Standings:
1.) Hoying 22-7 (1-6 upset)
2.) Schweinfurth 21-8 (0-7 upset)
3.) Draper 19-10 (1-6 upset)
4.) Seeberg 17-12 (2-5 upset)
After the murderer's row the Big Ten presented last week, America's focus turns a bit further south to check in on three matchups between teams with one loss or fewer. Elsewhere, one of America's most storied rivalries is renewed for perhaps the final time in the foreseeable future, and a corpse is presented for desecration.
Hoying: Ah yes, the classic "offense" vs. "defense" showdown. Except, for the first time since before Joey B got to town, the Tigers are the "defense" half of the matchup. Preseason Heisman favorite-turned-clunker (join the crowd) Garrett Nussmeier hasn't been able to get LSU out of second gear, and the running game is atrocious, but nobody is moving the ball on the Tigers this season. That is, except for Ole Miss, who racked up 480 yards against LSU and never really seemed threatened even the Rebs only won by a single score. That said, nobody has been able to stop the Commodores...until the Tide slammed a shutout second half on them in the Vanderbilt's last outing. The advanced stats still aDore (sorry) Vanderbilt's offense, though, as one of the most efficient in the nation, and the stats show a pronounced edge for Vandy overall. Alarm bells are going off in my head for leaning toward picking Vanderbilt to beat LSU, but I'm thinking the Tigers are still getting way, way too much credit for beating a mediocre Clemson team in the opener. Get ready for another SEC shakeup, and for every SEC-head's Week 2 #1 team to be put on Playoff life support. LSU: 17--Vandy: 20
Seeberg: Are either of these teams…(what’s the word I’m looking for), good? The jury is still out but don’t let that stop the AP from putting them both in the top 20. Pavia has been quiet since his humbling at the hands of the Crimson Tide. He and Nussmeyer are both still serviceable but not anywhere near as good as expected. Has Garrett been hurt? Who knows. Neither team runs it well either - heck, Pavia is the Commodores’ leading rusher. This is just a coin flip. So, being a pessimist, I’ll take Vandy so both meh teams stay ranked. Barf. LSU: 20—Vandy: 24
Hoying: You can tell it's going to be a good week of college football because I look at all of these matchups (except one) and just say "I don't know". Despite being one of seven remaining undefeated Power 4 teams, the Rebs haven't yet turned in two-score win against any of their Power 4 opponents this year. Georgia has been quietly disappointing as well, arguably getting outplayed by SEC basement dweller Auburn last week. Ole Miss is the standard Lane Kiffin "great offense, unreliable defense, also the offense will just disappear in the biggest games of the year", but Georgia isn't the brick wall on D that they were during their title runs. The Dawgs are especially vulnerable through the air; Ty Simpson ate them for lunch after Jalen Milroe did the same to them last year. That's bad news against Mississippi's backup QB sensation (and legitimate all-SEC threat) Trinidad Chambliss. As stated above, not even LSU could meaningfully slow Ole Miss down, and the Tigers have a much better defense than the Dawgs do. Here's another instance of my instincts screaming at me to do otherwise, but I think the Rebs get one over on Georgia for the second straight year. Miss: 27--UGA: 24
Seeberg: Ole Miss heads between the hedges with their backup-turned-starter at QB. Trinidad Chambliss may well be a star in the making, but this isn’t exactly an inviting first career road start, even if the Bulldogs aren’t the wrecking ball on D that they were a few years ago. Ole Miss might build Lane a statue already if he wins this one, but he’s not quite there yet. The old dawg (see what I did there?) stays on top for another year. Miss: 20—UGA: 27
Hoying: Buckle up, buckaroos. The game down between the hedges may have the highest ranked teams this weekend, but this one should be the headliner of the week. This season, when these teams are good, they're really good, and when they're bad, well, they've lost a combined three games, to three ranked teams, by an aggregate 6 points. It's possible that the Trojans' domination of the hated team up north last week is a bit of fool's gold, as the other team that walloped the Wolverines (Oklahoma) was exposed a bit last week and it's within the realm of possibility that UM is absolute dogwater for the second straight year. But that was the sixth straight game this year that the Trojans have put up at least 31 points, and they've showed no signs of slowing down. The Irish have been deceptively mediocre on defense this year, so it'll be up to Lloyd Carr's grandson and the Price/Love train to outscore USC. I don't think it's happening this year. These Trojans just look different. Even in the loss to Illinois, USC mounted a furious rally to go ahead late before Illinois hit the game winning field goal at the last second, and the Trojans haven't been seriously challenged otherwise. USC stakes their claim for another Playoff run. USC: 34--ND: 31
