Thursday, November 24, 2016

Week 13 - Beat Blue

Standings
1) Hoying              35-15        (4-8 upset)
2) Schweinfurth    31-14        (5-6 upset)
3) Draper               33-17        (3-9 upset)
4) Seeberg             30-20        (4-8 upset)

Auburn Tigers @ Alaba_a Cri_son Tide
Draper: Iron Bowl always provides an opportunity for Southerners to gloat about hate rivalries, but there is such a talent gap here that I don't expect a whole lot out of the Tigers.  They played the Dabo's Tigers close early on but that was at Jordan-Hare and not vs the Tide.  The Tide is rolling like no other but there was a little lapse vs. Chattanooga (it took way too long to put T.O. University away).  I would be concerned.  Hurts and Co. should take care of business without a lot of trouble on their way to Atlanta.  Aub: 10 -- Ala: 28
Hoying: Don't be fooled, folks. This isn't 2013, when a very good but under-the-radar Auburn group rose up and snakebit a very good but vulnerable Tide. This is a rather lopsided pairing. The Tigers have followed up a convincing roasting of the Hogs with puzzlingly close wins over the Rebels and Vanderbilt and a loss to Georgia. Why? The offense isn't working. Oh, I bet that won't be an issue against the Saban death squad. Just ask USC (6 points), or Tennessee (10 points), or LSU (ZERO points). Just don't try any field goals, Nick. Aub: 10--Ala: 35

Schweinfurth: Auburn is over rated and not very good. The Tide are very good. I don't care if this is a rivalry, the SEC is the Tide and everyone else right now. Beat Blue Aub: 10--Ala: 42
Seeberg:  Is this Auburn squad capable of pulling another crazy upset in the Iron Bowl?  In theory, yes.  Auburn is sitting inside the top 20 with an excellent rushing attack, except Ka_ryn Pettway is still uncertain to play and Auburn doesn't have a lot else going for it.  The Tide feast on one-di_ensional offenses *cough LSU cough* and this one will likely be si_ilar.  Tide win...again.  *sigh* again.  Aub: 6--Ala: 31

Washington Huskies @ Washington State Cougars
Draper: While I whiffed on the Cougs last week, I have decided to not give up the ship.  Coach Leach is still a crazy genius and now they return to the Palouse in the rivalry that surpasses all in the Northwest.  Washington got back on track last week and looks to get to the Pac12 Title, but the Cougs stand in the way.  Jake Browning is fantastic, but he hasn't faced a lot of adversity (except vs. USC).  This should be a nailbiter, but the Cougar Air Raid should give the Huskies fits.  UW is going to crack under the pressure and Wazzu gets another shot at Colorado.  UW: 30 -- WSU: 34
Hoying: Here it is, the final battle for the Pac-12 North, just as we all predicted back in August. Yes, just 8 years after the Crapple Cup, we've skipped back to the early 2000's when these two were regular Rose Bowl contenders. The Cougars are super-duper out of the playoffs at this point, but ruining their rival's chances at a trip to Phoenix or Atlanta would taste just as sweet. So who's the crisp Fuji and who's the grainy Red Delicious this year? Look no further than their recent losses to give you a clue. Both were frustrated by great Pac-12 South defenses. On the other side of the ball, the Husky D was bloodied, but unbowed. Playing against great defense really drags Wazzu out of its groove, and I don't think the Coogs can slow down Washington enough to keep pace. UW: 27--WSU: 24

Schweinfurth: This is actually a decent Apple Cup this year (think back to two 0-11 schools...). Washington had a few issues when faced with a decent offense. WSU has a great offense. I just don't think that the Huskies can control the Pirate Leach's offense. Beat Blue UW: 31--WSU: 35
Seeberg:  The Cougars hadn't beaten anybody with a pulse all season until acquitting the_selves relatively well in Boulder before losing by two TDs.  UW, on the other hand, has even _ore to play for in the first relevant Apple Cup in 15 years with a decent shot at crashing the playoff party with a win here and in the PAC-12 title clash.  Crazy things happen in these rivalries, but until WA-ZOO actually beats a decent foe I can't in good faith expect it to happen.  Huskies win an intriguing one.  UW: 41--WSU: 35


