Standings
1. Draper (11-5, 1-3 upset)
2. Schweinfurth (10-6, 0-4 upset)
3. Seeberg (9-7, 1-3 upset)
3. Hoying (9-7, 0-4 upset)
Miami Hurricanes @ Duke Blue Devils
Draper: Many will see this as a total mismatch. One of these teams has won the Coastal Division in their history while the other has wallowed in obscurity while a member of the ACC. The Duke powerhouse is only 4 years removed from the ACC title game, but Miami might be ready to take a step forward (yes, Miami has never won the Coastal). Two years ago had one of the most epic endings ever with 17 laterals giving the Hurricanes the victory at the buzzer. Miami had their Hurricane Irma swoon in the first half vs. Toledo but righted the ship. Duke isn't a pushover, but the Canes have too much firepower. UM: 30--Duke: 21
Hoying: Time to weigh in on two teams I know almost nothing about (aka most teams this year). These ACC powerhouses have played 6 games between them without dropping any of them. And the Blue Devils have some actual wins over actual teams from the B1G, the B12, and the ACC, while Miami has been picking up the pieces from Hurricane Irma before returning to overcome the Toledo Rockets last week. Duke has had a nice run over the last few years under Cutcliffe (except for last season's hiccup), but Mark Richt has put the 'Canes on a path to recapture the glory of finishing 2nd in the Coastal Division every year. Canes take this one on the road. UM: 27--Duke: 21
Schweinfurth: Let's be honest, I really haven't been paying attention to anyone other than Clemson and FSU (Week 1) in the ACC this year. Duke has had some nice seasons the last few years. Let's be honest, it's still Duke football. I think they hang tough but this is Miami after all. UM: 35--Duke: 20
Seeberg: Tough not to feel for the Hurricanes, who still haven't played a power five opponent thanks to, well, actual hurricanes. Toledo nearly took advantage of that and led Miami at half last week, only to see Miami explode for 6 second-half TDs. Duke, meanwhile, has beaten THREE power 5 teams by an average of 16 points. David Cutcliffe has brought the Duke football program to actual credibility and near-relevance. A win over the still-readjusting, top-15 Hurricanes might just get the Blue Devils over the top. Prepare for a Coach K like performance as the Dukies get their long-awaited signature win. UM: 24--Duke: 31
USC Trojans @ Washington State Cougars
Draper: While Mike Leach may be an evil genius, he seems to have trouble in these big games (at Wazzu). Clearly, the Trojans have the better talent, but they've been up and down, especially vs. mid level teams. The Cougars and Mike Leach comprise one of my favorite assemblages of offensive brainpower and scheme, they don't have the horses to compete. This feels like a "statement" game for the Trojans against a mediocre team beset by injuries. Don't put it past Wazzu to use some black pirate magic to keep in interesting, but Sam Darnold and the Trojans get a nice road win in Pullman. USC: 37--WSU: 27
Hoying: You know you've reached the big time when your undefeated, ranked matchup is kicking off at 10:30 on a Friday night. When USC started the season ranked #4, I raised a skeptical eyebrow. Sure, they finished last season ranked #3 (despite 3 losses), and they have everybody's favorite mediocre-producing Heisman candidate and second coming of Peyton Manning, Sam Darnold. But this is a team that's been "back" at least half a dozen times since they were last relevant around 2008, and they've won the Pac-12 exactly zero times since then. OK, so USC might be overrated; who's going to step up and take them down? Cal fell flat against a lackluster Trojan effort last week, but can the Cougs get it done? QB Luke Falk has picked up where he left off last year (and the rest of the team is perfectly capable of mounting double digit comebacks with him off the field, right Boise State?). Running the ball is optional, though, and a one-dimensional offense isn't going to be enough to apply a statistical correction to USC. Not yet. USC: 41--WSU: 24
Schweinfurth: It seems like everyone is on the Sam Darnold train. The more I watch and see stats, the less impressed I am. The dude throws at least 1 pick a game. That's good right? Wazzu can put up points in a hurry (hello air raid) but doesn't play much defense, a Mike Leach special. I think the Trojans win a shootout with Darnold putting up the numbers everyone expects...just with a couple of INTs to keep the Cougs in it. USC: 52--WSU: 42
Seeberg: USC has been very Cedar Point-like this weekend, rolling up and down and in and out like a coaster. Lackluster performances against Texas and Western Michigan sandwiched around a blasting of Stanford. WASU, meanwhile, has quietly started 4-0 with such quality wins as...um...uh...Boise State despite giving up 44 points at home?? Tough to see USC not putting up at least that much offensively and, thereby, tough to see the Cougs keeping up. Trojans fight on. USC: 48--WSU: 28
Clemson Tigers @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: I hate to say this, but Clemson is really, really good. They may stumble out of the gates, but the talent is overpowering. The Hokies have Blacksburg rocking Enter Sandman at night, but can they take down the new monster of the ACC? My money says no. The Clemson D is stifling and Bryant is a very good QB running the offense. Too much Tigers. Good night sweet Hokie Bird. Clem: 27--VT: 10
Hoying: I'm done picking against Clemson unless I have a really, really good reason to. They're like the ACC version of Alabama or Ohio State. Clem: 34--VT: 20
Schweinfurth: This game screams of a blood bath. Clemson's defensive front is the best in college football. I mean there is no way VaTech moves the football consistently. The Tigers are the best team in the ACC and show it. Clem: 35--VT: 10
Seeberg: Both teams here have quality wins over nonconference opponents (WVU for Va Tech, Auburn for Clemson) and are riding high early in the season. Having been to Va Tech in 2015 I can honestly say it is by FAR the best atmosphere in a visiting stadium I have ever experienced (and I've been in the Big House for The Game twice). Va Tech is good, the venue is superb, but that won't be enough to last all four quarters. Clemson's D-line is too deep and athletic, and will wear the Hokies down in the second half, much like the Buckeyes do to their opponents. Tigers pull away late. Clem: 35--VT: 17
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Auburn Tigers
Draper: Time for the other "ranked" matchup of the week. Two mediocre SEC West squads pandering to be Bama's number 2. These teams appear to be near mirror images of talent. Stidham vs. Mitchell. I don't know. When in doubt, pick the home team. If this was in StarkVegas, I'd lean CLANGA, but the Tigers reign supreme in Jordan Hare (in a game no one cares about). MSU: 17--Aub: 21
Hoying: Good to see that this is still a ranked matchup after Mississippi State got utterly pasted by Georgia last week. Must be that quality win over the LSU team that limped past Syracuse last week. It seems that the most impressive achievement of either of these teams was Auburn's narrow loss to Clemson. When in doubt, pick the home team, especially at night (Eastern time, anyway). MSU: 17--Aub: 20
Schweinfurth: Two SEC teams that aren't Bama which means a snoozefest. Bad offense or good defenses? Who cares, this won't be worth watching until the 4th quarter. I'll take the Tigers are at home. MSU: 10--Aub: 14
Seeberg: I can't decide if I put too much stock in LSU (that MSU destroyed) or too much stock in MSU (that Georgia destroyed). Either way, I think Auburn is less bipolar- and at home- so I'm going with the Tigers. MSU: 16--Aub: 27
THE Ohio State University Buckeyes @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Draper: Hooray for the famed matchup vs. Buttgers! This has been an annual curb-stomping and I don't expect different this year. Yeah, Rutgers played Washington tough, but Urban's squad was focused by the loss and, let's face it, they have more talent than the Huskies. Chris Ash is getting Rutgers near the corner of actually winning a close game, but he's not there yet...and OSU won't give him the opportunity. The defense will give a bit through the air, but the offense is what to focus on this week. Last week's glorified scrimmage shored up parts of the passing game. Let's see if we can keep moving in the right direction. If the passing game sputters on the road, we still have JKLOL and a newly healthy Mike Weber to carry the load. I think the offense might spend a little more time working on the run this week just like they focused on the pass last week. Keep em guessing. Bucks big. OSU:55--Buttgers: 17
Hoying: Ohio State has played Rutgers 3 times in its storied history. 56-17, 49-7, 58-0. Following these trend lines, the final score of this one should be something like 60 to negative 8. Is Rutgers any better this year? Well, they lost to Eastern Michigan a couple of weeks ago, so no. The Scarlet Knights did play Nebraska tough last week, but not as tough as Northern Illinois did. Maybe Rutgers would fare better if they added a directional word to their name. Like "Rutgers, the State University of Northeastern New Jersey." I hope no restaurants are offering promotions based on the margin of victory in this one. OSU: 52--RSUNJ: 10
Schweinfurth: I still can't believe this is a night game. This should look a lot like last week. JT leads the Bucks to a MASSIVE first half lead and turns it over to Haskins. I guess the bright spot in this game, and last week, is that the backups get some live fire reps and get on tape to get better. Just get out of this game with no injuries, get Weber about 10 snaps, Dobbins his 100 yards, work on the pass D, etc. Feel for Chris Ash. His former boss has no mercy for inferior opponents, especially conference teams. OSU: 56--RSUNJ aka NY's CFB team: 9
Seeberg: Ah yes, a night game at Rutgers with Greg Schiano in attendance. Wait a minute, is it 2006? For Rutgers, the answer to that question is, sadly, no...and Schiano now patrols the opposing sideline. Rutgers does seem to be improving as this season wears on, but so to are the Buckeyes, now including a healthy Mike Weber! I expect the defense to look good, and I REALLY hope the offense goes berserk to shut some people up. I still worry the coaching staff is too enamored with the pass, but last week may have just been to try to work some of the kinks out against a laughably inferior opponent. In any case, Rutgers isn't a whole lot better, so don't expect this one to be much closer. OSU: 48--RSUNJ: 14
Upset Special
Draper: Tennessee over Georgia
Hoying: Northern Illinois over San Diego State
Schweinfurth: Ole Miss over Bama (someone has to pick it)
Seeberg: Vanderbilt over Florida
Friday, September 29, 2017
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Grading the Bucks: Week 4--UNLV
Sorry for the late post. This will be a short one. Not a ton of insightful takeaways here.
Offense: A-
JT looked fine but I don't take a lot out of the game given the level of competition. Honestly, what did you expect him to do? I'll talk about the playcalling later but there was little to nitpick offensively other than the turnovers at the goalline. Obviously, ball security is of paramount importance, but that was really the only negative. Buckeye Nation got a dose of reality regarding Dwayne Haskins. Yes, he did look really good, but there are certainly some inconsistencies (the pick six and a few misses). Yes, JT has those misses periodically and I don't know if he could have made that throw to CJ Saunders, but Haskins is much more of a gunslinger and plays his game that way. JT is simply more risk averse (and maybe that's a better strategy with the talent disparity--but no definite answer). I would like to see Saunders get some time with the 1s as he seems to be a nice little wide receiver with actual hands and route-running ability.
Defense: A-
Again, what can you say. The starters (for the most part) did what they should have done with a few exceptions (the first half score probably shouldn't have happened). The D-line is still ridiculously good and the secondary still has holes but that's to be expected when the entire last 2 years secondary is playing on Sundays. I don't really care much about the second half (offensively or defensively) because that just provided time for the backups to see the field. Good experience, but not a measure of the team going forward.
Special Teams: A-
Man, I really want to give an A with the nice return by Parris, but you know where I'm going. Coverage was better this week against an inferior opponent, but I will lose all my hair with these kickoffs out of bounds. There is simply not reason.
Coaching: A-
I was interested to see the coaching staff go completely into practice mode for this game. There was a clear agenda to work on the passing game and I really did like the approach. The running game is fine and we don't need a lot of tuning up in game situations so why bother with it. JT went play action on almost every "obvious" running down because that's what needs work (and it seemed to show good results). I absolutely LOVE the fact that the playcalling started utilizing the middle of the field in the intermediate passing game which I feel is JT's strength. If we can keep working there and add in some of those nice fades in the red zone, we might have something. Obviously, this wasn't a perfect game, but the playcalling and execution took a step up (yes, I know it was UNLV, but be happy when something positive occurs).
Overall: A-
Nice win. Didn't learn anything new but got to practice some new concepts as well as get the backups some live action. Concerning Haskins, don't get me wrong: he has some incredible tools that could lead to fantastic quarterback play, but I feel he showed a few chinks (not to say JT doesn't have them) that leads me to trust the coaches. I literally heard on radio personalities in Columbus who should know better say (in back to back sentences) that we can't take anything from JT's nice showing and 5 TD- 0 int- 0 punt performance because of the weak opponent, but Haskins 2 TD- 1 int- multiple punt performance against the same team shows he has the skills and it's time to consider a change. You can't have it both ways. Either the opponent sucked and we need to take these stats with a grain of salt (my personal opinion) or we have incredibly meaningful data. Haskins has shown so great high spots but is inconsistent. JT's ceiling may be a bit lower (definitely in the passing game) but his mental grasp of the game and consistency will keep him in the driver's seat for the foreseeable future. On to Buttgers.
Offense: A-
JT looked fine but I don't take a lot out of the game given the level of competition. Honestly, what did you expect him to do? I'll talk about the playcalling later but there was little to nitpick offensively other than the turnovers at the goalline. Obviously, ball security is of paramount importance, but that was really the only negative. Buckeye Nation got a dose of reality regarding Dwayne Haskins. Yes, he did look really good, but there are certainly some inconsistencies (the pick six and a few misses). Yes, JT has those misses periodically and I don't know if he could have made that throw to CJ Saunders, but Haskins is much more of a gunslinger and plays his game that way. JT is simply more risk averse (and maybe that's a better strategy with the talent disparity--but no definite answer). I would like to see Saunders get some time with the 1s as he seems to be a nice little wide receiver with actual hands and route-running ability.