Seeberg: Man it’s hard to know what to make of this one. ND has no wins of note, USC just manhandled UM. The fact that they were the more physical team was eye-opening - and makes me think they are a serious contender for the Irish. CJ Carr has looked solid against the dregs of the schedule - and I still don’t trust USC’s defense against any passing game with a pulse (read: not UM). The late start should negate the effect of the cross-country trip for USC- who put up nearly 500 yards the last time they traveled this far in a close loss to the Illini. Still, they couldn’t stop Altmeyer when they had to, and I expect a similar situation to arise here. Irish pull one out late. USC: 27—ND: 31
Hoying: Like any of the games above, I could see this one playing out in about a thousand different ways. But I take a look at the visiting team and see that they're giving up almost 30 points a game. You could say that's understandable when teams like Georgia come to town, but Syracuse? Mississippi State? It's true that the Vols' defensive struggles have mostly been against the ground game (which Bama has still failed to get going) but Tennessee isn't going to reach anywhere near last season's lofty heights playing defense like this. Tide roll to their fourth straight ranked win. UT: 24--Bama: 31
Seeberg: Well, Bama is alive and well after all. That week 1 crap show is looking more and more like an aberration by the week and Ty Simpson is near the top of an admittedly mediocre Heisman race this season (just throw the damn ball to Jeremiah). Meanwhile, the Vols’ best win is a close loss to Georgia. Look for Bama to turn Aguilar over a couple times and pull away late. UT: 20—Bama: 34
Hoying: It's easy to forget for those of us who remember tough, hard-nosed, power running Wisconsin football teams challenging for Big Ten Championships year in and year out, but Wisconsin was kind of awful for decades before Barry Alvarez took over. And, unfortunately for them, it looks like the Badgers are heading right back in that direction. UW hadn't had back-to-back seasons failing to hit 8 wins since Alvarez's first three years on the job, but Fick hasn't hit that total in either of his first two seasons, and it doesn't look like it'll happen this year, either. Yeah, it's tough to win when you can't keep your QB in playable condition for more than a game at a time, but it's not like anything else has been going right for the Badgers, either. That's a recipe for disaster against an Ohio State team that's been methodically strangling every team they've come across in their title defense tour. Turnovers and short fields masked a number of issues for the Buckeyes last week (the run blocking was just awful and the defense was caught off guard more than a few times), and the coaching staff will be looking to rectify these problems with some live reps against a real (so to speak) opponent heading into the bye week before the stretch run. This one doesn't stay close absent a colossal meltdown by the visitors. Time to start thinking about what Penn State will be able to salvage and present to the Bucks in two weeks. OSU: 31--UW: 0
Seeberg: Wisconsin is averaging the least amount of points in the conference and OSU gives up the least. If they don’t score on their scripted drive this may be another shutout unless Day calls off the dogs because it’s Fickell (a la Freeman in the natty last year). Regardless, it should be an stress-free afternoon facing off against our future D-line coach up in Madison. A chance of showers may make things a little bumpy offensively, but this one should not be in any doubt. It would be nice to know how healthy Bo Jackson is since the Badgers do still stop the run relatively well. Day lamenting that young guys aren’t getting opportunities is amusing since he’s intentionally slowing pace of play to a crawl. But if that keeps everyone healthy it won’t matter much- this season at least. Regardless, easy trips to Madison were few and far between for a couple decades. Enjoy this lack of stress-inducing drama Buckeye Nation. OSU: 31—UW: 6
Hoying: Kentucky over Texas
Schweinfurth: Ok St over Cincinnati
Seeberg: UNLV over Boise State