Stats
1. Schweinfurth 9-3 (3-0 upset)
2. Draper 7-5 (1-2 upset--stupid kickers!! 2 weeks in a row!)
3. Hoying 6-6 (1-2 upset)
4. Auer 4-4 (0-2 upset)
Clemson Tigers @ Florida State Seminoles
Draper: This is a big time game in Tallahassee. The expectations are enormous as FSU has a fairly simple schedule. Getting by Clemson would be huge for the national title hopes of the Noles. Thus far, the Noles have been essentially perfect against subpar competition. Clemson has monster speed and superstars at the skill positions. Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins are explosive, but I expect the stout Nole defense led by Bjoern Werner to shut the door. EJ Manuel becomes firmly entrenched in the Heisman race with a big emotional win at home. Clem: 17--FSU: 31
Auer: FSU's first real test. So far they have been BEYOND impressive and annihilated each of their opponents thus far. Clemson has talent, but their O-line is very young and probably won't give Boyd the protection necessary to make it a good game. The 'Noles will look to make a statement! Clem: 16--FSU: 45
Hoying: It's not the Bowden Bowl anymore, but the stakes have rarely been higher. The Noles have been getting fat off of a steady diet of Little Sisters of the Poor, and America is waiting for a real test of whether Florida State is really back. Clemson looks to take the inside track to a second consecutive ACC title. No one else in the ACC looks at all competent, especially after last weekend's poor showing, so the winner here could make a decent run at a 13-0 record and a title game berth. So who wins? Florida State has looked disgusting on defense, and Clemson star QB Tajh Boyd will not have the level of success he enjoyed in last year's tilt. Don't look for another shutout, but the Noles will give an A-level performance as they stay in the lottery to get annihilated by Alabama. Clem: 13--FSU: 27
Schweinfurth: This is the game where we find out if The Seminoles are for real or not. Clemson has some serious firepower on offense with Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins. FSU's defense has been stout so far, but it really hasn't been tested so far. The domination of Wake Forest is one thing but this Clemson team is another. Clemson will get some points but E.J. Manuel will have the 'Noles' offense rolling as well. Clemson will keep it close, but Florida State's D wins this one for Noles. Clem: 20--FSU: 31
Michigan Wolverines @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Draper: Who's back? Michigan got slaughtered in week 1, but pretty much every team in the nation would have been embarrassed in that game. Notre Dame was very impressive in East Lansing over a tough (yet always flaky) Sparty. Revenge will be on the minds of the Irish for the shootout last year which will let Michigan take an early lead. The special part of this Irish team is the defense. It's no 'world-beater', but it's a much improved crew led by Mante T'eo. The Wolverines defense on the other hand...bad. Notre Dame beats the Irish and the echoes begin to awaken. UM: 24--ND: 34
Auer: I love being the only guy to hate a team so much I'll (almost) never pick them to win. This series has been highlighted by 3 straight upsets, and ND has yet to find a way to contain Denard. Notre Dame made a statement in East Lansing, and will look to avenge last year's loss in The Big House, but will fall short as the Heisman hype is rekindled for Shoelace. UM: 38--ND: 37
Hoying: Notre Dame concludes its B1G tour with the big kahuna. After scraping by Purdue and embarrassing Michigan State, the Irish have worked their way into the BCS at-large discussion, while Michigan is still looking for a little respect heading into, let's face it, a soft Big Ten slate. I maintain that the Wolverines are still the best squad in the conference (barf) and the dynamic Denard will have a much better chance moving the ball on a surprisingly good Irish defense than the plodding, predictable Spartan attack. If only they had the defense to match. Notre Dame's high-powered attack will be just enough to outscore Meeeeechigan as the B1G continues to suck. UM: 27--ND:28
Schweinfurth: The Big Ten needs this game. After looking like a second tier conference against some Pac-12 foes, UM can send a statement that the B1G isn't all terrible. After watching Notre Dame dismantle MSU last week, Michigan has a rough climb ahead. Michigan will need a big game from Denard, but I just don't see that happening. I expect Denard to launch a few ducks again this week and, this time, it will be different. There is no Junior Hemingway to bail Robinson out this year. UM: 14--ND: 35
Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners
Draper: Is this the shocker of the week? Last year, Collin Klein led the wildcats to a sneaky good season. Bill Snyder showed that 'old people, while slow and dangerous behind the wheel, still serve a purpose'. The Sooners have limped out of the gate, but they usually get up for the big games at home. Landry Jones has a nice steady performance that, while not flashy, will win the game. Klein will also have a sneaky good game to make it much closer than people expect...and no one will care because it's KSU. KSU: 27--OU:31
Auer: I don't know a lick about either team, but I do remember that KSU seems to be in the habit of getting a pretty high-up in the rankings, and then running up against real competition. Enter Oklahoma. Look for Whaley and Williams to overpower a yet-to-be-tested Wildcat defense. KSU: 9--OU: 45
Hoying: RGIII jump-started his Heisman campaign with a big performance against the Sooners, and Wildcat QB Collin Klein is talented enough to start down the same path with a victory in Norman. Klein should run all over a soft Oklahoma run defense, but will the Wildcat defense be able to contain Landry Jones and the Oklahoma passing attack? Bill Snyder will be working his geezer magic, but Big-Game Bob Stoops doesn't lose games like this at home. Sorry, Kansas State. Enjoy another almost great year. KSU: 30--OU: 38
Schweinfurth: The Wildcats are ranked (mostly because there are no good middle tier teams this year) and are off to a good start this year. Oklahoma is one of the few "good" this year and is much better than Kansas State. I don't expect a close one, but Bill Snyder always gets his teams up for games. KSU: 13--OU: 35
UAB Blazers @ THE Ohio State University Buckeyes
Draper: Maybe this is the game I expected last week because UAB is TERRIBLE. There are no excuses this week. This absolutely has to be a solid blow out. The secondary needs to get to tackling fundamentals, and Miller needs to become more consistent. The offense looked confused last week and that can't happen. This is a tune-up to the B1G opener at MSU so I hope Urban puts the hammer down. Note to defensive players not named Roby, Simon, or Hankins: GET BETTER! UAB: 10--OSU: 51
Auer: I had the distinct benefit of NOT watching last week's game, so I'm assuming everything is a-okay in Buckeye land and Urban will have the troops ready to punish the Blazers.... btw, what the heck is a Blazer? Is their mascot a dress jacket? The Bucks shouldn't have any trouble in this one, and every back-up should get some meaningful playing time. UAB: 10--OSU: 43
Hoying: This Buckeye squad needs to watch some 2002 game film of Mike Doss, so they can learn to WRAP PEOPLE UP. Last week featured an unacceptable defensive outing against a bad Cal squad, with linebackers bouncing off third-string running backs and DB's covering big empty zones between receivers. The good news is an effort like that can still beat UAB. The bad news is that this offense is going to have to become Michigan if the Buckeyes are going to outscore anyone else this year. One more chance to find a balanced offense, Bucks. Otherwise, we can sit back and wait to see how long it takes for Braxton to break in half. UAB: 13--OSU: 31
Schweinfurth: Tackling should be the name of the game this week. The linebackers and safeties of OSU (specifically Shazier and Bryant) need to stop going for kill shots and just tackle guys. I think we will see guys get pulled if this doesn't happen for a series or two. On offense, I expect that Braxton will take about 10 runs and continue to work on the passing game. UAB scores a TD late but this is a blowout from the start. UAB: 13--OSU: 56
Upset Special
Draper: Missouri over South Carolina
Auer: Virginia over TCU
Hoying: Oregon State over UCLA
Schweinfurth: Temple over Penn State
Thursday, September 20, 2012
Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Grading the Bucks--Week 3: Cal
This was a sloppy sloppy game. OSU has some major issues to fix on BOTH sides of the ball. Cal is straight up bad. This shouldn't have been close and the Bears had a late lead. This is unacceptable. The lack of fundamentals and maturity is concerning. A win is a win, but this isn't good enough to win down the road (although the B1G is a train wreck). I gave a pass for UCF as I think they have talent. With Cal, no excuses.
Offense: C-
The loss of Hyde was painfully apparent. There was no clear running threat on the inside which certainly hurt Braxton's ability to both run and throw. There were some sparks (Miller's run was incredibly well executed), but more issues than there should have been. Miller still looks tentative and indecisive throwing the ball. The interception was just atrocious; 10 seconds in the pocket and he threw it right to a wide open corner. The horror of that play wipes out the explosive run in my book. The WRs let Braxton down in the first, but stepped up later--when Braxton started missing big. Nevada and Southern Utah had no issues scoring...yet we couldn't consistently move the chains...ouch. The yards are nice to look at, but the lack of a consistent offensive gameplan is a major sticking point.
Defense: D+
Cal....Cal for God's sake. Fundamentals were horrendous by 8 of the defenders. Missed tackles abounded. Note to Curtis Grant: when you finally get on the field, you probably shouldn't leave a steaming pile of crap in your wake if you want more playing time. Spielman had to be punching a hole through the concrete wall watching this defense. Our secondary spends more time trying to line a guy up and blow him into the next zip code than fundamental tackling. I'm really questioning if Travis Howard knows proper tackling technique as every hit is geared at making Sportscenter (even if he doesn't bring the ball carrier down). I would be remiss if I didn't applaud the perform of 3 individuals: Jon Simon was double teamed all game and he still affected the outcome, Jon Hankins absolute controls the middle of that line, and Bradley Roby had a spectacular game. Beyond those 3, this defense has major major issues.
Special Teams:C-
Missed PAT...enough said. It almost cost us the game. Punting/returns were fine, but can't have a failure in the kicking game like that.
Coaching: C
The offensive and defensive gameplans were bland. Still no throws downfield early to stretch the defense (but Braxton is clearly iffy with the deep ball). The loss of Hyde should have seen more Zach Boren pounding the rock inside but we saw none of that. Hall still had some tentative running after the injury. Defensively, I'm more frustrated with the lack of fundamental tackling than gameplan. 5 sacks show that the D-line is starting to affect the game, but the secondary isn't improving (other than Roby).
Overall: C-
Get. Better.