Defense: A-
Again, what can you say. The starters (for the most part) did what they should have done with a few exceptions (the first half score probably shouldn't have happened). The D-line is still ridiculously good and the secondary still has holes but that's to be expected when the entire last 2 years secondary is playing on Sundays. I don't really care much about the second half (offensively or defensively) because that just provided time for the backups to see the field. Good experience, but not a measure of the team going forward.
Special Teams: A-
Man, I really want to give an A with the nice return by Parris, but you know where I'm going. Coverage was better this week against an inferior opponent, but I will lose all my hair with these kickoffs out of bounds. There is simply not reason.
Coaching: A-
I was interested to see the coaching staff go completely into practice mode for this game. There was a clear agenda to work on the passing game and I really did like the approach. The running game is fine and we don't need a lot of tuning up in game situations so why bother with it. JT went play action on almost every "obvious" running down because that's what needs work (and it seemed to show good results). I absolutely LOVE the fact that the playcalling started utilizing the middle of the field in the intermediate passing game which I feel is JT's strength. If we can keep working there and add in some of those nice fades in the red zone, we might have something. Obviously, this wasn't a perfect game, but the playcalling and execution took a step up (yes, I know it was UNLV, but be happy when something positive occurs).
Overall: A-
Nice win. Didn't learn anything new but got to practice some new concepts as well as get the backups some live action. Concerning Haskins, don't get me wrong: he has some incredible tools that could lead to fantastic quarterback play, but I feel he showed a few chinks (not to say JT doesn't have them) that leads me to trust the coaches. I literally heard on radio personalities in Columbus who should know better say (in back to back sentences) that we can't take anything from JT's nice showing and 5 TD- 0 int- 0 punt performance because of the weak opponent, but Haskins 2 TD- 1 int- multiple punt performance against the same team shows he has the skills and it's time to consider a change. You can't have it both ways. Either the opponent sucked and we need to take these stats with a grain of salt (my personal opinion) or we have incredibly meaningful data. Haskins has shown so great high spots but is inconsistent. JT's ceiling may be a bit lower (definitely in the passing game) but his mental grasp of the game and consistency will keep him in the driver's seat for the foreseeable future. On to Buttgers.
Friday, September 22, 2017
Week 4: You Rebel Scum
Standings
1. Draper (8-4, 1-2 upset)
1. Hoying (7-5, 0-3 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (7-5, 0-3 upset)
4. Seeberg (7-5, 0-3 upset)
TCU Horned Frogs @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Draper:We always hear of TCU preparing to emerge and bring defense to the Big12 with the lightning of Kenny Trill....but they don't have the world's most glorious mullet and Mason Rudolph. Yeah, the Pokes haven't reallly played anyone of note, but Pitt kept it close with PSU (kind of). The Pitt massacre was on in the first 20 minutes. I don't know much about the Horned Frogs, but I love me some Okie State right now. Fly Mullet, Fly! TCU: 24--OkSt: 45
Hoying: The Pokes are the hot team on everyone's lips after dismantling...Pitt...last week, but TCU is the team that already has a win over a (possibly) real live team in this young season. 2 weeks ago, the Horned Frogs rolled into Fayetteville and shut down Arkansas. Stopping Mason Rudolph will be a bit of a steeper task; TCU held him to 207 yards and 50% passing last year but still got their doors blown off in a 31-6 rout. This year should be closer, with the Cowboys still emerging victorious. TCU: 17--OkSt: 27
Schweinfurth: Mike Gundy may no longer be 40, but he is still a man and he's 50! What I'm getting at here is that the Oklahoma State offense seems unstoppable. The Fun and Gun is back baby! Oh yea, the really haven't faced a defense with a pulse either. TCU at least tries on defense. It's still not going to be enough. OSU has to put up at least 40 right? TCU just doesn't have the horses to score with the Pokes. TCU: 28--OSU: 42
Seeberg: Well, this year hasn't started out all that way for the prognosticators here at Let's Go Bucks. Lots of tricky games this week, such as this Stillwater shootout. TCU will likely get at least into the 30s, but it's tough to imagine them keeping Mason Rudolph and Co. out of the 40s. Cowboys pull away late. TCU: 35--OkSt: 45
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Georgia Bulldogs
Draper: Cue Schweinfurth with the "I'm picking the Bulldogs to win" joke. If you read the column last week (as you should every week), you would seen that I gave you the big CLANGA win over LSU. Is it time for the annual UGA crap themselves game? I don't think we're quite there yet (but it's coming). The power of the CLANGA doesn't make it to Athens this week as Stark Vegas brought the pain last week. Chubb and Michel keep the Dawgs from UGA perfect until the annual meltdown. MSU: 20 -- UGA: 31
Hoying: Wow, Georgia! Big win over ranked opponent! Great power running game! And Mississippi State has them...outclassed on both fronts? Yes, these Bulldogs are 3-0 for the first time since they shot all the way up to #1 in 2014 behind the arm of Dak Prescott, and they're looking to prove that their win over LSU was no fluke. Their winning ways should continue between the hedges. MSU: 31--UGA: 24
Schweinfurth: Hey Draper, there is a big difference here: one is the Bulldogs, the other is CLANGA!! Mississippi State did get the big win over LSU, but the Tigers can't get out of their own way. I'm not sold on either of these teams but I have to go with the known commodity in this game. It's Chubby Time! MSU: 14--UGA: 24
Seeberg: I'm not entirely certain what to make of this matchup. LSU got their doors blown off in Starkville last week, but now MSU is on the road. Still, UGA hasn't beaten anybody of consequence yet, and the SEC East doesn't provide too many of those matchups anyhow. Roll CLANGA (ugh). MSU: 31--UGA: 21
Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes
Draper: I don't know how good PSU really is after a lackluster win over Pitt (I don't care about the other crappy shutouts). I think they're pretty good (maybe not as good as last year) but outside of Barkley, I don't see a difference maker. The difference is that I really don't see Iowa as anything more than a mirage. The miracle comeback for the CyHawk is nice and likely got Ferentz another bajillion dollars, but I think Iowa is another 6-7 win yawner of a team in a pedestrian division. Weird things happen in Iowa City at night, but I just don't see it here. While I'd love a return to the 6-4 game, I'll go a touch higher. PSU: 30--Iowa: 13
Hoying: How good is Penn State, really? They've looked sharp on both sides of the ball, barely having to break a sweat on their way to 3-0. Meanwhile, Iowa struggled with their in-state rivals, like they do every year, and haven't really given too many flashes of brilliance lately outside of last year's stunner against Michigan. I don't really think they're going to test Penn State this week, either. PSU: 27--Iowa: 10
Schweinfurth: I honestly do not get the Iowa hype this year. They are a power running team with 3 RBs but had trouble with Iowa State. Penn State has a much better defense than the Cyclones. Everyone is calling Saquan Barkley the next (insert last great B1G running back) and he has earned some comparisons. The Nittany Lions have perfected the run, run, run, play 500 offense. It will get them through this game, but watch to see how many times McSorley gets hit. PSU: 35--Iowa: 17
Seeberg: This is a night game (lol). People are trying to convince you it will be close. It won't be. Iowa was in a game with freakin' Wyoming for 3 quarters. Roar Lions Roar. PSU: 38--Iowa: 14
UNLV Rebels @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: What do you say about this game? There is no reason this should be close at half. Last week was expected with the weird offensive scheme. This week offers no excuses. Bucks FINALLLY break 50 and look like a reasonable offense (not that I expect that to continue past this week). The defensive starters are out in the 4th quarter so a garbage TD is surrendered but no one really cares. Come enjoy the big red blob. That should be the most exciting part of the game! UNLV: 10--OSU: 52
Hoying: The good news is, even if Ohio State were to lose this game, they wouldn't be suffering the worst upset ever. That distinction belongs to the visiting Rebels of UNLV, who dropped a game to 45-point underdog Howard in their opener. Still, this is a pretty severe mismatch, now that the Buckeye offense is back on track. JT's setting more records, JK's breaking long TD runs, and the receivers...sure can block. Bucks keep on rolling through cupcake city. UNLV: 10--OSU: 45
Schweinfurth: This game will be UGLY. UNLV lost to Howard (look them up). This is a true "get healthy" game. Find an offensive identity and establish it. If it's running, run the damn ball. If its a RPO team, then run that offense, but settle on something. The linebackers and secondary need all the live fire they can get and this is the perfect opportunity. Don't get hurt and get Dobbins his 150. UNLV: 7--OSU: 49
Seeberg: In stark contrast to the game above, nobody is trying to convince you this will be a game, and it sure as heck better not be. I am concerned that the offensive masterminds will beat their collective heads against the wall trying to throw passes for awhile, and honestly even that would produce a win. Hopefully, however, the run is used early and often and J.T. can hang out on the bench after an opening TD drive in the 3rd quarter, particularly since it'll be 90 tomorrow...wasn't it supposed to be the start of fall today? Oh well, stay healthy Bucks and let's get to B1G play. UNLV: 10--OSU: 56
Upset Special
Draper: Purdue over Michigan
Hoying: Kentucky over Florida
Schweinfurth: Cal over USC
Seeberg: NC State over Florida State (sorry, Chief)
1. Draper (8-4, 1-2 upset)
1. Hoying (7-5, 0-3 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (7-5, 0-3 upset)
4. Seeberg (7-5, 0-3 upset)
TCU Horned Frogs @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Draper:We always hear of TCU preparing to emerge and bring defense to the Big12 with the lightning of Kenny Trill....but they don't have the world's most glorious mullet and Mason Rudolph. Yeah, the Pokes haven't reallly played anyone of note, but Pitt kept it close with PSU (kind of). The Pitt massacre was on in the first 20 minutes. I don't know much about the Horned Frogs, but I love me some Okie State right now. Fly Mullet, Fly! TCU: 24--OkSt: 45
Hoying: The Pokes are the hot team on everyone's lips after dismantling...Pitt...last week, but TCU is the team that already has a win over a (possibly) real live team in this young season. 2 weeks ago, the Horned Frogs rolled into Fayetteville and shut down Arkansas. Stopping Mason Rudolph will be a bit of a steeper task; TCU held him to 207 yards and 50% passing last year but still got their doors blown off in a 31-6 rout. This year should be closer, with the Cowboys still emerging victorious. TCU: 17--OkSt: 27
Schweinfurth: Mike Gundy may no longer be 40, but he is still a man and he's 50! What I'm getting at here is that the Oklahoma State offense seems unstoppable. The Fun and Gun is back baby! Oh yea, the really haven't faced a defense with a pulse either. TCU at least tries on defense. It's still not going to be enough. OSU has to put up at least 40 right? TCU just doesn't have the horses to score with the Pokes. TCU: 28--OSU: 42
Seeberg: Well, this year hasn't started out all that way for the prognosticators here at Let's Go Bucks. Lots of tricky games this week, such as this Stillwater shootout. TCU will likely get at least into the 30s, but it's tough to imagine them keeping Mason Rudolph and Co. out of the 40s. Cowboys pull away late. TCU: 35--OkSt: 45
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Georgia Bulldogs
Draper: Cue Schweinfurth with the "I'm picking the Bulldogs to win" joke. If you read the column last week (as you should every week), you would seen that I gave you the big CLANGA win over LSU. Is it time for the annual UGA crap themselves game? I don't think we're quite there yet (but it's coming). The power of the CLANGA doesn't make it to Athens this week as Stark Vegas brought the pain last week. Chubb and Michel keep the Dawgs from UGA perfect until the annual meltdown. MSU: 20 -- UGA: 31
Hoying: Wow, Georgia! Big win over ranked opponent! Great power running game! And Mississippi State has them...outclassed on both fronts? Yes, these Bulldogs are 3-0 for the first time since they shot all the way up to #1 in 2014 behind the arm of Dak Prescott, and they're looking to prove that their win over LSU was no fluke. Their winning ways should continue between the hedges. MSU: 31--UGA: 24
Schweinfurth: Hey Draper, there is a big difference here: one is the Bulldogs, the other is CLANGA!! Mississippi State did get the big win over LSU, but the Tigers can't get out of their own way. I'm not sold on either of these teams but I have to go with the known commodity in this game. It's Chubby Time! MSU: 14--UGA: 24
Seeberg: I'm not entirely certain what to make of this matchup. LSU got their doors blown off in Starkville last week, but now MSU is on the road. Still, UGA hasn't beaten anybody of consequence yet, and the SEC East doesn't provide too many of those matchups anyhow. Roll CLANGA (ugh). MSU: 31--UGA: 21
Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes
Draper: I don't know how good PSU really is after a lackluster win over Pitt (I don't care about the other crappy shutouts). I think they're pretty good (maybe not as good as last year) but outside of Barkley, I don't see a difference maker. The difference is that I really don't see Iowa as anything more than a mirage. The miracle comeback for the CyHawk is nice and likely got Ferentz another bajillion dollars, but I think Iowa is another 6-7 win yawner of a team in a pedestrian division. Weird things happen in Iowa City at night, but I just don't see it here. While I'd love a return to the 6-4 game, I'll go a touch higher. PSU: 30--Iowa: 13
Hoying: How good is Penn State, really? They've looked sharp on both sides of the ball, barely having to break a sweat on their way to 3-0. Meanwhile, Iowa struggled with their in-state rivals, like they do every year, and haven't really given too many flashes of brilliance lately outside of last year's stunner against Michigan. I don't really think they're going to test Penn State this week, either. PSU: 27--Iowa: 10
Schweinfurth: I honestly do not get the Iowa hype this year. They are a power running team with 3 RBs but had trouble with Iowa State. Penn State has a much better defense than the Cyclones. Everyone is calling Saquan Barkley the next (insert last great B1G running back) and he has earned some comparisons. The Nittany Lions have perfected the run, run, run, play 500 offense. It will get them through this game, but watch to see how many times McSorley gets hit. PSU: 35--Iowa: 17
Seeberg: This is a night game (lol). People are trying to convince you it will be close. It won't be. Iowa was in a game with freakin' Wyoming for 3 quarters. Roar Lions Roar. PSU: 38--Iowa: 14
UNLV Rebels @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: What do you say about this game? There is no reason this should be close at half. Last week was expected with the weird offensive scheme. This week offers no excuses. Bucks FINALLLY break 50 and look like a reasonable offense (not that I expect that to continue past this week). The defensive starters are out in the 4th quarter so a garbage TD is surrendered but no one really cares. Come enjoy the big red blob. That should be the most exciting part of the game! UNLV: 10--OSU: 52
Hoying: The good news is, even if Ohio State were to lose this game, they wouldn't be suffering the worst upset ever. That distinction belongs to the visiting Rebels of UNLV, who dropped a game to 45-point underdog Howard in their opener. Still, this is a pretty severe mismatch, now that the Buckeye offense is back on track. JT's setting more records, JK's breaking long TD runs, and the receivers...sure can block. Bucks keep on rolling through cupcake city. UNLV: 10--OSU: 45
Schweinfurth: This game will be UGLY. UNLV lost to Howard (look them up). This is a true "get healthy" game. Find an offensive identity and establish it. If it's running, run the damn ball. If its a RPO team, then run that offense, but settle on something. The linebackers and secondary need all the live fire they can get and this is the perfect opportunity. Don't get hurt and get Dobbins his 150. UNLV: 7--OSU: 49
Seeberg: In stark contrast to the game above, nobody is trying to convince you this will be a game, and it sure as heck better not be. I am concerned that the offensive masterminds will beat their collective heads against the wall trying to throw passes for awhile, and honestly even that would produce a win. Hopefully, however, the run is used early and often and J.T. can hang out on the bench after an opening TD drive in the 3rd quarter, particularly since it'll be 90 tomorrow...wasn't it supposed to be the start of fall today? Oh well, stay healthy Bucks and let's get to B1G play. UNLV: 10--OSU: 56
Upset Special
Draper: Purdue over Michigan
Hoying: Kentucky over Florida
Schweinfurth: Cal over USC
Seeberg: NC State over Florida State (sorry, Chief)
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Grading the Bucks: Week 3 -- Army
One rule of thumb becomes eminently apparent when you schedule a service academy: Never schedule a service academy. Chop-block-o-clock, brutally long drives, and frustrating tenacity of the triple option. It's tough to prepare for and the Bucks did pretty well.
