Thursday, September 25, 2014

Week 5 - The Battle of Ohio

Standings
1) Draper               11-6    (2-2 upset)
1) Schweinfurth     11-6    (1-3 upset)
1) Seeberg              11-6    (0-4 upset)

4) Hoying               10-7    (2-2 upset)

After last week's presciently named "Paring the Ranks of the Undefeateds" post, 9 undefeated teams went on to lose, 5 of them to teams with losses (good work, Maryland, Iowa, and Indiana), leaving just 25 undefeated teams left after 4 weeks of play. Our first two picks this week each feature a pair of undefeated teams, and the Buckeyes hope to knock off undefeated Cincinnati as well.

In other news, every B1G team except Michigan avoided a loss last week, and the Wolverines celebrated by offering free football tickets to anyone who could afford two $1.50 Coke products.

UCLA Bruins @ Arizona State Sun Devils
Draper:UCLA is undefeated...but their 3 wins have been as unimpressive as anyone who was supposed to be a national title contender, but they did win, even with backup QB Jerry Neuheisal stepping in when 'mega-star' Brett Hundley got hurt. ASU has been pretty much as unimpressive with 3 craptastic wins before this Thursday night showdown.  UCLA's win at UVA is actually gaining some credit as time passes but the SunDevils have beaten...no one.  My gut says UCLA has to be the better team with the 'hype', but they can't protect the QB.  ASU is at home, but I have no idea what this team is made of...so many questions.  I have to believe that Hundley is better than he's shown and if he plays, I'll lean to the Bruins.  If he doesn't play, I'm betting (HAHA GET IT!? HIS DAD WAS FIRED FOR GAMBLING!!) that Jerry Neuheisal can 'game manage' a road win.  UCLA in a close one.  UCLA: 28--ASU: 27
Hoying: Never underestimate the inertia of preseason rankings. Somehow, UCLA comes into this game ranked #11 after three quite unimpressive wins, the best of which may well turn out to be at Virginia. Why so mediocre? Despite featuring everyone's Heisman darling, Brett Hundley, at QB, the Bruins can't buy him a few seconds' worth of protection. UCLA has given up 12 sacks so far, while dialing up only 3 of their own. It's become so bad that Hundley had to leave a game in which UCLA was trailing Texas, so that Rick Neuheisel's son could lead them to victory. In contrast, what do we know about the home team? They have three big wins over three bad opponents. They run the ball very well. And, like UCLA, their starting quarterback, Taylor Kelly, is injured. Were that last fact not the case, I would be tempted to pick to Sun Devils, but Neuheisel is battle-tested and ASU backup QB Mike Bercovici isn't. UCLA: 24--ASU: 17
Schweinfurth:  I'm going out on a limb and predicting that Hundley will at least start this game.  That won't matter though as ASU has been pretty meh these last few years while UCLA is on the up swing.  UCLA: 28--ASU: 10
Seeberg:  Both teams are 3-0, having beaten almost nobody between them with the possible exception of UVA (by UCLA).  Hundley is hurt, supposedly, but UCLA isn't telling anyone whether he'll play or not.  ASU may have wished they did the same as their starting QB is out with a bad wheel.  ASU also allowed more points to Colorado than lowly Hawaii, so their D is suspect at best.  Assuming Hundley is anywhere near 100%, this one should end up somewhat comfortably for the Bruins.  UCLA: 27--ASU: 17

Florida State Seminoles @ North Carolina State Wolfpack
Draper: NC State is the annual 'trap' game for the Noles.  Especially in Raleigh.  Not this year.  Jameis will be back and hungry to lead this team.  Yes, the Noles looked vulnerable vs. Clemson, but the Tiger pass rush is very good and the receivers made some circus catches.  NCSU is undefeated but no longer.  FSU reminds everyone what the number 1 team can do.  Don't underestimate the importance of a solid experienced leader at the QB position.  Noles roll. FSU: 38--NCSU: 17
Hoying: You thought the big Florida State ACC showdown was last week, didn't you? Fie! Clemson wasn't even undefeated! NC State rolls in with 4 wins over Georgia Southern, Old Dominion, South Florida, and Presbyterian. Meanwhile the Noles miraculously benefited from some heavy Clemsoning to overcome the loss of Jameis Winston, but we learned something very important in the process: Florida State has no running game. GaSo and ODU were able to have success on the ground and keep their games against NC State close. Will FSU need to discover a rush attack in order to maintain their winning ways? Yes, but not this week. The talent gap is still too large. FSU: 27--NCSU: 20
Schweinfurth: Jameis Winston is playing in this game right? Florida State's defense carried them through that thriller last week and showed that there is more to this team than Infamous Jameis. Looking at history says that NC State typically gives the 'Noles issues in Raleigh.  This year I don't see it happening.  Jameis feels like he has something to prove and blows the doors off the Wolfpack D. FSU: 35--NCSU: 10
Seeberg:  Has Jameis Winston randomly yelled poor-spirited 4-letter words at anyone yet this week?  No?  Got it.  The Seminoles should be golden.  Nevertheless, NC State has been TTUN to John Cooper's Buckeye squads, inexplicably ruining multiple high-profile seasons with less-talented teams.  The same nearly happened two years before FSU stopped their first-half sleepwalking routine, turning a 16-0 deficit into a 17-16 win.  Last year the Seminoles seemingly buried the curse forever, routing the Wolfpack by 32.  They aren't as dominant this year, but I do not expect a return to the drama.  Keep a lid on it Famous Jameis!  FSU: 38--NCSU: 13

