYU
19. Michigan State
20. Florida State
21. Boston College
22. Georgia Tech
23. Oregon
24. Northwestern
25. Pittsburgh

A few thoughts
-First off, people who complain about Texas being #2 and not Oklahoma need to shut up. Oklahoma lost to Texas earlier this season 45-35 and both have identical records against relatively the same opponents. Texas Tech beat Texas, but lost to Oklahoma, who lost to Texas. It's a wonderful "love" triangle.
-Florida is sitting pretty to beat FSU and Alabama to vault into the BCS NCG and probably pummel whoever they meet there.
-Utah is definitely a dark horse to make it to the championship game, as well as USC. While Utah's regular season is complete, USC has two easy games left before the regular season is done.
-There could be an argument for Oklahoma vs. Texas in the BCS NCG if both win out, maybe if Florida loses to FSU then beats Alabama. It could get interesting in these last two weeks.

Monday, November 24, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Texas
2. Oklahoma
3. Alabama
4. Florida
5. Texas Tech
6. Utah
7. USC
8. Penn State
9. Ohio State
10. Georgia
11. Boise State
12. Oklahoma State
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. Cincinnati
16. Oregon State
17. Ball State
18. Michigan State
19. Florida State
20. Georgia Tech
21. Boston College
22. Brigham Young
23. Pittsburgh
24. Oregon
25. Mississippi

A few notes:
-The bowl picture is starting to sharpen and will be even closer to complete after Thanksgiving weekend.
-Penn State and Cincinnati have clinched BCS Bowl Berths, but here we kinda ignore that.

Based on these "fake" BCS rankings, here are the games if they were selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. Oregon State

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Cincinnati vs. Alabama

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
USC vs. Florida

Orange Bowl (ACC)
Utah vs. Florida State

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Oklahoma vs. Texas

Texas-Oklahoma re-match? It seems very possible because unlike the OSU-Michigan conundrum 2 years ago, they don't play on the last weekend. USC-Florida is a VERY sexy match-up, other than that, a bunch of snoozers.

#1Texas vs. #4 Florida... Another sexy match-up
#2 Oklahoma vs. #3 Alabama... Traditional powers collide

#5 Texas Tech vs. #6 Utah... Probably better than the experts expect

#7 USC vs. #8 Penn State... Can Penn State return to early season form?

#9 Ohio State vs. #10 Georgia... Very good potential match-up

Friday, November 21, 2008

Week 13...

Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Gomer: As awesome as it would be to see the Buckeyes earn a berth to the Rose Bowl on Saturday, I just can't see it happening, at least not when it depends on Brian Hoyer. Penn State's defense is superior to Ohio State's especially when it comes to getting pressure on the QB and Brian Hoyer is the type of QB that can, and will, crumble against that kind of defensive pressure. The balanced "Spread HD" attack of Clark and Royster and "do-it-all" Williams will be too much for the Spartans defense. MSU: 16 - PSU: 30

Chief: The battle for a guaranteed share of the Big 10 Championship takes place outside of Columbus this weekend. The Spartans come in with one of their greatest teams in recent history led by stellar back Javon Ringer. PSU also sports one of the best Nittany Lion teams as well that’s strong in all aspects. I like the Lions to take care of Sparty at home fairly decisively. Aaron Maybin will wreak havoc on the backfield and the PSU will stuff the MSU running game just as OSU did. JoePa gets sent off to the retirement home smelling roses. MSU: 17—PSU: 34

Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati
Gomer: This game is pretty much the Big East championship, although funny things can happen in the waning weeks of the season (ask Rich Rodriguez). I don't really like either of these teams, but Brian Kelly is a superior coach to "The Stache" (Dave Wannstedt) and that in conjunction with the home field will be enough to put Cincy over the edge in this one and send them BCS bowling... although, I don't know a Cincy fan who's about to travel halfway across the country to see the Bearcats, whatevs. Pitt: 7 - UC: 20