Offense: B-
I still want more. The running game looked very nice (more please) and Dobbins could be a special guy, but we appear to underutilize our backs severely. JT was fine this game (much better than OU), but his skill set isn't utilized properly. He ran well, but they never actually attempted 5-10 yard passes down the middle of the field (until Haskins came in). I don't like the repeated bubble screens (although 11 Warriors broke down some of the deceptive use nicely) because I feel the playcallers use them as a crutch. I really want to see more straight slant, post, or comebacks called in the middle of the field to see if JT can hit them. If he can't, then I'll jump off the bandwagon, but I think throwing to the flat on every play sets him up to look incapable. The receivers also need more practice running real routes rather than fading to the flat on every play. If it is truly a talent gap on JT's part to simply throw a 10 yard pass, we need to change, but I don't think that's it. I think asking him to throw 20-30 yards downfield is the issue, but we can work around that will a variety of short run-pass-options to utilize his skill set.
Defense: B+
Don't. Schedule. Service. Academies. Honestly, the defense performed quite well with limited reps against this option style. The secondary couldn't really be exploited in this game due to the lack of a passing game, but I'd like more confident tackling upfront (see: fullback dive). I was thrilled at the performance by Tuf Boreland who seemed to be a terror all over the field when he entered the game. He has a real future if he can keep that up. Erick Smith had a nice recovery on a deep ball...but he won't always be able to recover. Our secondary needs to be more confident in their defensive principles and not caught with their pants down. That was a fluke rather than the norm, but don't let it get out of hand.
Don't. Schedule. Service. Academies. Honestly, the defense performed quite well with limited reps against this option style. The secondary couldn't really be exploited in this game due to the lack of a passing game, but I'd like more confident tackling upfront (see: fullback dive). I was thrilled at the performance by Tuf Boreland who seemed to be a terror all over the field when he entered the game. He has a real future if he can keep that up. Erick Smith had a nice recovery on a deep ball...but he won't always be able to recover. Our secondary needs to be more confident in their defensive principles and not caught with their pants down. That was a fluke rather than the norm, but don't let it get out of hand.
Special Teams: C-
Credit to the placekicking and punting which has been much better this year than expected. Another kickoff out of bounds (almost went into the stands!!) and horrendous kick coverage are real issues. Please, Urban. For the love of all that is good, get a kicker to kickoff into the student section on every single kick. We may "take pride" in starters on special teams, but they can't cover anything. The kickoff bobbled at the 1 should have been stopped inside the 10 but instead, Army crossed the 40 (I believe). That cannot happen...EVER. Punting has been extremely good and no one has noticed (I think I heard every punt--or almost every punt--was downed inside the 20 with the exception of 1 touchback that landed 1 yard deep). That's a huge accomplishment after losing Johnston.
Credit to the placekicking and punting which has been much better this year than expected. Another kickoff out of bounds (almost went into the stands!!) and horrendous kick coverage are real issues. Please, Urban. For the love of all that is good, get a kicker to kickoff into the student section on every single kick. We may "take pride" in starters on special teams, but they can't cover anything. The kickoff bobbled at the 1 should have been stopped inside the 10 but instead, Army crossed the 40 (I believe). That cannot happen...EVER. Punting has been extremely good and no one has noticed (I think I heard every punt--or almost every punt--was downed inside the 20 with the exception of 1 touchback that landed 1 yard deep). That's a huge accomplishment after losing Johnston.
Coaching: C
Eh, the gameplan against the triple option was fine. Nothing flashy; just leave with a win. Offensively, we need more diversity than the slip screens and swing passes to loosen the defense...or, you know, running the ball all over the opponent to loosen the defense??? There never seems to be a cohesive gameplan. Let's keep pounding the rock and take some downfield shots to keep them honest. Stop trying to force a passing game first and use the run when you've run out of bubble screens. Dobbins, Weber, and Barrett are gouging defenses on the ground but they have fewer plays called for them. I understand the game theoretic notion of using those plays as decoys, but when they can't stop you when they know it's coming (see Army, UNLV, Rutgers), just flex your muscles. One aspect of this game made me throw up in my mouth a bit. We punted on 4th and short from THE ARMY 34!!! C'MON MAN!! Yes, the punt was down inside the 1 (note: army then went on a 99 yard TD drive, but I digress), but you don't think you can get a few yards against Army?!? Even if you aren't sure, the cost/benefit ratio from an analytic standpoint is off the chart. I was floored that Meyer chose to punt there. There is no room for that thought process in today's game (spoken as a sport's analytics professor). We deserved a 99 yard response from Army for that egregious decision.
Eh, the gameplan against the triple option was fine. Nothing flashy; just leave with a win. Offensively, we need more diversity than the slip screens and swing passes to loosen the defense...or, you know, running the ball all over the opponent to loosen the defense??? There never seems to be a cohesive gameplan. Let's keep pounding the rock and take some downfield shots to keep them honest. Stop trying to force a passing game first and use the run when you've run out of bubble screens. Dobbins, Weber, and Barrett are gouging defenses on the ground but they have fewer plays called for them. I understand the game theoretic notion of using those plays as decoys, but when they can't stop you when they know it's coming (see Army, UNLV, Rutgers), just flex your muscles. One aspect of this game made me throw up in my mouth a bit. We punted on 4th and short from THE ARMY 34!!! C'MON MAN!! Yes, the punt was down inside the 1 (note: army then went on a 99 yard TD drive, but I digress), but you don't think you can get a few yards against Army?!? Even if you aren't sure, the cost/benefit ratio from an analytic standpoint is off the chart. I was floored that Meyer chose to punt there. There is no room for that thought process in today's game (spoken as a sport's analytics professor). We deserved a 99 yard response from Army for that egregious decision.
Overall: B-
Don't. Schedule. Service. Academies. We got the win and that's all I'm taking from this one. It may have been ugly, but that's what these games always are. Take the win (and cover for all you haters out there) and go home. Next week should be worse as there is no reason we don't annihilate UNLV. If there's less than a 40 point victory, I'll be upset.
Friday, September 15, 2017
Week 3: Army Invades
Standings
1. Draper (5-3, 0-2 upset)
1. Hoying (5-3, 0-2 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (4-4, 0-2 upset)
4. Seeberg (4-4, 0-2 upset)
Clemson Tigers @ Louisville Cardinals
Draper: I remember this as one of the biggest game of last year as Lamar Jackson invaded Death Valley and emerged defeated (likely because they fell asleep during Clemson's bus ride around the stadium). This game promises much of the same in my mind in terms of hype, but I'm not quite sold on the Cards this year. Yeah, the defending Champs lost their QB and a ton of talent to the NFL, but it appears they've reloaded and are ready to defend. Louisville has Lamar Jackson playing at a high level again but I don't know much about the rest of the team. Allowing Purdue to hang around until the end makes me question how they'll handle the Tigers. Papa Johns stadium has become a tougher place to play but the Cardinals simply don't have the horses. The Clemson Dline holds serve and the Tigers keep rolling on. Clem: 34 -- Lou: 24
Hoying: Last year's titanic struggle in Death Valley decided the course of the ACC Atlantic division, and ultimately the national championship. (Or so it seemed at the time. Louisville decided to sputter a bit down the stretch.) This year's matchup doesn't seem to have quite the hype and I'm not sure why. Lamar Jackson is still making special things happen for Louisville a year after he nearly beat Clemson on his own on the way to a runaway Heisman victory. And Clemson has stayed true to form, getting past a tough Auburn team on the road. I'm intrigued by a lot of angles here: the revenge factor for Louisville, the revenge factor for Jackson personally, the fact that Louisville couldn't block anyone at the end of last year while Clemson sacked Auburn ELEVEN TIMES last week. The smart money seems to point to riding with Clemson until I have a reason not to. But I picked Louisville last year and and I don't regret it. I still believe in Lamar Jackson. Clem: 31--Lou: 34
Schweinfurth: Lamar Jackson is stating his case for a run at Archie Griffin's record. Seriously, the dude went for 6 total TDs and looked like a man among boys. It's time for his biggest test so far (if not biggest of the season). Can Louisville slow down Clemson's front 4. Auburn learned the hard way last week giving up 11(!) sacks. I'm pretty sure Jackson will be running for his life all game long. Louisville will score, just because Jackson is too dynamic. The Tiger defense is still just too good. Clemsoning Alert Meter for this game (1-10 Dabos): I say 2.5 Dabos. Clem: 35--Lou: 21
Seeberg: I'm not entirely sure what to make of this matchup. With Francois hurt at Florida State, the winner of this game is vaulted into solid favorite status to win the ACC. The Tigers have replaced basically all of their skill positions on offense, and it showed in a lackluster win against Auburn. However, they also held Auburn without a touchdown, and Louisville had a curious performance against the mighty (or not) Boilermakers, surrendering 28 points and needing a comeback in the fourth quarter. In short, I think the Clemson D will be the best unit on the field and hold Lamar Jackson in check enough to get another W. Clem: 31--Lou:--23
Tennessee Volunteers @ Florida Gators
Draper: Must see viewing eh? Orange colored poo and...orange colored poo. The Gators looked simply gross vs. the Wolverines. While we can talk about the Michigan defense (and they are pretty good), Florida hasn't put together a competent offense since Tebow. It's a little early for the Champions of Life to start their downward fall. We're still in the 'maybe this is the year they turn the corner' phase (at least until they play Bama. Playing in the Swamp is never easy, but I think even the Gator faithful are losing their faith. This used to be a marquee matchup, but now, it's just something to pass time until the real teams play. UT: 20 -- UF: 10
Hoying: *hurp* Sorry, I just threw up in my mouth a little. Yes, this is a ranked matchup, somehow, even though Florida's only showing this year was rolling over and dying against a Michigan team that was leading Cincinnati 17-14 in the second half at home last week. And the winner will be squarely in the driver's seat in the SEC East (with the loser ready to jump right ahead after the winner drops a few down the stretch). I'm hesitant to ever pick against Florida in this game (or ever believe in Tennessee for, well, anything), but I just can't believe that the Vols are incapable of outscoring...that. UT: 17--UF: 16
Schweinfurth: Even though both teams are ranked, this game is "meh" to me. Florida is awful and can't get out of their own way. Tennessee is still mediocre. Without going to far in depth, this game will be a derp-fest for the ages. UT: 13--UF: 6
Seeberg: Ah yes, the game that hearkens back to a time when orange-clad SEC teams reigned supreme (that would be the mid-to-late 90s for those of you who didn't know). In any event, I wouldn't expect this game to look a whole lot prettier than Florida's last effort against TTUN. The Vols defense isn't THAT good, but the Florida offense is SO bad that it probably won't matter. Silver lining? At least the Gators won't be ranked anymore by Monday. Now go find an actually entertaining game to watch. UT: 20--UF: 13
UCLA Bruins @ Memphis Tigers
Draper: When I asked my cobloggers for a 4th game, this is what came up...woof. While Hurricane Irma postponed the Noles and Canes, we get the Bruins and MORE Tigers. Honestly, no real clue about these teams except that Josh Rosen guy is pretty good. I'll ride with the Wizards of Westwood (seriously, they're travelling to Memphis?) UCLA: 38 -- Mem: 20
Hoying: Finally, the real marquee matchup of the week. Which UCLA do we get the see? The one that got pantsed by A&M in the first half or the one making Josh Rosen look like a god among men? Or both again? Well, probably the second. Yeah. UCLA: 45--Mem: 27
Schweinfurth: This game comes down to one player: Josh Rosen. He plays for UCLA and that's enough to pick the Bruins.