Louisiana State Tigers @ Texas A&_ Aggies
Draper: LSU had a chance to prove they had a little left in the tank and absolutely blew it with a few ridiculous defensive plays allowing the Gators inept offense to actually score.  There was no reason for the Tigers to crap the bed but they did and the season is absolutely donezo.  The Aggies have been in a clear freefall and their season is just as big of a disaster as the Tigers.  Based on straight up ability, I still have faith that the highpowered Aggie offense won't crack the high powered LSU defense while the craptastic LSU offense does just enough.  Another boring SEC fight.  LSU: 13 -- Aggies: 10
Hoying: You know it's approaching season's end when LSU and the Aggies each have about 4 or 5 losses and are still ranked because SEC west (I don't see Indiana or the Terps ranked by that logic...). How did we get here? LSU forgot how to actually advance the ball (better not give the ball to Fournette on the 1-yard line), and the Aggies forgot how to stop anyone. So, just like every year. And, just like every year, I'd be a fool to pick the Aggies after October. LSU: 20--Aggies: 17
Schweinfurth: These two are not good this year. I really believe that both are very overrated and get the SEC benefit of the doubt. With that said, if Fournette touches the ball over 10 snaps, the Tigers will win. Beat Blue. LSU: 28--Aggies: 17
Seeberg:  For the love of all things holy, how are the Aggies still ranked?  I don't know- but playing LSU with a backup quarterback is not exactly a winning recipe.  The Tigers looked dreadful (and foolish) playing Florida in an "away" contest in Baton Rouge and still losing, but they have the best unit in this one (Tigers' D) and the best player (Fournette), and that should be enough to hand the Aggies their, what, 6th loss which could FINALLY knock the Aggies out of the rankings, _ercifully.  LSU: 24--Aggies: 10

Utah Utes @ Colorado Buffaloes
Draper: Utah had everything in front of their eyes...and lost to Oregon.  In a standard year, that wouldn't be a big deal, but the Ducks aren't the as they were.  This one is a really tough one for this picker as I just don't believe in the Buffs.  Crazy stat of the CFP: Utah has been ranked in every playoff ranking since its inception.  Can the Utes continue the trend? Can the Buffs keep their thin playoff hopes alive?  In Boulder, I'll give the edge to the Buffs, but I wouldn't be surprised for the Utes to play the spoiler.  UU: 27 -- CU: 28
Hoying: You thought nearly losing to the Spartans last week was bad, Buckeye Nation? The Utes struggled and fell at the hands of their own conference's fading Incredible Hulk, the Oregon Ducks. Now they're locked out of the Pac-12 title, but they can delay Colorado's return to relevance for another year with a big road win. The Buffs are riding the hot hand in this one, with QB Sefo Liufau (*Paul Keels sneezes* *T-Bone busts out laughing*) lighting up Washington State for 450+ yards and 3 scores last weekend. We'll CU in Santa Clara next Saturday for a chance at the Rose Bowl (or perhaps a bigger prize). UU: 20--CU: 31

Schweinfurth: Colorado has looked like the school to beat this year in their division. Utah looked good earlier in the year, and hit a bit of a rough patch. Colorado should win and advance to the Pac-12 title contest. Beat Blue. UU: 21--CU: 38
Seeberg:  It's hard to believe that Colorado boasts a top 10 squad- particularly due to the fact that their best win is a 10-5 thriller (ha) over Stanford.  The Buffaloes O is rolling after facing a what's-defense-again? _ike Leach WSU.  Utah inexplicably crapped the bed against 4-7 Oregon (feels fabulous to type that record next to the Ducks) and has little to play for as a result.  Despite playing UW tough, any squad that loses to this Ducks' tea_ and Cal cannot be trusted to beat these Buffs on the road.  Liufau FTW.  UU: 24--CU: 35 

Florida Gators @ Florida State Se_inoles
Draper: The Noles have a ton of youth but Francois has progresses significantly as the year went on.  The Gators have the defense....but that's it.  Scoring 16 vs. the Tigers last week was a gift that I can't see repeating.  FSU's D has been up and down this year (chiefly down) but they certainly can get at the quarterback with Walker very studly 13 sacks.  Florida has been very stout defensively, but Luke Del Rio and the offense is a putrid wreck.  In Tally, I just don't see the Gators pulling this off.  FSU has 3 losses with only one that can be considered 'bad' on a last second FG.  Dalvin Cook has turned on the jets as the season has progressed and I expect one last big one vs. the Gators.  FSU won't be going anywhere in the CFP or in the ACC ranks, so the goal is undefeated vs. the state of Florida--and it will happen.   UF: 13 -- FSU: 27
Hoying: Now approaching Sack City. The FSU D-Line has been on a tear, racking up 41 sacks, and Florida has added 28 of their own (in one fewer outing). Florida State QB DeAndre Francois hasn't been cursed with Browns-esque pass protection lately, but there's a big difference between facing the likes of BC and Syracuse and staring down a hungry Gator D. On the other side of the ball, if the FSU front doesn't get to terrible Florida QB Luke Del Rio, they...will still probably be OK, as the Gator O has been woefully inept all year long. Absent a few defensive scores by UF, I don't see a road upset here. UF: 17--FSU: 27