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas A&M Aggies
Draper: TAMU has been known for lots of points over the Johnny Football and Kenny 'Trill' eras, but defense is fairly optional (no I don't care that they played well against bad offenses).  I'd like to congratulate the fat turd (Bielema) for actually winning a conference game with an explosive offense...but no defense either.  Put em together and what do you get? A shootout...that may be too kind....Lots of points, but the 12th man and the better team gives the sizable edge to the Aggies.  The win over South Carolina has matured nicely.  College Station rocks as the Aggies give up a decent number of points, but score much more.  Ark: 27--TAMU: 48
Hoying: Since the end of Arkansas's karma-based 10 game losing streak, the Razorbacks have looked impressive in 3 straight wins, showcasing one of the nation's top rushing attacks behind two-headed monster Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams. How dominant is the Arkansas ground game? Against Texas Tech, the Razors attempted 12 passes and scored 49 points, all on run plays. Woo Pig Sooie even averaged 5.3 yards/carry while getting whomped by Auburn in the opener. Unfortunately for them, Texas A&M has inexplicably found a defense to complement their scary-good offense. Since giving up 28 points (on four touchdown passes) to South Carolina in the opener, the Aggies have surrendered 19 points total in their last 3 games. You can't be one-dimensional and knock off A&M this year. Ark: 20--TAMU: 41
Schweinfurth: Bert's Razorbacks are bad.  I mean like really bad (but ESPN will tell you they are good because SEC).  Texas A&M is still interesting to me.  They are a team that I would expect to have 2-3 losses but they look better than I think they are.  Fortunately for A&M, the Razorbacks aren't much of a challenge and this one is over quick.  Ark: 17--TAMU: 45
Seeberg:  Anyone in the Greensboro, NC area want to go halvsies on some pizza/beer and take in this game with me?  I have an impractically large TV and this game is likely to be very entertaining.  Bret Bielema's money grab is finally netting the Razorbacks some victories by going back to, ironically, both Razorback and Badger football, running it down people's throats.  Their passing game, however, leaves much to be desired, and did not show up in the one game they needed it, a 24-point loss to Auburn.  Pass me another slice, TAMU just scored again.  Ark: 23--TAMU: 52

Cincinnati Bearcats @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: Bucks responded from the VT debacle by clobbering hapless Kent State.  Now it's the return of Little Brother (what a champion) to the Shoe.  UC looks to step up and take down the big dog to match up their resume with Oberlin College, but it's just not in the cards.  Gunner Kiel has slung the ball around quite well in the first few games, but the LSU transfer...er...Irish transfer...er...whatever, hasn't been to the Shoe.  OSU has far better athletes from top to bottom so this should be a Buckeye win although the pass defense will be tested.  Look for the O-line to continue to improve against a D-Line better than Kent but worse than VT.  The pass defense will be tested, but Zeke, Curtis Samuel, and Mr. Barrett should have a field day against this defense.  Keep the record books open. Send them back to Ohio's ONLY crappy stepping stone school. UC: 28--OSU: 41
Hoying: After a bye week, the Buckeyes welcome back Scrappy Doo to Ohio Stadium, ending a 7-year hiatus. Little Brother is excited about its chances with super-recruit Gunner Kiel behind center, but Cincinnati (1) can't run the ball, and (2) has no defense. If the Buck-O-Line continues to improve, the Men of the Scarlet and Gray should be able to roll up quite a few points. This game will come down to how well Chris Ash's newly-installed Cover 4 defense has taken hold. The pass defense was actually pretty decent against Virginia Tech, and Navy and Kent State couldn't throw the ball at all, but this will be the true test of the Silver Bullets' progress. I have a good feeling about this one. It still sUCks to be a stepping stone. UC: 20--OSU: 45
Schweinfurth: It is finally time to see if that sieve of a pass defense is fixed.  Yes VaTech threw it a little bit, but Cincinnati is going to go full air raid and throw it 40-50 times.  Blitz timing and good corner coverage is going to be needed because Gunner Kiel has some pretty good targets to throw to.  I expect the Bearcats to be able to move the ball between the thirties and bog down a bit in the red zone.  The Buckeye offense has also had two weeks to figure out what to do on the offensive line and what their identity will be.  UC is going to try and run a bear front.   Because of that, I expect J.T. to come out throwing lots of short to intermediate passes.  Once the defense is loosened up a bit, Zeke and Samuel will get their yards.  Ohio State has the better talent in the state.  It's time to prove it.  UC: 20--OSU: 52
Seeberg:  Had to wait an extra week to say this thanks to the bye week, but where in the (insert favorite expletive here) was that team/coaching staff when we actually NEEDED them against Va Tech?  No matter, the Bearcats come rolling into Columbus with a high-powered, if one-dimensional, offense.  The front four will need to put some pressure on Top Gunner to ease things for the back seven.  It's unlikely the D is completely patched up, but luckily our non-Tressel-influenced offense will be scoring plenty.  Doubling up the little brother in the Shoe.  UC: 24--OSU: 48