Offense: C-
The loss of Hyde was painfully apparent. There was no clear running threat on the inside which certainly hurt Braxton's ability to both run and throw. There were some sparks (Miller's run was incredibly well executed), but more issues than there should have been. Miller still looks tentative and indecisive throwing the ball. The interception was just atrocious; 10 seconds in the pocket and he threw it right to a wide open corner. The horror of that play wipes out the explosive run in my book. The WRs let Braxton down in the first, but stepped up later--when Braxton started missing big. Nevada and Southern Utah had no issues scoring...yet we couldn't consistently move the chains...ouch. The yards are nice to look at, but the lack of a consistent offensive gameplan is a major sticking point.
Defense: D+
Cal....Cal for God's sake. Fundamentals were horrendous by 8 of the defenders. Missed tackles abounded. Note to Curtis Grant: when you finally get on the field, you probably shouldn't leave a steaming pile of crap in your wake if you want more playing time. Spielman had to be punching a hole through the concrete wall watching this defense. Our secondary spends more time trying to line a guy up and blow him into the next zip code than fundamental tackling. I'm really questioning if Travis Howard knows proper tackling technique as every hit is geared at making Sportscenter (even if he doesn't bring the ball carrier down). I would be remiss if I didn't applaud the perform of 3 individuals: Jon Simon was double teamed all game and he still affected the outcome, Jon Hankins absolute controls the middle of that line, and Bradley Roby had a spectacular game. Beyond those 3, this defense has major major issues.
Special Teams:C-
Missed PAT...enough said. It almost cost us the game. Punting/returns were fine, but can't have a failure in the kicking game like that.
Coaching: C
The offensive and defensive gameplans were bland. Still no throws downfield early to stretch the defense (but Braxton is clearly iffy with the deep ball). The loss of Hyde should have seen more Zach Boren pounding the rock inside but we saw none of that. Hall still had some tentative running after the injury. Defensively, I'm more frustrated with the lack of fundamental tackling than gameplan. 5 sacks show that the D-line is starting to affect the game, but the secondary isn't improving (other than Roby).
Overall: C-
Get. Better.
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
Week 3 Picks--Another snoozefest
Stats
1. Schweinfurth 7-1 (2-0 upset)
2. Draper 6-2 (1-1 upset--because PSU missed 4 FGs and a PAT!!!)
3. Hoying 5-3 (1-1 upset)
4. Auer 3-1 (0-1 upset really 1-0 because Tyler stole mine and deleted it :-))
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: This is the year. It's time for the Spartans to finally take the B1G. OSU can't so this is their only shot. I know this isn't a B1G game, but MSU is a really good team. They only need to NOT remember that they're Sparty. Notre Dame had an explosive win in week 1 and were able to pull off a tough win behind 10 year old Tommy Rees against upset minded Purdue, but the Spartans are a different animal. Le'veon Bell and William Gholston make mincemeat of the Irish in East Lansing and win by 2 scores. ND: 16--MSU: 27
Auer: Brian Kelly is a sack of crap and karma will help make sure the Golden Domers go down in flames in this great rivalry. 9 of the last 12 ND-MSU games have been decided by single digits, and this will be no different. The old addage: "when you've got two quarterbacks, you don't have one" will hold true this day as Kelly will flip-flop again and put in Tommy Rees to seal the deal for the Spartans. ND: 19--MSU: 23
Hoying: Back to reality for the Fighting Irish. In all fairness, the Purdue team Notre Dame scraped by last week isn't as deserving of the initials P U as some other recent Boilermaker squads, but a true road game against an elite opponent is more than the Irish can handle. The Spartan defense is probably (almost definitely) the best the B1G has to offer, spelling doom for whoever ends up taking the snaps for the golden domers. Sparty moves into the national title discussion with a big win. ND: 13--MSU: 28
Schweinfurth: This is a big test for the Irish and for Sparty. Michigan St. has plenty of questions in the passing game and Le'Veon Bell can only take the Spartan offense so far. Michigan State's defense is probably the best Notre Dame will see until USC and will be an excellent test for Brain Kelly's offense. I expect Sparty to come out and blow the Irish off the ball and set the tone for an impressive performance. This one will not need a fake field goal to win it. ND: 17--MSU 28
USC Trojans @ Stanford Cardinal
Draper: While this is a matchup of ranked teams, I expect a monster blowout. The Trojans were said to be a little shaky on the road vs. Syracuse, but the weather had a lot to do with that. Stanford has no reason to be ranked as Andrew Luck is in the NFL. It's not in the friendly confines of the Coliseum, but the Torjans are simply better. SC took a 3OT loss to Andrew Luck last year and look forward to serving their revenge on Saturday. USC: 51--Stanford: 13
Auer: Classless Lane Kiffin will be looking for his Trojan squad to make a statement against the annual thorn-in-the-side Cardinal. USC struggled a bit to shutdown Syracuse, but Matt Barkley was once again stellar and will continue to pile up votes for the Heisman Trophy. By the way, Andrew Luck plays on Sundays now... sorry Stanford. USC: 68--Stanford: 23
Hoying: Which Stanford is going to show up? The one that squeaked by San Jose State or the one that thrashed Duke? USC's defense has been a little suspect for a title contender, but this only becomes a problem if your opponent has a viable weapon. With no Andrew Luck slinging the football and no John (Jim? John? Jim.) Jim Harbaugh calling the plays, this figures to be an easy win for Lane and Co. USC: 38--Stanford: 10
Schweinfurth: The Cardinal is ranked, but without Andrew Luck this just isn't the same team. USC has too much fire power on offense and can be down right explosive at times. I expect a lot of Barkley to Woods with a little bit of Silas Redd as the cherry on top. This one isn't close. USC: 45--Stan: 10
Florida Gators @ Tennessee Volunteers
Draper: I love what I've seen so far from the Vols. The Gators looked pretty good in the 2nd half of the TAMU game but the Aggies had a new QB in his first start. Tyler Bray has looked pretty good. Going with the Orange Power in Knoxville. Derek Dooley tries to ruin the game, but the Gators turn the ball over at the end sealing a statement win for Mike Stewart and the Vols. UF: 17--UT: 23
Auer: I had no idea Tennessee was even relevant again until I saw that ESPN College GameDay was going to Knoxville. Florida has two wins that have warmed them up well for this match-up, and should mean an easy win. This is UT's first real test, and I'm calling for the upset here as the Gators will be caught with a hangover after last week's big win in College Station. UF: 24--UT: 26
Hoying: The Gators may be better than I previously gave them credit for. Winning at Kyle Field is not an easy task, and Florida will not be intimidated by the atmosphere in Knoxville. Yet, the Gators still have not found a passing game, and Tennessee QB Tyler Bray will be all over an untested Gator secondary. One....two three four five. Man, them Gators gonna take a dive. UF: 13--UT: 30
Schweinfurth: Talent wise, I think the Gators are just the better team and it will show. I get the feeling that the Gators will use the big second half at TAMU last week and build off of it. Tennessee will hang with Florida but this will be a fairly low scoring game. UF: 17--UT: 10
California Golden Bears @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: This could (and should) get ugly. UCF was a decent opponent, but Cal (while in a BCS conference) is a punching bag. I hope the coaches listen to me and stopping running Braxton so much. The return of Jordan Hall happens at the perfect time with Hyde banged up. This is a game the B1G absolutely needs and should get easily. Cal will get a score or two, but the offense absolutely needs to go nuts. Urban's boys roll. Cal: 13--OSU: 51
Auer: This preview will be just as exciting as the game... not worth your $75. The Buckeyes will annihilate there ONLY BCS opponent in the "pre-season". Contrary to my fellow posters: no amount of points by the Buckeyes will help the Big Ten's image, nor discounting that the Bucks lost to the only good Pac 10 opponent they played in the last 30 years, plus this team is so bad that we don't need to worry about being down to our 3rd RB. Cal: 13--OSU: 56
Hoying: Just what the doctor ordered for the B1G: a home game against a bunch of hippies from a top conference. This is the same Cal team that had trouble putting away Southern Utah last week. The Silver Bullets looked slightly less than sharp against UCF, and the secondary will continue to struggle against a decent Cal attack, but good, sweet, crap, this offense should not be stopped. Time to try a balanced offense and give Braxton a freaking break. Fun fact: Ohio State hasn't lost at home to a team from the Pac-12 other than USC since 1982 (12 straight). Cal: 20--OSU: 48
Schweinfurth: I have a few alarm bells going off with this one. The Buckeyes are down to the bottom two running backs (assuming Jordan Hall is out again) and the defense has looked anything but dominating. Add in that the B1G has had trouble with the Pac-12 this year and this game could be a little unsettling. The good news is, Cal is not good. Urban met with all the coaches Sunday and, hopefully, lit a fire under their seats. I expect a much cleaner game with the Buckeyes finding a way to keep Braxton to under 15 rushes this week. Keenan Allen will get a touchdown or two, but the Bucks keep rolling on. Cal: 17-OSU: 63
Upset Special
Draper: Utah State over Wisconsin (everyone will have this one...)