Chief: A huge Big East battle in the confines of Nippert Stadium will go a long way to seeing which of these perennial also-rans has a shot at a BCS Bowl. Cincinnati has been a surprise story all year with their multitude of injuries, but they keep chugging along under ‘soon-to-be-elsewhere’ coach Brian Kelly. Pitt seems to go through the motions every week and never look like they’ve turned the corner of mediocrity. A great team wouldn’t have needed 4 OT to dispatch Notre Dame. Go Red, Go Black, Go Bearcats, FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT! Pitt: 10—UC: 24

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Gomer: A true Southwestern shootout looms. This game should be awesome, and a showcase of many future NFL-ers. Sam Bradford and Graham Harrell will be on showcase primarily, and the winner of this game, who makes the least mistakes, will be in the driver's seat for the Heisman Trophy. An OU victory will really throw the BCS into a tizzy, because many pundits, including myself, will not be in favor of OU being ranked ahead of the Longhorns. TTU's defense is far better than I thought, their O-line is outstanding, and the all-around talent is very good. OU has a more balanced offense which is the #1 reason I'm going to pick the Sooners in this marquee match-up. Boomer Sooner! TTU: 34 - OU: 42

Chief: Every week comes with the nation picking against my Red Raiders and every week, they emerge unscathed. TTU will have their hands full trying to enter Norman and take down the Sooners whose record is (something like) 59-2 at home under Stoops. I’m sticking with my boys here and staying with the Red Raider wagon. Both teams are chugging along, but there’s something magical coming out of Lubbock. Look for over 1000 total yards in the game in which 2 (or possibly 3) Heisman finalists take the field. The Texas Texh offensive line again makes the difference as the Raiders start looking to Miami. Harrell to Crabtree over and over while Bradford impresses…but not enough. TTU: 45—OU:41

Michigan vs. Ohio State
Gomer: Wow, wow, wow, the last game of the regular season already. It always amazes me how fast the season goes by, and another one bites the dust. This is the worst Michigan in the history of college football, and that's saying a lot about the ALL-TIME WINNINGEST PROGRAM IN NCAA HISTORY. A Buckeye loss is not only unimaginable, but would be the greatest upset in the history of the rivalry. On the flip side, Ohio State is playing for a share of the Big Ten title, their 4th straight, and an unprecedented 5th straight victory over the state up north. It will be a thrilling day in Ohio Stadium, where we get to see 'Little Animal', Jenkins, Boeckman, Freeman, and (in my opinion) 'Beanie' one last time. The weather will be perfect for a gridiron battle (of spread offenses) where the men will be separated from the boys, and the Men of the Scarlet and Gray will emerge victorious from the trenches after battling the Maize and Blue to a bitter pulp. UM: 20 - OSU: 34

Chief: Throw out the records, it’s still ‘The Game’. Rich Rodriguez comes rolling into Columbus with excuses abounding. Telling his fans to ‘Get a Life’? That tops the list of things you think but don’t say in Ann Arbor. His backup QB is starting, and who knows who starts in the backfield (Minor should be healthy). The Buckeye faithful can’t be caught here looking ahead because this is still Michigan. They have a great defensive line and who knows what could happen if we aren’t prepared. Luckily for us, the sweatervest cares not for any other game and will have the troops fired up. This game is for a share of the Big 10 title and this senior class is looking for the clean sweep (4 straight). It may not be the season they wanted, but it is what it is, and there’s no sweeter way to leave than to send the Wolverines home crying to mama. The Bucks don’t look past (even thought their fans are) and take care of business. Beanie for 150, Laurinitis with 10 tackles, Jenkins with a pick, and close it out with senior captain Todd Boeckman leading a final scoring drive. GO BUCKS!! BEAT BLUE!! UM: 10—OSU: 41