UCLA: 38--Mem: 21
Seeberg: Way to go, Bruins, scheduling one of those SUPER tough home and homes with a marquee program. Oh, wait a minute, this isn't basketball. Why is this game happening again? Your guess is as good as mine, but I guess a good(?) road win never hurt anybody. Bruins roll. UCLA: 49--Mem: 24
Army Black Knights @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: Guess what Buckeye Nation...this game is going to drive. you. crazy. I do believe that we'll see the offense get a little fat on the backs of the poor West Point defenders. Dobbins and Weber should both eclipse 100 and I wouldn't be shocked if JT does as well. I also expect 250 through the air and decent (not great offensive showing for the next 3 'get-right' weeks. The defensive side is going to be interesting. The good news is that Army has thrown 2 passes this year (2 FREAKING PASSES) so the defensive secondary should have to be too concerned with the air raid. But the option just plain sucks to defend. I can easily see Army running for 300+ yards and driving the Buckeye fans crazy as defenders look stupid. Here's a heads up, we're gonna look stupid sometimes because that's what the option does to defenses when run correctly. It's going to be very frustrating, but the Bucks win easy. Army: 17 -- OSU: 52
Hoying: After a lifeless effort in last year's playoff, the Ohio State coaches promised that this time...WOULD BE DIFFERENT! BUT IT'S NOT DIFFERENT AT ALL, IS IT, STEVE? Week 3 once again provides the Buckeye faithful with more questions than answers, and unfortunately this week will tell us nothing. Yeah, we'll probably run all over Army's defense, and yeah, they'll probably run all over us with their dang triple option, and we'll break a few more big ones than they do and that'll be the difference. It would be nice to see if JT and Zone Six could connect a few times this week against Army's limited secondary talent, or else the heat is really going to get turned up. Army: 14--OSU: 38
Schweinfurth: Why, oh why, do you schedule a service academy in the middle of the non-conference schedule (or ever really). Nothing good ever comes out of these games. Cut blocks are no joke and you have to prepare a special game plan just to stop the triple option. The defensive line is good, but they have to be patient or will get taken out of the play quickly. This game is really more about the offense for me. Dear coaching staff, you have two great RBs...GIVE THEM THE DAMN BALL!!! Let's see if the coaching staff learned their lesson from last week and actually tries to run some different, more creative plays. There is no longer any room for error. Buckeyes put up points, but this game is close at halftime. Army: 14--OSU: 28
Seeberg: The odd part about last week's effort is that it actually did provide the answers to the Buckeyes' offensive woes. Just hammer the ball with Dobbins, Weber, Barrett and Co. until they crowd the box, THEN try to throw. Using the pass to set up the pass (again) made no sense in week one and it made no sense in week two. I have no idea what Kevin Wilson is being paid but I'll gladly take 1/3 of his salary to call more running plays. In any event, I doubt this game will be a complete run away as Army's triple option will play keep away with the ball and drain the clock (to their benefit). The only question is whether or not ANYbody can run Urban's offense and feature the RB and not the QB run or the never-open short-to-intermediate passing routes. We won't find out until the B1G season gets going again, so let's just get this W, stay healthy, and move on. Army: 17--OSU: 38
Upset Special
Draper: CLANGA over LSU
Hoying: Texas over USC
Schweinfurth: Air Force over TTUN (Go Falcons)
Seeberg: Central Michigan over Syracuse
1. Draper (5-3, 0-2 upset)
1. Hoying (5-3, 0-2 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (4-4, 0-2 upset)
4. Seeberg (4-4, 0-2 upset)
Clemson Tigers @ Louisville Cardinals
Draper: I remember this as one of the biggest game of last year as Lamar Jackson invaded Death Valley and emerged defeated (likely because they fell asleep during Clemson's bus ride around the stadium). This game promises much of the same in my mind in terms of hype, but I'm not quite sold on the Cards this year. Yeah, the defending Champs lost their QB and a ton of talent to the NFL, but it appears they've reloaded and are ready to defend. Louisville has Lamar Jackson playing at a high level again but I don't know much about the rest of the team. Allowing Purdue to hang around until the end makes me question how they'll handle the Tigers. Papa Johns stadium has become a tougher place to play but the Cardinals simply don't have the horses. The Clemson Dline holds serve and the Tigers keep rolling on. Clem: 34 -- Lou: 24
Hoying: Last year's titanic struggle in Death Valley decided the course of the ACC Atlantic division, and ultimately the national championship. (Or so it seemed at the time. Louisville decided to sputter a bit down the stretch.) This year's matchup doesn't seem to have quite the hype and I'm not sure why. Lamar Jackson is still making special things happen for Louisville a year after he nearly beat Clemson on his own on the way to a runaway Heisman victory. And Clemson has stayed true to form, getting past a tough Auburn team on the road. I'm intrigued by a lot of angles here: the revenge factor for Louisville, the revenge factor for Jackson personally, the fact that Louisville couldn't block anyone at the end of last year while Clemson sacked Auburn ELEVEN TIMES last week. The smart money seems to point to riding with Clemson until I have a reason not to. But I picked Louisville last year and and I don't regret it. I still believe in Lamar Jackson. Clem: 31--Lou: 34
Schweinfurth: Lamar Jackson is stating his case for a run at Archie Griffin's record. Seriously, the dude went for 6 total TDs and looked like a man among boys. It's time for his biggest test so far (if not biggest of the season). Can Louisville slow down Clemson's front 4. Auburn learned the hard way last week giving up 11(!) sacks. I'm pretty sure Jackson will be running for his life all game long. Louisville will score, just because Jackson is too dynamic. The Tiger defense is still just too good. Clemsoning Alert Meter for this game (1-10 Dabos): I say 2.5 Dabos. Clem: 35--Lou: 21
Seeberg: I'm not entirely sure what to make of this matchup. With Francois hurt at Florida State, the winner of this game is vaulted into solid favorite status to win the ACC. The Tigers have replaced basically all of their skill positions on offense, and it showed in a lackluster win against Auburn. However, they also held Auburn without a touchdown, and Louisville had a curious performance against the mighty (or not) Boilermakers, surrendering 28 points and needing a comeback in the fourth quarter. In short, I think the Clemson D will be the best unit on the field and hold Lamar Jackson in check enough to get another W. Clem: 31--Lou:--23
Tennessee Volunteers @ Florida Gators
Draper: Must see viewing eh? Orange colored poo and...orange colored poo. The Gators looked simply gross vs. the Wolverines. While we can talk about the Michigan defense (and they are pretty good), Florida hasn't put together a competent offense since Tebow. It's a little early for the Champions of Life to start their downward fall. We're still in the 'maybe this is the year they turn the corner' phase (at least until they play Bama. Playing in the Swamp is never easy, but I think even the Gator faithful are losing their faith. This used to be a marquee matchup, but now, it's just something to pass time until the real teams play. UT: 20 -- UF: 10
Hoying: *hurp* Sorry, I just threw up in my mouth a little. Yes, this is a ranked matchup, somehow, even though Florida's only showing this year was rolling over and dying against a Michigan team that was leading Cincinnati 17-14 in the second half at home last week. And the winner will be squarely in the driver's seat in the SEC East (with the loser ready to jump right ahead after the winner drops a few down the stretch). I'm hesitant to ever pick against Florida in this game (or ever believe in Tennessee for, well, anything), but I just can't believe that the Vols are incapable of outscoring...that. UT: 17--UF: 16
Schweinfurth: Even though both teams are ranked, this game is "meh" to me. Florida is awful and can't get out of their own way. Tennessee is still mediocre. Without going to far in depth, this game will be a derp-fest for the ages. UT: 13--UF: 6
Seeberg: Ah yes, the game that hearkens back to a time when orange-clad SEC teams reigned supreme (that would be the mid-to-late 90s for those of you who didn't know). In any event, I wouldn't expect this game to look a whole lot prettier than Florida's last effort against TTUN. The Vols defense isn't THAT good, but the Florida offense is SO bad that it probably won't matter. Silver lining? At least the Gators won't be ranked anymore by Monday. Now go find an actually entertaining game to watch. UT: 20--UF: 13
UCLA Bruins @ Memphis Tigers
Draper: When I asked my cobloggers for a 4th game, this is what came up...woof. While Hurricane Irma postponed the Noles and Canes, we get the Bruins and MORE Tigers. Honestly, no real clue about these teams except that Josh Rosen guy is pretty good. I'll ride with the Wizards of Westwood (seriously, they're travelling to Memphis?) UCLA: 38 -- Mem: 20
Hoying: Finally, the real marquee matchup of the week. Which UCLA do we get the see? The one that got pantsed by A&M in the first half or the one making Josh Rosen look like a god among men? Or both again? Well, probably the second. Yeah. UCLA: 45--Mem: 27
Schweinfurth: This game comes down to one player: Josh Rosen. He plays for UCLA and that's enough to pick the Bruins.
UCLA: 38--Mem: 21
Seeberg: Way to go, Bruins, scheduling one of those SUPER tough home and homes with a marquee program. Oh, wait a minute, this isn't basketball. Why is this game happening again? Your guess is as good as mine, but I guess a good(?) road win never hurt anybody. Bruins roll. UCLA: 49--Mem: 24
Army Black Knights @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: Guess what Buckeye Nation...this game is going to drive. you. crazy. I do believe that we'll see the offense get a little fat on the backs of the poor West Point defenders. Dobbins and Weber should both eclipse 100 and I wouldn't be shocked if JT does as well. I also expect 250 through the air and decent (not great offensive showing for the next 3 'get-right' weeks. The defensive side is going to be interesting. The good news is that Army has thrown 2 passes this year (2 FREAKING PASSES) so the defensive secondary should have to be too concerned with the air raid. But the option just plain sucks to defend. I can easily see Army running for 300+ yards and driving the Buckeye fans crazy as defenders look stupid. Here's a heads up, we're gonna look stupid sometimes because that's what the option does to defenses when run correctly. It's going to be very frustrating, but the Bucks win easy. Army: 17 -- OSU: 52
Hoying: After a lifeless effort in last year's playoff, the Ohio State coaches promised that this time...WOULD BE DIFFERENT! BUT IT'S NOT DIFFERENT AT ALL, IS IT, STEVE? Week 3 once again provides the Buckeye faithful with more questions than answers, and unfortunately this week will tell us nothing. Yeah, we'll probably run all over Army's defense, and yeah, they'll probably run all over us with their dang triple option, and we'll break a few more big ones than they do and that'll be the difference. It would be nice to see if JT and Zone Six could connect a few times this week against Army's limited secondary talent, or else the heat is really going to get turned up. Army: 14--OSU: 38
Schweinfurth: Why, oh why, do you schedule a service academy in the middle of the non-conference schedule (or ever really). Nothing good ever comes out of these games. Cut blocks are no joke and you have to prepare a special game plan just to stop the triple option. The defensive line is good, but they have to be patient or will get taken out of the play quickly. This game is really more about the offense for me. Dear coaching staff, you have two great RBs...GIVE THEM THE DAMN BALL!!! Let's see if the coaching staff learned their lesson from last week and actually tries to run some different, more creative plays. There is no longer any room for error. Buckeyes put up points, but this game is close at halftime. Army: 14--OSU: 28
Seeberg: The odd part about last week's effort is that it actually did provide the answers to the Buckeyes' offensive woes. Just hammer the ball with Dobbins, Weber, Barrett and Co. until they crowd the box, THEN try to throw. Using the pass to set up the pass (again) made no sense in week one and it made no sense in week two. I have no idea what Kevin Wilson is being paid but I'll gladly take 1/3 of his salary to call more running plays. In any event, I doubt this game will be a complete run away as Army's triple option will play keep away with the ball and drain the clock (to their benefit). The only question is whether or not ANYbody can run Urban's offense and feature the RB and not the QB run or the never-open short-to-intermediate passing routes. We won't find out until the B1G season gets going again, so let's just get this W, stay healthy, and move on. Army: 17--OSU: 38
Upset Special
Draper: CLANGA over LSU
Hoying: Texas over USC
Schweinfurth: Air Force over TTUN (Go Falcons)
Seeberg: Central Michigan over Syracuse
Monday, September 11, 2017
Grading the Bucks: Week 2 -- Oklahoma
Buck Yuck. Let's get to it.
Offense: D+
Well, that was disappointing. JT has yet to show the improvement in accuracy, the receivers are still great athletes that can't get open, the running backs are fine but have cobwebs on them, and the Oline is suspect. Did that cover it all? Don't get me wrong, OU is a very good team, but the inept nature of this offense just should happen. I haven't figured out how the receivers as a group seem to be absolutely stagnant. They look completely unenthused. No effort in breaking to get open or continuing a play. It seems like they check in, run the route prescribed (sometimes), then simply sit down and watch. This leads to the immense vitriol on Mr. Barrett. I don't think he deserves the hate, but he does certainly need to improve his own game by quite a bit. Is the lack of a downfield passing game because: a) JT can't throw it, b) the receivers can't catch it/get open, c) the coaches don't call it because they don't like it, or d) the coaches don't call it because of a) and b). I tend to lean more to choices b and c (with a little a and d thrown in), but it would be nice just to give it a whirl once in a while. Need ten yards? You can bet we're getting some stupid swing pass to the boundary. I honestly don't know what JT is capable of because we never see it (maybe because the coaches know more) but if we trust these 'mega-recruit' receivers, wouldn't we be chucking it up a lot more? Notice, I didn't say much about the running backs...it's almost like I forgot about them....like our coaching staff.