Auer: UT over Florida
Hoying: North Carolina over Louisville
Schweinfurth: Utah over BYU
1. Schweinfurth 7-1 (2-0 upset)
2. Draper 6-2 (1-1 upset--because PSU missed 4 FGs and a PAT!!!)
3. Hoying 5-3 (1-1 upset)
4. Auer 3-1 (0-1 upset really 1-0 because Tyler stole mine and deleted it :-))
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: This is the year. It's time for the Spartans to finally take the B1G. OSU can't so this is their only shot. I know this isn't a B1G game, but MSU is a really good team. They only need to NOT remember that they're Sparty. Notre Dame had an explosive win in week 1 and were able to pull off a tough win behind 10 year old Tommy Rees against upset minded Purdue, but the Spartans are a different animal. Le'veon Bell and William Gholston make mincemeat of the Irish in East Lansing and win by 2 scores. ND: 16--MSU: 27
Auer: Brian Kelly is a sack of crap and karma will help make sure the Golden Domers go down in flames in this great rivalry. 9 of the last 12 ND-MSU games have been decided by single digits, and this will be no different. The old addage: "when you've got two quarterbacks, you don't have one" will hold true this day as Kelly will flip-flop again and put in Tommy Rees to seal the deal for the Spartans. ND: 19--MSU: 23
Hoying: Back to reality for the Fighting Irish. In all fairness, the Purdue team Notre Dame scraped by last week isn't as deserving of the initials P U as some other recent Boilermaker squads, but a true road game against an elite opponent is more than the Irish can handle. The Spartan defense is probably (almost definitely) the best the B1G has to offer, spelling doom for whoever ends up taking the snaps for the golden domers. Sparty moves into the national title discussion with a big win. ND: 13--MSU: 28
Schweinfurth: This is a big test for the Irish and for Sparty. Michigan St. has plenty of questions in the passing game and Le'Veon Bell can only take the Spartan offense so far. Michigan State's defense is probably the best Notre Dame will see until USC and will be an excellent test for Brain Kelly's offense. I expect Sparty to come out and blow the Irish off the ball and set the tone for an impressive performance. This one will not need a fake field goal to win it. ND: 17--MSU 28
USC Trojans @ Stanford Cardinal
Draper: While this is a matchup of ranked teams, I expect a monster blowout. The Trojans were said to be a little shaky on the road vs. Syracuse, but the weather had a lot to do with that. Stanford has no reason to be ranked as Andrew Luck is in the NFL. It's not in the friendly confines of the Coliseum, but the Torjans are simply better. SC took a 3OT loss to Andrew Luck last year and look forward to serving their revenge on Saturday. USC: 51--Stanford: 13
Auer: Classless Lane Kiffin will be looking for his Trojan squad to make a statement against the annual thorn-in-the-side Cardinal. USC struggled a bit to shutdown Syracuse, but Matt Barkley was once again stellar and will continue to pile up votes for the Heisman Trophy. By the way, Andrew Luck plays on Sundays now... sorry Stanford. USC: 68--Stanford: 23
Hoying: Which Stanford is going to show up? The one that squeaked by San Jose State or the one that thrashed Duke? USC's defense has been a little suspect for a title contender, but this only becomes a problem if your opponent has a viable weapon. With no Andrew Luck slinging the football and no John (Jim? John? Jim.) Jim Harbaugh calling the plays, this figures to be an easy win for Lane and Co. USC: 38--Stanford: 10
Schweinfurth: The Cardinal is ranked, but without Andrew Luck this just isn't the same team. USC has too much fire power on offense and can be down right explosive at times. I expect a lot of Barkley to Woods with a little bit of Silas Redd as the cherry on top. This one isn't close. USC: 45--Stan: 10
Florida Gators @ Tennessee Volunteers
Draper: I love what I've seen so far from the Vols. The Gators looked pretty good in the 2nd half of the TAMU game but the Aggies had a new QB in his first start. Tyler Bray has looked pretty good. Going with the Orange Power in Knoxville. Derek Dooley tries to ruin the game, but the Gators turn the ball over at the end sealing a statement win for Mike Stewart and the Vols. UF: 17--UT: 23
Auer: I had no idea Tennessee was even relevant again until I saw that ESPN College GameDay was going to Knoxville. Florida has two wins that have warmed them up well for this match-up, and should mean an easy win. This is UT's first real test, and I'm calling for the upset here as the Gators will be caught with a hangover after last week's big win in College Station. UF: 24--UT: 26
Hoying: The Gators may be better than I previously gave them credit for. Winning at Kyle Field is not an easy task, and Florida will not be intimidated by the atmosphere in Knoxville. Yet, the Gators still have not found a passing game, and Tennessee QB Tyler Bray will be all over an untested Gator secondary. One....two three four five. Man, them Gators gonna take a dive. UF: 13--UT: 30
Schweinfurth: Talent wise, I think the Gators are just the better team and it will show. I get the feeling that the Gators will use the big second half at TAMU last week and build off of it. Tennessee will hang with Florida but this will be a fairly low scoring game. UF: 17--UT: 10
California Golden Bears @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: This could (and should) get ugly. UCF was a decent opponent, but Cal (while in a BCS conference) is a punching bag. I hope the coaches listen to me and stopping running Braxton so much. The return of Jordan Hall happens at the perfect time with Hyde banged up. This is a game the B1G absolutely needs and should get easily. Cal will get a score or two, but the offense absolutely needs to go nuts. Urban's boys roll. Cal: 13--OSU: 51
Auer: This preview will be just as exciting as the game... not worth your $75. The Buckeyes will annihilate there ONLY BCS opponent in the "pre-season". Contrary to my fellow posters: no amount of points by the Buckeyes will help the Big Ten's image, nor discounting that the Bucks lost to the only good Pac 10 opponent they played in the last 30 years, plus this team is so bad that we don't need to worry about being down to our 3rd RB. Cal: 13--OSU: 56
Hoying: Just what the doctor ordered for the B1G: a home game against a bunch of hippies from a top conference. This is the same Cal team that had trouble putting away Southern Utah last week. The Silver Bullets looked slightly less than sharp against UCF, and the secondary will continue to struggle against a decent Cal attack, but good, sweet, crap, this offense should not be stopped. Time to try a balanced offense and give Braxton a freaking break. Fun fact: Ohio State hasn't lost at home to a team from the Pac-12 other than USC since 1982 (12 straight). Cal: 20--OSU: 48
Schweinfurth: I have a few alarm bells going off with this one. The Buckeyes are down to the bottom two running backs (assuming Jordan Hall is out again) and the defense has looked anything but dominating. Add in that the B1G has had trouble with the Pac-12 this year and this game could be a little unsettling. The good news is, Cal is not good. Urban met with all the coaches Sunday and, hopefully, lit a fire under their seats. I expect a much cleaner game with the Buckeyes finding a way to keep Braxton to under 15 rushes this week. Keenan Allen will get a touchdown or two, but the Bucks keep rolling on. Cal: 17-OSU: 63
Upset Special
Draper: Utah State over Wisconsin (everyone will have this one...)
Auer: UT over Florida
Hoying: North Carolina over Louisville
Schweinfurth: Utah over BYU
Monday, September 10, 2012
Grading the Bucks--Week 2 UCF
Many were frustrated with the 15 point win against the Golden Knights, but I would posit that UCF was the 4-5 toughest opponent on our schedule. With that being said, there are still many issues that need to be worked out. I think the game was better than most starry-eyed Buckeye fans thought, but this is not a world beater of a team. It's a very good team, but not elite...yet.
Offense: B
The Knights made Braxton put on a show to beat them which is not what OSU needed. I still firmly believe that the backs are being criminally under-utilized. Braxton has learned the safe underneath throws, but he needs to be able to challenge the safeties deep to keep the secondary honest (the interception was just gross). I haven't seen enough of that which will lead to some jumped routes against a better team. Receiver execution was good enough. The run-blocking (both the line and the second level blocking of the receivers) has been fantastic. This appears to be our strength which is why I'm confused that we don't run a little more. Finally, the dynamism of Miller's running ability is unquestioned...but he cannot tote the rock that often. His 'ouchy' nature will catch up with us if we don't start to take it easy on him.
Defense: C+
Only 16 points given up, but we were fortunate. Orhian Johnson played a spectacular game, and probably single-handedly cost UCF another 7-10 points. The secondary still has plenty of issues and it just gets thinner with no Travis Howard (even though, I don't have much respect for his abilities). I'm more concerned about the defensive line. We have total studs on the line, but we're getting little to no pressure. More concerning to me, was the lack of strong tackling that allowed the Golden Knights to develop a running game. That can't happen if these lineman are as strong as advertised. I gave a pass against Miami (OH) because of the game-plan. UCF ran a more traditional offense and we needed turnovers to keep a 2 score lead--can't happen at THE Ohio State University vs. this UCF team.
Special Teams: A-
Good punting, good coverage, good kicking. The blocked PAT pushes them to an A-. Not too much to discuss but I liked what I saw.
Coaching: B-
I get what Urban is doing, but going for a 4th and 1 is a bit risky on your side of the field early on. Yes, we're Ohio State. Yes, we should get it. Yes, it's a culture change. But if you go, you better have a good playcall and you'd better get it. UCF is not a scrub team (no matter what the media tells you). I'm ok rolling the dice, but that went a little far. The second time we went for it, I firmly believe Meyer did it as a message. I'm convinced that, had we not converted, the entire backup offense would have been in next series. Sending messages is one thing...against Miami (OH), but this is not a nobody team. Also, if you go for it and you want to change the old culture, don't run a simple off tackle run. Be creative! Braxton's use is a major coaching issue as well. Meyer said this week that he didn't want Miller running more than 12-13 times in a game (on a called play). Miller has QB runs on 27 plays! This is way too high for a guy who has never played a complete season in his high-school or college career. He is our best player, and you have to use him; just don't overuse him. He won't be able to take those hits from MSU.
Overall: B
Many locals have crushed the Buckeyes for the 'tight' win. I still think it was a nice hard-fought win, but there are things that need to be cleaned up. The margin isn't the concern in my mind. The concern was the overall level of execution. I don't see any issues over the next 2 weeks so A performances are expected. If we play like we did this week, we won't be Sparty. Please, stop talking about these ridiculous national championship scenarios and focus on each game at a time.
Offense: B
The Knights made Braxton put on a show to beat them which is not what OSU needed. I still firmly believe that the backs are being criminally under-utilized. Braxton has learned the safe underneath throws, but he needs to be able to challenge the safeties deep to keep the secondary honest (the interception was just gross). I haven't seen enough of that which will lead to some jumped routes against a better team. Receiver execution was good enough. The run-blocking (both the line and the second level blocking of the receivers) has been fantastic. This appears to be our strength which is why I'm confused that we don't run a little more. Finally, the dynamism of Miller's running ability is unquestioned...but he cannot tote the rock that often. His 'ouchy' nature will catch up with us if we don't start to take it easy on him.
Defense: C+
Only 16 points given up, but we were fortunate. Orhian Johnson played a spectacular game, and probably single-handedly cost UCF another 7-10 points. The secondary still has plenty of issues and it just gets thinner with no Travis Howard (even though, I don't have much respect for his abilities). I'm more concerned about the defensive line. We have total studs on the line, but we're getting little to no pressure. More concerning to me, was the lack of strong tackling that allowed the Golden Knights to develop a running game. That can't happen if these lineman are as strong as advertised. I gave a pass against Miami (OH) because of the game-plan. UCF ran a more traditional offense and we needed turnovers to keep a 2 score lead--can't happen at THE Ohio State University vs. this UCF team.