Upset Special
Draper:Minnesota over Michigan (get the pitchforks ready)
Hoying: Oregon State over USC
Schweinfurth: Missouri over South Carolina
Seeberg: Texas Tech over Oklahoma State

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

The Jameis 'scandal'

Let me begin this post with the obvious disclaimer.  I am a proud alum of Florida State, I was a proud member of the Marching Chiefs for 4 years, and I remain a fan/supporter of the Seminole football team.  This is meant to be an post to hopefully encourage people to think before judging, but I clearly have a bias which I acknowledge here.

Ok.  This whole Jameis mess.  Let me list what is being labelled a litany of violations and issues surrounding the last Heisman trophy winner and national champion. After, I will comment on each of the alleged violations with focus on the latest to attempt to bring some sanity to what has become a ridiculous witch hunt.

1) Alleged BB gun shooting off campus a few years ago (unknown shooter--not at people)
2) Alleged 'stealing of soda' from a Burger King when ordered water
3) Alleged sexual assault off campus
4) Theft of crab legs from local grocery store
5) Shouting a vulgar phrase on campus in the union


1) BB gun incident.
I'm not comfortable commenting on this as I really know very little to nothing about this.  The fact that this is not talked about at all suggests that this is not an allegation worthy of attention but I wanted to list it as ESPiN has been careful to list everything that may or may not have been Jameis (or DB Cooper for all we know!)

2) Alleged Stealing of soda
Really....this is really a thing.  No, seriously, look it up.  I'll wait.  Someone wants to press charges for this.  Is stealing a drink from a fast food restaurant self service dispenser right? No.  Ethical? No. Something that everyone has done at some point once in their life because NO ONE CARES? I'll leave that to you.  Let's move on to the elephant in the room and stop wasting time.

3) Alleged sexual assault
Now we have something that's worth examining...or do we? If he indeed committed this heinous crime, he should be put in jail let alone worrying about his status on a football team, but let's examine the facts.  Jameis never said the sexual encounter didn't occur.  He never denied it.  It happened.  Again, immoral? Perhaps.  Illegal? No.  More and more facts keep emerging that the accuser has attempted to extort Jameis for millions of dollars for this to go away, but the facts all support a consensual sexual encounter.  Not to mention the fact that all witnesses corroborate his story.  The popular argument is that this is a town covering for its superstar, but take a moment to suspend your prior beliefs.  What if he didn't do it? I'm not telling you he did nothing wrong, but imagine for a second that this was a consensual act between adults.  Couldn't the same accusations and consistent witness testimony be occurring without any unethical backroom dealings? Again, this is NOT saying that Jameis is innocent.  It's simply suggesting that there is no substantive evidence supporting the accuser's story which, by the American legal system, prohibits any further action.  Let's be honest, we know this exact situation plays out on every college campus in America.  Sports star/BMOC has his pick of a bevy of coeds.  This is not something many people want to acknowledge but it is real.  Alcohol leads many people to bad choices.  I was not present so I can neither confirm nor deny these awful accusations, but I can look at the facts and see that given the lack of evidence, there is no reason to continually badger someone for something that may or may not have happened.

4) The crab legs
OK.  No defense here.  This is just plain stupid, and it highlights the main downside of Mr. Winston.  Stupid.  We all know, whether you acknowledge it or not, that a superstar athlete at a big time school can pretty much get what he wants.  Want some crab legs? Go to Mr. Smith's house and chow down.  Want some delicious BBQ? Jim and Milt's will hook you up (check it out if you're in Tallahassee).  Why....WHY would you do something so stupid? He did it and there's no defense.  Crush him for this if you want, but he served the penalty and moved on in accordance with the decision of the courts.