West Virginia vs. Louisville: Gomer:WVU - Chief:WVU
BYU vs. Utah: Gomer:Utah - Chief:Utah
Oregon State vs. Arizona: Gomer:Ariz - Chief:OSU
Iowa vs. Minnesota: Gomer:Minnesota - Chief:Iowa
Florida State vs. Maryland: Gomer:Maryland - Chief:FSU
Illinois @ Northwestern: Gomer:Illinois - Chief:Illinois

Friday, November 14, 2008

Week 12

Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Gomer: I like Texas to re-assert themselves to get back in the national title picture. UT: 38 - KU: 21

Chief:
The Longhorns look to continue their hopes for a Big 12 south title, but they don’t control their own destiny with the multitude of tie-breaking scenarios. The Jayhawks have been disappointing of late, but a win against UT would turn the season around. Reesing is still pretty good, but Kansas is a blah team. While that may work against mediocre teams, they need some fireworks to defeat the mighty Horns. Colt McCoy will continue to impress and keep himself a solid number 2 in the Heisman race. KU lost to Nebraska last week and Texas needs style points so I see a blow out. Orakpo will wreak havoc while McCoy to Cosby racks the points up. UT: 48—KU: 17

Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles
Gomer: I really like the 'Noles in this ACC night tilt. The FSU defense has been stout all season (for the most part) and the Eagles are a shell of their former selves. Not to mention I get to be there! BC: 17 - FSU: 28

Chief:
Gameday comes to Tallahassee…for the FAMU game down the road? Unfortunately for ESPN, the much bigger (and better) game is in Doak Campbell. Both I and my colleague will be attending the night time black-out in Tallahassee. I’m expecting a great game where the Nole defense continues to hold sway. Ponder is coming into his own with targets like Surrency, Carr, and Easterling, while Smith continues to tote the rock. BC has been mediocre all year but is on a high after shutting out the Irish. This week, their lack of Matt Ryan will be more than the difference. The Noles hit much harder than anyone the Eagles have played thus far and the night atmosphere will shake them to the core. Everette Smith might knock the BC QB to the sideline early. Send Bobby out with a conference title…the way it should be! BC: 10—FSU: 31

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Florida Gators
Gomer: I completely expect this to be a blowout. South Carolina's quarterback play is terrible, and the Gator defense is stout at home in "The Swamp". Timmy Tebow will have a big day further getting him back into the Heisman talk. USC: 16 - UF: 45

Chief:
As Florida is the media-proclaimed juggernaut that cannot be stop, we might as well hand them the hardware now. I can think of a team in 2006 that was unstoppable and this same Gator team ended their magical wire-to-wire run. The Gators are a very good team, but South Carolina has an excellent defense (best in the SEC) and let’s not forget the whole intrigue factor of Spurrier’s return to The Swamp. In 2006, the Old Ball Coach entered the Swamp and came within a blocked field goal of a monumental upset. This year will be very interesting and not without its charm, but I think the Gator’s pull out a victory that is closer than the experts think. USC:10—UF:13
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Illinois Illini
Gomer: When you continuously put your offense in a position to fail, it is bound to happen eventually. The coaching staff hung the offense out to dry with atrocious play calls on 1st and 2nd down to force what seemed like 50 3rd and longs for Pryor and the offense. Luckily for the Bucks the Terrelle decided to make some miraculous runs and keep the drives going all day in Evanston. I don't think that happens this week. When the Illinois D holds the Bucks to 1 or 2 yards on first down, worry, big time. The playbook to stop Ohio State is the same, load up against the run, and make Pryor beat you through the air, which I'm still not 100% convinced he can (last week against Northwestern was a huge improvement in my mind). Illinois still has Juice, Dufrene, and Benn who all tore up the Bucks last year. Some will say without Mendenhall they don't have a chance, he accounted for only 88 yds on the ground while Dufrene and Williams combined for 176. The game will come down to Pryor's ability to throw, and for the first time ever (and mostly because I'm down by a BAJILLION games to Chief) I'm gonna pick the Illini. OSU: 21 - UI: 28