Schweinfurth:  These two are just not good. The 'Noles haven't won against a top 25 squad this year. Florida is overrated and, while the winner of the SEC east, that division if just terrible. Bad QB play will be the difference in this one. Beat Blue UF: 13--FSU: 20
Seeberg:  Well, I thought I had a bead on this contest until the Gators beat LSU in Baton Rouge last week.  I still believe FSU is the superior side here, but again it's rivalry week and anything goes.  Playing in Tallahassee can't hurt FSU's cause, and Florida only has the rivalry pride to play for as their appearance in the SEC title clash is assured.  FSU has little to play for too, but I just don't like the Gators and this victory could help salvage a season once bereft with expectations for Ji_bo Fisher and Co.  UF: 16--FSU: 24

That School Up North @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: No, it's not 1 vs. 2 a la  2006.  Yes, these squads each have a loss. But that doesn't lessen the stakes.  Everything is on the line in Cbus and that's the way it should be.  Stupid PSU has prevented the winner-take-all situation, but it's likely the winner enters the CFP while the loser takes another year of thinking what could have been.  The Bucks have been inconsistent to say the least on offense, butt the horses are certainly there.  The Wolverines can run the ball, but I don't think anyone has faith in O'Korn to run the offense at this point.  The defenses for both squads are fantastic so this contest will likely be decided by one or two plays that shift the balance.  The Shoe should give the Bucks the edge in the big play category.  Let's not forget about Death and Taxes (Curtis and Weber) as well as J. T.  when we look at big play potential.  Urban vs. Harbaugh part 2 ends in the Buckeye's favor again behind a solid balanced attack of the OSU and a stifling defensive showing.  TTUN: 17 -- OSU: 27
Hoying: It doesn't get any bigger than this. No, not because it's #2 vs. #3 (besides the obvious #1 vs. #2 in 2006, the 1968, 1970, 1973, and 1997 showdowns were at least as big), but because it's the Scarlet and Gray vs. the O'Korn and Blue. Our young Bucks have exceeded expectations this season, but the year is never a success without a win over the Wolverines. We appear to have dodged the potential bullet of losing to a guy called "Wilton," and his backup has been a bit too careless with the ball dating back to his days at Houston. I don't know whether to be less afraid of O'Korn or Jabrill Peppers, ESPN's favorite fabricated hype recipient since Fighting Irish LB Te'o was getting blasted backwards by the Tide O-line in 2012. The Wolverine D is plenty nasty despite Peppers, and I don't expect to see JT throwing at star CBs Jourdan Lewis or Channing Stribling. This one will get done on the ground with the triple threat of Barrett, Weber, and Curtis. Jake Butt could sneak into the endzone once or twice, but the Silver Bullets lock down the Scarlet Zone and preserve the victory. Urban advances to 5-0 against That School Up North and sends another one of their senior classes to wander hopelessly for the rest of their lives wondering what it would've been like to steal one win against their rival. TTUN: 20 -- OSU: 28

Schweinfurth: This is the one contest every year that I love to hate. Seriously, this week is all anticipation then four hours of nerves. With that said, TTUN has only been tested once on the road and they lost. To Iowa. Fail. The Wolverines are kind of bad on the road. Yes, thier D is pretty good, but the Horseshoe is going to be rocking all day long. If Speight plays, the Silver Bullets are going to tee off on that shoulder. If O'Korn starts, well he is bad. This is JT's week. Weber is going to truck Peppers and it will be glorious. Go Bucks, BEAT BLUE!!!!!! TTUN: 10--OSU: 42 (because that's Urban's winning number)
Seeberg:  GO SPARTY.  Okay, that's out of the way.  Personally, I think it's irrelevant who starts for TTUN at QB, scoring was going to be a huge issue anyway.  Also, the forecast is not so dreadful as it was in East Lansing last week, so Urban and Co. should recall how to properly call the offense.  It's likely that Peppers will see extra duty to help their struggling offense, which spells disaster for TTUN's D as he tires.  Also, ANOTHER backup QB all but guaranteed a W.  That doesn't play well historically (see:  Oklaho_a).    PLEASE let Weber and Curtis run wild, keep J.T. clean, watch PSU choke, and it's on to Indy.  TTUN: 13--OSU: 31

Upset Special
Draper: Vandy over Tenn
Hoying: South Carolina over Cle_son
Schweinfurth: Air Force over Boise State
Seeberg: Toledo over Western Michigan

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Let's Go Bucks: Top 25 and Heisman Ballots - After Week 12

Rankings, as always, are based on what teams have done so far, not how we believe they will finish. Leave us a comment and tell us who was too sleep-deprived when he wrote these.