Special Teams: A-
Good punting, good coverage, good kicking. The blocked PAT pushes them to an A-. Not too much to discuss but I liked what I saw.
Coaching: B-
I get what Urban is doing, but going for a 4th and 1 is a bit risky on your side of the field early on. Yes, we're Ohio State. Yes, we should get it. Yes, it's a culture change. But if you go, you better have a good playcall and you'd better get it. UCF is not a scrub team (no matter what the media tells you). I'm ok rolling the dice, but that went a little far. The second time we went for it, I firmly believe Meyer did it as a message. I'm convinced that, had we not converted, the entire backup offense would have been in next series. Sending messages is one thing...against Miami (OH), but this is not a nobody team. Also, if you go for it and you want to change the old culture, don't run a simple off tackle run. Be creative! Braxton's use is a major coaching issue as well. Meyer said this week that he didn't want Miller running more than 12-13 times in a game (on a called play). Miller has QB runs on 27 plays! This is way too high for a guy who has never played a complete season in his high-school or college career. He is our best player, and you have to use him; just don't overuse him. He won't be able to take those hits from MSU.
Overall: B
Many locals have crushed the Buckeyes for the 'tight' win. I still think it was a nice hard-fought win, but there are things that need to be cleaned up. The margin isn't the concern in my mind. The concern was the overall level of execution. I don't see any issues over the next 2 weeks so A performances are expected. If we play like we did this week, we won't be Sparty. Please, stop talking about these ridiculous national championship scenarios and focus on each game at a time.
Thursday, September 06, 2012
Week 2 Picks: BOOOOOORRRIIIIINNNNGGG!!!
After a relative snoozefest in week 1 that showed the Wolverines getting trounced and essentially limited those in serious national title contention to about 7 teams, one would think that this week must be more exciting....nope. The 'big games' this week are some of the weakest I've ever seen. Here's hoping for one GT-VT thriller because these games look awful.
Standings
1. Draper 4-0 (1-0 upset)
1. Schweinfurth 4-0 (1-0 upset--he copied me)
3. Hoying 3-1 (0-1 upset)
4. Auer 0-0 (0-0 upset)
Games
Florida Gators @ Texas A&M Aggies
Draper: The epic Gameday matchup that no one cares about. Yes, it's TAMU's intro to the SEC, but Florida was embarassing in week one. This being on the picks shows how much these games suck. The Aggies week 1 game was postponed so we know very little about what to expect. I do know, however, that the Gators looked terrible. I expect the Aggies to win the SEC opener against a hapless UF offense. Which team will suck more? UF: 10--TAMU: 20
Auer: UF was able to earn valuable experience in last week's close win over Bowling Green. A&M will have a tough time game-planning for a team without a quarterback too. With an inexperienced QB for the Aggies playing at home under the microscope, it will not be an easy game. UF: 31--TAMU: 13
Hoying: Two teams, no quarterback. If you watched football last week, you saw a Florida team with no offense almost lose to a Bowling Green juggernaut with no kicker. You also probably wondered where Texas A&M was. (Just kidding, no one cares about Texas A&M.) This strikingly mediocre program is going to get a rude awakening after jumping conferences to the SEC, but it's not going to be at the hands of the Gators. Freshman Aggie QB Johnny Manziel leads his team to a victory and adds another burning coal under Florida coach Will Muschamp's hot seat. UF: 13--A&M: 20
Schweinfurth: We are about to see if a team built to play in the Big 12 can survive in the SEC. Texas A&M's offense over the last few years has been meh and the defense is a Big 12 defense. I expect emotions to carry TAMU for a while, but in the end the Gators will prevail in the end (and maybe give the UF media something to talk about other than Urban). UF: 35--TAMU: 14
Purdue Boilermakers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Draper: Notre Dame had a great week one showing in Ireland, but Purdue is a sleeper in the Big Ten (for the hundredth straight year). That being said, I believe the talent on the Irish is just simply better than Purdue. The QB situation for the Boilers is a mess. I expect the Irish to capture a convincing win that will propel them into the Top 5 (in Lou Holtz's rankings) before they face the Spartans. PU: 20--ND: 37
Auer: Admittedly not going with logic here. Notre Dame put the smack down on Navy WITHOUT their starting QB and RB... the Boilers put the smack down on EKU without their starter... but used former starter Marve. I hate Notre Dame, and somehow Marve will start and pull of the HUGE upset. PU: 23--ND: 21
Hoying: This is a dangerous game for Purdue, mostly because they're vastly inferior to Notre Dame. Don't get me wrong; the Boilermakers were one of five B1G teams (Ohio State, Nebraska, Illinois and Michigan State) to not embarrass themselves last weekend, but the globetrotting Irish are not exactly Eastern Kentucky. Senior Purdue QB Caleb TerBush will pose a bigger threat to the Irish defense than Navy's non-existent pass game, but Notre Dame's balanced attack is more than capable of piling even more points on a weak Purdue defense. PU: 17--ND: 34
Schweinfurth: I guess Notre Dame is good (for Notre Dame as of late). The Irish offense has another year under Brian Kelly and should be making strides. It showed last week in the drubbing Navy took last week. Purdue is a bit better than Navy and it will show on the field. Purdue's offense put up impressive numbers against Eastern Kentucky but Robert Marve (yes, I expect Marve to start) won't fare as well against the Irish D. Notre Dame wins in a bit of a shootout. PU:28--ND:45
Nebraska Cornhuskers @ UCLA Bruins
Draper: Martinez had a solid 5 TD performance against Southern Miss but the Black Shirts were a little soft. UCLA showed last week that their young team behind Brett Hundley can score some points. I think the Bruins will put up some points but the Huskers snag the last score. Expect a score fest in LA with the B1G grabbing a nice close win. Neb: 41--UCLA: 38
Auer: Nebraska's flakiness may start to rival that of what used to belong to the Spartans. Offensively they were impressive against Southern Mississippi, but the defensive spunk was missing. UCLA is not without talent, starting QB Brett Hundley was impressive in the first win of the season (and he's really good in the video game), and this is the home opener for the Bruins. Nebraska must come ready to play, this will quite possibly be the best game of the weekend. Neb: 34--UCLA: 32
Hoying: Is UCLA back? The Bruins managed to turn some heads after piling up 646 yards in their last game. However, that was against...Rice. And UCLA also gave up 24 points to...Rice, none of which occurred during garbage time. To be fair, Nebraska had a similar performance last week against Southern Mississippi, but Nebraska's been pretty solid the last few seasons. The burden of proof is on UCLA, and it'll take a win against an opponent of this level to put them back on the map. Problem is, Nebraska's offense is going to be tough to stop, even if star RB Rex Burkhead isn't ready to go. Huskers win close. Neb: 38--UCLA: 34
Schweinfurth: Both Nebraska and UCLA's offenses showed up big time last week. Martinez with his 5 TDs and UCLA with 600+ yards of offense. No Burkhead means this game will be closer than it should be. This one will be high scoring and very entertaining to watch. Neb: 49--UCLA: 35
UCF Golden Knights @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: The Bucks looked pretty solid in week one but the secondary remained a little questionable. That being said, Dysert for the Redhawks was a pretty savvy experienced QB. UCF is a sexy pick as a threat but I don't see them hanging with the Bucks. They're a nice CUSA team, but they're not ready for the big time. Miller's passing can only improve and his running has already been electric so I see 4 TDs (3 passing, 1 rushing) with Hyde chipping in 2. Guiton comes in late to mop up. The defense will relax here and there leading Coach Coombs to kill a kitten on the sideline--never let it happen again... UCF: 16--OSU: 48
Auer: With the rainy forecast, and UCF's somewhat existent run game, this will possibly be a bit closer than anyone expects. Ohio State is a superior team all-around, but after a great opening weekend, there is bound to be a bit of a hangover. UCF: 22--OSU: 37
Hoying: Welcome to the Ineligi-bowl. Buckeye Nation is breathing a little easier after last week's coming out party, and the cream puff feast rolls merrily along with fellow bowl-ineligible UCF coming to town. The Golden Knights are fresh off a dismantling of terrible terrible Akron, but don't look for them to put up too much of a fight. If the UCF receivers can hang onto a pass, the game might be close for a quarter, but this game should be ugly. Like "ESPN's sideline eye candy now that Erin Andrews is gone" ugly. UCF: 13--OSU: 48
Schweinfurth: It's said that a team's biggest improvement happens between weeks 1 and 2. We are about to find out if that is true for the Buckeyes. Miami's pass happy offense moved the ball well against the Bullets but UCF is not a pass happy offense. This should be a good time for the defensive line to flex their muscles. I would expect the OSU D to force 1 or 2 more turnovers and more special teams chaos created by the "Freak Show." I also expect there to be a bit of jitters to start the game on offense again. But, like last week, once the O gets rolling, Miller and the boys are going to put up some numbers. OSU is better and it will show. UCF: 14--OSU: 52
Upset Special:
Draper: Out on a limb--Penn State over Virginia
Auer: Missouri over Georgia
Hoying: Iowa State over Iowa
Schweinfurth: Oregon State over Wisconsin
Standings
1. Draper 4-0 (1-0 upset)
1. Schweinfurth 4-0 (1-0 upset--he copied me)
3. Hoying 3-1 (0-1 upset)
4. Auer 0-0 (0-0 upset)
Games
Florida Gators @ Texas A&M Aggies
Draper: The epic Gameday matchup that no one cares about. Yes, it's TAMU's intro to the SEC, but Florida was embarassing in week one. This being on the picks shows how much these games suck. The Aggies week 1 game was postponed so we know very little about what to expect. I do know, however, that the Gators looked terrible. I expect the Aggies to win the SEC opener against a hapless UF offense. Which team will suck more? UF: 10--TAMU: 20
Auer: UF was able to earn valuable experience in last week's close win over Bowling Green. A&M will have a tough time game-planning for a team without a quarterback too. With an inexperienced QB for the Aggies playing at home under the microscope, it will not be an easy game. UF: 31--TAMU: 13
Hoying: Two teams, no quarterback. If you watched football last week, you saw a Florida team with no offense almost lose to a Bowling Green juggernaut with no kicker. You also probably wondered where Texas A&M was. (Just kidding, no one cares about Texas A&M.) This strikingly mediocre program is going to get a rude awakening after jumping conferences to the SEC, but it's not going to be at the hands of the Gators. Freshman Aggie QB Johnny Manziel leads his team to a victory and adds another burning coal under Florida coach Will Muschamp's hot seat. UF: 13--A&M: 20