Chief:
The rematch of the lone regular season blemish for the Bucks returns as the prep for the Big Game. Juice Williams had his way last year, but he had current Steelers bench warmer Rashard Mendenhall to carry the load and grind out the tough yards. This year has been one of supreme disappointment for the Zooker and the Juice capped off by the upset by Western Michigan threatening to keep the Illini at home this holiday season. Wells has found his game again and TP is playing very well. The passing game is starting to work in Columbus, and once the coach’s realize that, the Bucks will start lighting up scoreboards. Silver Bullets squeeze the Juice in some payback to take back the Illibuck. OSU: 37—UI: 17

Georgia vs. Auburn, Gomer: Aub Chief: UGA
North Carolina vs. Maryland, Gomer: Mary Chief: UNC
Brigham Young vs. Air Force, Gomer: UAF Chief: BYU
California vs. Oregon State, Gomer: OSU Chief: OSU
USC vs. Stanford, Gomer: USC Chief: USC

Monday, November 10, 2008

BCS Top 25:
1. Alabama 10-0
2. Texas Tech 10-0
3. Texas 9-1
4. Florida 8-1
5. Oklahoma 9-1
6. USC 8-1
7. Utah 10-0
8. Penn State 9-1
9. Boise State 9-0
10. Georgia 8-2
11. Ohio State 8-2
12. Missouri 8-2
13. Oklahoma State 8-2
14. Ball State 9-0
15. Michigan State 9-2
16. North Carolina 7-2
17. BYU 9-1
18. TCU 9-2
19. Florida State 7-2
20. LSU 6-3
21. Pitt 7-2
22. Cincinnati 7-2
23. Tulsa 8-1
24. Wake Forest 6-3
25. South Carolina 7-3

Projected Bowls:

BCS National Championship:
Florida vs. Oklahoma

Sugar Bowl:
Alabama vs. Utah

Fiesta Bowl:
Texas vs. USC

Rose Bowl:
Oregon State vs. Penn State

Orange Bowl:
Florida State vs. Cincinnati

Friday, November 07, 2008

Week 11

Well the Bucks are back after a needed bye and they travel to the typically friendly confines of Ryan Field in Evanston, Illinois. I, along with many fellow brethren will be in attendance on Saturday cheering on the Bucks in what should be a great game in perfect football weather (40's, rain, wind). Records so far: Gomer (70-34) Chief (73-31)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina Tarheels
Gomer: Georgia Tech shocked a lot of people by pounding the FSU defense on the ground (to the tune of 288 yards). Many pundits believe that the Tarheels defense will be the difference in this ACC Coastal tilt, but I, like my colleague, believe that the 'Noles have the best defense in the conference. Georgia Tech will pound the Heels on the ground and the Tech D-line will beat up UNC QB Cam Sexton forcing him to make mistakes, making this more lopsided than expected. GT: 31 - UNC: 16

Chief: Another crucial game in the ACC in which nearly everyone is still in the hunt for a conference title. Watching some ACC games this year, I’ve come to the conclusion that the conference is getting a bad rap (this year). There are no dominant teams in the conference, but they truly are beating each other up yielding mediocre records. This game will most likely determine the Coastal division. Butch Davis has done a number in his second year, getting the Tarheels back onto the national stage, thanks largely to all-around player Branden Tate. On the flip side, Paul Johnson has worked a miracle at GT in one year (thanks to a gift-wrapped win last week). The triple option has stumped great defenses, and I don’t think UNC is a great defense. Look for Tech to ride the wave to another victory (and perhaps the Noles can earn a chance for revenge). GT: 27—UNC: 17

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Gomer: LSU's defense has shown that they struggle to stop an offense with a pulse (see vs. Florida and vs. Georgia). Alabama's offense has been powerful, but lacks that extra spark seemingly. This is also the homecoming of LSU turncoat Nick Saban, but I don't think it will have a huge impact on this game. While getting stomped by the Gators and 'Dogs, LSU's D has not allowed more than 72 yards to any other opponent. If Alabama struggles to put some points on the board early, LSU has a chance to pull of the huge upset. 'Bama: 17 - LSU: 9