Let's Go Bucks Index

1. Alabama (unchanged)
2. Ohio State (unchanged)
3. Clemson (unchanged)
4. Michigan (unchanged)
5. Wisconsin (up 1)
6. Washington (up 1)
7. Oklahoma (up 1)
8. Penn State (unchanged)
9. Colorado (up 3)
10. USC (up 3)
11. Louisville (down 6)
12. Oklahoma State (up 2)
13. Nebraska (up 2)
14. Western Michigan (up 3)
15. Florida (up 7)
16. West Virginia (down 6)
17a. Florida State (up 1)
17b. Houston (unranked)
19. Auburn (unchanged)
20. Boise State (up 1)
21. Tennessee (up 2)
22. Utah (down 11)
23. Washington State (down 3)
24. Stanford (unranked)
25a. Texas A&M (unchanged)
25b. Virginia Tech (unranked)

Others receiving votes: 

Dropped from rankings: #16 LSU, #24 San Diego State

Let's Go Bucks Index
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. Baker Mayfield (QB -- OU)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clem)


Draper

Top 25
1. Bama (unchanged)
2. OSU (unchanged)
3. Clemson (unchanged)
4. Michigan (unchanged)
5. Wisconsin (up 1)
6. Washington (up 1)
7. Oklahoma (up 1)
8. Penn State (up 1)
9. Colorado (up 2)
10. Oklahoma State (unchanged)
11. USC (up 2)
12. Florida (up 11)
13. Louisville (down 8)
14. Western Michigan (up 2)
15. Nebraska (up 2)
16. Florida State (up 3)
17. Houston (up 8)
18. West Virginia (down 7)
19. Auburn (up 2)
20. Washington State (down 2)
21. Boise State (up 2)
22. Utah (down 7)
23. Texas A&M (down 3)
24. Tennessee (unranked)
25. LSU (down 11)

Dropped from Rankings:  SDSU

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL) (Winner)
2. Baker Mayfield (QB -- OU)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB--Clem)


Hoying

Top 25
1. Alabama (unchanged)
2. Ohio State (unchanged)
3. Michigan (up 1)
4. Clemson (down 1)
5. Wisconsin (up 1)
6. USC (up 2)
7. Penn State (up 3)
8. Washington (down 3)
9. Oklahoma (up 5)
10. Colorado (up 6)
11. Houston (up 14)
12. Louisville (down 5)
13. Oklahoma State (up 2)
14. West Virginia (down 5)
15. Tennessee (down 2)
16. Nebraska (down 4)
17. Auburn (up 1)
18. Stanford (up 5)
19. Florida (unchanged)
20. Western Michigan (unchanged)
21. Boise State (unchanged)
22. Florida State (up 2)
23. Utah (down 12)
24. Texas A&M (unranked)
25. Virginia Tech (unranked)

Dropped from rankings: #17 LSU, #22 Washington State

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. D'Onta Foreman (RB -- Texas)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clemson)


Schweinfurth

Top 25
1. Alabama (unchanged)
2. Ohio State (unchanged)
3. Clemson (unchanged)

4. Michigan (up 1)
5. Wisconsin (up 1)
6. Washington (up 1)
7. Oklahoma (up 1)
8. Penn State (up 1)

9. Western Michigan (up 3)
10. Colorado (up 3)
11. Oklahoma State (up 3)
12. Louisville (down 8)
13. USC (up 2)
14. West Virginia (down 4)
15. Florida State (up 1)
16. Nebraska (up 1)
17. Washington State (up 1)
18. Auburn (up 1)

19. Utah (down 8)
20. Boise State (up 1)
21. Florida (up 2)
22. Troy (up 2)
23. Navy (unranked)
24. Houston (unranked)
25. Stanford (unranked)


Dropped out: LSU, SDSU, UNC

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. Jake Browning (QB -- UW)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clem)


Seeberg (updated)

Top 25
1. Alabama (same)
2. Ohio State (same)
3. Clemson (same)
4. Michigan (same)
5. Oklahoma (up 3)
6. Wisconsin (same)
7. Washington (same)
8. Penn State (up 2)
9. Louisville (down 5)
10. Colorado (up 1)
11. USC (up 6)
12. Florida (up 10)
13. Oklahoma State (up 2)
14. Nebraska (same)
15. Florida State (down 2)
16. Houston (up 7)
17. Boise State (up 1)
18. Auburn (up 1)
19. Western Michigan (up 1)
20. Tennessee (unranked)
21. West Virginia (down 12)
22. Virginia Tech (unranked)
23. North Carolina (up 2)
24. Utah (down 12)
25. Wyoming (unranked)