Schweinfurth: We are about to see if a team built to play in the Big 12 can survive in the SEC. Texas A&M's offense over the last few years has been meh and the defense is a Big 12 defense. I expect emotions to carry TAMU for a while, but in the end the Gators will prevail in the end (and maybe give the UF media something to talk about other than Urban). UF: 35--TAMU: 14
Purdue Boilermakers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Draper: Notre Dame had a great week one showing in Ireland, but Purdue is a sleeper in the Big Ten (for the hundredth straight year). That being said, I believe the talent on the Irish is just simply better than Purdue. The QB situation for the Boilers is a mess. I expect the Irish to capture a convincing win that will propel them into the Top 5 (in Lou Holtz's rankings) before they face the Spartans. PU: 20--ND: 37
Auer: Admittedly not going with logic here. Notre Dame put the smack down on Navy WITHOUT their starting QB and RB... the Boilers put the smack down on EKU without their starter... but used former starter Marve. I hate Notre Dame, and somehow Marve will start and pull of the HUGE upset. PU: 23--ND: 21
Hoying: This is a dangerous game for Purdue, mostly because they're vastly inferior to Notre Dame. Don't get me wrong; the Boilermakers were one of five B1G teams (Ohio State, Nebraska, Illinois and Michigan State) to not embarrass themselves last weekend, but the globetrotting Irish are not exactly Eastern Kentucky. Senior Purdue QB Caleb TerBush will pose a bigger threat to the Irish defense than Navy's non-existent pass game, but Notre Dame's balanced attack is more than capable of piling even more points on a weak Purdue defense. PU: 17--ND: 34
Schweinfurth: I guess Notre Dame is good (for Notre Dame as of late). The Irish offense has another year under Brian Kelly and should be making strides. It showed last week in the drubbing Navy took last week. Purdue is a bit better than Navy and it will show on the field. Purdue's offense put up impressive numbers against Eastern Kentucky but Robert Marve (yes, I expect Marve to start) won't fare as well against the Irish D. Notre Dame wins in a bit of a shootout. PU:28--ND:45
Nebraska Cornhuskers @ UCLA Bruins
Draper: Martinez had a solid 5 TD performance against Southern Miss but the Black Shirts were a little soft. UCLA showed last week that their young team behind Brett Hundley can score some points. I think the Bruins will put up some points but the Huskers snag the last score. Expect a score fest in LA with the B1G grabbing a nice close win. Neb: 41--UCLA: 38
Auer: Nebraska's flakiness may start to rival that of what used to belong to the Spartans. Offensively they were impressive against Southern Mississippi, but the defensive spunk was missing. UCLA is not without talent, starting QB Brett Hundley was impressive in the first win of the season (and he's really good in the video game), and this is the home opener for the Bruins. Nebraska must come ready to play, this will quite possibly be the best game of the weekend. Neb: 34--UCLA: 32
Hoying: Is UCLA back? The Bruins managed to turn some heads after piling up 646 yards in their last game. However, that was against...Rice. And UCLA also gave up 24 points to...Rice, none of which occurred during garbage time. To be fair, Nebraska had a similar performance last week against Southern Mississippi, but Nebraska's been pretty solid the last few seasons. The burden of proof is on UCLA, and it'll take a win against an opponent of this level to put them back on the map. Problem is, Nebraska's offense is going to be tough to stop, even if star RB Rex Burkhead isn't ready to go. Huskers win close. Neb: 38--UCLA: 34
Schweinfurth: Both Nebraska and UCLA's offenses showed up big time last week. Martinez with his 5 TDs and UCLA with 600+ yards of offense. No Burkhead means this game will be closer than it should be. This one will be high scoring and very entertaining to watch. Neb: 49--UCLA: 35
UCF Golden Knights @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: The Bucks looked pretty solid in week one but the secondary remained a little questionable. That being said, Dysert for the Redhawks was a pretty savvy experienced QB. UCF is a sexy pick as a threat but I don't see them hanging with the Bucks. They're a nice CUSA team, but they're not ready for the big time. Miller's passing can only improve and his running has already been electric so I see 4 TDs (3 passing, 1 rushing) with Hyde chipping in 2. Guiton comes in late to mop up. The defense will relax here and there leading Coach Coombs to kill a kitten on the sideline--never let it happen again... UCF: 16--OSU: 48
Auer: With the rainy forecast, and UCF's somewhat existent run game, this will possibly be a bit closer than anyone expects. Ohio State is a superior team all-around, but after a great opening weekend, there is bound to be a bit of a hangover. UCF: 22--OSU: 37
Hoying: Welcome to the Ineligi-bowl. Buckeye Nation is breathing a little easier after last week's coming out party, and the cream puff feast rolls merrily along with fellow bowl-ineligible UCF coming to town. The Golden Knights are fresh off a dismantling of terrible terrible Akron, but don't look for them to put up too much of a fight. If the UCF receivers can hang onto a pass, the game might be close for a quarter, but this game should be ugly. Like "ESPN's sideline eye candy now that Erin Andrews is gone" ugly. UCF: 13--OSU: 48
Schweinfurth: It's said that a team's biggest improvement happens between weeks 1 and 2. We are about to find out if that is true for the Buckeyes. Miami's pass happy offense moved the ball well against the Bullets but UCF is not a pass happy offense. This should be a good time for the defensive line to flex their muscles. I would expect the OSU D to force 1 or 2 more turnovers and more special teams chaos created by the "Freak Show." I also expect there to be a bit of jitters to start the game on offense again. But, like last week, once the O gets rolling, Miller and the boys are going to put up some numbers. OSU is better and it will show. UCF: 14--OSU: 52
Upset Special:
Draper: Out on a limb--Penn State over Virginia
Auer: Missouri over Georgia
Hoying: Iowa State over Iowa
Schweinfurth: Oregon State over Wisconsin
Tuesday, September 04, 2012
Grading the Bucks: Week 1--Miami (OH)
The Urban Meyer era kicked off with a whimper for a quarter then an explosion for the remainder of the game. There were many positives, but this team is by no means perfect or near the level of Bama or USC. There is always work to be done, but I'll take a week 1 46 point win.
Offense: B+
Overall, there was a lot of excitement in the sense that we ran more than simple Dave off-tackle runs. Miller is an explosive runner, but he's clearly still working to pick up the spread option attack. He's extremely dangerous in the open field as the hapless Miami defender found out. The first quarter was atrocious offensively as Miller looked like he reverted to high school thinking that he had to be the focus on every play. Once he started distributing the ball to the backs and receivers, it opened the game up immensely. I'm a little disappointed with the improvement (or lack thereof) in the passing game. Braxton is continually throwing over receivers when he gets excited, but when he settles down, I see great potential. The biggest positives on this side of the ball were the emergence of Hyde as a legitimate threat and more importantly, some actual receivers. The receivers were a major question mark entering 2012 and they answered quite well. 56 points is hard to scoff at, but we can be much more efficient.
Defense: B
The line failed to get much pressure but I believe that was due to the dink-and-dunk offense run by a savvy experienced QB and the lack of a steady blitz. I liked the run stopping ability of our D-line and linebackers when needed. The biggest question continues to loom in the secondary. Miami should have had an EASY 10 point cushion is not more if their receivers could catch a ball. Roby looked pretty competent, but Howard continues to suck (don't give me the 2 INTs--he was burned all day). I'm very concerned about the regression of Christian Bryant and C.J. Barnett as they were studs a few years back but they've seemed to lost most of their step. The linebackers also have work to do in pass coverage. Thankfully, we don't play a lot of experienced pass-happy QBs on the schedule, but it's a major concern going forward.
Special Teams: B+
A good special teams performance as nothing really shocking on special teams. Yes, they scored a TD due to an errant snap but that was more a factor of Miami suck than OSU special teams. The kicking game was fine, Buchanan looked good, kickoff coverage was fine. Nothing flashy but nothing problematic.
Coaching: B+
Many will point to the loss of points with the decision to go for the TD at the end of the half. I would have preferred a different play (I wanted a 5-wide; QB power run up the gut), but the decision was fine with the solid lead. I felt the game was called pretty well offensively after the adjustment was made in the 2nd quarter to take the onus off Miller. Once he realized he had plenty of talent around him, he settled into a groove. The defensive playcalling was to sit in coverage with 8 people and send 3 to help the less talented secondary. I think the future will see more blitzing schemes to rush the QB as we saw more people in coverage didn't necessarily translate into better D. Urban's first game was a solid performance on both sides but he must love the fact that there is plenty on which to work.
Overall: B+
Not giving the A because I saw plenty of room for improvement, but I like what I saw from the 2nd quarter on after the debacle of last season. Let's hope this continues in the future again better teams. Don't sleep on the Golden Knights. They're much better than most will give credit.
Offense: B+
Overall, there was a lot of excitement in the sense that we ran more than simple Dave off-tackle runs. Miller is an explosive runner, but he's clearly still working to pick up the spread option attack. He's extremely dangerous in the open field as the hapless Miami defender found out. The first quarter was atrocious offensively as Miller looked like he reverted to high school thinking that he had to be the focus on every play. Once he started distributing the ball to the backs and receivers, it opened the game up immensely. I'm a little disappointed with the improvement (or lack thereof) in the passing game. Braxton is continually throwing over receivers when he gets excited, but when he settles down, I see great potential. The biggest positives on this side of the ball were the emergence of Hyde as a legitimate threat and more importantly, some actual receivers. The receivers were a major question mark entering 2012 and they answered quite well. 56 points is hard to scoff at, but we can be much more efficient.