Chief: Ah, sweet homecoming. Many are curious as to the reception Mr. Saban will get when entering his old stomping grounds considering he bolted for the NFL but led the Tigers to the championship in 2003. Remember one thing about college football fans, they are stupid and have no memory at all. This crowd will have no remorse at tearing into Saban and his (now) ‘dirty’ tactics and will make the Tide face a truly hostile environment. Wait, what happened the last time they went to the Bulldawgs House? Oh yeah, they blew out a Georgia team that is much better than the Tigers (remember UGA killing LSU last week in Baton Rouge). I don’t like Alabama, but I dislike LSU even more. The return of Mount Cody will stuff the LSU running game and Bama should score once or twice which should be enough. Could the Les Miles in Ann Arbor days be approaching? SEC fans could care less about what happened a year ago (see Phil Fulmer). Bama: 13—LSU: 3

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Gomer: The Raiders were able to win a thriller vs. the #1 Longhorns last week, and are due for a letdown. Oklahoma State is just talented enough to hang with the Raiders but lacks the defensive prowess needed to slow down their attack. The Raiders seem to have an unlimited amount of points to score, and won't be slowed down this week (the let down is looming however). OSU: 45 - TTU: 56

Chief:
Sweet victory. After one of the most exciting games in the history of the sport in which Texas Tech took down the juggernaut of Texas (called by this guy), the Red Raiders try to replicate the monumental win against another top 10 team. The Pokes are one of the teams flying under the radar in the Big 12 because of all the tradition powers hogging the headlines. Offensive Coordinator/Head Coach Mike Gundy is indeed a man and keeps the OSU offense churning out points, but Texas Tech under OC/HC Mike Leach also knows how to light up the scoreboard. The true key to the TT success lies, not in their superstars (Crabtree and Harrell), but in their monstrous offensive line. That was my key to the upset last week, and I believe it holds suit again this week. All eyes descend on the 2 best wide receivers in the country: Michael Crabtree and Dez Bryant (get ya popcorn ready!). The big-uglies provide all the time in the world to continue the Heisman campaigns of Crabtree/Harrell, while the Pokes take another loss that’s closer than the score indicates. OSU: 31—TT: 41

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Gomer: The Buckeyes are back at it after a needed bye week. The loss to Penn State still looms in the back of the memories of the Bucks, and while the fans sure don't give two hoots about this week's game, hopefully the team has had enough time to stew on the two losses so far this season. Northwestern's offense is dangerous enough to make the Buckeye defense pay if they're caught sleeping. Mike Kafka not only threw for 143 yards (that's a lot compared to Terrelle Pryor) but ran for a whopping 217 yards. In the past, mobile QB's have given Ohio State lots of trouble (see Illinois, Ohio, Florida, etc...), and I expect that struggle to continue. On the flip side, the Buckeyes need to pound the ball with Beanie Wells. The coaching staff has squandered away the season (no Nat'l Title, no Big Ten Title = Failure) by not utilizing him effectively. The 'Cats have the nations 26th ranked run D but hopefully the Bucks will keep them off balance by effectively using TP and the PA pass. OSU: 27 - NU: 17

Chief: The Wildcat backup QB Mike Kafka looked like a different player last week against the Gophers as he kept his team in the game almost single handedly until the defense dropped the hammer. I don’t know who starts for Northwestern (Baucher or Kafka), but it appears either option is ok. The Bucks hope to break that nasty streak of losing after bye weeks and I think we can end the pain. The PSU game provided a framework to beat OSU: stuff the run with 11 people and make Pryor throw. The Bucks decided to keep banging their collective heads against the brick wall that was the Nittany Lion D and failed (thanks to 1 freaking mistake). While I believe that OSU can stick to the run game more or less exclusively and come out with a win (NW front seven is nowhere near as good as Penn State’s), I hope we try more of the short passing game. Pryor showed last week a propensity to underthrow every deep ball, but looked pretty good on the few quick slants, flats, and hitches. Stick with what works and the Bucks win easily. Look for the Bullets to control the ranked (?) Wildcats and cruise to victory. OSU: 27—NW: 10