Dropped out:  #16 LSU, #21 Washington State, #24 San Diego State

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. Baker Mayfield (QB -- Okla)
3. Donnell Pumphrey (RB -- SDSU)

Monday, November 21, 2016

Grading the Bucks -- Week 12: MSU

Yeah, it was ugly...and close...but a win is a win and all that matters now is one thing...

Offense: C-
MVP: Mike Weber
Woof...  The running game seemed to be working well, but the gameplan of the last few weeks seemed to disappear.  I like have JT involved in the running game, but maybe not that much.  Give the workhorses a few more touches and let them make plays.  Mike Weber was fantastic aside from a bad fumble in the redzone, with an ability to make something out of nothing more than expected.  Curtis Samuel was pretty nonexistent other than a nice TD grab on a beautiful throw by JT. I wish I could understand how the coaches really see his role in this offense because I have no clue based on the on-field playcalling.  My biggest beef is with the WR play.  JT wasn't throwing perfect darts on every pass, but 95% of them were easily catchable.  I think there were double digit drops and that can't happen in a game where points are a premium.  Go back to the last few weeks of safe (non swing) passes that utilize the middle of the field more and catch the freaking ball.

Defense: B
MVP: Jalen Holmes, Chris Worley, Tyquan Lewis, Sam Hubbard
Something about MSU... Discipline seems to go out the window at times vs. this team.  The defense played well overall, but the big hitters were devastating.  Give LJ Scott credit for finding the holes, but a lot of the big plays seemed to contain Buckeyes out of position on misdirection.  MSU is a 3-8 team and while they have some ability at skill positions, the missed tackles are very concerning from a unit that prides itself on sure tackling.  The line played the pass extremely well but was pushed around on the man up runs and the misdirection screens.  Next week, they'll need to shore up the run defense.

Special Teams: C
This is a tough one.  The fake punt was the most obvious fake punt of all time and yet still succeeded.  However, if you look closely, it appears the Buckeyes were playing the fake the whole time and may have gotten were definitely held in a about 5 places that were missed.  Another muffed punt (paging Demario McCall, your position is ready) is certainly a concern as well as ANOTHER FREAKING KICKOFF OUT OF BOUNDS, but the punting game was solid.  Some good, some bad.  Average performance.

Coaching: C
I still don't get the gameplans of this staff.  When the run is working, they throw and vice versa.  2 major concerns are the weak play recognition early on in the game and the lack of swagger as the game moves forward.  I worry that this team doesn't always have the belief that they can do anything in any situation and can get knocked off kilter very easily (by taking some early haymakers).  Mental fortitude is huge next week and that needs to be solidified.  On field, fundamentals of catching and blocking up front are paramount on offense while the defense needs to maintain discipline (likely) going up against a 2nd game starter.

Overall: B-
Yeah, we won, but I don't feel great about it.  Good news is we've seen this team rebound from a 'so-so' performance before like gang-busters.  Also, getting the monkey off your back is never easy...stupid Michigan State.  All the preseason is finally over.  Only one thing matters now.

BEAT BLUE!!!

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Week 12: It's SEC FCS WEEK Y'ALL!!

Standings
1) Hoying              32-13        (4-7 upset)
2) Schweinfurth    28-12        (5-5 upset)
3) Draper               30-15        (3-8 upset)
4) Seeberg             27-18       (4-7 upset)