Defense: B
The line failed to get much pressure but I believe that was due to the dink-and-dunk offense run by a savvy experienced QB and the lack of a steady blitz. I liked the run stopping ability of our D-line and linebackers when needed. The biggest question continues to loom in the secondary. Miami should have had an EASY 10 point cushion is not more if their receivers could catch a ball. Roby looked pretty competent, but Howard continues to suck (don't give me the 2 INTs--he was burned all day). I'm very concerned about the regression of Christian Bryant and C.J. Barnett as they were studs a few years back but they've seemed to lost most of their step. The linebackers also have work to do in pass coverage. Thankfully, we don't play a lot of experienced pass-happy QBs on the schedule, but it's a major concern going forward.
Special Teams: B+
A good special teams performance as nothing really shocking on special teams. Yes, they scored a TD due to an errant snap but that was more a factor of Miami suck than OSU special teams. The kicking game was fine, Buchanan looked good, kickoff coverage was fine. Nothing flashy but nothing problematic.
Coaching: B+
Many will point to the loss of points with the decision to go for the TD at the end of the half. I would have preferred a different play (I wanted a 5-wide; QB power run up the gut), but the decision was fine with the solid lead. I felt the game was called pretty well offensively after the adjustment was made in the 2nd quarter to take the onus off Miller. Once he realized he had plenty of talent around him, he settled into a groove. The defensive playcalling was to sit in coverage with 8 people and send 3 to help the less talented secondary. I think the future will see more blitzing schemes to rush the QB as we saw more people in coverage didn't necessarily translate into better D. Urban's first game was a solid performance on both sides but he must love the fact that there is plenty on which to work.
Overall: B+
Not giving the A because I saw plenty of room for improvement, but I like what I saw from the 2nd quarter on after the debacle of last season. Let's hope this continues in the future again better teams. Don't sleep on the Golden Knights. They're much better than most will give credit.
Saturday, September 01, 2012
Draper Preseason Predictions 2012
Every year, I have a write up of the season before game 1. I had this finished this past Tuesday, but I'm posting it now for consumption/laughter after the season. I traditionally do fairly well (preseason rankings, Heisman rankings, conference standings, thoughts, etc.), but last year was a challenge. Remember, this is for fun. The analysis is there with some humor sprinkled in. If I offend anyone, perhaps you should remember this is a blog and for fun. Read. Enjoy. Go Bucks!
Draper Preseason Predictions 2012
(Side note: This Google thing is a test for me. Hope it works!)
Draper Preseason Predictions 2012
(Side note: This Google thing is a test for me. Hope it works!)
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Week 1 Picks: A New Era
Welcome back to the most wonderful time of the year: college football season. We return this year to make some inspired game picks and perhaps we can keep track this year. The expectations in Columbus are through the roof with the advent of the Urban Meyer era even without the hope of postseason play. The first few weeks have very few games of interest, but we're here to present you with our opinions and thoughts on the biggest games of the week. Stay tuned and GO BUCKS!
Boise State Broncos @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: I like the Spartans as a 'surprise' front runner in the B1G. Michigan has the flash, Wisconsin has the recent history, and the Bucks are ineligible. This is the time for the Spartans to forget who they are and actually break through. A new QB in green and white has a very nice security blanket in Le'veon Bell toting the rock. Boise burns me on this 1st game every year but this is a true road game and the smurfs don't have that special QB leading the way. MSU makes a statement by beating up the traditional "David". BSU: 17--MSU: 31
Hoying: Finally, the Bluegrass Boys get an out-of-conference opponent that will really challenge them. Michigan State has been on the rise over the past few seasons, and the boys in green and white would love a chance to make a statement to kick off what they hope is a Big Ten Championship season. Both of these have some questions, with both losing star senior QB's and Boise State missing practically all of last year's defense. The Spartans still have some playmakers, like RB Le'Veon Bell and DE William Gholston, but Bronco coach Chris Petersen lives for match-ups like this. Must be nice not to have to prepare for anyone else all year now that TCU's out of the Mountain West. Expect the whole bag of Bronco tricks to spill out as Boise shocks Sparty in East Lansing. BSU: 28--MSU: 27
Schweinfurth: This is Boise State's season this year. The one big match up that the Broncos look forward to. Like normal, I know nothing about Boise State coming into the season except that Keelen Moore is gone. Even with a "green" (yes, pun intended) QB under center, I think Michigan State is just the flat out better team. Only Ohio State has a better front 7 in the B1G and they have their way with the Broncos. Go State! BSU: 10--MSU: 35
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: ACC Coastal powers collide...sort of. I like the Hokies in the division but the Yellow Jackets option attack is ridiculously pesky. That being said, I don't know any of the backs at Tech. The option is tough to adjust to, but the lack of the absolute stud may be an issue. Logan Thomas is a great QB and should have a fantastic year as a dual threat. This is the start of his campaign. Blacksburg is always tough so advantage VT. GT: 17--VT: 27
Hoying: Why do teams play conference games in week 1? Too much at stake for early season jitters. Well, one Tech will start the season in a nice big hole. On paper, this looks like an easy win for VT. They beat the Yellow Jackets last year, the defense should continue to be impressive, the players are still all pissed off about ending last season with 2 miserable performances, and the game is in Blacksburg at night. So.....they win. GT: 10--VT: 27
Schweinfurth: These early season rivalry games are always a wild one and any night game in Blacksburg is bound to be insane. Georgia Tech's offense is always fun to watch with all of the pre-snap movement and triple option. Unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, the ACC is starting to catch up to "gimmiky" offense. Virgina Tech "Beamer Balls" their way to a win in this one. GT: 7--VT: 20
Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: Everyone's huge matchup of week one features the winningest college program of history vs. defending National Champion (with a history that's not too shabby). The Michigan defense is being lauded for their major 'strides' last year. If you watched the games, you'd realize that the defensive improvement is fools' gold. Yes, they've improved, but the defense is still soft (OSU went nuts on them and we sucked!). Robinson is electric but Bama is going to break him. Denard will try to throw for the win, but he just doesn't have the skill while running for his life. Bama wins solidly and the SEC chants echo into the night. Mich: 13--Bama: 27
Hoying: Two of the greatest football programs of all time square off in the premier matchup of kickoff Saturday. Alabama has been king of the college football landscape over the last few seasons, helped by that abomination of a do-over they got in last year's title game, while Corn and Blue are trying to prove they are back among the ranks of the elite. ScUM QB Denard Robinson has never seen a defense this dominant, not even when he got shut down by...nobody...in some beatdown in Columbus that apparently never happened. Look for Shoelace to throw a few picks before getting broken in half, while Tide QB AJ McCarron and friends expose the overrated Big Blue D. Not this year, Michigan. Not this year. UM: 13--Bama: 31
Schweinfurth: This game is a severely overrated team versus the defending national champs. Denard may be the most electrifying player in college football, but that Alabama defense is just down right nasty. In all honesty, I expect to see Robinson playing more wide receiver as the game rolls on, Gardner is just a better passer. TTUN lost a lot off that defense from last year as well and they will be exposed as a still building team. Alabama "rolls" in this one. TTUN: 6--Bama: 33
Miami (OH) Redhawks @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: And we're back. After a tumultuous year, the Bucks look to forget 2011 ever happened, make a statement in 2012, and, most importantly, use this as a springboard into 2013. The team is stacked on defensive line; so much so that every QB facing the Scarlet and Gray will spend most of the game in a fetal position. Miller is ready to break out under Meyer's system (so long as he stays healthy--but Guiton is ready in the wings). The running attack will be just fine, but the WR corps is a little weak. This game, this season, is all about Urban saying hello and putting the fear of God into the rest of the conference/nation. Sorry Redhawks.... MU: 10--OSU: 48
Hoying: Indiana State over Indiana
Schweinfurth: Ohio over Penn State (I promise I didn't copy Draper)
Boise State Broncos @ Michigan State Spartans
Draper: I like the Spartans as a 'surprise' front runner in the B1G. Michigan has the flash, Wisconsin has the recent history, and the Bucks are ineligible. This is the time for the Spartans to forget who they are and actually break through. A new QB in green and white has a very nice security blanket in Le'veon Bell toting the rock. Boise burns me on this 1st game every year but this is a true road game and the smurfs don't have that special QB leading the way. MSU makes a statement by beating up the traditional "David". BSU: 17--MSU: 31
Hoying: Finally, the Bluegrass Boys get an out-of-conference opponent that will really challenge them. Michigan State has been on the rise over the past few seasons, and the boys in green and white would love a chance to make a statement to kick off what they hope is a Big Ten Championship season. Both of these have some questions, with both losing star senior QB's and Boise State missing practically all of last year's defense. The Spartans still have some playmakers, like RB Le'Veon Bell and DE William Gholston, but Bronco coach Chris Petersen lives for match-ups like this. Must be nice not to have to prepare for anyone else all year now that TCU's out of the Mountain West. Expect the whole bag of Bronco tricks to spill out as Boise shocks Sparty in East Lansing. BSU: 28--MSU: 27
Schweinfurth: This is Boise State's season this year. The one big match up that the Broncos look forward to. Like normal, I know nothing about Boise State coming into the season except that Keelen Moore is gone. Even with a "green" (yes, pun intended) QB under center, I think Michigan State is just the flat out better team. Only Ohio State has a better front 7 in the B1G and they have their way with the Broncos. Go State! BSU: 10--MSU: 35
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Draper: ACC Coastal powers collide...sort of. I like the Hokies in the division but the Yellow Jackets option attack is ridiculously pesky. That being said, I don't know any of the backs at Tech. The option is tough to adjust to, but the lack of the absolute stud may be an issue. Logan Thomas is a great QB and should have a fantastic year as a dual threat. This is the start of his campaign. Blacksburg is always tough so advantage VT. GT: 17--VT: 27