Defense: C+
This unit is getting ripped every which way from Sunday, but I'll be honest, they exceeded my expectations for this game. The Sooner offense is very good and Mayfield is a top QB in the nation. Most of the secondary is in the NFL so I fully expected a point total in the 30s. They overachieved in that that staved off the Sooner attack pretty well until the end. Yes, they caught some breaks with turnovers and missed FGs, but they also created some of those breaks with hard hitting and a bend but don't break mentality. They certainly let up in the 2nd half, but the offense wasn't giving them anything to work with. The Dline was great as always, but the secondary showed their youth. The linebackers have been MIA this year as well. They'll improve over time, but this was a tough opponent for a secondary as green as this early in the year.
Special Teams: A-
Let's look on the bright side: the punting and field goal units looked great! I have no clue how Urban has recruited these punters when he traditionally punts less than most teams, but I'm liking what I see. Nuremburger was solid on FGs as well which is a welcome change. My only beef is an Urban staple of kicking off short attempting to start inside the 25 on defense. It's a risky strategy that hasn't worked out that well this year (in my opinion). OU started between the 30 and 40 with the potential of more far too often. Take the start at the 25 and move on.
Coaching: F
Herein lies my major beef with this game. I've seen little to no strides at wide receiver, quarterback, or offensive line in a few years which is a real issue. Also, when it comes to offensive gameplan, I have no clue what is happening. The spread offense loves the lateral pass, but not at the abandonment of everything downfield. We don't even attempt slant routes or go routes for that matter more than once a game...and they usually work (if the receivers could catch). At the very least, I'm willing to waste a down to expand the depth of the defense from time to time. Does anyone remember that we have 2 stellar backs? Dobbins and Weber were effective when they got the ball, but the amount of carries was almost nonexistent. Completely inexcusable when the downfield passing game is stagnant. I'm tired of nothing but stretch passes to the boundary and QB runs on every freaking play. They have value, but only when there is a little variety...AND WE HAVE THE WEAPONS TO PROVIDE VARIETY!! In fact, there are times when I yearn for the days of the walrus because he never forgot we had a running back. Many a steady dose of "Dave" is when this team needs--and our receivers may not be able to catch, but they can block their tails off. Defensively, the story is different with a new secondary every year. They need to scheme a little better for the checkdowns but that will come with time. My major issue is with the lack of any semblance of offensive identity and desire with this team. Senior QB, stud running backs, receivers who may not have started but played significant time last year...we should see more.
Overall: D-
The special teams saved the F, but there is work to do. I do remember the last time the Buckeyes lost their home opener, they hoisted the trophy in January. Many have said that was a different team, but after that VT loss, these same complaints reigned supreme 3 years ago. I have to have faith that things will improve. The next 3 games provide a lot of options to get better (although this week is going to be eminently frustrating for Buckeye Nation due to the option), but we need to start seeing development to come close to achieving our goals for the year.
Offense: D+
Well, that was disappointing. JT has yet to show the improvement in accuracy, the receivers are still great athletes that can't get open, the running backs are fine but have cobwebs on them, and the Oline is suspect. Did that cover it all? Don't get me wrong, OU is a very good team, but the inept nature of this offense just should happen. I haven't figured out how the receivers as a group seem to be absolutely stagnant. They look completely unenthused. No effort in breaking to get open or continuing a play. It seems like they check in, run the route prescribed (sometimes), then simply sit down and watch. This leads to the immense vitriol on Mr. Barrett. I don't think he deserves the hate, but he does certainly need to improve his own game by quite a bit. Is the lack of a downfield passing game because: a) JT can't throw it, b) the receivers can't catch it/get open, c) the coaches don't call it because they don't like it, or d) the coaches don't call it because of a) and b). I tend to lean more to choices b and c (with a little a and d thrown in), but it would be nice just to give it a whirl once in a while. Need ten yards? You can bet we're getting some stupid swing pass to the boundary. I honestly don't know what JT is capable of because we never see it (maybe because the coaches know more) but if we trust these 'mega-recruit' receivers, wouldn't we be chucking it up a lot more? Notice, I didn't say much about the running backs...it's almost like I forgot about them....like our coaching staff.
Defense: C+
This unit is getting ripped every which way from Sunday, but I'll be honest, they exceeded my expectations for this game. The Sooner offense is very good and Mayfield is a top QB in the nation. Most of the secondary is in the NFL so I fully expected a point total in the 30s. They overachieved in that that staved off the Sooner attack pretty well until the end. Yes, they caught some breaks with turnovers and missed FGs, but they also created some of those breaks with hard hitting and a bend but don't break mentality. They certainly let up in the 2nd half, but the offense wasn't giving them anything to work with. The Dline was great as always, but the secondary showed their youth. The linebackers have been MIA this year as well. They'll improve over time, but this was a tough opponent for a secondary as green as this early in the year.
Special Teams: A-
Let's look on the bright side: the punting and field goal units looked great! I have no clue how Urban has recruited these punters when he traditionally punts less than most teams, but I'm liking what I see. Nuremburger was solid on FGs as well which is a welcome change. My only beef is an Urban staple of kicking off short attempting to start inside the 25 on defense. It's a risky strategy that hasn't worked out that well this year (in my opinion). OU started between the 30 and 40 with the potential of more far too often. Take the start at the 25 and move on.
Coaching: F
Herein lies my major beef with this game. I've seen little to no strides at wide receiver, quarterback, or offensive line in a few years which is a real issue. Also, when it comes to offensive gameplan, I have no clue what is happening. The spread offense loves the lateral pass, but not at the abandonment of everything downfield. We don't even attempt slant routes or go routes for that matter more than once a game...and they usually work (if the receivers could catch). At the very least, I'm willing to waste a down to expand the depth of the defense from time to time. Does anyone remember that we have 2 stellar backs? Dobbins and Weber were effective when they got the ball, but the amount of carries was almost nonexistent. Completely inexcusable when the downfield passing game is stagnant. I'm tired of nothing but stretch passes to the boundary and QB runs on every freaking play. They have value, but only when there is a little variety...AND WE HAVE THE WEAPONS TO PROVIDE VARIETY!! In fact, there are times when I yearn for the days of the walrus because he never forgot we had a running back. Many a steady dose of "Dave" is when this team needs--and our receivers may not be able to catch, but they can block their tails off. Defensively, the story is different with a new secondary every year. They need to scheme a little better for the checkdowns but that will come with time. My major issue is with the lack of any semblance of offensive identity and desire with this team. Senior QB, stud running backs, receivers who may not have started but played significant time last year...we should see more.
Overall: D-
The special teams saved the F, but there is work to do. I do remember the last time the Buckeyes lost their home opener, they hoisted the trophy in January. Many have said that was a different team, but after that VT loss, these same complaints reigned supreme 3 years ago. I have to have faith that things will improve. The next 3 games provide a lot of options to get better (although this week is going to be eminently frustrating for Buckeye Nation due to the option), but we need to start seeing development to come close to achieving our goals for the year.
Friday, September 08, 2017
Week 2: A Night to Remember
Standings
1. Hoying (3-1, 0-1 upset)
2. Draper (2-2, 0-1 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (2-2, 0-1 upset)
4. Seeberg (2-2, 0-1 upset)
Auburn Tigers @ Clemson Tigers
Draper: Auburn has been one of those 'hot' teams in the off season but I'm not quite sold. I love how Clemson is playing the 'disrespect' card while sitting in the top 5. Clemson will be just fine but I don't know if they can surmount the Bama challenge again. But the Auburn challenge in Death Valley? Yeah, I think they'll be fine. Maybe Jarrett Stidham will return to his glory days at Baylor, but I think the Tigers (of Clemson) have more than enough firepower on both sides to take care of business. Aub: 17--Clem: 34
Hoying: How much talent can a team lose and stay elite? Asking for a friend. No Deshaun Watson, no Mike Williams...no problem. Dabo has built a consistent winner at Clemson, while Auburn has been a year of Cam Newton, a string of miracle finishes, and a load of mediocrity over the last decade. There's no more to this than meets the eye. Aub: 16--Clem: 27
Schweinfurth: I predict the Tigers will win this game. Not good enough? I have no love for either of these teams. Mostly because one is an overrated SEC team and the other likes to violate other teams (ask Curtis Samuel). Auburn hasn't been the all powerful offense since Cam Newton graduated. Even with the questions Clemson had on offence entering the year, the defense is still more than capable of carrying this team to the playoffs. Aub: 17--Clem: 28
Seeberg: I also laugh at the purported disrespect flying around Death Valley as Clemson sits in the top five. They are, begrudgingly, reloading year in and year out a la Bama and the Bucks. Meanwhile, Auburn is a solid squad considering it isn't even the best team in its own state and took Clemson to the brink of Clemsoning at home last year, but Death Valley will prove a different story. Aub: 13--Clem: 27
Georgia Bulldogs @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Draper: Is Notre Dame 'back'? Have we realized how stupid making those claims are as of yet? No Jacob Eason for the Dawgs seems like the Irish could be poised to pounce, but Nick Chubb and Sony Michel are still healthy. I don't think we're at the crash point for UGA yet so I'll roll with Kirby Smart for another week. UGA: 27--ND: 17
Hoying: Ah, the has-beens get a visit from the never-really-were. But for a late Amari Cooper TD to lifting Alabama over UGA in the 2012 SEC Championship game, this could've been a nice national championship matchup (because Alabama-Notre Dame sure as hell wasn't). This game won't get Georgia any closer to their first SEC title since 2005, but it would be a nice signature win for the young Kirby Smart era, no matter how much of a mirage Notre Dame turns out to be (again). Georgia can't lose their first visit north in 50 years (unless you count a visit to Colorado, which I don't), or else the other SEC teams will re-barricade themselves in Confederate territory until they finally add Ohio State and Michigan in the next round of expansion. UGA: 41--ND: 24
Schweinfurth: 1-0 over with the win being over a total mismatched team makes ND good again? Righhhht. This is a team coming off of a losing season and questions around Brian Kelly. Last I checked, Nick Chubb still has NCAA eligibility and he is really, really good. I will laugh as he has a monster day over a very overrated Irish team. UGA: 35--ND: 10
Seeberg: Intriguing matchup of recent underachieving teams...if only considered so by their rabid fan bases as the rest of the nation sees these programs as second-tier these days. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs are a class above the Golden Domers just about everywhere across the board (remember Nick Chubb? Yeah he's been there for like 17 years now). UGA pulls away in the second half. UGA: 38--ND: 20
Stanford Cardinal @ USC Trojans
Draper: USC was certainly tested (surprisingly?) by a resilient Western Michigan team while Stanford just steamrolled Rice in Australia. There's been an awful lot of love for the Cardinal, but I think the Trojans will be fine after a little growing pains. Sam Darnold may not be the second coming, but he'll pull things together in week 2. USC is like their fans and don't really get interested (somewhat) until a bigger game comes up so they'll be ready to go on Sat. Fight On. Stan: 30 -- USC: 37
Hoying: USC is back...again. Yeah, you can jump all over the Trojans for starting slowly last week, but at least they didn't get smoked by 46 like they did to open last season. USC has grown up and came of age on the big stage last year in Pasadena (no, not against UCLA). Unfortunately for them, Stanford has shown zero signs of slowing down, and the Cardinal smacked last year's Rose Bowl champs up in Palo Alto. Will another year of experience for star QB Sam Darnold and a change of venue make a difference? Nah. Stan: 21--USC: 20
Schweinfurth: So Sam Darnold for Heisman? Not so much. He looked absolutely average last week and USC barely squeaked by. Stanford has owned USC in this matchup because they play great defense and control the ball. David Shaw just has some voodoo curse over the Trojans. Darnold throws 2 picks again and the Cardinal win. Stan: 28--USC: 24
Seeberg: USC forgot to play for about 2.5 quarters last week so it's difficult to gauge just how good they might be. The talent is not in question, only their ability to gel cohesively. If they do, Darnold can still rip through the Pac-12 and hang out in New York for an important trophy presentation in a few months. If not? Well, the Cardinal will show us what that may look like on Saturday. Fight off. Stan: 34--USC: 24
Oklahoma Sooners @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: Do we get the repeat beatdown of last year, or are the chinks in the Buckeye Armor too much for a hot Sooner team? Last week was a fantastic benchmark test for the Buckeyes getting them up to game speed a little early while OU simply walked over the Little Sisters of the Poor. Baker Mayfield looked great last week, but doing that in the Shoe is another thing all together. I don't have faith that OU's defense will stop Barrett, Dobbins, Weber, and co., but by the same token, the Sooners will score. The hyped battle is OSU's D-line vs. the Sooner's O-line. I actually think the reverse may be more impactful to see if the OSU running game can get work done. The Sooners will have revenge on their minds, but the Buckeyes have their eyes on the prize. 4+ sacks for OSU enroute to high scoring victory. OU: 38 -- OSU: 41
Hoying: To win the big games, you need great players and/or great coaching. At what point do we face the harsh truth that Oklahoma doesn't really have either? Bud Elliott of SBNation has been tracking a stat he calls the "Blue Chip Ratio," or what percentage of a team's signees are 4 or 5 star recruits. If you're not above 50%, you're not winning a national championship. The Buckeyes are sitting pretty at 71%, while Oklahoma sits right around the top of the Big 12 at 45%. Yeah, Baker Mayfield is special, and the OU O Line is pretty good, but the Bucks can pretty much outclass them at every other position (yeah, maybe even wide receiver). And the Sooners are still breaking in a brand new coach who suddenly succeeded to the throne a few short months before the season started. When in doubt, pick the team with the better players and the better coach, especially when they're playing at home. The Buckeyes wore down Indiana in the second half, and the same will happen to Oklahoma. The Bucks exorcise some prime time non-conference home game demons (Texas, USC, Virginia Tech...). Even if this one does make me extremely nervous. OU: 27--OSU: 38
Schweinfurth: Last week I asked a bunch of questions and not many were answered. Yes, Paris Campbell and Johnnie Dixon hit some home runs, but Zone Six still can't take the top off a defense (yes, Paris should have caught the ball and it would have satisfied the requirement). The chart I saw showed only like two deep shots the entire game. It's understandable because the Hoosiers were giving up the mid-range routes, but you HAVE to hit one in this game. J.K. Dobbins is a beast and it will be good to have Weber back to take some of the load off the freshman. Defensively, the lack of experience showed last week, but adjustments were made. I think the Indiana WRs played over their skill set in the first half. Oklahoma won't run that tempo in the offense so the defensive backs should't be as gassed. The defensive line is as advertised. I think we see a repeat of last week. Oklahoma will move the ball in the first half, but adjustments will be made and the D-Line will take over. Dobbins and Weber combine for 150+ and JT throws for 300 again. Should be a fun one to watch. Go Bucks!