Purdue vs. Michigan State, Gomer: MSU - Chief: MSU
Penn State vs. Iowa, Gomer: PSU - Chief: PSU
Clemson vs. Florida State, Gomer: Clemson - Chief: FSU
Cincinnati vs. West Virginia, Gomer: WVU - Chief: WVU
California vs. USC, Gomer: USC - Chief: USC

Monday, November 03, 2008

Rankings

These rankings are comprised of the old BCS formula, with one minor tweak of my own, I add in Collegefootballnews.com rankings. Something to note about their rankings, unlike AP and Coaches, CFN looks at how the team is playing, not necessarily how they could end up.

1. Texas Tech
2. Alabama
3. Penn State
4. Texas
5. Florida
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8. Oklahoma State
9. Utah
10. Boise State
11. Georgia
12. Ohio State
13. TCU
14. Missouri
15. Michigan State
16. LSU
17. North Carolina
18. Brigham Young
19. Georgia Tech
20. Ball State
21. Florida State
22. California
23. Northwestern
24. Minnesota
25. West Virginia

A few notes:
-Quite a shake-up in recent weeks...

If the BCS selected today:

Rose Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-10)
Penn State vs. USC

Sugar Bowl (SEC)
Utah vs. Florida

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
Ohio State vs. Texas

Orange Bowl (ACC)
West Virginia vs. North Carolina

BCS Championship (#1 vs. #2)
Alabama vs. Texas Tech

Ugh wow, talk about some ugly match-ups. PSU getting left out of the BCS NCG "screws" Ohio State into a non-Rose Bowl BCS game. How bad are the ACC and Big East? I can't find a better place to put WVU other than against the other bad conference champion... hopefully that ends up being Florida State to make things more interesting. Here is how it would be in a perfect world with a play-in game to help satisfy those who demand a "play-off"

#1Texas Tech vs. #4 Texas... This would be a helluva re-match
#2 Alabama vs. #3 Penn State... Traditional powers collide

#5 Florida vs. #6 Oklahoma... Very nice

#7 USC vs. #8 Oklahoma State... Not bad, potential blow-out

#9 Utah vs. #10 Boise State... Ugh, this won't happen thankfully

Friday, October 31, 2008

Week 10

A disappointing defeat at the hands of the Nittany Lions. If the Buckeye coaching staff had nto abandoned the run so easily, the Bucks would have had a better chance at pulling the upset, but unfortunately they did not do a good job convincing the Lions they would actually try and pass. The coaches deserve as much blame as one Terrelle Pryor who tried his best, and will learn and grow from the mistakes. Updated records: Gomer (67-30) Chief (70-27) It seems that no matter what I pick I just can't make up any ground.

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Gophers
Gomer: Northwestern went down in defeat last weekend to the Hoosiers effectively putting them out of the Big Ten Title race. Reason I mention it is because not only did Northwestern lose, but they lost QB CJ Bacher and RB Tyrell Sutton, obviously this is a huge blow to the Wildcats. Minnesota must win to keep their slim chance of a Big Ten Title alive. Adam Weber and Eric Decker have been the top QB-Receiver duo in the Big Ten this season, but the big story for the Gophers this season has been the surprise emergence of the defense. The Gophers lead the nation in turnover margin and will take advantage of the Wildcat injury situation. NU: 17 - UM: 41

Chief:
I don’t see this one as being close at all. Northwestern was riding high in the Big 10 until last week’s loss to inept Indiana. In NW’s defense, key injuries are the reason for the downfall as RB Tyrell Sutton and QB C.J. Bacher are out. Last week, backup QB Mike Kafka looked unbelievably bad. Even if he improves this week, I like the Gophers. The Wildcats will fight hard, but Weber and the Gophers take another step closer to a potential BCS bowl??? NW: 17—UM: 31