Washington State Cougars @ Colorado Buffaloes
Draper: I love me some crazy Mike Leach.  Wazzu has once again crapped themselves in the early game vs a FCS opponent but then has exploded with an undefeated Pac12 slate.  Luke Falk has run the air raid wonderfully and has the Cougars set up to face the Huskies for the Pac12 North regardless of this game.  Colorado sits at 10 in the CFP rankings but their best win is against...yeah, I don't know either.  Boulder will be rocking but give me crazy genius all day.  Wazzu sets up a HUGE Apple Cup game next week.  WSU: 34 -- CU: 21
Hoying: Ah, a classic Pac-12 matchup: great offense vs. great...defense? You wouldn't think importing a team from the Big 12 would do anything for your conference's defensive prowess, but, nonetheless, Colorado is straight-up shutting down opponents, including giving up all of 5 points to Stanford. Taking care of Wazzu QB Luke Falk will be a taller order, as the Cougars have been very impressive since opening the season with losses to Eastern Washington and Boise State. They do struggle a bit on the road (except at Stanford, but that doesn't count because Stanford has no fans), and I like the Buffs D to close it out at Folsom Field. WSU: 24--CU: 27
Schweinfurth: So, I'm going out on a limb here are say that both of these teams (and all of the Pac12 for that matter) are fake good. Washington State can put up points. Colorado has beaten no one. Typical no defense Pac12 shootout. WSU: 42--CU: 35
Seeberg:  Anybody have Washington State vs. Colorado as the best Pac-12 matchup this year?  LIAR.  In any event, the Cougars are riding an eight-game winning streak...after dropping games to an FCS team and Boise State.  Colorado, meanwhile, played TTUN and USC tough, both on the road, before losing.  In short, I trust the Buffaloes (particularly at home where they are prone to get extra downs) more than the Cougars.  WSU: 27--CU: 35

Louisville Cardinals @ Houston Cougars
Draper: This was purported as the only game of consequence remaining on Louisville's schedule and it looks like it will be...but Houston didn't the Cardinals any favors by losing to Navy (not a big deal) and SMU (woof).  Louisville has been playing with fire in their last few games (don't let the final score last week fool you) and Houston is still a very talented team.  Greg Ward won't outperform the Heisman winner (yeah, it's done), but he and the Cougars will give Louisville all they can handle.  I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Herman gets a signature win to catapult his name back up the 'hot coaches to hire' scale.  Cardinals are spending too much time worrying about their playoff standing and get bit.  UL: 41 -- Hou: 45
Hoying: Houston may have played their way out of a New Year's Six bowl but they still have a shot at their biggest season since the Southwest Conference disbanded in 1996. We've already seen what the Cougars can do at home against a top-5 team, and one can only assume that starting the day after the Oklahoma game, Tom Herman has been focusing his big ol' brain on the Cardinals (he sure wasn't getting ready for SMU). Yeah, yeah, Louisville plays in the good ACC and Houston plays in the bad AAC, but the Cards haven't been exactly been playing world beaters week-to-week. Much like Houston, they scored a big win early and they've been coasting ever since. Time for the wheels to finally fall off. UL: 38--41
Schweinfurth: This game will have lots, and lots of offense. It really is too bad that Houston fell of the map midway through the year, because this is going to be fun. Louisville has defeated exactly 1 top 25 team and have lost to the only other elite team they played. Houston has actually beaten a team with a pulse. Louisville has been playing to the level of their competition and it could bite them if they take a peak at Houston's record. Touchdown Tom, the top MENSA man in college football will shut the Cardinals up and remove them from the CFP picture. UL: 42--Hou: 49 
Seeberg:  This one had a lot of intrigue for the first few weeks of the season.  Could the Houston Hermans, after beating Oklahoma week one, actually win this one too and get into the playoff??  Two losses later, and this one is now about Louisville keeping it's slim playoff hopes alive.  I don't expect a whole lot of defense in this one, so get your popcorn ready kids.  Houston had a lot to play for week one, but that motivation waned and is now in favor of the Cardinals.  The Ville wins a shootout.  UL: 52--HOU: 42

Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Draper: OU keeps rolling in the Big12 (defense is optional) Conference.  Dede Westbrook has been fantastic all year as have Joe Mixon, Samaje Perine, and to a lesser extent, Baker Mayfield.  This is gonna be a crazy shootout type game (i.e., Big12 day in the park), but WVU simply doesn't have the horses to keep up.  Holgo will make sure the points will flow in Morgantown, and the environment will be crazy, but the Sooners talent is simply better and will carry the day.  Take the over.  OU: 52 -- WVU: 42
Hoying: Other than the obvious, this is probably the biggest game of the week for Ohio State's playoff hopes other than Penn State - Rutgers. West Virginia keeps lurking around ready to leapfrog our Bucks if they can win out and claim "One True Champion" status. An Oklahoma win would all but eliminate the Big 12 from playoff contention and boost OSU's resume in the process. But enough of what we want to happen; what's going to happen? Here's a hot take, the Sooner D isn't going to be stopping Skyler Howard and the West Virginia offense very much. Urban wasn't kidding when he said Indiana's defense was the best OSU had faced to that point. But can Baker Mayfield and OU's version of Curtis Samuel, Joe Mixon, keep pace? Not in the unfriendly confines of Morgantown. WVU keeps the dream of a late playoff push alive. OU: 31--WVU: 41
Schweinfurth: I love all of the howling coming from West Virginia about their ranking this week. Here's a wild idea, play a tougher schedule and win your games. Oklahoma seems to have found their groove after getting whooped at home in three. Big Game Bob remembered that he has two elite running backs in Mixon and Perine and has been putting them in better positions to succeed. Perine and Mixon should be able to run over the Mountaineers. OU: 49--WVU: 35
Seeberg:  Let's be real Buckeye Nation, it's beneficial for us to have the Sooners keep winning, so picking the Sooners is what our collective heart wants.  However, despite just one loss, West Virginia has done very little to prove they belong with the big boys this season, dropping their only game against a ranked team (Oklahoma State) and looking pretty lousy in the process.  Meanwhile, non-big-game Bob Stoops has actually rallied the Sooners back to a top 10 team after being demolished at home by the Buckeyes in week three.  The home crowd may keep it close, but the Sooners are rolling too well on offense to drop this one. OU: 45--WVU: 34 