OU: 28--OSU: 31
Seeberg: OOOOOOOOOOklahoma where we forget that we have to play D. However, even that beleaguered half of the ball looked good for the Sooners against UTEP last week. Actually, several teams looked better than I'd hoped last week *cough Penn State cough* but alas, here we are with another huge early season matchup. Lincoln Riley is presumably the next "big thing" in coaching, but he already has the Oklahoma gig and there aren't too many any better. Will his brilliant play-calling win the day? Sure will...except it's a night game. By mid-second quarter last week our new offensive minds finally figured out that RUNNING to set up the pass is better than PASSING to set up the pass and it was a 35-7 second-half deluge on the Hoosiers. And hey, 45-24 worked well last year, why not again? Bucks big. OU: 24--OSU: 45
Upset Special
Draper: Cincinnati over Michigan
Hoying: Boise State over Washington State
Schweinfurth: Pitt over Penn St.
Seeberg: Western Michigan over Michigan State
1. Hoying (3-1, 0-1 upset)
2. Draper (2-2, 0-1 upset)
3. Schweinfuth (2-2, 0-1 upset)
4. Seeberg (2-2, 0-1 upset)
Auburn Tigers @ Clemson Tigers
Draper: Auburn has been one of those 'hot' teams in the off season but I'm not quite sold. I love how Clemson is playing the 'disrespect' card while sitting in the top 5. Clemson will be just fine but I don't know if they can surmount the Bama challenge again. But the Auburn challenge in Death Valley? Yeah, I think they'll be fine. Maybe Jarrett Stidham will return to his glory days at Baylor, but I think the Tigers (of Clemson) have more than enough firepower on both sides to take care of business. Aub: 17--Clem: 34
Hoying: How much talent can a team lose and stay elite? Asking for a friend. No Deshaun Watson, no Mike Williams...no problem. Dabo has built a consistent winner at Clemson, while Auburn has been a year of Cam Newton, a string of miracle finishes, and a load of mediocrity over the last decade. There's no more to this than meets the eye. Aub: 16--Clem: 27
Schweinfurth: I predict the Tigers will win this game. Not good enough? I have no love for either of these teams. Mostly because one is an overrated SEC team and the other likes to violate other teams (ask Curtis Samuel). Auburn hasn't been the all powerful offense since Cam Newton graduated. Even with the questions Clemson had on offence entering the year, the defense is still more than capable of carrying this team to the playoffs. Aub: 17--Clem: 28
Seeberg: I also laugh at the purported disrespect flying around Death Valley as Clemson sits in the top five. They are, begrudgingly, reloading year in and year out a la Bama and the Bucks. Meanwhile, Auburn is a solid squad considering it isn't even the best team in its own state and took Clemson to the brink of Clemsoning at home last year, but Death Valley will prove a different story. Aub: 13--Clem: 27
Georgia Bulldogs @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Draper: Is Notre Dame 'back'? Have we realized how stupid making those claims are as of yet? No Jacob Eason for the Dawgs seems like the Irish could be poised to pounce, but Nick Chubb and Sony Michel are still healthy. I don't think we're at the crash point for UGA yet so I'll roll with Kirby Smart for another week. UGA: 27--ND: 17
Hoying: Ah, the has-beens get a visit from the never-really-were. But for a late Amari Cooper TD to lifting Alabama over UGA in the 2012 SEC Championship game, this could've been a nice national championship matchup (because Alabama-Notre Dame sure as hell wasn't). This game won't get Georgia any closer to their first SEC title since 2005, but it would be a nice signature win for the young Kirby Smart era, no matter how much of a mirage Notre Dame turns out to be (again). Georgia can't lose their first visit north in 50 years (unless you count a visit to Colorado, which I don't), or else the other SEC teams will re-barricade themselves in Confederate territory until they finally add Ohio State and Michigan in the next round of expansion. UGA: 41--ND: 24
Schweinfurth: 1-0 over with the win being over a total mismatched team makes ND good again? Righhhht. This is a team coming off of a losing season and questions around Brian Kelly. Last I checked, Nick Chubb still has NCAA eligibility and he is really, really good. I will laugh as he has a monster day over a very overrated Irish team. UGA: 35--ND: 10
Seeberg: Intriguing matchup of recent underachieving teams...if only considered so by their rabid fan bases as the rest of the nation sees these programs as second-tier these days. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs are a class above the Golden Domers just about everywhere across the board (remember Nick Chubb? Yeah he's been there for like 17 years now). UGA pulls away in the second half. UGA: 38--ND: 20
Stanford Cardinal @ USC Trojans
Draper: USC was certainly tested (surprisingly?) by a resilient Western Michigan team while Stanford just steamrolled Rice in Australia. There's been an awful lot of love for the Cardinal, but I think the Trojans will be fine after a little growing pains. Sam Darnold may not be the second coming, but he'll pull things together in week 2. USC is like their fans and don't really get interested (somewhat) until a bigger game comes up so they'll be ready to go on Sat. Fight On. Stan: 30 -- USC: 37
Hoying: USC is back...again. Yeah, you can jump all over the Trojans for starting slowly last week, but at least they didn't get smoked by 46 like they did to open last season. USC has grown up and came of age on the big stage last year in Pasadena (no, not against UCLA). Unfortunately for them, Stanford has shown zero signs of slowing down, and the Cardinal smacked last year's Rose Bowl champs up in Palo Alto. Will another year of experience for star QB Sam Darnold and a change of venue make a difference? Nah. Stan: 21--USC: 20
Schweinfurth: So Sam Darnold for Heisman? Not so much. He looked absolutely average last week and USC barely squeaked by. Stanford has owned USC in this matchup because they play great defense and control the ball. David Shaw just has some voodoo curse over the Trojans. Darnold throws 2 picks again and the Cardinal win. Stan: 28--USC: 24
Seeberg: USC forgot to play for about 2.5 quarters last week so it's difficult to gauge just how good they might be. The talent is not in question, only their ability to gel cohesively. If they do, Darnold can still rip through the Pac-12 and hang out in New York for an important trophy presentation in a few months. If not? Well, the Cardinal will show us what that may look like on Saturday. Fight off. Stan: 34--USC: 24
Oklahoma Sooners @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: Do we get the repeat beatdown of last year, or are the chinks in the Buckeye Armor too much for a hot Sooner team? Last week was a fantastic benchmark test for the Buckeyes getting them up to game speed a little early while OU simply walked over the Little Sisters of the Poor. Baker Mayfield looked great last week, but doing that in the Shoe is another thing all together. I don't have faith that OU's defense will stop Barrett, Dobbins, Weber, and co., but by the same token, the Sooners will score. The hyped battle is OSU's D-line vs. the Sooner's O-line. I actually think the reverse may be more impactful to see if the OSU running game can get work done. The Sooners will have revenge on their minds, but the Buckeyes have their eyes on the prize. 4+ sacks for OSU enroute to high scoring victory. OU: 38 -- OSU: 41
Hoying: To win the big games, you need great players and/or great coaching. At what point do we face the harsh truth that Oklahoma doesn't really have either? Bud Elliott of SBNation has been tracking a stat he calls the "Blue Chip Ratio," or what percentage of a team's signees are 4 or 5 star recruits. If you're not above 50%, you're not winning a national championship. The Buckeyes are sitting pretty at 71%, while Oklahoma sits right around the top of the Big 12 at 45%. Yeah, Baker Mayfield is special, and the OU O Line is pretty good, but the Bucks can pretty much outclass them at every other position (yeah, maybe even wide receiver). And the Sooners are still breaking in a brand new coach who suddenly succeeded to the throne a few short months before the season started. When in doubt, pick the team with the better players and the better coach, especially when they're playing at home. The Buckeyes wore down Indiana in the second half, and the same will happen to Oklahoma. The Bucks exorcise some prime time non-conference home game demons (Texas, USC, Virginia Tech...). Even if this one does make me extremely nervous. OU: 27--OSU: 38
Schweinfurth: Last week I asked a bunch of questions and not many were answered. Yes, Paris Campbell and Johnnie Dixon hit some home runs, but Zone Six still can't take the top off a defense (yes, Paris should have caught the ball and it would have satisfied the requirement). The chart I saw showed only like two deep shots the entire game. It's understandable because the Hoosiers were giving up the mid-range routes, but you HAVE to hit one in this game. J.K. Dobbins is a beast and it will be good to have Weber back to take some of the load off the freshman. Defensively, the lack of experience showed last week, but adjustments were made. I think the Indiana WRs played over their skill set in the first half. Oklahoma won't run that tempo in the offense so the defensive backs should't be as gassed. The defensive line is as advertised. I think we see a repeat of last week. Oklahoma will move the ball in the first half, but adjustments will be made and the D-Line will take over. Dobbins and Weber combine for 150+ and JT throws for 300 again. Should be a fun one to watch. Go Bucks!
OU: 28--OSU: 31
Seeberg: OOOOOOOOOOklahoma where we forget that we have to play D. However, even that beleaguered half of the ball looked good for the Sooners against UTEP last week. Actually, several teams looked better than I'd hoped last week *cough Penn State cough* but alas, here we are with another huge early season matchup. Lincoln Riley is presumably the next "big thing" in coaching, but he already has the Oklahoma gig and there aren't too many any better. Will his brilliant play-calling win the day? Sure will...except it's a night game. By mid-second quarter last week our new offensive minds finally figured out that RUNNING to set up the pass is better than PASSING to set up the pass and it was a 35-7 second-half deluge on the Hoosiers. And hey, 45-24 worked well last year, why not again? Bucks big. OU: 24--OSU: 45
Upset Special
Draper: Cincinnati over Michigan
Hoying: Boise State over Washington State
Schweinfurth: Pitt over Penn St.
Seeberg: Western Michigan over Michigan State
Monday, September 04, 2017
Grading the Bucks: Week 1--Indiana
We are all miserable people. I'll be honest, there were some moments in the first half where I caught myself being miserable. "Why did he throw it away? How'd he miss that block? Can anyone cover Cobbs?" This was certainly not the prettiest game of all time, but it was just fine for a season opener. I have heard more whining and complaining these past few days than normal in Columbus. JT sucks, the receivers suck, the secondary sucks, get rid of the coaches, blah blah blah. Many is Buckeye Nation will call me an apologist but let's get real.
1) USC was in a dogfight with Western Michigan at home
2) Texas got straight up beat by an inferior Maryland squad
3) Washington farted around with Rutgers
4) Louisville and the reigning Heisman winner had to fend off Purdue.
5) South Florida struggled with Stony Brook.
6) Baylor lost to an abstract construct.
7) UNLV fell in the greatest upset of all time against a guy named Howard
...but JT didn't complete every pass and Indiana crossed the 50...
I will dissect the Buckeyes game (briefly) and I will knock some of the issues we absolutely had, but we beat a decent (not great, but decent--I'd say 6-7 wins but the schedule is tough) IU squad at home, at night, in one of the biggest games in their history BY 28 FREAKING POINTS. Honestly, this is a coach's dream game. Comfortable win, some adversity, no turnovers, plenty of teachable moments.
Offense: B
While my intro defended JT a great deal, this was not the performance I was hoping for. It wasn't a bad performance like everyone would have you believe, but I was hoping for more. I think the main issue is his absolute aversion to turnovers. Don't get me wrong, that's a great thing...but you need to take some risks and he's still hesitant. It will (should?!?) come as the year progresses, but I was hoping to see a little more Brett Favre gunslinging (by the way, if he does start taking risks, I'm going to go ballistic when he gets skewered for throwing a pick or two). Also, stop arguing that the passing yards are mostly YAC. JT just needs to loosen up on a few deep balls a game and we'll be fine. The athletes at wide receiver aren't Calvin Johnsons, they're Percy Harvins (YAC type receivers). JT is built for that. On the "hey, that's cool" side, meet J.K. Dobbins. What a welcome debut in Bloomington. I wish he didn't have to break so many tackles, but I like the fact he did it. The big question is what's up with Weber. I really don't think he'll be Wally Pipped, but the talking heads have anointed Dobbins as the second coming. Don't forget how freakishly good Mike Weber was/is. I would not be surprised in the slightest for a 60-40 Weber split in touches next week (and that's ok). The biggest problem is sharing the load with all this talent. With regard to the receivers, we saw the entire gamut. Paris Campbell really fast and good and Paris Campbell dropsy drop. The halftime adjustments saw these guys getting many more touches in the second half with 10 yard passes...and that's JT's specialty. Keep feeding them and they'll be fine...but don't drop perfectly throw bombs...your QB needs credit for those.