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Gomer: Tim Tebow has struggled when the spotlight is on him. Although he is a freak of nature athlete, his record isn't so stellar and unfortunately for the Gators, he doesn't play defense. Matthew Stafford and the Bulldogs have rebounded from the disaster against 'Bama and look to continue the success the established against the Gators last year. Speaking of that, I would not be surprised if Meyer's team did something even more extreme than what the Bulldogs did last year, either that, or put a smackdown on the 'Dogs. I'm going with the upset in this edition of the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, UGA wins with a solid run game, and defense. UF: 17 - UGA: 28

Chief: Time for another edition of ‘the game formally known as the World’s Largest Cocktail Party’. Tensions should be extremely high after last year’s genius ploy by Georgia coach Mark Richt to get an unsportsmanlike penalty after the first touchdown to fire the team up. Yes, UF scored on the next possession, aided by the penalty, but the fire never left the Dawg’s eyes. Everyone is completely sold on the Gators after the LSU and Kentucky blowouts, but 2 words come to mind—“Ole Miss”. Georgia was beat down by a fired up Bama team, but is playing good sound ball now. This game will be nasty. Tebow will have a good game, but the UGA defense will knock him down enough to let Moreno shine. Dawgs in the ‘upset’ with a last second FG. UGA: 30—UF: 28

Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Gomer: The Noles are in the thick of the ACC Title chase when seemingly a team gains control of their destiny, they immediately try to pass it off, kinda like a long drawn out game of hot potatoe. Tech has began to struggle as of late, but I'm not sure if it's because teams are getting better at defending the triple option, or because they're running into some hot teams. Either way, FSU is on track to an ACC title if they can win in Atlanta. Expect a defensive struggle. FSU: 16 - GT: 13

Chief:
The Noles are back baby. Last week’s win over VT was huge in the ACC race as well as the return to prominence. As Bobby Bowden said, this team will not be confused with the great teams of the 90s, but it’s moving in the right direction with knockdown smash-mouth defense and an offense that is starting to click. Tech plays tough in Bobby Todd and Paul Johnson has implemented his triple option extremely fast in Atlanta (Note to Michigan: who says you need to wait to get the athletes to implement a new system?). Last week’s loss to the Wahoos really hurt the Jackets in the ACC race, but a win here gets the train back on track. I see FSU taking control by stuffing the run (one of the top in the country against the run) and scoring just enough to take down a better than advertised Jacket defense. Just keep chugging along Noles. FSU: 30—GT: 17

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Raiders
Gomer: The Red Raiders have been red hot as usual on offense and surprisingly, have started to play some defense. Problem is while they're run defense is one of the best in the nation, their pass defense is below average which could lead to a big day for Colt McCoy. The Horns were able to slowdown potent attacks from Oklahoma and Missouri enough to get a decent lead and ride it out. Mack Brown's bunch will finish the brutal 4 game stretch unscathed and will come out as the favorites to win the National Title and Heisman trophy. UT: 47 - TTU: 27

Chief:
Once again, Texas enters the week with another huge game. The Longhorns beat the Sooners in a shootout, dominated the Tigers early and coasted, but were taken to the final moments by the Pokes last week. I think Texas is getting tired (finally). Don’t get me wrong, OSU is very good, but the Longhorns should have put up more in Austin. Tech on the other hand began the Kansas game by trading 2 early TDs a piece and then decided the rout was on. While Texas limps into Lubbock beat up and tired, the Red Raiders are salivating to take down big brother. The biggest battle in this game will be the Tech O-Line (only given up 3 sacks in a pass happy offense all year) and the beast Brian Orakpo on the Horn D-Line. I think Leach’s team gets it done at home in a great game. UT: 34—TT: 38

Washington vs. USC Gomer: USC (+52) - Chief: USC (+36)
Tulsa vs. Arkansas Gomer: Tulsa - Chief: Tulsa
Oregon vs. California Gomer: Cal - Chief: Cal