Florida Gators @ LSU Tigers
Draper: Coach O has the locker room and the team has really come together.  Yes, they lost to Bama but performed quite well on defense.  Florida is just like Bama....you know, without the good offense or stifling defense.  Yeah the Gators have come good corners and decent defense, but the offense is poop and LSU is truly playing for their coach.  I hope Orgeron gets the job because he truly seems like he cares about the players and they return the love.  I'm glad this game happens this weekend for 2 reasons: 1) 2 fewer stupid SEC/FCS matchups, 2) Should soften UF up a bit...I think they have a game next week.  UF: 10 -- LSU: 24
Hoying: Ewwwwww, there's an SEC East team in our picks. Well, better get this over with. Florida's defense has been enjoying a great year, except when they got lit up in Fayetteville against Woo Pig U. LSU's D has been better, allowing 16, 18, and 10 points in 3 tough losses. Look for this game to feature about 24 punts and be over in about 2 hours (be thankful it's not on CBS or it would stretch for the standard 4). And when the dust settles, I guess LSU will have scored? UF: 0--LSU: 6
Schweinfurth: Both of these teams are not good. Now that I have cleared the air, Florida has no offense and LSU has looked competent since Les moved on to making lawn clipping smoothies. LSU will win, but it won't matter in the grand scheme of things. UF: 14--LSU: 20
Seeberg:  This game is likely to be a LARGE departure from the games we have picked above (read:  NO OFFENSE).  It's a recipe for an ugly game to watch with solid defenses and meh (at best) offenses.  LSU almost made 0 points stand up against Bama for 3.5 quarters.  Florida's offense is much, much worse than the Tide's.  First to double digits wins!  UF: 9--LSU: 17


THE Ohio State Buckeyes @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: Urban Meyer has lost 3 games to B1G opponents since he's been at OSU...and 2 of them were to the Spartans.  Something about the green and white seems to make the coaches at OSU forget what they're doing.  This year may be a tougher sell (to choke), but it's something to be concerned about.  The new focused coaching philosophy of taking each week as the entire season seems to have paid dividends over the last few weeks.  A noon kickoff is huge for OSU as the environment shouldn't be an issue.  I expect a very business like game in which the Buckeyes try to shorten the game and get out with a comfortable win--which I think they will.  JT and the backfield keep it simple and have nice games on the ground without any bells and whistles.  Defense teaches Tyler OConner that while he got the best of us last year, there are consequences.  Bucks keep moving and prepare for The Game.  OSU: 34 -- MSU: 17
Hoying: If Wisconsin is the fun rivalry, and Penn State is the must-win rivalry, and Michigan, is well, Michigan, then this one is the bizarre snakebite rivalry. I hesitate to even label it a rivalry since Ohio State is always favored to win it, but unlike Indiana, Michigan State actually beats us from time to time, usually at the most devastating moment possible. As Eleven Warriors pointed out, Ohio State has faced Michigan State in November or later while ranked #5 or higher 7 times, and have won twice. Twice! Another fun fact: the last home team that won in this series went on to make an improbable appearance in the national championship game during the last CHAOS SEASON: 2007. Will the streak end? I don't see it happening. MSU is just plain bad this year,. While they still have the pieces in place to take this series to the next level by adding a new biggest upset to a list of pretty big upsets, Ohio State is back in Urban November form. They may not be the green team, but you wouldn't like them when they're angry. OSU: 31--MSU: 23
Schweinfurth: REVENGE!!! That's what I want. I don't care that the Spartans are having a down year. They should be treated as the team that ruined your playoff chance last year, and that demon needs to be excised. I really hope that Meyer has learned from that game and doesn't go into a predicable "bad weather" shell. Ohio State will win this game on talent alone. Sparty will hang around in the first half, as is their MO this year, but the Bucks pull away after some epic SPARTY NO! meltdowns in the third quarter. Go Bucks Beat That State Up North! OSU: 42--MSU: 13
Seeberg:  I have to be honest with you, Buckeye Nation, I don't give a rat's rear end what MSU's record is, I'm still highly concerned about this game.  We coached ourselves out of a playoff appearance in this one last year, and the circumstances are eerily similar this year:  Heavily favored OSU team, lousy weather forecast (wind gusts in excess of 35 MPH in East Lansing) that could cause a painfully conservative game plan, MSU team with nothing to lose, etc.  Sparty showed up against ttun, losing by just nine, and a similar effort is likely this weekend.  The only things that give me solace are the fact that Sparty is without DT Malik McDowell and is also shuffling their O-line due to injury...that and Curtis Samuel.  Keep #4 involved (preferably more in the running game for that 1000/1000 season) and hopefully this one will be no longer in question by the fourth quarter.  OSU: 38--MSU: 17