5) The vulgar yelling
Now we come to the latest installment of: Could you be any dumber? I'm going to let you in on a little secret: nothing he did is really breaking any law or rule...or anything other than societal propriety (yeah, there might be an obscene statement clause somewhere, but I hear curse words in public all day---and there were no criminal charges for this).  Was it wrong? Sure.  Stupid? ABSOLUTELY.  Illegal? No.  Jameis needs to be smarter in these situations and know the lay of the land.  FSU was well within their rights to suspend Jameis, but a half of football was about right.  Let's be clear about one thing: FSU wasn't suspending Jameis for what he said/yelled/etc.; they were suspending him for STUPID.  He needs to think: While this isn't illegal, is it a good idea for a guy with a track record (deserved or not) or for a guy in the limelight? Maybe this is how to teach him, maybe not.  Why was the suspension increased to a full game? Some say it was because Clemson isn't that good so FSU wasn't worried about losing the game.  I would disagree with that wholeheartedly (see last Saturday's game as proof).  The reason the suspension was increased is Ray Rice punched his fiance and AD beat his children.  This is a suspension that was increased due to the current landscape and CYA 'cover your...butt' mentality in football now.

Another criticism has surfaced following the incredible comeback win for FSU.  Many have cited that Jameis didn't look 'contrite enough' and that he 'ran in to hog the attention from his teammates'.  What? Are you mental? He just dodged a major bullet, but more importantly, he was freaking stoked his teammates pulled off a huge win.  This win was not because of Jameis, but he served his penalty and the Noles emerged victorious.  The media needs to stop judging the punishment based on the outcome.  Some were quoted as saying that Jameis clearly won't learn his lesson because they still won.  This is the definition of 'hater'.  They weren't mad at 'Jameis not learning his lesson', they were mad that FSU won.  Don't hide behind false words.  People who say Jameis won't learn his lesson because FSU won believe a loss would teach the lesson? Is that fair to the rest of the roster? Jameis was punished, they triumphed, end of story.  Most people would applaud the 'other members' of the team for fighting through adversity to emerge victorious; not cut down the person who almost cost his team the win because he didn't end up costing them the win.  These premises are simply ludicrous.  The outcome of the game doesn't determine the merits of the punishment.  (Note: UF suspended three players for their opener against powerhouse Idaho which was canceled due to weather after the first play.  Those players were returned to full status the next week with the 1 play suspension deemed sufficient...and we're complaining that a game vs. a ranked opponent is too light for FSU's star?) Suppose FSU lost.  Would Jameis fly on the straight and narrow? Maybe.  Now that they won, will Jameis be an upstanding citizen? Maybe.  We don't know.  What we do know is a guy made a dumb decision amplified by the current landscape and was punished for it (actually more harshly than deserved in my opinion). That being said, he's served his time and it's time to move on.  If he remains stupid Jameis, then punish him when the time arises, but until then, he's innocent until proven guilty regardless of your preconceived notions.

One more comment about his coming out in pads: was this intelligent? Probably not, but I've seen games where suspended players wore pads.  Suspension doesn't prohibit wearing the uniform.  Does anyone really think that Jameis would 'sneak' into the huddle with millions of television eyes on the game? Get real.  Let's also consider the fact that he was supposed to play in the second half until 11:00 PM the previous night.  At that point, the equipment managers had already prepared his pads for him and they were in his locker.  A good idea for him would have been to ask the coach before 'suiting up', but if the pads are there, why not? He knows he's not playing.  That was another instance of a minor infraction being blown WAY out of proportion.

In closing, I wrote this due to all the insane speculation I've been seeing on the Twitterverse, Facebook, and across many media outlets.  Take a step back and think before you judge Jameis for not taking a step back and thinking.  I hope I made it clear that I don't condone the actions taken by Jameis and that he needs to be smarter socially to succeed, but I also realize that he can make mistakes and atone.  I won't use the 'he's just a kid' excuse because that's crap.  He needs to step up, take responsibility for his life, and stop doing dumb things, but the dumb things (again, not counting the assault if that indeed is proven true) he has been doing are so minor in the grand scheme, it's amazing the level to which they've been promoted in the media.  I will also not use the excuse of 'every kid does this' because that's lazy as well.  He isn't 'every kid'.  When he signed on the dotted line to play QB at FSU, he left 'every kid' behind.  He is special and he will be scrutinized.  What Jameis needs to do is follow three simple words that should center everyone's life philosophy: "Don't be stupid."   Are his transgressions a big deal? Other than the alleged assault, no (and the assault is simply accusation no matter how it is portrayed at this point). But he needs to be cognizant of the world today and the spotlight on him at all times.  He needs to do this for college football, for Florida State, and, most importantly, for Jameis Winston.