Defense: B+
Again, definitely things to clean up, but not a bad first outing. The secondary is a green as...something that is really green (grass is too lame) and they got better as the game progressed. Also, Simmie Cobbs is really freaking good (might be the best receiver we face in the regular season). The defensive line was as good as advertised and will just be a nightmare for teams all year. There were a few miscommuncation plays but that's expected early on. I heard the broadcast (and Buckeye twitter) wondering how Lagow was throwing into tight windows so why can't JT? Just remember that Lagow also threw 2 picks. That's the trade off. Be careful what you wish for (to restate, I would like a little more risk, but not as much as most....there is a delicate balance). I would be remiss if I didn't mention one of the greatest plays of all time (that didn't count). Take a bow Robert Landers. That's a Touchdown in my eyes.
Special Teams: B+
No missed PATs, No missed FGs, no fumbled punts (woot), no kickoffs out of bounds (also woot). I'm still concerned with the risk reward of kicking short and attempting to pin people inside the 25. It works a lot, but is that extra 5 yards worth it when they break a decent return every once in a while. I'm more conservative on the kickoff and prefer to boot it into the endzone every time. I recall IU had a good return once, but it was a few days ago. Overall, nothing stands out on special teams, which is usually a good thing (take note FSU).
Coaching: B
Nice debut for the new offensive coaches. Not perfect, but nice. I thought the halftime adjustments on both sides of the ball were fantastic which is a real testament to the talent on the coaching roster. Kevin Wilson didn't go into a shell when things weren't working, but he tweaked until he found something that worked. Defensive coaches seemed to see the man defense wasn't super hot in the first half so threw in some more zone later. There were still some growing pains there, but outscoring an opponent 36-7 in the second half shows the dedication to training and concept. Still want more progress from JT but it was a ok for game one with these receivers. The decisions to go on 4th down were both correct decisions but the little jet sweep to Hill was a very curious playcall. I'm glad Urban still knows basic math, but the play call on 4th and short should be a simple one. They got cute and it cost them.
Overall: B+
Once again, 28 point win on the road, at night, in a hostile (sort of) environment (more than a normal IU game) in the first game of the season vs. a decent team with nothing to lose. Buckeyes weren't uber sharp and there are certainly gaps to fill, but I'm happy we had a real test for these young freshman. Oklahoma was trotting up and down the field last week, but I don't think they learned anything or got better last week. Indiana provided a chance for the Buckeyes to get better and get fired up for one of the 3 biggest games on their calendar. Game 1 to Game 2 usually yields the most improvement and I'm pumped for next week.
1) USC was in a dogfight with Western Michigan at home
2) Texas got straight up beat by an inferior Maryland squad
3) Washington farted around with Rutgers
4) Louisville and the reigning Heisman winner had to fend off Purdue.
5) South Florida struggled with Stony Brook.
6) Baylor lost to an abstract construct.
7) UNLV fell in the greatest upset of all time against a guy named Howard
...but JT didn't complete every pass and Indiana crossed the 50...
I will dissect the Buckeyes game (briefly) and I will knock some of the issues we absolutely had, but we beat a decent (not great, but decent--I'd say 6-7 wins but the schedule is tough) IU squad at home, at night, in one of the biggest games in their history BY 28 FREAKING POINTS. Honestly, this is a coach's dream game. Comfortable win, some adversity, no turnovers, plenty of teachable moments.
Offense: B
While my intro defended JT a great deal, this was not the performance I was hoping for. It wasn't a bad performance like everyone would have you believe, but I was hoping for more. I think the main issue is his absolute aversion to turnovers. Don't get me wrong, that's a great thing...but you need to take some risks and he's still hesitant. It will (should?!?) come as the year progresses, but I was hoping to see a little more Brett Favre gunslinging (by the way, if he does start taking risks, I'm going to go ballistic when he gets skewered for throwing a pick or two). Also, stop arguing that the passing yards are mostly YAC. JT just needs to loosen up on a few deep balls a game and we'll be fine. The athletes at wide receiver aren't Calvin Johnsons, they're Percy Harvins (YAC type receivers). JT is built for that. On the "hey, that's cool" side, meet J.K. Dobbins. What a welcome debut in Bloomington. I wish he didn't have to break so many tackles, but I like the fact he did it. The big question is what's up with Weber. I really don't think he'll be Wally Pipped, but the talking heads have anointed Dobbins as the second coming. Don't forget how freakishly good Mike Weber was/is. I would not be surprised in the slightest for a 60-40 Weber split in touches next week (and that's ok). The biggest problem is sharing the load with all this talent. With regard to the receivers, we saw the entire gamut. Paris Campbell really fast and good and Paris Campbell dropsy drop. The halftime adjustments saw these guys getting many more touches in the second half with 10 yard passes...and that's JT's specialty. Keep feeding them and they'll be fine...but don't drop perfectly throw bombs...your QB needs credit for those.
Defense: B+
Again, definitely things to clean up, but not a bad first outing. The secondary is a green as...something that is really green (grass is too lame) and they got better as the game progressed. Also, Simmie Cobbs is really freaking good (might be the best receiver we face in the regular season). The defensive line was as good as advertised and will just be a nightmare for teams all year. There were a few miscommuncation plays but that's expected early on. I heard the broadcast (and Buckeye twitter) wondering how Lagow was throwing into tight windows so why can't JT? Just remember that Lagow also threw 2 picks. That's the trade off. Be careful what you wish for (to restate, I would like a little more risk, but not as much as most....there is a delicate balance). I would be remiss if I didn't mention one of the greatest plays of all time (that didn't count). Take a bow Robert Landers. That's a Touchdown in my eyes.
Special Teams: B+
No missed PATs, No missed FGs, no fumbled punts (woot), no kickoffs out of bounds (also woot). I'm still concerned with the risk reward of kicking short and attempting to pin people inside the 25. It works a lot, but is that extra 5 yards worth it when they break a decent return every once in a while. I'm more conservative on the kickoff and prefer to boot it into the endzone every time. I recall IU had a good return once, but it was a few days ago. Overall, nothing stands out on special teams, which is usually a good thing (take note FSU).
Coaching: B
Nice debut for the new offensive coaches. Not perfect, but nice. I thought the halftime adjustments on both sides of the ball were fantastic which is a real testament to the talent on the coaching roster. Kevin Wilson didn't go into a shell when things weren't working, but he tweaked until he found something that worked. Defensive coaches seemed to see the man defense wasn't super hot in the first half so threw in some more zone later. There were still some growing pains there, but outscoring an opponent 36-7 in the second half shows the dedication to training and concept. Still want more progress from JT but it was a ok for game one with these receivers. The decisions to go on 4th down were both correct decisions but the little jet sweep to Hill was a very curious playcall. I'm glad Urban still knows basic math, but the play call on 4th and short should be a simple one. They got cute and it cost them.
Overall: B+
Once again, 28 point win on the road, at night, in a hostile (sort of) environment (more than a normal IU game) in the first game of the season vs. a decent team with nothing to lose. Buckeyes weren't uber sharp and there are certainly gaps to fill, but I'm happy we had a real test for these young freshman. Oklahoma was trotting up and down the field last week, but I don't think they learned anything or got better last week. Indiana provided a chance for the Buckeyes to get better and get fired up for one of the 3 biggest games on their calendar. Game 1 to Game 2 usually yields the most improvement and I'm pumped for next week.
Wednesday, August 30, 2017
Week 1: On the Road Again
Yes, it sucks to start the season on the road, but just be thankful Kevin Wilson's reunion tour with the Scarlet and Gray isn't kicking off with one of those neutral-site abominations plaguing the remainder of the sport this week.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Florida Gators
Draper: Well, this game is my personal hell. No clue what to expect here. Michigan came out firing on all cylinders last year but all those studs are in the NFL now. I truly believe they are supremely overrated....but...Florida seems to be the definition of mediocrity this year (and the recent past). I don't think the Wolverines can make a statement for the CFP this year, they do have a returning QB who was pretty good last year and a coach that just seems to get results (maybe because his players are scared he'll eat them). I'll lean Michigan just barely as their uniforms blind the Gators. UM: 24--UF: 20
Hoying: I wish I could write something intelligent about this game but Michigan refuses to release their roster and Florida won't name a starting QB. So I'll have to say something mindless instead. Did you see those new uniforms that the Maize and...well, Maize are wearing this Saturday? On the positive side, I don't think they'll burn out my eyes like UM's awful yellow-on-yellow b-ball jerseys, but this one's going to be ugly. And it could be a blowout, too. UM: 20--UF: 10
Schweinfurth: The headline for this game should be "Have you seen what TTUN is wearing?" This could be one of the worst uniforms ever (and I bet they break them out against the Buckeyes too). I really don't know what to expect from either team. Florida is suspending everyone and TTUN lost a ton of talent last year. Don't let Harbooger fool you, Speight will start and lead the offense to a one score win, making TTUN even more overrated than they already are. UM: 21--UF: 17
Seeberg: Ugh, this is the college football equivalent of the Mayweather-McGregor fight where I hoped the pay-per-view cut out completely and both guys lost because neither got paid (admit it, you would've laughed your arse off if that happened). At any rate, TTUN rolls their uniforms in cat urine and trots down south to take on the Gators. I don't expect it to be a particularly pretty matchup as the Wolverines are replacing about as many starters as OSU was last year while Florida is, well, Florida: Very good defense, middling offense, expectations always just a notch or two above any realistic outcomes. Malik Zaire actually gives them a credible QB threat...if he starts over highly touted freshman Feleipe Franks. Either way there won't be a lot of points, which is just how both teams prefer it. In crunch time, I have to go with a proven commodity at QB and Speight makes just enough plays to, sadly, pull it out for the maize and more maize. UM: 20--UF: 16
Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: Bama has been starting with a big boy for the past few years (USC, PSU, etc.), but this is a real challenge. The Noles are primed to make a run this year, but it can come crashing down (sort of) in week 1. Honestly, this game is a perfect scenario for both teams. The winner vaults to number 1 and is a prohibitive favorite for the playoff and the loser...is still right there in the running. I wonder what kind of strides DeAndre Francois and the Noles have made this offseason. Beating last year's UM team in the Orange Bowl was a nice feather in their cap, but Bama is a juggernaut that seems to be unstoppable (unless your name is Dabo). Definitely a little heart in this pick, but I'll call for the upset. Bama is a factory, but they have to run a little lower on talent when their roster is playing on Sundays, right...RIGHT!?! Either way, I just hope it's not the traditional early season stomp by the Tide. Go Noles! FSU: 31--Bama: 27
Hoying: The other day, I was listening to the good people at 97.1 The Fan try to list their top coaches of college football today. After the obvious top two (Nick and Urban), they filled out the second tier with Chris Petersen and Dabo Swinney, notably placing Jimbo Fisher somewhere down the line. It's hard to argue with recent results, with Clemson going to 2 straight national championships and claiming a win over Alabama. Florida State now has a golden opportunity to make a statement and regain their status as standard-bearer for the ACC. Can they do it? Probably not. Alabama has shown no signs of slowing down, they excel on the big stage, and they are pissed after gagging away a possible second straight national title. Florida State has lost the bulk of their receiving corps and their dynamic running back, Dalvin Cook. The good news for the Noles is that nobody on the committee will hold this loss against them (just don't get wrecked by 46 like USC did last year). FSU: 24--Bama: 31
Schweinfurth: Oh look, Bama playing a marquee matchup at a neutral site. Heaven forbid Saban actually has to play on someone else's home field. DeAndre Francois looked like a solid first year QB last season. Jalen Hurts on the other hand looked like a dynamic runner but throwing the ball was an issue. Yes, 'Bama reload every year, blah blah blah. So do the 'Noles. I'm excited for this game as it should be much better then the last few kickoff games. I got the 'Noles giving Saban two (!) losses in a row. FSU: 27--Bama: 24
Seeberg: Make no mistake about this game kids, Alabama is the better football team. There is a caveat, however. Both have sophomore star-in-the-making QBs hoping to take a big leap forward this season. Both lost a truckload of talent to the NFL. However, Jalen Hurts is the less-skilled of the two QBs and he is forced to learn a new, NFL-complicated offense. If this game were in about week 6 or later, it would be at least a two-possession win for the Tide, but right now, JUST right now, I trust the Seminoles a tad more. FSU: 27--Bama: 20
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: And now we come to the 'oh yeah, there's other games happening' portion. The crazy coach often comes out the victor Harbaugh, Saban, Fisher, Dabo, etc. and they don't get much crazier that Dana Holgorson. West Virginia will come out trying to drop a hundo but the lunch pail defense will prevent that....but not enough to win. Burn those couches as WVU gets an early jump on that 8-4 record (don't worry Hokies, you'll get there too) WVU: 48--VT: 38
Hoying: Is it mid-October yet? No? Then I don't see West Virginia's annual slide starting anytime soon. WVU: 44--VT: 31
Schweinfurth: I don't know what to think of this game. I saw some pundits picking Virginia Tech as a sleeper (sounds like basketball). Bud Foster can give teams nightmares but I don't think VaTech has the offense to keep up. WVU: 45--VT: 35