Upset Special (Please don't pick lame upsets like OkSt over TCU)
Draper: Indiana over Michigan
Hoying: California over Stanford (sorry not sorry, Stanford band)
Schweinfurth: UCLA over USC
Seeberg:  UTSA over Texas A&M (seriously, they're still ranked and I'm just angry about it)

Heart over Head upset: GO RUTGERS!!!!!

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Let's Go Bucks: Top 25 and Heisman Ballot

Rankings, as always, are based on what teams have done so far, not how we believe they will finish. Leave us a comment and tell us who should've fallen farther after losing.

Let's Go Bucks Index
1. Alabama
2. OSU
3. Clemson
4. Michigan
5. Louisville
6. Wisconsin
7. Washington
8. Oklahoma
8. Penn State
10. West Virginia
11. Utah
12. Colorado
13. USC
14. Oklahoma State
15. Nebraska
16. LSU
17. Western Michigan
18. Florida State
19. Auburn
20. Washington State
21. Boise State
22. Florida
23. Tennessee
24. San Diego State
25. Texas A&M

Others receiving votes: Houston, Stanford, Troy, North Carolina

Let's Go Bucks Index
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. J.T. Barrett (QB -- OSU)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clem)


Draper

Top 25
1. Bama
2. OSU
3. Clemson
4. Michigan
5. Louisville
6. Wisconsin
7. Washington
8. Oklahoma
9. Penn State
10. Oklahoma State
11. West Virginia
12. Colorado
13. USC
14. LSU
15. Utah
16. Western Michigan
17. Nebraska
18. Washington State
19. Florida State
20. Texas A&M
21. Auburn
22. Florida
23. Boise State
24. San Diego State
25. Houston

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL) (Winner)
2. J.T. Barrett (QB -- OSU)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clem)


Hoying

Top 25
1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
4. Michigan
5. Washington
6. Wisconsin
7. Louisville
8. USC
9. West Virginia
10. Penn State
11. Utah
12. Nebraska
13. Tennessee
14. Oklahoma
15. Oklahoma State
16. Colorado
17. LSU
18. Auburn
19. Florida
20. Western Michigan
21. Boise State
22. Washington State
23. Stanford
24. Florida State
25. Houston

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. D'Onta Foreman (RB -- Texas)
3. Deshaun Watson (QB -- Clemson)


Schweinfurth

Top 25
1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
4. Louisville
5. Michigan
6. Wisconsin
7. Washington
8. Oklahoma
9. Penn State
10. West Virginia
11. Utah
12. Western Michigan
13. Colorado
14. Oklahoma State
15. USC
16. Florida State
17. Nebraska
18. Washington State
19. Auburn
20. LSU
21. Boise State
22. San Diego State
23. Florida
24. Troy
25. North Carolina

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. Jake Browning (QB -- UW)
3. Curtis Samuel (RB -- OSU)


Seeberg

Top 25
1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
4. Louisville
5. Michigan
6. Wisconsin
7. Washington
8. Oklahoma
9. West Virginia
10. Penn State
11. Colorado
12. Utah
13. Florida State
14. Nebraska
15. Oklahoma State
16. LSU
17. USC
18. Boise State
19. Auburn
20. Western Michigan
21. Washington State
22. Florida
23. Houston
24. San Diego State
25. North Carolina

Heisman Ballot
1. Lamar Jackson (QB -- UL)
2. Doesn't Really Matter (Deshaun Watson)
3. Doesn't Matter Whatsoever (J.T. Barrett)