Hoying: Why do teams play conference games in week 1? Too much at stake for early season jitters. Well, one Tech will start the season in a nice big hole. On paper, this looks like an easy win for VT. They beat the Yellow Jackets last year, the defense should continue to be impressive, the players are still all pissed off about ending last season with 2 miserable performances, and the game is in Blacksburg at night. So.....they win. GT: 10--VT: 27
Schweinfurth: These early season rivalry games are always a wild one and any night game in Blacksburg is bound to be insane. Georgia Tech's offense is always fun to watch with all of the pre-snap movement and triple option. Unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, the ACC is starting to catch up to "gimmiky" offense. Virgina Tech "Beamer Balls" their way to a win in this one. GT: 7--VT: 20
Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Draper: Everyone's huge matchup of week one features the winningest college program of history vs. defending National Champion (with a history that's not too shabby). The Michigan defense is being lauded for their major 'strides' last year. If you watched the games, you'd realize that the defensive improvement is fools' gold. Yes, they've improved, but the defense is still soft (OSU went nuts on them and we sucked!). Robinson is electric but Bama is going to break him. Denard will try to throw for the win, but he just doesn't have the skill while running for his life. Bama wins solidly and the SEC chants echo into the night. Mich: 13--Bama: 27
Hoying: Two of the greatest football programs of all time square off in the premier matchup of kickoff Saturday. Alabama has been king of the college football landscape over the last few seasons, helped by that abomination of a do-over they got in last year's title game, while Corn and Blue are trying to prove they are back among the ranks of the elite. ScUM QB Denard Robinson has never seen a defense this dominant, not even when he got shut down by...nobody...in some beatdown in Columbus that apparently never happened. Look for Shoelace to throw a few picks before getting broken in half, while Tide QB AJ McCarron and friends expose the overrated Big Blue D. Not this year, Michigan. Not this year. UM: 13--Bama: 31
Schweinfurth: This game is a severely overrated team versus the defending national champs. Denard may be the most electrifying player in college football, but that Alabama defense is just down right nasty. In all honesty, I expect to see Robinson playing more wide receiver as the game rolls on, Gardner is just a better passer. TTUN lost a lot off that defense from last year as well and they will be exposed as a still building team. Alabama "rolls" in this one. TTUN: 6--Bama: 33
Miami (OH) Redhawks @ THE Ohio State Buckeyes
Draper: And we're back. After a tumultuous year, the Bucks look to forget 2011 ever happened, make a statement in 2012, and, most importantly, use this as a springboard into 2013. The team is stacked on defensive line; so much so that every QB facing the Scarlet and Gray will spend most of the game in a fetal position. Miller is ready to break out under Meyer's system (so long as he stays healthy--but Guiton is ready in the wings). The running attack will be just fine, but the WR corps is a little weak. This game, this season, is all about Urban saying hello and putting the fear of God into the rest of the conference/nation. Sorry Redhawks.... MU: 10--OSU: 48
Hoying: Well, Buckeye fans, our nightmare is half over. Even though this season will end with no championship and no bowl (and no bowl trip, sad face), Urban and the Buckeyes have plenty to prove to the world after the wretched 2011 campaign. And they get a nice squishy opponent to pound on! Much like last year's opener against Akron, which featured a nearly flawless thrashing by the Scarlet and Gray, this game will tell us nothing. Miami is a cupcake team from a cupcake conference, who will take their check and their bruises and go back on the Paul Ryan campaign trail. Buckeyes get their first win since Indiana on November 5. MU: 6--OSU: 41
Schweinfurth: The Urban Renewal is upon us friends. 2011 was one of the worst years in recent memory to be a Buckeye fan. A returning, more mature Braxton Miller (with free run of the offense and confidence of the coaches) is ready for a breakout season. It all starts Saturday. I expect the offense to have a monster day on the poor, hapless Red Hawks. Braxton and Hyde both have big days and the Hawks only cross the 50 once against a nasty and angry Buckeye D. Urban will show no mercy on any opponent this year. The Silver Bullets are back!!! Miami (OH) at Oxford: 3--OSU:56
Upset Special
Draper: Ohio over Penn StateHoying: Indiana State over Indiana
Schweinfurth: Ohio over Penn State (I promise I didn't copy Draper)
Ridiculous BCS game matchup picks
Subject to the following rules:
BCS National Championship has #1 vs. #2
B1G and Pac 12 Champ play in the Rose Bowl
SEC Champ to Sugar Bowl
ACC Champ to Orange Bowl
Big 12 Champ to Fiesta
Big East Champ gets an autobid
Once the auto tie-ins are down, the pecking order for the remaining bowls is as such
1) If BCS #1 had a tie-in, that bowl selects its replacement from the at large pool (and Big East Champ)
2) If BCS #2 had a tie-in, that bowl will select its replacement from the at large pool (and Big East Champ)
3) The remaining slots are filled by the bowls choosing from the at-large teams (and Big East champ) in the following order: Fiesta, Sugar, Orange.
Draper:
Rose: Michigan State vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Michigan
Sugar: Louisiana State vs. Texas
Orange: Florida State vs. Louisville
BCS National Title: USC vs. Alabama
Hoying:
Rose: Michigan vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Sugar: Louisiana State vs. Texas Christian
Orange: Florida State vs. Rutgers
BCS National Title: USC vs. Alabama
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Michigan
Sugar: Alabama vs. Notre Dame
Orange: Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech
BCS National Title: Florida St. vs. USC
BCS National Championship has #1 vs. #2
B1G and Pac 12 Champ play in the Rose Bowl
SEC Champ to Sugar Bowl
ACC Champ to Orange Bowl
Big 12 Champ to Fiesta
Big East Champ gets an autobid
Once the auto tie-ins are down, the pecking order for the remaining bowls is as such
1) If BCS #1 had a tie-in, that bowl selects its replacement from the at large pool (and Big East Champ)
2) If BCS #2 had a tie-in, that bowl will select its replacement from the at large pool (and Big East Champ)
3) The remaining slots are filled by the bowls choosing from the at-large teams (and Big East champ) in the following order: Fiesta, Sugar, Orange.
Draper:
Rose: Michigan State vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Michigan
Sugar: Louisiana State vs. Texas
Orange: Florida State vs. Louisville
BCS National Title: USC vs. Alabama
Hoying:
Rose: Michigan vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Sugar: Louisiana State vs. Texas Christian
Orange: Florida State vs. Rutgers
BCS National Title: USC vs. Alabama
Schweinfurth:
Rose: Michigan St. vs. OregonFiesta: Oklahoma vs. Michigan
Sugar: Alabama vs. Notre Dame
Orange: Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech
BCS National Title: Florida St. vs. USC
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Basketball Time--OSU @ KU
Thought I needed to start some thoughts on the basketball Buckeyes. The Bucks entered Phog Allen Fieldhouse without (arguably) their best player. I've heard many apologists that say that OSU is a 'good' team without Sully and a 'great' team with him. I disagree with this assessment as I believe this Buckeye team is still a 'great' team without Sully and a nearly unstoppable one with him. Listen, the offense certainly struggled yesterday, but we lost in one of college basketball's most intimidating venues without our number 1 in a game in which we were never out of it (within 4 with 4 to go and 5 with 2 min. to go). Kansas (a good team--not great) couldn't shake a team with no rhythm. This Buckeye team showed me a lot of heart and talent in the loss. I have a hard time finding a team that will beat us when we have the whole lineup.
Now, some X's and O's:
--Craft had a poor game (by his standards) which may be attributed to the loss of the rock in the middle. He was out of sync on offense but his usual pesty self on defense. I was concerned with the lack of drives to the buckets from #4 but again, this may be due to the absence of Sully as the bigs could double the drive. Craft has to improve his jump shot then he will be the best guard in the nation.
--Thomas was the hot hand in the 1st and kept us hanging around. I don't understand why the team left him in the 2nd but when 'Shooter McGavin' feels it, feed the beast.
--Buford shows that he is our number 2 (Sully as number 1) offensive threat. He was cold as ice in the first, but you have to keep feeding him without Sully as he'll get it done eventually. If we had more offensive threats, I'd say spread the wealth, but our other guards aren't great scoring options (especially when Craft can't drive the bucket).
--Ravenel had a really nice game filling in for Sully. Not perfect by any stretch, but he's stepped up big time when needed.
--Amir Williams is the guy who struggled mightily, but that will happen with a freshman on the road. He will get better, but experience is needed. Also, guarding Thomas Robinson in major minutes isn't a baptism by fire, it's a baptism by an inferno.
--Smith and Sibert need to step up their presence on the offensive end. Sibert needs to develop into a 3-point (consistent) threat and Lenzelle just needs to get a shot worked out--his shot needs work. I love their defensive intensity, but you need to play both ends (usually it's defense that suffers but they need to polish the O).
--Matta is always criticized for not using the bench, but I didn't see a real problem. I might have seen if Scott could have provided a little more offense than Craft early on, and perhaps give Weatherspoon a couple minutes to spell Smith/Sibert to spark some offense, but I trust the coach.
Two issues going forward:
1) Lack of depth for the big men.
--This has always been an issue for Matta but I like what I saw from Ravenel. Sully will be back so this isn't a huge problem in the future unless injuries flare. I think Craft and Buford are more integral but we have depth at the guard position. Underneath, there's Sully, Ravenel, and Williams (maybe count Ross in the future but not a true post guy). Having a freshman in the post is always a scare (unless it was Sully--but he still had Lauderdale to learn from). This can't be fixed so let's just not get hurt and develop Williams (I think Matta's on this).
2) 3-point consistency
--I said coming into this season that the only glaring weakness is consistency from long range. The loss of Jon Diebler is always going to hurt, but we just don't have anyone to stretch the defense. Thankfully, Sully can create for himself, but without him, we need to have the threat of the 3-ball. Buford is probably the best, but that's not his game. Thomas and Sibert are streaky. If Shooter, Craft, and Sibert can get the 3-ball around 50+%, we'll be unstoppable.
Overall, this loss means little going forward. I love the fight the team showed and I'm very excited going forward. If Sully comes back healthy, I find it hard to see a loss before the tournament. Kohl center is always tough and IU is starting to emerge as a contender, but OSU is still the force in the B1G. Keep the train rolling and we'll be fine. Congrats to KU on a big win, and I hope we get a chance for revenge in March (with Sully of course)!
Now, some X's and O's:
--Craft had a poor game (by his standards) which may be attributed to the loss of the rock in the middle. He was out of sync on offense but his usual pesty self on defense. I was concerned with the lack of drives to the buckets from #4 but again, this may be due to the absence of Sully as the bigs could double the drive. Craft has to improve his jump shot then he will be the best guard in the nation.