Seeberg: Despite Bud Foster still being at the defensive helm for the Hokies, this isn't your older brother's Frank Beamer Va Tech team. They can score it, and score it relatively often. Unfortunately, recruiting is down in Blacksburg and Foster isn't getting the premium talent he had during Beamer Ball's heyday. Meanwhile, West Virginia is getting offensive talent from everywhere...and scoring was never really an issue there anyhow. Expect the antithesis of the UM-Fla game (read: actually fun to watch) with the Mountaineers pulling away late. WVU: 48--VT: 33
THE Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers
Draper: I'm really excited about this year's Buckeye squad, particularly under center. I truly believe that having actual live QB Coaches and offensive coordinators will do wonders for JT. The Hoosiers simply won't be the same with one of their more successful coaches of the past 20 years now championing the OSU offense. The speed offense and short passing game is what JT's (and quite frankly, Urban's) offense is designed for, and Kevin Wilson runs it extremely well. Here's hoping Ryan Day improved JT's mechanics and we should see fireworks. Let's not forget how studly Mike Weber was last year not to mention some criminally under-utilized receiving corps talent. While so far I've only mentioned offense, the defense (particularly the line) should be the bread and butter of this team. Bosa, Hubbard, Sprinkle, Lewis, Jones, and Holmes will likely all be playing on Sundays in the near future. The front seven is loaded but there are a few question marks in the secondary. IU actual provides a really nice tune up for the Sooners. I don't anticipate this to be close. The Buckeyes are hungry after last year's embarrassment. Time to suit up. OSU: 59--IU: 10
Hoying: So, what do you do if you're Indiana? What is there to do when your offensive wizard of a coach is chased out after restoring your program to a semblance of respectability? Come roaring back with a new defensive identity. Unfortunately, it probably won't matter when the team you're facing has picked up that offensive wizard to call plays for them. The Buckeye O, while more or less effective over the last two seasons, has slowed a bit since JT's sensational freshman campaign, and their championship chances will largely rest on his development over his final year under Coach Wilson's steady hand. Having some competent receivers might not be a bad idea, either. OSU: 52--IU: 24
Schweinfurth: So many questions coming into this game: What will the offense look like? Can J.T. complete an intermediate pass? Can the receivers get open down field? What will the secondary look like? Can a Buckeye kicker make a damn field goal? Will there be a kickoff out of bounds in this game? (The answer to the last one is yes). The addition of Kevin Wilson and Ryan Day to the offensive staff can't be overlooked. It's been 2 years since J.T. had an actual QB coach and his mechanics and reads should be much better. I am worried about rotating 6 receivers. It almost sounds like the coaching staff is saying, "We don't know who is going to step up so everyone plays." The D-line play will be fun to watch. Schiano changed up the defensive front a bit so expect more sacks and domination up front. Ohio State will win this game, but we really need some of those questions answered. OSU: 49--IU: 28
Seeberg: Okay, I saved the jubilation for here, but COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS (INSERT FAVORITE EXPLETIVE OR STRING OF EXPLETIVES HERE) BACK!!! Despite the name on the opponent's jersey (and the laughable resume that accompanies it) this is quite the intriguing matchup. The Hoosiers offense has given the Buckeyes fits in recent years, keeping games close despite a wide talent disparity between the two programs except, somehow, at running back where Hoosier alum Tevin Coleman is currently running amok in the NFL akin to Zeke. However, the alleged mastermind of said offense now works for the scarlet and gray. Oops. Yes the Buckeyes have a lot of weaknesses, like a secondary made up of...yeah, if you're reading this you don't know either. But the front 4/6/19 studs that rotate in and out will wreak havoc upon opposing QBs so even if receivers are getting open they won't have the time to find them. I expect a bit of rust, a bit of adrenaline, and, most importantly, a dominant OL and DL. With those two pieces, everything else has a way of *cough 2014 cough* falling into place. Enjoy everyone, Buckeye football is upon us again! OSU: 45--IU: 17
Upset Special
Draper: App State over Georgia
Hoying: Rutgers over Washington
Schweinfurth: Georgia Tech over Tenn
Seeberg: Youngstown State over Pitt
Michigan Wolverines vs. Florida Gators
Draper: Well, this game is my personal hell. No clue what to expect here. Michigan came out firing on all cylinders last year but all those studs are in the NFL now. I truly believe they are supremely overrated....but...Florida seems to be the definition of mediocrity this year (and the recent past). I don't think the Wolverines can make a statement for the CFP this year, they do have a returning QB who was pretty good last year and a coach that just seems to get results (maybe because his players are scared he'll eat them). I'll lean Michigan just barely as their uniforms blind the Gators. UM: 24--UF: 20
Hoying: I wish I could write something intelligent about this game but Michigan refuses to release their roster and Florida won't name a starting QB. So I'll have to say something mindless instead. Did you see those new uniforms that the Maize and...well, Maize are wearing this Saturday? On the positive side, I don't think they'll burn out my eyes like UM's awful yellow-on-yellow b-ball jerseys, but this one's going to be ugly. And it could be a blowout, too. UM: 20--UF: 10
Schweinfurth: The headline for this game should be "Have you seen what TTUN is wearing?" This could be one of the worst uniforms ever (and I bet they break them out against the Buckeyes too). I really don't know what to expect from either team. Florida is suspending everyone and TTUN lost a ton of talent last year. Don't let Harbooger fool you, Speight will start and lead the offense to a one score win, making TTUN even more overrated than they already are. UM: 21--UF: 17
Seeberg: Ugh, this is the college football equivalent of the Mayweather-McGregor fight where I hoped the pay-per-view cut out completely and both guys lost because neither got paid (admit it, you would've laughed your arse off if that happened). At any rate, TTUN rolls their uniforms in cat urine and trots down south to take on the Gators. I don't expect it to be a particularly pretty matchup as the Wolverines are replacing about as many starters as OSU was last year while Florida is, well, Florida: Very good defense, middling offense, expectations always just a notch or two above any realistic outcomes. Malik Zaire actually gives them a credible QB threat...if he starts over highly touted freshman Feleipe Franks. Either way there won't be a lot of points, which is just how both teams prefer it. In crunch time, I have to go with a proven commodity at QB and Speight makes just enough plays to, sadly, pull it out for the maize and more maize. UM: 20--UF: 16
Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: Bama has been starting with a big boy for the past few years (USC, PSU, etc.), but this is a real challenge. The Noles are primed to make a run this year, but it can come crashing down (sort of) in week 1. Honestly, this game is a perfect scenario for both teams. The winner vaults to number 1 and is a prohibitive favorite for the playoff and the loser...is still right there in the running. I wonder what kind of strides DeAndre Francois and the Noles have made this offseason. Beating last year's UM team in the Orange Bowl was a nice feather in their cap, but Bama is a juggernaut that seems to be unstoppable (unless your name is Dabo). Definitely a little heart in this pick, but I'll call for the upset. Bama is a factory, but they have to run a little lower on talent when their roster is playing on Sundays, right...RIGHT!?! Either way, I just hope it's not the traditional early season stomp by the Tide. Go Noles! FSU: 31--Bama: 27
Hoying: The other day, I was listening to the good people at 97.1 The Fan try to list their top coaches of college football today. After the obvious top two (Nick and Urban), they filled out the second tier with Chris Petersen and Dabo Swinney, notably placing Jimbo Fisher somewhere down the line. It's hard to argue with recent results, with Clemson going to 2 straight national championships and claiming a win over Alabama. Florida State now has a golden opportunity to make a statement and regain their status as standard-bearer for the ACC. Can they do it? Probably not. Alabama has shown no signs of slowing down, they excel on the big stage, and they are pissed after gagging away a possible second straight national title. Florida State has lost the bulk of their receiving corps and their dynamic running back, Dalvin Cook. The good news for the Noles is that nobody on the committee will hold this loss against them (just don't get wrecked by 46 like USC did last year). FSU: 24--Bama: 31
Schweinfurth: Oh look, Bama playing a marquee matchup at a neutral site. Heaven forbid Saban actually has to play on someone else's home field. DeAndre Francois looked like a solid first year QB last season. Jalen Hurts on the other hand looked like a dynamic runner but throwing the ball was an issue. Yes, 'Bama reload every year, blah blah blah. So do the 'Noles. I'm excited for this game as it should be much better then the last few kickoff games. I got the 'Noles giving Saban two (!) losses in a row. FSU: 27--Bama: 24
Seeberg: Make no mistake about this game kids, Alabama is the better football team. There is a caveat, however. Both have sophomore star-in-the-making QBs hoping to take a big leap forward this season. Both lost a truckload of talent to the NFL. However, Jalen Hurts is the less-skilled of the two QBs and he is forced to learn a new, NFL-complicated offense. If this game were in about week 6 or later, it would be at least a two-possession win for the Tide, but right now, JUST right now, I trust the Seminoles a tad more. FSU: 27--Bama: 20
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: And now we come to the 'oh yeah, there's other games happening' portion. The crazy coach often comes out the victor Harbaugh, Saban, Fisher, Dabo, etc. and they don't get much crazier that Dana Holgorson. West Virginia will come out trying to drop a hundo but the lunch pail defense will prevent that....but not enough to win. Burn those couches as WVU gets an early jump on that 8-4 record (don't worry Hokies, you'll get there too) WVU: 48--VT: 38
Hoying: Is it mid-October yet? No? Then I don't see West Virginia's annual slide starting anytime soon. WVU: 44--VT: 31
Schweinfurth: I don't know what to think of this game. I saw some pundits picking Virginia Tech as a sleeper (sounds like basketball). Bud Foster can give teams nightmares but I don't think VaTech has the offense to keep up. WVU: 45--VT: 35
Seeberg: Despite Bud Foster still being at the defensive helm for the Hokies, this isn't your older brother's Frank Beamer Va Tech team. They can score it, and score it relatively often. Unfortunately, recruiting is down in Blacksburg and Foster isn't getting the premium talent he had during Beamer Ball's heyday. Meanwhile, West Virginia is getting offensive talent from everywhere...and scoring was never really an issue there anyhow. Expect the antithesis of the UM-Fla game (read: actually fun to watch) with the Mountaineers pulling away late. WVU: 48--VT: 33
THE Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers
Draper: I'm really excited about this year's Buckeye squad, particularly under center. I truly believe that having actual live QB Coaches and offensive coordinators will do wonders for JT. The Hoosiers simply won't be the same with one of their more successful coaches of the past 20 years now championing the OSU offense. The speed offense and short passing game is what JT's (and quite frankly, Urban's) offense is designed for, and Kevin Wilson runs it extremely well. Here's hoping Ryan Day improved JT's mechanics and we should see fireworks. Let's not forget how studly Mike Weber was last year not to mention some criminally under-utilized receiving corps talent. While so far I've only mentioned offense, the defense (particularly the line) should be the bread and butter of this team. Bosa, Hubbard, Sprinkle, Lewis, Jones, and Holmes will likely all be playing on Sundays in the near future. The front seven is loaded but there are a few question marks in the secondary. IU actual provides a really nice tune up for the Sooners. I don't anticipate this to be close. The Buckeyes are hungry after last year's embarrassment. Time to suit up. OSU: 59--IU: 10
Hoying: So, what do you do if you're Indiana? What is there to do when your offensive wizard of a coach is chased out after restoring your program to a semblance of respectability? Come roaring back with a new defensive identity. Unfortunately, it probably won't matter when the team you're facing has picked up that offensive wizard to call plays for them. The Buckeye O, while more or less effective over the last two seasons, has slowed a bit since JT's sensational freshman campaign, and their championship chances will largely rest on his development over his final year under Coach Wilson's steady hand. Having some competent receivers might not be a bad idea, either. OSU: 52--IU: 24
Schweinfurth: So many questions coming into this game: What will the offense look like? Can J.T. complete an intermediate pass? Can the receivers get open down field? What will the secondary look like? Can a Buckeye kicker make a damn field goal? Will there be a kickoff out of bounds in this game? (The answer to the last one is yes). The addition of Kevin Wilson and Ryan Day to the offensive staff can't be overlooked. It's been 2 years since J.T. had an actual QB coach and his mechanics and reads should be much better. I am worried about rotating 6 receivers. It almost sounds like the coaching staff is saying, "We don't know who is going to step up so everyone plays." The D-line play will be fun to watch. Schiano changed up the defensive front a bit so expect more sacks and domination up front. Ohio State will win this game, but we really need some of those questions answered. OSU: 49--IU: 28
Seeberg: Okay, I saved the jubilation for here, but COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS (INSERT FAVORITE EXPLETIVE OR STRING OF EXPLETIVES HERE) BACK!!! Despite the name on the opponent's jersey (and the laughable resume that accompanies it) this is quite the intriguing matchup. The Hoosiers offense has given the Buckeyes fits in recent years, keeping games close despite a wide talent disparity between the two programs except, somehow, at running back where Hoosier alum Tevin Coleman is currently running amok in the NFL akin to Zeke. However, the alleged mastermind of said offense now works for the scarlet and gray. Oops. Yes the Buckeyes have a lot of weaknesses, like a secondary made up of...yeah, if you're reading this you don't know either. But the front 4/6/19 studs that rotate in and out will wreak havoc upon opposing QBs so even if receivers are getting open they won't have the time to find them. I expect a bit of rust, a bit of adrenaline, and, most importantly, a dominant OL and DL. With those two pieces, everything else has a way of *cough 2014 cough* falling into place. Enjoy everyone, Buckeye football is upon us again! OSU: 45--IU: 17
Upset Special
Draper: App State over Georgia
Hoying: Rutgers over Washington
Schweinfurth: Georgia Tech over Tenn
Seeberg: Youngstown State over Pitt
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