--Thomas was the hot hand in the 1st and kept us hanging around. I don't understand why the team left him in the 2nd but when 'Shooter McGavin' feels it, feed the beast.
--Buford shows that he is our number 2 (Sully as number 1) offensive threat. He was cold as ice in the first, but you have to keep feeding him without Sully as he'll get it done eventually. If we had more offensive threats, I'd say spread the wealth, but our other guards aren't great scoring options (especially when Craft can't drive the bucket).
--Ravenel had a really nice game filling in for Sully. Not perfect by any stretch, but he's stepped up big time when needed.
--Amir Williams is the guy who struggled mightily, but that will happen with a freshman on the road. He will get better, but experience is needed. Also, guarding Thomas Robinson in major minutes isn't a baptism by fire, it's a baptism by an inferno.
--Smith and Sibert need to step up their presence on the offensive end. Sibert needs to develop into a 3-point (consistent) threat and Lenzelle just needs to get a shot worked out--his shot needs work. I love their defensive intensity, but you need to play both ends (usually it's defense that suffers but they need to polish the O).
--Matta is always criticized for not using the bench, but I didn't see a real problem. I might have seen if Scott could have provided a little more offense than Craft early on, and perhaps give Weatherspoon a couple minutes to spell Smith/Sibert to spark some offense, but I trust the coach.
Two issues going forward:
1) Lack of depth for the big men.
--This has always been an issue for Matta but I like what I saw from Ravenel. Sully will be back so this isn't a huge problem in the future unless injuries flare. I think Craft and Buford are more integral but we have depth at the guard position. Underneath, there's Sully, Ravenel, and Williams (maybe count Ross in the future but not a true post guy). Having a freshman in the post is always a scare (unless it was Sully--but he still had Lauderdale to learn from). This can't be fixed so let's just not get hurt and develop Williams (I think Matta's on this).
2) 3-point consistency
--I said coming into this season that the only glaring weakness is consistency from long range. The loss of Jon Diebler is always going to hurt, but we just don't have anyone to stretch the defense. Thankfully, Sully can create for himself, but without him, we need to have the threat of the 3-ball. Buford is probably the best, but that's not his game. Thomas and Sibert are streaky. If Shooter, Craft, and Sibert can get the 3-ball around 50+%, we'll be unstoppable.
Overall, this loss means little going forward. I love the fight the team showed and I'm very excited going forward. If Sully comes back healthy, I find it hard to see a loss before the tournament. Kohl center is always tough and IU is starting to emerge as a contender, but OSU is still the force in the B1G. Keep the train rolling and we'll be fine. Congrats to KU on a big win, and I hope we get a chance for revenge in March (with Sully of course)!
Friday, December 09, 2011
Draper Index--Final Rankings Pre Bowl
Well, it had to happen. For the 2nd time in 12 years of making this computer poll, I did not correctly tab 1-2 in the BCS (although I think mine 1-2 is better than the BCS). Of course, I'm referring to Oklahoma State over Alabama. The only way it could have happened was a blow out of the Sooners (which happened). My computer poll is unbiased when compared to the SEC-centric media giant of ESPiN which was the downfall. Regardless, I'm pretty pleased. Here we go.
Draper Index Top 25 (Final)
1) LSU (They can't be caught even after the bowl. They are the National Champions)
2) Oklahoma State
3) Alabama
4) Oregon
5) Oklahoma (Only losses @OSU, @Baylor, home TT--bad, but good wins like @FSU/@KSU)
6) Stanford
7) Boise State
8) Wisconsin
9) Arkansas
10) USC
11) Virginia Tech
12) South Carolina
13) TCU
14) Clemson
15) Nebraska
16) Kansas State
17) Michigan State (ahead of UM like they should be)
18) Michigan
19) Georgia
20) Baylor
21) Houston
22) Penn State
23) Auburn
24) West Virginia
25) Southern Miss
Were these the final rankings of the BCS, the bowls would look like this:
BCS Title: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Rose: Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Stanford
Sugar: Alabama vs. TCU
Orange: WVU vs. Clemson
TCU would be guaranteed and OU is too sexy to pass up in the Fiesta. Bama and Stanford are no brainer at large picks.
My top 25
1) LSU
2) Oklahoma State
3) Alabama
4) Oregon
5) Stanford
6) Wisconsin
7) Boise State
8) USC
9) Arkansas
10) Kansas State
11) South Carolina
12) Oklahoma
13) Clemson
14) Michigan State
15) Michigan
16) Baylor
17) Virginia Tech
18) Nebraska
19) TCU
20) Georgia
21) Florida State
22) Houston
23) West Virginia
24) Penn State
25) Southern Miss
Draper Index Top 25 (Final)
1) LSU (They can't be caught even after the bowl. They are the National Champions)
2) Oklahoma State
3) Alabama
4) Oregon
5) Oklahoma (Only losses @OSU, @Baylor, home TT--bad, but good wins like @FSU/@KSU)
6) Stanford
7) Boise State
8) Wisconsin
9) Arkansas
10) USC
11) Virginia Tech
12) South Carolina
13) TCU
14) Clemson
15) Nebraska
16) Kansas State
17) Michigan State (ahead of UM like they should be)
18) Michigan
19) Georgia
20) Baylor
21) Houston
22) Penn State
23) Auburn
24) West Virginia
25) Southern Miss
Were these the final rankings of the BCS, the bowls would look like this:
BCS Title: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Rose: Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. Stanford
Sugar: Alabama vs. TCU
Orange: WVU vs. Clemson
TCU would be guaranteed and OU is too sexy to pass up in the Fiesta. Bama and Stanford are no brainer at large picks.
My top 25
1) LSU
2) Oklahoma State
3) Alabama
4) Oregon
5) Stanford
6) Wisconsin
7) Boise State
8) USC
9) Arkansas
10) Kansas State
11) South Carolina
12) Oklahoma
13) Clemson
14) Michigan State
15) Michigan
16) Baylor
17) Virginia Tech
18) Nebraska
19) TCU
20) Georgia
21) Florida State
22) Houston
23) West Virginia
24) Penn State
25) Southern Miss
Sunday, December 04, 2011
Gut reaction to the end of the regular season
1) LSU and Oklahoma State should play for the National Title
--Bama is really, really good. However, been there, done that. We know that LSU is better than Alabama, on the field; on Bama's field. Why do they need to prove it again? The one knock on the Pokes is a worse loss, but it was on the road, in double OT, after a tragedy in the school. This is not the only correct answer, but I strongly believe that this is what should happen to make sure the integrity of the regular season is upheld. Also, I want to see what the explosive Cowboy offense does to a stingy Tiger defense.
2) RGIII deserves the Heisman
--No, he's not the best pro prospect, or on a title contender, but he's had the best season of any college player this season. Stellar numbers, Heisman moments in key times, and leadership of a mediocre team to a 9-3 record. Ball is a close second, but he doesn't match up to Robert Griffin III. Don't give me Luck or Richardson. Their numbers pale when compared to RGIII and Ball. In fact, Richardson and Luck did it against worse competition.
3) Bama and Michigan just had the worst day ever!
--LSU blows out UGA which is helpful, and Houston loses which is kind of middling for UM, but the Ok State blowout of OU is a killer for Bama. That was the only thing that could prevent the rematch and I think it just may have. Speaking of bad news, Wisconsin squeaks by MSU....which means they both may be ranked ahead of Michigan....uh oh... TCU and almost certainly Clemson may jump the Wolverines....Yikes since Big Blue needs to move up 2 spots to even be eligible. I think there's a decent shot that Bama gets knocked out of the championship and Michigan will be relegated to the Capitol One Bowl (or lower). If OSU goes to the title, the Fiesta may desire another Big 12 team to replace the Sooners...which knocks UM out since TCU, Bama, and Stanford are more or less guaranteed the other at large spots.
BCS Predictions
Championship: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Rose: Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Fiesta: Stanford vs. Kansas State
Sugar: TCU vs. Alabama
Orange: WVU vs. Clemson
My Heisman vote (if I had one)1) Robert Griffin III
2) Montee Ball
3) Trent Richardson (I can be swayed on this one)
--Bama is really, really good. However, been there, done that. We know that LSU is better than Alabama, on the field; on Bama's field. Why do they need to prove it again? The one knock on the Pokes is a worse loss, but it was on the road, in double OT, after a tragedy in the school. This is not the only correct answer, but I strongly believe that this is what should happen to make sure the integrity of the regular season is upheld. Also, I want to see what the explosive Cowboy offense does to a stingy Tiger defense.
2) RGIII deserves the Heisman
--No, he's not the best pro prospect, or on a title contender, but he's had the best season of any college player this season. Stellar numbers, Heisman moments in key times, and leadership of a mediocre team to a 9-3 record. Ball is a close second, but he doesn't match up to Robert Griffin III. Don't give me Luck or Richardson. Their numbers pale when compared to RGIII and Ball. In fact, Richardson and Luck did it against worse competition.
3) Bama and Michigan just had the worst day ever!
--LSU blows out UGA which is helpful, and Houston loses which is kind of middling for UM, but the Ok State blowout of OU is a killer for Bama. That was the only thing that could prevent the rematch and I think it just may have. Speaking of bad news, Wisconsin squeaks by MSU....which means they both may be ranked ahead of Michigan....uh oh... TCU and almost certainly Clemson may jump the Wolverines....Yikes since Big Blue needs to move up 2 spots to even be eligible. I think there's a decent shot that Bama gets knocked out of the championship and Michigan will be relegated to the Capitol One Bowl (or lower). If OSU goes to the title, the Fiesta may desire another Big 12 team to replace the Sooners...which knocks UM out since TCU, Bama, and Stanford are more or less guaranteed the other at large spots.
BCS Predictions
Championship: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Rose: Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Fiesta: Stanford vs. Kansas State
Sugar: TCU vs. Alabama
Orange: WVU vs. Clemson
My Heisman vote (if I had one)1) Robert Griffin III
2) Montee Ball
3) Trent Richardson (I can be swayed on this one)
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